Realized P&L
+$508
Unrealized P&L
-$294
Hit rate
97.5%
Resolved
17
Trades
2,366
lifetime
Volume
$583.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$247
Open exposure
$926
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 06-29 23:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
62% 71% +$208
Other
28% 33% +$24
Tech
6%
Crypto
3% 0% $-113
Sports
0% 50% +$389
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -3,389 $-407 14¢ $-474 $-68 05-31 09:45
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1,129 $356 14¢ $158 $-198 06-25 09:20
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +326 $94 32¢ $106 +$12 06-12 11:15
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +1,329 $79 $74 $-4 06-28 12:26
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1,140 $48 $64 +$16 06-04 00:16
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +718 $26 $45 +$18 06-30 03:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -3,000 $68 $-3 $-71 06-14 21:42
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-06 10:22
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +1 $-0 10¢ $0 +$1 06-18 15:22