Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$40,834
$398 in 24h
Trades
286
Unique wallets
97
Liquidity
$55,687
Latest YES mid
65¢
Latest NO mid
35¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-14 11:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+22.0¢
(top1%: 59% YES on $2.6K
vs crowd: 37% YES on $16.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $978 | $2.3K | $1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $1.8K | $4.4K | $2.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 23 | $2.2K | $3.0K | $887 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 46 | $1.1K | $474 | +$642 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $1.5K | $1.1K | +$484 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $1.3K | $2.8K | $1.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1.3K | $28 | +$1.2K |
| Median | 9 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Below median | 12 | $229 | $303 | $75 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | — | $642 | $642 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | — | $411 | $411 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| unranked | 40 | $1.8K | $3.3K | $1.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +8,051 | $2,818 | $2,818 | 1 | 06-07 01:06 |
| Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | No | +3,000 | $1,050 | $1,050 | 1 | 06-10 13:35 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +2,778 | $969 | $969 | 10 | 06-14 11:19 |
| Buzzing-Musculature 0x0894…d819 | Yes | +2,044 | $1,257 | $1,257 | 7 | 06-07 01:06 |
| Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | No | +1,433 | $520 | $2,070 | 8 | 06-08 00:16 |
| Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | +800 | $306 | $466 | 8 | 06-02 21:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x80d5…7344 | Yes | +746 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-03 00:23 |
| Bewitched-Future 0x753f…89b2 | Yes | +742 | $454 | $454 | 1 | 06-02 08:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +717 | $280 | $280 | 1 | 05-29 15:33 |
| Scholarly-Spume 0x9e49…d3d8 | Yes | +625 | $394 | $394 | 1 | 06-02 11:38 |
| Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | +548 | $197 | $541 | 5 | 06-13 10:08 |
| Portly-Postbox 0x3cde…41d0 | No | +500 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 06-02 11:28 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +384 | $133 | $205 | 11 | 06-12 16:31 |
| Pink-Orator 0xcf56…cc12 | No | +286 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 06-09 09:11 |
| Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | +223 | $85 | $891 | 14 | 06-10 19:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9afe…9386 | Yes | +200 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 06-05 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xec92…d677 | Yes | +200 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 06-10 05:15 |
| Black-And-White-Happening 0xc4da…5fa1 | Yes | +200 | $128 | $128 | 2 | 06-02 12:21 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +200 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-05 06:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0e3…e146 | Yes | +152 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 06-13 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xae78…acaf | No | +140 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-13 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8332…b8a5 | Yes | +110 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-12 16:31 |
| Meek-Misplacement 0xf5d8…5796 | Yes | +85 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-10 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x091f…9dff | No | +83 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-13 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xe86b…8357 | No | +60 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-10 13:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | +33 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-06 08:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x925a…f115 | No | +26 | $8 | $60 | 2 | 06-05 04:28 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +13 | $4 | $35 | 10 | 06-11 11:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x15e2…5985 | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 13:37 |
| Practical-Endpoint 0x4d35…31d7 | No | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-03 14:09 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 22:57 |
| Unsung-Pamphlet 0xe9cd…2edd | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-04 21:50 |
| Triangular-Blackberry 0x6137…171e | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 14:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 11:19:48 | Unhealthy-Hepatitis 0x4fc1…8360 | No | SELL | 278 | 34¢ | $94 | 0x204abb… |
| 06-14 11:19:48 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 278 | 34¢ | $94 | 0x204abb… |
| 06-13 10:08:40 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 278 | 36¢ | $100 | 0x8baf76… |
| 06-13 10:08:40 | Unhealthy-Hepatitis 0x4fc1…8360 | No | BUY | 278 | 36¢ | $100 | 0x8baf76… |
| 06-13 09:15:09 | (anonymous) 0x423b…c120 | No | SELL | 50 | 35¢ | $18 | 0xa523b4… |
| 06-13 09:15:09 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 90 | 36¢ | $32 | 0xa523b4… |
| 06-13 09:15:09 | (anonymous) 0xae78…acaf | No | BUY | 140 | 36¢ | $50 | 0xa523b4… |
| 06-13 09:15:07 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 83 | 36¢ | $30 | 0x18063b… |
| 06-13 09:15:07 | (anonymous) 0xe0e3…e146 | Yes | BUY | 152 | 66¢ | $101 | 0x11523f… |
| 06-13 09:15:07 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 152 | 34¢ | $52 | 0x11523f… |
| 06-13 09:15:07 | (anonymous) 0x091f…9dff | No | BUY | 83 | 36¢ | $30 | 0x18063b… |
| 06-13 05:03:12 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 400 | 34¢ | $136 | 0xc81e0a… |
| 06-13 05:03:12 | (anonymous) 0xcd08…80ac | No | SELL | 400 | 34¢ | $136 | 0xc81e0a… |
| 06-12 18:17:01 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 72 | 34¢ | $24 | 0xd546e5… |
| 06-12 18:17:01 | (anonymous) 0xe2cd…6d57 | No | SELL | 72 | 34¢ | $24 | 0xd546e5… |
| 06-12 16:31:51 | (anonymous) 0x8332…b8a5 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 65¢ | $72 | 0x616eb6… |
| 06-12 16:31:51 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 100 | 35¢ | $35 | 0x616eb6… |
| 06-12 16:31:51 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 65¢ | $7 | 0x616eb6… |
| 06-12 15:51:49 | (anonymous) 0x9e85…c559 | Yes | SELL | 106 | 64¢ | $68 | 0x9ef190… |
| 06-12 15:51:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 80 | 36¢ | $29 | 0x9ef190… |
| 06-12 15:51:49 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 26 | 36¢ | $9 | 0x9ef190… |
| 06-12 10:53:27 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 300 | 35¢ | $105 | 0x3b2922… |
| 06-12 10:53:27 | (anonymous) 0x49a8…7153 | No | SELL | 300 | 35¢ | $105 | 0x3b2922… |
| 06-11 11:06:04 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 11 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x294e5c… |
| 06-11 11:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x792b…0775 | No | SELL | 11 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x294e5c… |
| 06-11 11:04:13 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x40d4b3… |
| 06-11 11:04:13 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x40d4b3… |
| 06-11 11:04:13 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 100 | 35¢ | $35 | 0x40d4b3… |
| 06-11 11:04:13 | (anonymous) 0xd199…0d3b | No | SELL | 200 | 35¢ | $69 | 0x40d4b3… |
| 06-11 11:04:13 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 85 | 34¢ | $29 | 0x40d4b3… |
| 06-10 19:14:37 | (anonymous) 0x3d0a…0450 | No | SELL | 13 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xfbc240… |
| 06-10 19:14:37 | Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | BUY | 13 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xfbc240… |
| 06-10 13:37:07 | (anonymous) 0x15e2…5985 | No | BUY | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x730f6d… |
| 06-10 13:37:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x730f6d… |
| 06-10 13:36:19 | Healthy-Designer 0x2f63…f247 | No | SELL | 590 | 35¢ | $206 | 0xb3ee4d… |
| 06-10 13:36:19 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 590 | 35¢ | $206 | 0xb3ee4d… |
| 06-10 13:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x3d0a…0450 | No | BUY | 13 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x26cb8a… |
| 06-10 13:35:58 | Healthy-Designer 0x2f63…f247 | No | SELL | 13 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x26cb8a… |
| 06-10 13:35:37 | Healthy-Designer 0x2f63…f247 | No | SELL | 4,063 | 35¢ | $1,431 | 0x2e625c… |
| 06-10 13:35:37 | (anonymous) 0xe86b…8357 | No | BUY | 60 | 35¢ | $21 | 0x2e625c… |
| 06-10 13:35:37 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 800 | 36¢ | $288 | 0x2e625c… |
| 06-10 13:35:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 35¢ | $28 | 0x2e625c… |
| 06-10 13:35:37 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x2e625c… |
| 06-10 13:35:37 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 100 | 36¢ | $36 | 0x2e625c… |
| 06-10 13:35:37 | Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | No | BUY | 3,000 | 35¢ | $1,050 | 0x2e625c… |
| 06-10 13:35:37 | Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x2e625c… |
| 06-10 06:16:09 | Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | BUY | 85 | 36¢ | $31 | 0x4fe91a… |
| 06-10 06:16:09 | Meek-Misplacement 0xf5d8…5796 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 64¢ | $54 | 0x4fe91a… |
| 06-10 05:15:31 | (anonymous) 0xec92…d677 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 64¢ | $128 | 0x5956a5… |
| 06-10 05:15:31 | Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | BUY | 122 | 36¢ | $44 | 0x5956a5… |
| 06-10 05:15:31 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 78 | 64¢ | $50 | 0x5956a5… |
| 06-09 14:28:07 | (anonymous) 0x699c…4bce | Yes | SELL | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xf5d4c1… |
| 06-09 14:28:07 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xf5d4c1… |
| 06-09 14:20:25 | (anonymous) 0x699c…4bce | Yes | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x60b151… |
| 06-09 14:20:25 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x60b151… |
| 06-09 09:59:03 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 323 | 61¢ | $197 | 0x928fad… |
| 06-09 09:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xda38…fb7f | Yes | SELL | 323 | 61¢ | $197 | 0x928fad… |
| 06-09 09:11:43 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 286 | 61¢ | $174 | 0x78c6ad… |
| 06-09 09:11:43 | Pink-Orator 0xcf56…cc12 | No | BUY | 286 | 39¢ | $111 | 0x78c6ad… |
| 06-08 07:27:54 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 35 | 64¢ | $22 | 0x34dc65… |
| 06-08 07:27:54 | (anonymous) 0xb8a5…671d | No | SELL | 35 | 36¢ | $12 | 0x34dc65… |
| 06-08 00:29:13 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 136 | 61¢ | $83 | 0x84896f… |
| 06-08 00:29:13 | (anonymous) 0xdc2e…a2d3 | Yes | SELL | 136 | 61¢ | $83 | 0x84896f… |
| 06-08 00:25:24 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 61¢ | $77 | 0x52c87a… |
| 06-08 00:25:24 | (anonymous) 0xa0ff…b6f8 | Yes | SELL | 126 | 61¢ | $77 | 0x52c87a… |
| 06-08 00:19:01 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 61¢ | $53 | 0xe7560f… |
| 06-08 00:19:01 | (anonymous) 0xea17…a518 | Yes | SELL | 88 | 61¢ | $53 | 0xe7560f… |
| 06-08 00:16:51 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 64¢ | $0 | 0x2b4494… |
| 06-08 00:16:51 | Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | No | SELL | 0 | 36¢ | $0 | 0x2b4494… |
| 06-08 00:16:49 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 61¢ | $6 | 0xd45341… |
| 06-08 00:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x07c2…3fe9 | Yes | SELL | 71 | 62¢ | $44 | 0xd45341… |
| 06-08 00:16:49 | Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | No | SELL | 1 | 38¢ | $0 | 0xd45341… |
| 06-08 00:16:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 36 | 38¢ | $14 | 0xd45341… |
| 06-08 00:16:49 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 15 | 39¢ | $6 | 0xd45341… |
| 06-08 00:14:25 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xc2a024… |
| 06-08 00:14:25 | (anonymous) 0x3a4a…eb1b | Yes | SELL | 58 | 62¢ | $36 | 0x19db95… |
| 06-08 00:14:25 | Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | No | SELL | 58 | 38¢ | $22 | 0x19db95… |
| 06-08 00:14:25 | Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | No | SELL | 2 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xc2a024… |
| 06-07 23:48:54 | Grimy-Chestnut 0xe038…53f5 | No | SELL | 194 | 36¢ | $70 | 0x49eec4… |
| 06-07 23:48:54 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 184 | 64¢ | $118 | 0x49eec4… |
| 06-07 23:48:54 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x49eec4… |
| 06-07 14:20:45 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 19 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xcb1aa0… |
| 06-07 14:20:45 | Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | No | SELL | 19 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xcb1aa0… |
| 06-07 14:20:42 | Reflecting-Clamp 0x3c1e…9514 | Yes | SELL | 614 | 62¢ | $381 | 0x3b3912… |
| 06-07 14:20:42 | Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | No | SELL | 614 | 38¢ | $233 | 0x3b3912… |
| 06-07 11:19:06 | (anonymous) 0x4471…19ff | Yes | SELL | 1,038 | 63¢ | $654 | 0xc46866… |
| 06-07 11:19:06 | Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | SELL | 375 | 36¢ | $135 | 0xc46866… |
| 06-07 11:19:06 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 300 | 63¢ | $189 | 0xc46866… |
| 06-07 11:19:06 | Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | No | SELL | 363 | 38¢ | $138 | 0xc46866… |
| 06-07 10:03:09 | (anonymous) 0xb8a5…671d | No | BUY | 35 | 36¢ | $12 | 0x3753e7… |
| 06-07 10:03:09 | Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | SELL | 35 | 36¢ | $12 | 0x3753e7… |
| 06-07 05:25:22 | Vengeful-Rhythm 0x8a2e…d3ca | Yes | SELL | 15 | 64¢ | $10 | 0x2dbde2… |
| 06-07 05:25:22 | Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | SELL | 15 | 36¢ | $5 | 0x2dbde2… |
| 06-07 01:06:22 | (anonymous) 0xee63…d18d | No | SELL | 35 | 34¢ | $12 | 0x78a22d… |
| 06-07 01:06:22 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 35 | 34¢ | $12 | 0x78a22d… |
| 06-07 01:06:21 | Buzzing-Musculature 0x0894…d819 | Yes | BUY | 393 | 65¢ | $255 | 0x19b7d8… |
| 06-07 01:06:21 | Uncomfortable-Tenet 0x5bff…ffbe | No | SELL | 7,659 | 35¢ | $2,680 | 0x19b7d8… |
| 06-07 01:06:21 | (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | BUY | 8,051 | 35¢ | $2,818 | 0x19b7d8… |
| 06-06 22:25:07 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xcfc40b… |
| 06-06 22:25:07 | Vengeful-Rhythm 0x8a2e…d3ca | Yes | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xcfc40b… |