Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
open
Total volume
$771
$6 in 24h
Trades
70
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$8,041
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-08 03:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $191
vs crowd: 9% YES on $397)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | — | $191 | $191 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $35 | $111 | $76 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $33 | $33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $3 | $25 | $22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $191 | $191 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $10 | $36 | $26 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $14 | $14 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 8 | $1 | $35 | $34 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $69 | $69 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $25 | — | +$25 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $14 | $14 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | +224 | $191 | $191 | 2 | 06-06 22:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4f6…eada | No | +43 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 06-06 22:34 |
| Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | +37 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 06-06 22:34 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-06 22:33 |
| Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a2…54c2 | Yes | +32 | $3 | $7 | 3 | 06-08 03:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-06 22:37 |
| Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-06 22:34 |
| Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-06 22:33 |
| Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | +10 | $8 | $10 | 3 | 06-03 05:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-06 22:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6ce…895d | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 22:33 |
| Focused-Reasoning 0x37a0…09bf | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 05:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 06-06 22:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5ec…5c81 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-06 22:34 |
| Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-06 22:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-06 22:34 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 18:12 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Shoes 0xed45…0d29 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 22:33 |
| Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a2…54c2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 10:22 |
| Fearless-Vagrant 0x50e9…1ea5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x1698…4f46 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 22:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 03:07:10 | (anonymous) 0x7ba9…60ab | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x20788d… |
| 06-08 03:07:10 | Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a2…54c2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x20788d… |
| 06-07 18:33:03 | Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a2…54c2 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x557c66… |
| 06-07 18:33:03 | Humongous-Maybe 0xc5bd…ceaa | No | SELL | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x557c66… |
| 06-07 06:53:06 | Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1ad1f4… |
| 06-07 06:53:06 | Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a2…54c2 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x1ad1f4… |
| 06-07 06:53:06 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 46 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x1ad1f4… |
| 06-06 22:59:58 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x66453a… |
| 06-06 22:59:58 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x66453a… |
| 06-06 22:37:31 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x163f4d… |
| 06-06 22:37:31 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x163f4d… |
| 06-06 22:37:22 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | BUY | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0xacab56… |
| 06-06 22:37:22 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xacab56… |
| 06-06 22:37:22 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xacab56… |
| 06-06 22:34:49 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x2af697… |
| 06-06 22:34:49 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x2af697… |
| 06-06 22:34:48 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xfb63dc… |
| 06-06 22:34:48 | (anonymous) 0xe5ec…5c81 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xfb63dc… |
| 06-06 22:34:46 | Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x59c07c… |
| 06-06 22:34:46 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x7044b4… |
| 06-06 22:34:46 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xba3a0e… |
| 06-06 22:34:46 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x59c07c… |
| 06-06 22:34:46 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x7044b4… |
| 06-06 22:34:46 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x86d07d… |
| 06-06 22:34:46 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xba3a0e… |
| 06-06 22:34:46 | (anonymous) 0xb4f6…eada | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x86d07d… |
| 06-06 22:34:45 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0xb821de… |
| 06-06 22:34:45 | Affectionate-Solitaire 0xca97…5409 | No | SELL | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0xb821de… |
| 06-06 22:34:06 | Affectionate-Solitaire 0xca97…5409 | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x3dd778… |
| 06-06 22:34:06 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x3dd778… |
| 06-06 22:34:01 | Humongous-Maybe 0xc5bd…ceaa | No | BUY | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x28427d… |
| 06-06 22:34:01 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x28427d… |
| 06-06 22:33:46 | Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x75a6f3… |
| 06-06 22:33:46 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x75a6f3… |
| 06-06 22:33:37 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x11edcb… |
| 06-06 22:33:37 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 166 | 86¢ | $143 | 0x2848be… |
| 06-06 22:33:37 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 166 | 14¢ | $23 | 0x2848be… |
| 06-06 22:33:37 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Shoes 0xed45…0d29 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x11edcb… |
| 06-06 22:33:34 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x9616cb… |
| 06-06 22:33:34 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x9616cb… |
| 06-06 22:33:13 | (anonymous) 0xe5ec…5c81 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x41b6f0… |
| 06-06 22:33:13 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x41b6f0… |
| 06-06 22:33:12 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x511787… |
| 06-06 22:33:12 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x1b3550… |
| 06-06 22:33:12 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x511787… |
| 06-06 22:33:12 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x2cfb7b… |
| 06-06 22:33:12 | (anonymous) 0x1698…4f46 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x58f57b… |
| 06-06 22:33:12 | (anonymous) 0xb6ce…895d | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x1b3550… |
| 06-06 22:33:12 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x2cfb7b… |
| 06-06 22:33:12 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x58f57b… |
| 06-06 22:33:10 | Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | BUY | 35 | 86¢ | $30 | 0xa58ebc… |
| 06-06 22:33:10 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 35 | 86¢ | $30 | 0xa58ebc… |
| 06-06 22:33:10 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xa73a43… |
| 06-06 22:33:10 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 48 | 85¢ | $40 | 0xc7e4a1… |
| 06-06 22:33:10 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 166 | 15¢ | $25 | 0xc7e4a1… |
| 06-06 22:33:10 | (anonymous) 0xb4f6…eada | No | BUY | 41 | 86¢ | $35 | 0x322858… |
| 06-06 22:33:10 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x322858… |
| 06-06 22:33:10 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x322858… |
| 06-06 22:33:10 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xa73a43… |
| 06-06 22:33:10 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | BUY | 214 | 85¢ | $182 | 0xc7e4a1… |
| 06-06 10:22:34 | Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a2…54c2 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x2d5bb4… |
| 06-06 10:22:34 | (anonymous) 0x1fa4…72f8 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x2d5bb4… |
| 06-03 05:14:12 | Focused-Reasoning 0x37a0…09bf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xde8990… |
| 06-03 05:14:12 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xde8990… |
| 06-02 11:05:24 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x82f862… |
| 06-02 11:05:24 | Splendid-Equipment 0x2d01…1d8f | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x82f862… |
| 06-01 18:12:25 | Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xe24a25… |
| 06-01 18:12:25 | Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xe24a25… |
| 06-01 02:40:13 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x60edcd… |
| 06-01 02:40:13 | Fearless-Vagrant 0x50e9…1ea5 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x60edcd… |