Realized P&L
-$241.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.33K
Hit rate
49.3%
Resolved
10,266
Trades
1,937,263
lifetime
Volume
$84.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$16.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 07-18 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
50% 49% +$3,788
Crypto
46% 42% $-226,817
Sports
3% 38% $-18,579
Politics
0% 17% +$267
Tech
0% 0% $-210
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 39064 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5,917 $-4,152 85¢ $-5030 $-877 06-23 08:26
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +3,944 $2,009 46¢ $1.8K $-175 07-17 13:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -2,018 $-1,724 52¢ $-1059 +$665 06-26 12:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,181 $-420 78¢ $-927 $-507 07-07 01:07
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +864 $722 95¢ $820 +$98 07-14 08:10
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +768 $600 100¢ $768 +$167 07-14 18:22
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +641 $472 82¢ $529 +$57 06-28 07:45
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No -1,016 $-477 50¢ $-503 $-25 06-27 09:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +419 $394 98¢ $410 +$16 06-11 14:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +32,354 $5,092 $404 $-4,687 07-18 23:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -371 $-451 99¢ $-366 +$85 07-15 09:21
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +407 $345 88¢ $356 +$11 06-23 00:05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -421 $-215 84¢ $-351 $-136 06-29 22:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,130 $-366 30¢ $-345 +$22 07-18 01:39
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,891 $514 12¢ $332 $-182 07-17 19:37
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +294 $271 96¢ $281 +$10 07-17 16:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +447 $180 50¢ $226 +$45 07-09 17:33
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +219 $190 95¢ $208 +$18 07-13 15:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -234 $-160 86¢ $-202 $-42 07-03 16:17
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No +198 $190 97¢ $193 +$2 06-02 05:02
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,336 $187 $175 $-12 07-17 19:41
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +261 $162 54¢ $140 $-22 06-28 09:16
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +225 $105 56¢ $126 +$21 07-09 13:41
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -630 $-310 16¢ $-104 +$206 07-15 12:23
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +105 $96 92¢ $96 +$1 07-06 14:10
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +4,585 $97 $94 $-3 07-04 22:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +139 $81 66¢ $92 +$11 07-09 17:33
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,578 $112 $92 $-21 07-15 07:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +248 $134 34¢ $83 $-51 07-04 06:59
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +129 $110 63¢ $81 $-28 07-05 15:12