Square-Ore 0x7d582e…e8462d
whale 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$710
Unrealized P&L
-$73
Hit rate
16.2%
Resolved
250
Trades
6,104
lifetime
Volume
$123.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$760
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 10-27 07:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Politics
45% 19% -$298
Other
42% 20% -$274
Sports
5% 15% -$8
Crypto
5% 36% -$114
Tech
3% 25% -$10
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $90 88¢ $88 -$2 10-24 13:10
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +200 $91 44¢ $87 -$4 10-25 12:02
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $86 86¢ $86 -$1 10-27 03:34
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $85 82¢ $81 -$4 10-26 21:00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $84 80¢ $80 -$4 10-27 08:25
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $69 64¢ $64 -$6 10-23 15:19
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $55 26¢ $51 -$4 10-15 16:34
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +70 $45 64¢ $45 $0 10-27 05:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +100 $31 29¢ $29 -$2 10-22 16:55
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $27 13¢ $26 -$1 10-19 09:24
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +100 $24 20¢ $20 -$4 10-26 16:04
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +100 $25 18¢ $18 -$7 10-26 16:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +111 $17 15¢ $16 -$1 10-26 13:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +88 $19 16¢ $14 -$5 10-24 23:39
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +61 $13 20¢ $12 -$1 10-26 20:18
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +81 $7 8¢ $7 -$1 10-26 22:09
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $7 6¢ $6 -$1 10-21 17:40
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +71 $6 8¢ $5 $0 10-25 13:56
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +35 $13 14¢ $5 -$8 10-25 23:39
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 No +60 $7 8¢ $5 -$3 10-15 12:51
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +100 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 10-26 13:02
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +22 $6 18¢ $4 -$2 10-20 05:50
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +23 $5 12¢ $3 -$2 10-22 04:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +21 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-27 08:28
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +2 $7 66¢ $1 -$6 10-08 07:13
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1 $0 97¢ $1 +$0 08-11 05:28
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2 $0 34¢ $1 +$0 10-10 11:30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $2 81¢ $0 -$1 10-26 21:11
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +0 $2 56¢ $0 -$2 10-24 23:14
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +0 $3 44¢ $0 -$2 09-22 02:53