Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$120,461
$398 in 24h
Trades
926
Unique wallets
227
Liquidity
$55,687
Latest YES mid
68¢
Latest NO mid
32¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-17 16:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.7¢
(top1%: 50% YES on $3.1K
vs crowd: 64% YES on $58.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 21 | $3.2K | $7.0K | $3.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 48 | $25.5K | $10.0K | +$15.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 61 | $3.7K | $3.2K | +$549 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 97 | $4.5K | $887 | +$3.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$2 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 22 | $26.3K | $6.6K | +$19.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $1.6K | $378 | +$1.2K |
| Median | 23 | $634 | $995 | $361 |
| Below median | 25 | $405 | $1.9K | $1.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | — | $867 | $867 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $154 | $707 | $552 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $321 | $1.9K | $1.6K |
| unranked | 103 | $6.0K | $6.2K | $139 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +32,674 | $23,171 | $26,271 | 24 | 08-10 09:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +8,051 | $2,818 | $2,818 | 1 | 06-07 01:06 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +7,029 | $2,055 | $2,055 | 33 | 08-10 05:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +5,599 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 2 | 07-01 17:55 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +5,000 | $1,850 | $1,850 | 3 | 06-17 01:43 |
| Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | +3,809 | $1,556 | $1,556 | 4 | 08-02 23:40 |
| Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | No | +3,000 | $1,050 | $1,050 | 1 | 06-10 13:35 |
| Biodegradable-Kiosk 0x6978…08d8 | No | +2,500 | $975 | $975 | 2 | 07-31 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x7be6…26a6 | Yes | +2,000 | $1,540 | $1,540 | 1 | 07-15 11:19 |
| Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | No | +1,433 | $520 | $2,070 | 8 | 06-08 00:16 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +1,000 | $330 | $330 | 1 | 07-20 18:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | +955 | $243 | $243 | 4 | 07-12 11:43 |
| Spicy-Academics 0x09ee…90a4 | No | +800 | $320 | $320 | 1 | 07-31 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x80d5…7344 | Yes | +746 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-03 00:23 |
| Bewitched-Future 0x753f…89b2 | Yes | +742 | $454 | $454 | 1 | 06-02 08:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5a4…8044 | Yes | +716 | $518 | $536 | 6 | 07-31 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x527f…0ae5 | Yes | +670 | $456 | $456 | 2 | 07-20 18:05 |
| Scholarly-Spume 0x9e49…d3d8 | Yes | +625 | $394 | $394 | 1 | 06-02 11:38 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | No | +595 | $148 | $148 | 6 | 07-09 12:13 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +593 | $149 | $697 | 33 | 08-04 09:48 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +553 | $183 | $226 | 59 | 08-17 08:54 |
| Helpless-Sandwich 0x6452…30a1 | No | +509 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 08-17 15:50 |
| Portly-Postbox 0x3cde…41d0 | No | +500 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 06-02 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +500 | $163 | $163 | 1 | 07-23 10:24 |
| Silly-Redhead 0x59f7…bf7f | Yes | +432 | $272 | $272 | 1 | 06-17 01:43 |
| Scratchy-Saxophone 0xc544…c5ab | Yes | +392 | $185 | $974 | 2 | 08-10 09:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x7109…9308 | Yes | +355 | $217 | $217 | 1 | 08-07 02:38 |
| Pesky-Discovery 0x6da8…ec45 | Yes | +341 | $230 | $230 | 1 | 06-17 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x59a0…6f0b | No | +310 | $102 | $102 | 2 | 07-23 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | +291 | $93 | $93 | 3 | 07-30 13:09 |
| Pink-Orator 0xcf56…cc12 | No | +286 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 06-09 09:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x197f…4980 | No | +250 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 08-03 09:39 |
| Tricky-Linkage 0xea5b…0e03 | Yes | +220 | $132 | $132 | 1 | 08-11 03:03 |
| Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | +213 | $82 | $895 | 15 | 06-17 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x79d4…6d24 | No | +201 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 07-10 00:24 |
| Black-And-White-Happening 0xc4da…5fa1 | Yes | +200 | $128 | $128 | 2 | 06-02 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xec92…d677 | Yes | +200 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 06-10 05:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0b…e3a8 | No | +195 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 08-03 11:46 |
| Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | +186 | $67 | $1,015 | 25 | 07-31 05:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c0f…dc63 | Yes | +170 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 08-17 15:50 |
| Productive-Cappelletti 0xc68f…85ad | Yes | +167 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 08-13 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f10…1d95 | Yes | +159 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 08-10 05:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcda…f2a6 | Yes | +157 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-30 13:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0e3…e146 | Yes | +152 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 06-13 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2e8…46c5 | No | +120 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-01 08:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x8332…b8a5 | Yes | +120 | $78 | $78 | 3 | 06-30 08:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb263…6484 | No | +113 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 07-24 18:02 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +100 | $64 | $578 | 29 | 08-17 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x93d2…49ce | Yes | +100 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 08-10 09:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 16:02:25 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 59¢ | $30 | 0x66efe8… |
| 08-17 16:02:25 | (anonymous) 0x5fbf…4953 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 59¢ | $13 | 0x66efe8… |
| 08-17 16:02:25 | Exhausted-Top 0x30f8…b824 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 59¢ | $17 | 0x66efe8… |
| 08-17 15:50:48 | Exhausted-Top 0x30f8…b824 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 59¢ | $13 | 0x589254… |
| 08-17 15:50:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x589254… |
| 08-17 15:50:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 60¢ | $36 | 0x589254… |
| 08-17 15:50:48 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 60¢ | $18 | 0x589254… |
| 08-17 15:50:22 | (anonymous) 0x94cc…1df5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 61¢ | $61 | 0x21b83f… |
| 08-17 15:50:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 92 | 60¢ | $55 | 0x21b83f… |
| 08-17 15:50:22 | (anonymous) 0x8c0f…dc63 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 61¢ | $104 | 0x21b83f… |
| 08-17 15:50:22 | Helpless-Sandwich 0x6452…30a1 | No | BUY | 509 | 39¢ | $200 | 0x21b83f… |
| 08-17 15:50:22 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x21b83f… |
| 08-17 15:50:22 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 61¢ | $37 | 0x21b83f… |
| 08-17 15:50:22 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x21b83f… |
| 08-17 08:54:16 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | SELL | 9 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x36f188… |
| 08-17 08:54:16 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 4 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x36f188… |
| 08-13 23:24:33 | (anonymous) 0xbbbb…9336 | No | SELL | 22 | 37¢ | $8 | 0x348fce… |
| 08-13 23:24:33 | Dual-Invader 0x10ad…827c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 63¢ | $14 | 0x348fce… |
| 08-13 14:32:27 | Dual-Invader 0x10ad…827c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 63¢ | $19 | 0xb60df0… |
| 08-13 14:32:27 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 37¢ | $11 | 0xb60df0… |
| 08-13 14:32:19 | Productive-Cappelletti 0xc68f…85ad | Yes | BUY | 167 | 62¢ | $103 | 0x50878e… |
| 08-13 14:32:19 | (anonymous) 0x94cc…1df5 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 62¢ | $59 | 0x50878e… |
| 08-13 14:32:19 | (anonymous) 0xbbbb…9336 | No | BUY | 22 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x50878e… |
| 08-13 14:32:19 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x50878e… |
| 08-13 14:32:19 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x50878e… |
| 08-12 15:07:51 | Gummy-Yang 0x53f8…5ce0 | No | SELL | 12 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x9b1390… |
| 08-12 15:07:51 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 12 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x9b1390… |
| 08-11 03:03:55 | Tricky-Linkage 0xea5b…0e03 | Yes | BUY | 220 | 60¢ | $132 | 0x13bf0e… |
| 08-11 03:03:55 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0x13bf0e… |
| 08-11 03:03:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0x13bf0e… |
| 08-11 03:03:55 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x13bf0e… |
| 08-10 09:18:06 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 150 | 43¢ | $64 | 0x8d55d8… |
| 08-10 09:18:06 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 57¢ | $85 | 0x8d55d8… |
| 08-10 09:18:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xdcd46f… |
| 08-10 09:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x0afc…d99c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xdcd46f… |
| 08-10 09:18:00 | Scratchy-Saxophone 0xc544…c5ab | Yes | BUY | 999 | 58¢ | $579 | 0xa69cc8… |
| 08-10 09:18:00 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 58¢ | $1,740 | 0xa69cc8… |
| 08-10 09:18:00 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 2,248 | 43¢ | $967 | 0xa69cc8… |
| 08-10 09:18:00 | (anonymous) 0x40a9…721f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0xa69cc8… |
| 08-10 09:18:00 | (anonymous) 0xfb8b…eb0b | No | SELL | 200 | 41¢ | $82 | 0xa69cc8… |
| 08-10 09:18:00 | Fatal-Milkshake 0xff64…3d67 | No | SELL | 2,000 | 41¢ | $820 | 0xa69cc8… |
| 08-10 09:18:00 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 59¢ | $88 | 0xa69cc8… |
| 08-10 09:18:00 | (anonymous) 0x82d5…41ae | Yes | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0xa69cc8… |
| 08-10 09:18:00 | Failing-Challenge 0x7eb8…902a | Yes | SELL | 9,024 | 58¢ | $5,240 | 0xa69cc8… |
| 08-10 09:18:00 | (anonymous) 0x93d2…49ce | Yes | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0xa69cc8… |
| 08-10 09:18:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0xa69cc8… |
| 08-10 05:48:04 | (anonymous) 0x3f10…1d95 | Yes | BUY | 159 | 62¢ | $99 | 0xd504fe… |
| 08-10 05:48:04 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 1 | 38¢ | $0 | 0xd504fe… |
| 08-10 05:48:04 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 153 | 38¢ | $58 | 0xd504fe… |
| 08-07 02:38:43 | (anonymous) 0x7109…9308 | Yes | BUY | 355 | 61¢ | $217 | 0x6cbf59… |
| 08-07 02:38:43 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 25 | 39¢ | $10 | 0x6cbf59… |
| 08-07 02:38:43 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 300 | 39¢ | $117 | 0x6cbf59… |
| 08-07 02:38:43 | Chilly-Siding 0xcfde…4006 | No | BUY | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0x6cbf59… |
| 08-06 01:12:05 | Gummy-Yang 0x53f8…5ce0 | No | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x955c16… |
| 08-06 01:12:05 | Fatal-Milkshake 0xff64…3d67 | No | SELL | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x955c16… |
| 08-04 09:48:27 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 100 | 40¢ | $40 | 0x4fa159… |
| 08-04 09:48:27 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 100 | 40¢ | $40 | 0x4fa159… |
| 08-03 11:46:57 | (anonymous) 0xbc0b…e3a8 | No | BUY | 195 | 41¢ | $80 | 0x46b0d7… |
| 08-03 11:46:57 | Fatal-Milkshake 0xff64…3d67 | No | SELL | 195 | 41¢ | $80 | 0x46b0d7… |
| 08-03 09:41:32 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x590612… |
| 08-03 09:41:32 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x590612… |
| 08-03 09:39:26 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xbe604e… |
| 08-03 09:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x197f…4980 | No | BUY | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0xbe604e… |
| 08-03 09:39:26 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | SELL | 98 | 40¢ | $39 | 0xbe604e… |
| 08-02 23:40:29 | (anonymous) 0x6e24…e20c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xd81972… |
| 08-02 23:40:29 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xd81972… |
| 08-02 23:40:21 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 1,691 | 59¢ | $998 | 0x344534… |
| 08-02 23:40:21 | Fatal-Milkshake 0xff64…3d67 | No | SELL | 714 | 41¢ | $293 | 0x344534… |
| 08-02 23:40:21 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 2,405 | 41¢ | $986 | 0x344534… |
| 08-01 13:00:45 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 59¢ | $19 | 0xcff871… |
| 08-01 13:00:45 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 59¢ | $19 | 0xcff871… |
| 08-01 12:50:12 | Stylish-Isolation 0x8c46…ae13 | Yes | SELL | 529 | 59¢ | $312 | 0x824a2d… |
| 08-01 12:50:12 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 529 | 59¢ | $312 | 0x824a2d… |
| 07-31 18:56:35 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 928 | 41¢ | $380 | 0xeb2b04… |
| 07-31 18:56:35 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 748 | 59¢ | $441 | 0xeb2b04… |
| 07-31 18:56:35 | (anonymous) 0xc5a4…8044 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 59¢ | $88 | 0xeb2b04… |
| 07-31 15:50:59 | Biodegradable-Kiosk 0x6978…08d8 | No | BUY | 2,475 | 39¢ | $965 | 0x7273cb… |
| 07-31 15:50:59 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 35 | 39¢ | $14 | 0x7273cb… |
| 07-31 15:50:59 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 2,510 | 61¢ | $1,531 | 0x7273cb… |
| 07-31 15:50:56 | Biodegradable-Kiosk 0x6978…08d8 | No | BUY | 25 | 39¢ | $10 | 0x5588e6… |
| 07-31 15:50:56 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x5588e6… |
| 07-31 15:50:56 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | SELL | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0x5588e6… |
| 07-31 15:50:53 | (anonymous) 0x197f…4980 | No | BUY | 200 | 40¢ | $80 | 0xf25cdc… |
| 07-31 15:50:53 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | BUY | 30 | 40¢ | $12 | 0xf25cdc… |
| 07-31 15:50:53 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 1,060 | 60¢ | $636 | 0xf25cdc… |
| 07-31 15:50:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0xf25cdc… |
| 07-31 15:50:53 | Spicy-Academics 0x09ee…90a4 | No | BUY | 800 | 40¢ | $320 | 0xf25cdc… |
| 07-31 05:54:09 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | SELL | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x6c9091… |
| 07-31 05:54:09 | Warm-Slash 0x4b3c…2688 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 58¢ | $9 | 0x6c9091… |
| 07-31 05:54:09 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 13 | 42¢ | $6 | 0x6c9091… |
| 07-30 22:47:17 | Aggravating-Ziggurat 0x3c4f…b2be | Yes | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x92a97c… |
| 07-30 22:47:17 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x92a97c… |
| 07-30 22:46:47 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 61¢ | $20 | 0xe74f26… |
| 07-30 22:46:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 61¢ | $14 | 0xe74f26… |
| 07-30 22:46:47 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xe74f26… |
| 07-30 16:40:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 61¢ | $15 | 0xb97279… |
| 07-30 16:40:21 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xb97279… |
| 07-30 16:40:21 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0xb97279… |
| 07-30 15:09:35 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | SELL | 198 | 42¢ | $83 | 0x311677… |
| 07-30 15:09:35 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 228 | 42¢ | $95 | 0x311677… |