Warm-Slash 0x4b3c45…cd2688
new 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$101
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
51
lifetime
Volume
$493
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$464
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-11 21:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
60% 0% $-9
Politics
39% 0% $-5
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? Yes -382 $-42 32¢ $-120 $-78 05-10 16:30
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -68 $-44 62¢ $-42 +$2 05-11 03:39
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? Yes +148 $40 23¢ $34 $-6 05-11 21:14
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes +31 $20 68¢ $21 +$1 05-11 03:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +120 $20 17¢ $20 $-0 05-11 04:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -24 $-21 82¢ $-20 +$1 05-07 06:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes +148 $35 12¢ $19 $-16 05-10 12:52
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? Yes +19 $15 84¢ $16 +$1 05-11 09:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -34 $-16 46¢ $-15 +$0 05-11 10:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -56 $-15 26¢ $-15 +$0 05-11 17:13
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? No +31 $10 44¢ $14 +$4 05-09 18:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? No -17 $-11 74¢ $-12 $-1 05-09 13:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -59 $-10 18¢ $-11 $-1 05-10 14:31
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -117 $-10 9¢ $-10 +$0 05-10 09:32
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-10 74¢ $-10 +$0 05-11 17:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +13 $10 74¢ $9 $-1 05-07 20:01
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? Yes +16 $10 54¢ $9 $-1 05-10 05:51
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? Yes -14 $-5 63¢ $-9 $-3 05-06 10:01
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May? Yes +9 $8 80¢ $7 $-1 05-10 08:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -36 $-11 18¢ $-6 +$5 05-10 14:32
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? Yes -59 $-3 11¢ $-6 $-3 05-09 21:25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes -15 $-6 40¢ $-6 +$0 05-10 09:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -9 $-6 66¢ $-6 +$0 05-09 20:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +13 $7 38¢ $5 $-2 05-09 16:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No +8 $6 60¢ $5 $-1 05-09 10:49
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -26 $-5 19¢ $-5 +$0 05-09 21:25
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? Yes -21 $-6 24¢ $-5 +$1 05-10 04:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes -8 $-3 36¢ $-3 +$0 05-11 09:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Yes +42 $5 6¢ $3 $-2 05-09 20:41
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31? Yes +76 $3 3¢ $3 $-0 05-09 12:13