Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$76,136
$398 in 24h
Trades
602
Unique wallets
146
Liquidity
$55,687
Latest YES mid
75¢
Latest NO mid
25¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-07 01:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.3¢
(top1%: 54% YES on $2.8K
vs crowd: 55% YES on $34.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $1.1K | $4.9K | $3.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $13.3K | $8.7K | +$4.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 41 | $3.0K | $1.3K | +$1.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 60 | $1.2K | $578 | +$634 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$244 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 23 | $12.8K | $5.7K | +$7.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $1.5K | $47 | +$1.5K |
| Median | 14 | $3 | $10 | $7 |
| Below median | 16 | $229 | $1.7K | $1.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | — | $935 | $935 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $45 | $607 | $562 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $47 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| unranked | 56 | $2.4K | $3.5K | $1.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +15,269 | $11,496 | $11,496 | 7 | 07-05 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +8,051 | $2,818 | $2,818 | 1 | 06-07 01:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +5,599 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 2 | 07-01 17:55 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +5,000 | $1,850 | $1,850 | 3 | 06-17 01:43 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +3,978 | $1,267 | $1,267 | 20 | 07-05 23:41 |
| Fatal-Milkshake 0xff64…3d67 | No | +3,000 | $720 | $720 | 1 | 07-05 23:41 |
| Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | No | +3,000 | $1,050 | $1,050 | 1 | 06-10 13:35 |
| Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | No | +1,433 | $520 | $2,070 | 8 | 06-08 00:16 |
| Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | No | +1,300 | $461 | $621 | 12 | 06-26 09:32 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +1,123 | $356 | $428 | 21 | 07-01 08:30 |
| Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | +1,000 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 07-05 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x80d5…7344 | Yes | +746 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-03 00:23 |
| Bewitched-Future 0x753f…89b2 | Yes | +742 | $454 | $454 | 1 | 06-02 08:55 |
| Scholarly-Spume 0x9e49…d3d8 | Yes | +625 | $394 | $394 | 1 | 06-02 11:38 |
| Portly-Postbox 0x3cde…41d0 | No | +500 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 06-02 11:28 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | No | +465 | $117 | $117 | 4 | 07-06 23:14 |
| Silly-Redhead 0x59f7…bf7f | Yes | +432 | $272 | $272 | 1 | 06-17 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x527f…0ae5 | Yes | +370 | $255 | $255 | 1 | 06-26 09:32 |
| Pesky-Discovery 0x6da8…ec45 | Yes | +341 | $230 | $230 | 1 | 06-17 21:10 |
| Pink-Orator 0xcf56…cc12 | No | +286 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 06-09 09:11 |
| Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | +213 | $82 | $895 | 15 | 06-17 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xec92…d677 | Yes | +200 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 06-10 05:15 |
| Black-And-White-Happening 0xc4da…5fa1 | Yes | +200 | $128 | $128 | 2 | 06-02 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9afe…9386 | Yes | +200 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 06-05 04:28 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +200 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-05 06:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0e3…e146 | Yes | +152 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 06-13 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x925a…f115 | No | +126 | $35 | $87 | 6 | 06-30 11:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2e8…46c5 | No | +120 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-01 08:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x8332…b8a5 | Yes | +120 | $78 | $78 | 3 | 06-30 08:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0cf…4b66 | Yes | +114 | $78 | $78 | 8 | 06-26 08:11 |
| Meek-Misplacement 0xf5d8…5796 | Yes | +85 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-10 06:16 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +78 | $21 | $60 | 24 | 07-05 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xe86b…8357 | No | +60 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-10 13:35 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +59 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-30 11:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | +53 | $34 | $34 | 11 | 06-22 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x100b…b67a | No | +50 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 07-01 01:23 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +45 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 07-07 01:18 |
| Dual-Invader 0x10ad…827c | Yes | +29 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-15 19:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-20 09:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 01:18:02 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xc3c419… |
| 07-07 01:18:02 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 75¢ | $34 | 0xc3c419… |
| 07-07 01:18:02 | Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 75¢ | $35 | 0xc3c419… |
| 07-06 23:14:53 | Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | No | BUY | 60 | 25¢ | $15 | 0x9053fc… |
| 07-06 23:14:53 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | SELL | 50 | 25¢ | $12 | 0x9053fc… |
| 07-06 23:14:53 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x9053fc… |
| 07-06 22:39:19 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | SELL | 100 | 25¢ | $25 | 0x162014… |
| 07-06 22:39:19 | Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | No | BUY | 100 | 25¢ | $25 | 0x162014… |
| 07-06 22:15:08 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | SELL | 150 | 25¢ | $38 | 0x38e8c9… |
| 07-06 22:15:08 | Stylish-Isolation 0x8c46…ae13 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 75¢ | $112 | 0x38e8c9… |
| 07-06 08:42:13 | Likable-Iron 0xd7d6…4336 | No | SELL | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x080b36… |
| 07-06 08:42:13 | (anonymous) 0x1428…3822 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x080b36… |
| 07-06 08:21:05 | (anonymous) 0x07c6…a316 | No | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x4c045c… |
| 07-06 08:21:05 | (anonymous) 0x1428…3822 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x4c045c… |
| 07-05 23:41:56 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x12c056… |
| 07-05 23:41:56 | (anonymous) 0x1428…3822 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 77¢ | $23 | 0x12c056… |
| 07-05 23:41:55 | Fatal-Milkshake 0xff64…3d67 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 24¢ | $720 | 0x3b4535… |
| 07-05 23:41:55 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 107 | 24¢ | $26 | 0x3b4535… |
| 07-05 23:41:55 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 4,457 | 76¢ | $3,388 | 0x3b4535… |
| 07-05 23:41:55 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 24¢ | $240 | 0x3b4535… |
| 07-05 23:41:55 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x3b4535… |
| 07-05 23:41:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 24¢ | $7 | 0x3b4535… |
| 07-05 23:41:55 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | BUY | 300 | 24¢ | $72 | 0x3b4535… |
| 07-05 09:56:11 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 14 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xaa28c0… |
| 07-05 09:56:11 | Admirable-Operator 0xb1a0…e45e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 75¢ | $10 | 0xaa28c0… |
| 07-04 23:38:46 | (anonymous) 0x67d1…3052 | No | SELL | 39 | 24¢ | $9 | 0xc8eaad… |
| 07-04 23:38:46 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 39 | 24¢ | $9 | 0xc8eaad… |
| 07-04 22:58:13 | Dutiful-Cartload 0x9b5d…fbb6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xebff35… |
| 07-04 22:58:13 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xebff35… |
| 07-04 22:58:13 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 22 | 25¢ | $6 | 0xebff35… |
| 07-04 22:58:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0xebff35… |
| 07-04 15:37:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x12b077… |
| 07-04 15:37:44 | Unfit-Tabernacle 0x0b50…a604 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x12b077… |
| 07-04 06:29:41 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 199 | 24¢ | $48 | 0x6e151a… |
| 07-04 06:29:41 | (anonymous) 0x091f…9dff | No | SELL | 199 | 24¢ | $48 | 0x6e151a… |
| 07-04 04:37:40 | Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | No | BUY | 240 | 25¢ | $60 | 0x46ff10… |
| 07-04 04:37:40 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 245 | 75¢ | $184 | 0x46ff10… |
| 07-04 04:37:40 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x46ff10… |
| 07-03 22:19:46 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x0dd9b0… |
| 07-03 22:19:46 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x0dd9b0… |
| 07-03 22:19:44 | Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | No | BUY | 65 | 26¢ | $17 | 0xcf5a09… |
| 07-03 22:19:44 | (anonymous) 0x1ee1…0de9 | No | SELL | 45 | 26¢ | $12 | 0xcf5a09… |
| 07-03 22:19:44 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0xcf5a09… |
| 07-03 21:07:44 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 14 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x81e530… |
| 07-03 21:07:44 | (anonymous) 0x091f…9dff | No | BUY | 115 | 26¢ | $30 | 0x67bc06… |
| 07-03 21:07:44 | Admirable-Operator 0xb1a0…e45e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 76¢ | $11 | 0x81e530… |
| 07-03 21:07:44 | (anonymous) 0x1ee1…0de9 | No | SELL | 115 | 26¢ | $30 | 0x67bc06… |
| 07-03 03:22:02 | (anonymous) 0xb8a5…671d | No | SELL | 28 | 24¢ | $7 | 0x29ed4f… |
| 07-03 03:22:02 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 28 | 24¢ | $7 | 0x29ed4f… |
| 07-02 16:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x8af6…bb84 | No | SELL | 100 | 24¢ | $24 | 0xf13f6f… |
| 07-02 16:39:26 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 100 | 24¢ | $24 | 0xf13f6f… |
| 07-02 07:03:49 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 107 | 24¢ | $26 | 0x3b9e77… |
| 07-02 07:03:49 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 107 | 24¢ | $26 | 0x3b9e77… |
| 07-02 04:34:35 | (anonymous) 0xb8a5…671d | No | BUY | 28 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xb28bcc… |
| 07-02 04:34:35 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 28 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xb28bcc… |
| 07-02 01:22:01 | Buzzing-Musculature 0x0894…d819 | Yes | SELL | 2,247 | 75¢ | $1,685 | 0x6f3522… |
| 07-02 01:22:01 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 2,399 | 75¢ | $1,799 | 0x6f3522… |
| 07-02 01:22:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 75¢ | $9 | 0x6f3522… |
| 07-02 01:22:01 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x6f3522… |
| 07-02 01:22:01 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 135 | 25¢ | $34 | 0x6f3522… |
| 07-01 17:55:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 74¢ | $9 | 0x006c45… |
| 07-01 17:55:44 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x006c45… |
| 07-01 17:55:41 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 4,842 | 75¢ | $3,632 | 0x034534… |
| 07-01 17:55:41 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | BUY | 4,882 | 25¢ | $1,220 | 0x034534… |
| 07-01 17:55:41 | (anonymous) 0x11f8…1c4e | No | SELL | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x034534… |
| 07-01 17:55:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 30 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x034534… |
| 07-01 15:24:01 | Incomplete-Netsuke 0x6985…afdf | No | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x561e10… |
| 07-01 15:24:01 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x561e10… |
| 07-01 10:46:17 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 75¢ | $28 | 0xf2aa54… |
| 07-01 10:46:17 | (anonymous) 0xd223…5ec2 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 75¢ | $28 | 0xf2aa54… |
| 07-01 08:30:01 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 75¢ | $90 | 0x46644f… |
| 07-01 08:30:01 | Sandy-Canopy 0x1ac9…30c7 | No | SELL | 200 | 24¢ | $48 | 0x387820… |
| 07-01 08:30:01 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 100 | 24¢ | $24 | 0x387820… |
| 07-01 08:30:01 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 100 | 24¢ | $24 | 0x387820… |
| 07-01 08:30:01 | (anonymous) 0xe2e8…46c5 | No | BUY | 120 | 25¢ | $30 | 0x46644f… |
| 07-01 04:47:58 | (anonymous) 0xb8a5…671d | No | SELL | 11 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xd44ac3… |
| 07-01 04:47:58 | (anonymous) 0x1428…3822 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xd44ac3… |
| 07-01 03:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x1428…3822 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 77¢ | $77 | 0x7b3804… |
| 07-01 03:26:19 | Bruised-Basketball 0xc18e…44e3 | No | SELL | 100 | 23¢ | $23 | 0x7b3804… |
| 07-01 01:23:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xe177e1… |
| 07-01 01:23:25 | (anonymous) 0x1428…3822 | Yes | SELL | 3,000 | 75¢ | $2,250 | 0xe177e1… |
| 07-01 01:23:25 | (anonymous) 0x100b…b67a | No | BUY | 33 | 25¢ | $8 | 0xe177e1… |
| 07-01 01:23:25 | Bruised-Basketball 0xc18e…44e3 | No | BUY | 100 | 25¢ | $25 | 0xe177e1… |
| 07-01 01:23:25 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 3,168 | 75¢ | $2,376 | 0xe177e1… |
| 07-01 01:23:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 30 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xe177e1… |
| 07-01 00:45:32 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x4b6337… |
| 07-01 00:45:32 | (anonymous) 0xb8a5…671d | No | SELL | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x4b6337… |
| 06-30 23:41:08 | (anonymous) 0x11f8…1c4e | No | SELL | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0xb1ac09… |
| 06-30 23:41:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0xb1ac09… |
| 06-30 23:41:08 | Reflecting-Clamp 0x3c1e…9514 | Yes | SELL | 639 | 73¢ | $466 | 0xb1ac09… |
| 06-30 23:41:08 | Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | SELL | 439 | 27¢ | $119 | 0xb1ac09… |
| 06-30 11:38:44 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 59 | 27¢ | $16 | 0x1926f1… |
| 06-30 11:38:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 59 | 27¢ | $16 | 0x1926f1… |
| 06-30 11:36:46 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xb20276… |
| 06-30 11:36:46 | (anonymous) 0x100b…b67a | No | BUY | 17 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xb20276… |
| 06-30 11:36:46 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 500 | 26¢ | $130 | 0xb20276… |
| 06-30 11:36:46 | (anonymous) 0x11f8…1c4e | No | BUY | 110 | 27¢ | $30 | 0xb20276… |
| 06-30 11:36:46 | (anonymous) 0xb8a5…671d | No | BUY | 21 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xb20276… |
| 06-30 11:36:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0xb20276… |
| 06-30 11:36:46 | (anonymous) 0x925a…f115 | No | BUY | 35 | 27¢ | $9 | 0xb20276… |