Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$99,832
$398 in 24h
Trades
798
Unique wallets
190
Liquidity
$55,687
Latest YES mid
68¢
Latest NO mid
32¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-27 16:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.4¢
(top1%: 50% YES on $3.1K
vs crowd: 63% YES on $46.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $3.0K | $5.8K | $2.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 41 | $19.6K | $8.8K | +$10.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 54 | $3.4K | $2.1K | +$1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 77 | $3.1K | $694 | +$2.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $1.6K | $1.5K | +$19 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 23 | $20.6K | $6.4K | +$14.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $1.6K | $47 | +$1.5K |
| Median | 18 | $7 | $17 | $10 |
| Below median | 21 | $312 | $1.8K | $1.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | — | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $116 | $573 | $457 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $172 | $1.7K | $1.5K |
| unranked | 82 | $4.8K | $4.3K | +$522 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +23,074 | $17,476 | $20,575 | 16 | 07-15 11:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +8,051 | $2,818 | $2,818 | 1 | 06-07 01:06 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +6,476 | $1,840 | $1,840 | 30 | 07-20 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +5,599 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 2 | 07-01 17:55 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +5,000 | $1,850 | $1,850 | 3 | 06-17 01:43 |
| Fatal-Milkshake 0xff64…3d67 | No | +3,400 | $812 | $812 | 2 | 07-10 15:44 |
| Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | No | +3,000 | $1,050 | $1,050 | 1 | 06-10 13:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x7be6…26a6 | Yes | +2,000 | $1,540 | $1,540 | 1 | 07-15 11:19 |
| Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | No | +1,433 | $520 | $2,070 | 8 | 06-08 00:16 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +1,000 | $330 | $330 | 1 | 07-20 18:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | +955 | $243 | $243 | 4 | 07-12 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x80d5…7344 | Yes | +746 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-03 00:23 |
| Bewitched-Future 0x753f…89b2 | Yes | +742 | $454 | $454 | 1 | 06-02 08:55 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +706 | $195 | $651 | 31 | 07-27 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x527f…0ae5 | Yes | +670 | $456 | $456 | 2 | 07-20 18:05 |
| Scholarly-Spume 0x9e49…d3d8 | Yes | +625 | $394 | $394 | 1 | 06-02 11:38 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | No | +595 | $148 | $148 | 6 | 07-09 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5a4…8044 | Yes | +566 | $430 | $447 | 5 | 07-15 13:55 |
| Portly-Postbox 0x3cde…41d0 | No | +500 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 06-02 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +500 | $163 | $163 | 1 | 07-23 10:24 |
| Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | +486 | $189 | $893 | 22 | 07-27 16:34 |
| Silly-Redhead 0x59f7…bf7f | Yes | +432 | $272 | $272 | 1 | 06-17 01:43 |
| Pesky-Discovery 0x6da8…ec45 | Yes | +341 | $230 | $230 | 1 | 06-17 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x59a0…6f0b | No | +310 | $102 | $102 | 2 | 07-23 17:53 |
| Pink-Orator 0xcf56…cc12 | No | +286 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 06-09 09:11 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +232 | $60 | $102 | 32 | 07-27 16:34 |
| Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | +213 | $82 | $895 | 15 | 06-17 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | +207 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 07-25 04:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x79d4…6d24 | No | +201 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 07-10 00:24 |
| Black-And-White-Happening 0xc4da…5fa1 | Yes | +200 | $128 | $128 | 2 | 06-02 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xec92…d677 | Yes | +200 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 06-10 05:15 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +200 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-05 06:24 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +183 | $124 | $221 | 20 | 07-27 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0e3…e146 | Yes | +152 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 06-13 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2e8…46c5 | No | +120 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-01 08:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x8332…b8a5 | Yes | +120 | $78 | $78 | 3 | 06-30 08:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb263…6484 | No | +113 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 07-24 18:02 |
| Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | Yes | +100 | $67 | $67 | 2 | 07-23 17:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9afe…9386 | Yes | +100 | $56 | $204 | 2 | 07-07 02:15 |
| Meek-Misplacement 0xf5d8…5796 | Yes | +85 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-10 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | +79 | $52 | $52 | 12 | 07-27 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe86b…8357 | No | +60 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-10 13:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 16:40:07 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 64¢ | $26 | 0x9c8bd9… |
| 07-27 16:40:07 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 40 | 36¢ | $14 | 0x9c8bd9… |
| 07-27 16:34:13 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x03eae6… |
| 07-27 16:34:13 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 4 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x03eae6… |
| 07-27 16:34:13 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 26 | 36¢ | $9 | 0x03eae6… |
| 07-27 16:34:09 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 65¢ | $19 | 0xea15e0… |
| 07-27 16:34:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 65¢ | $19 | 0xea15e0… |
| 07-27 16:34:09 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 1 | 36¢ | $0 | 0xea15e0… |
| 07-27 16:34:07 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 65¢ | $26 | 0x40b595… |
| 07-27 16:34:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 65¢ | $26 | 0x40b595… |
| 07-27 16:34:07 | (anonymous) 0x798b…cdd1 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 65¢ | $261 | 0x40b595… |
| 07-27 16:34:07 | (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 66¢ | $17 | 0x40b595… |
| 07-27 16:34:07 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | SELL | 133 | 35¢ | $47 | 0x40b595… |
| 07-27 16:34:07 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 65¢ | $20 | 0x40b595… |
| 07-27 16:34:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x40b595… |
| 07-27 16:34:07 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 100 | 35¢ | $35 | 0x40b595… |
| 07-27 03:49:16 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | SELL | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x474337… |
| 07-27 03:49:16 | Dreary-Criticism 0x3853…9b0a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x474337… |
| 07-26 17:57:40 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | SELL | 50 | 35¢ | $18 | 0x25455e… |
| 07-26 17:57:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 65¢ | $32 | 0x25455e… |
| 07-26 17:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x798b…cdd1 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 66¢ | $99 | 0xb9fe18… |
| 07-26 17:57:36 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 66¢ | $33 | 0xb9fe18… |
| 07-26 17:57:36 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 100 | 34¢ | $34 | 0xb9fe18… |
| 07-26 11:13:22 | (anonymous) 0x4458…d230 | No | SELL | 26 | 33¢ | $9 | 0xd1cbaf… |
| 07-26 11:13:22 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 67¢ | $17 | 0xd1cbaf… |
| 07-26 05:43:09 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | SELL | 100 | 34¢ | $34 | 0xa415ad… |
| 07-26 05:43:09 | Dual-Invader 0x10ad…827c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 66¢ | $66 | 0xa415ad… |
| 07-25 15:26:37 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 67¢ | $15 | 0xde5673… |
| 07-25 15:26:37 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 22 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xde5673… |
| 07-25 04:35:25 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 78 | 33¢ | $26 | 0xd8fc4f… |
| 07-25 04:35:25 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 78 | 33¢ | $26 | 0xd8fc4f… |
| 07-24 18:02:46 | (anonymous) 0x83fd…cad0 | No | SELL | 133 | 31¢ | $41 | 0xd9e4c2… |
| 07-24 18:02:46 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xd9e4c2… |
| 07-24 18:02:46 | (anonymous) 0xb263…6484 | No | BUY | 113 | 31¢ | $35 | 0xd9e4c2… |
| 07-23 17:53:27 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | SELL | 18 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x5b5445… |
| 07-23 17:53:27 | (anonymous) 0x59a0…6f0b | No | BUY | 18 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x5b5445… |
| 07-23 17:47:04 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | SELL | 82 | 33¢ | $27 | 0xdd2993… |
| 07-23 17:47:04 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xdd2993… |
| 07-23 17:47:04 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 200 | 33¢ | $66 | 0xdd2993… |
| 07-23 17:47:04 | (anonymous) 0x59a0…6f0b | No | BUY | 292 | 33¢ | $96 | 0xdd2993… |
| 07-23 10:24:19 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xb93c3c… |
| 07-23 10:24:19 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 500 | 33¢ | $163 | 0xb93c3c… |
| 07-23 10:24:19 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 245 | 33¢ | $81 | 0xb93c3c… |
| 07-23 10:24:19 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | SELL | 159 | 32¢ | $51 | 0xb93c3c… |
| 07-23 10:24:19 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 67¢ | $60 | 0xb93c3c… |
| 07-22 14:08:42 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 53 | 32¢ | $17 | 0xeb7429… |
| 07-22 14:08:42 | Gigantic-Knifeedge 0x41c7…c8fb | Yes | SELL | 53 | 68¢ | $36 | 0xeb7429… |
| 07-20 22:56:34 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 100 | 33¢ | $33 | 0x331207… |
| 07-20 22:56:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Bonsai 0x5d59…bdf3 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 67¢ | $67 | 0x331207… |
| 07-20 18:05:51 | (anonymous) 0x527f…0ae5 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 67¢ | $201 | 0xef79cd… |
| 07-20 18:05:51 | Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | BUY | 1,000 | 33¢ | $330 | 0xef79cd… |
| 07-20 18:05:51 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 450 | 33¢ | $149 | 0xef79cd… |
| 07-20 18:05:51 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | SELL | 250 | 33¢ | $82 | 0xef79cd… |
| 07-20 13:33:07 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | SELL | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x537587… |
| 07-20 13:33:07 | (anonymous) 0x82f3…5cd4 | No | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x537587… |
| 07-20 13:30:00 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | SELL | 17 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x702a4f… |
| 07-20 13:30:00 | (anonymous) 0x4458…d230 | No | BUY | 17 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x702a4f… |
| 07-20 13:25:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 68¢ | $6 | 0xf5a332… |
| 07-20 13:25:06 | (anonymous) 0x4458…d230 | No | BUY | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xf5a332… |
| 07-20 04:32:54 | (anonymous) 0x81f0…8b09 | No | SELL | 14 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x40cea8… |
| 07-20 04:32:54 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x40cea8… |
| 07-20 03:24:07 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 71 | 29¢ | $21 | 0x2af3ec… |
| 07-20 03:24:07 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 271 | 29¢ | $80 | 0x2af3ec… |
| 07-20 03:24:07 | Kaleidoscopic-Bonsai 0x5d59…bdf3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 71¢ | $71 | 0x2af3ec… |
| 07-20 03:24:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 70¢ | $70 | 0x2af3ec… |
| 07-19 23:37:06 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 129 | 29¢ | $37 | 0xa8b50b… |
| 07-19 23:37:06 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 129 | 29¢ | $37 | 0xa8b50b… |
| 07-19 08:21:28 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 149 | 26¢ | $39 | 0xa5c266… |
| 07-19 08:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x81f0…8b09 | No | BUY | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xe0ad5a… |
| 07-19 08:21:28 | Mad-Sherry-Facelift 0x82f2…b5e8 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0xa5c266… |
| 07-19 08:21:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0xe0ad5a… |
| 07-19 08:21:28 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 119 | 74¢ | $88 | 0xa5c266… |
| 07-19 07:40:57 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 181 | 74¢ | $134 | 0x7ce897… |
| 07-19 07:40:57 | Stylish-Isolation 0x8c46…ae13 | Yes | SELL | 700 | 74¢ | $518 | 0x7ce897… |
| 07-19 07:40:57 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 519 | 26¢ | $135 | 0x7ce897… |
| 07-19 01:02:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 74¢ | $16 | 0x82c12b… |
| 07-19 01:02:16 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 22 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x82c12b… |
| 07-19 01:02:16 | (anonymous) 0x7cbb…8fbd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0xd4aa67… |
| 07-19 01:02:16 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xd4aa67… |
| 07-19 01:02:15 | (anonymous) 0x925a…f115 | No | SELL | 99 | 25¢ | $25 | 0x93c1e6… |
| 07-19 01:02:15 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 53 | 25¢ | $13 | 0x93c1e6… |
| 07-19 01:02:15 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x93c1e6… |
| 07-19 01:02:15 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 75¢ | $16 | 0x93c1e6… |
| 07-19 01:02:15 | Trim-Human 0x1f85…a51b | Yes | SELL | 193 | 75¢ | $145 | 0x93c1e6… |
| 07-18 17:27:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 59 | 24¢ | $14 | 0xb5935e… |
| 07-18 17:27:27 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | BUY | 59 | 24¢ | $14 | 0xb5935e… |
| 07-17 10:12:22 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | BUY | 53 | 24¢ | $13 | 0x48e740… |
| 07-17 10:12:22 | Gigantic-Knifeedge 0x41c7…c8fb | Yes | BUY | 53 | 76¢ | $40 | 0x48e740… |
| 07-17 08:49:07 | (anonymous) 0x925a…f115 | No | SELL | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x3f6485… |
| 07-17 08:49:07 | Gigantic-Knifeedge 0x41c7…c8fb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x3f6485… |
| 07-15 13:55:19 | (anonymous) 0xadac…1e69 | No | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x45b8cd… |
| 07-15 13:55:19 | (anonymous) 0xc5a4…8044 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x45b8cd… |
| 07-15 12:59:43 | (anonymous) 0xc5a4…8044 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x845312… |
| 07-15 12:59:43 | Gigantic-Knifeedge 0x41c7…c8fb | Yes | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x845312… |
| 07-15 11:19:31 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | SELL | 2,013 | 77¢ | $1,550 | 0x000ff0… |
| 07-15 11:19:31 | Daring-Niche 0xf413…68ba | Yes | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0x000ff0… |
| 07-15 11:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x7be6…26a6 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 77¢ | $1,540 | 0x000ff0… |
| 07-14 16:30:08 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | No | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x31745b… |
| 07-14 16:30:08 | Daring-Niche 0xf413…68ba | Yes | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x31745b… |
| 07-14 16:30:05 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x0c2120… |