Realized P&L
+$508
Unrealized P&L
-$166
Hit rate
97.5%
Resolved
17
Trades
2,041
lifetime
Volume
$518.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$254
Open exposure
$3.08K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 06-09 10:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
66% 71% +$208
Other
29% 33% +$24
Crypto
3% 0% $-113
Tech
2%
Sports
0% 50% +$389
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +10,000 $1,300 12¢ $1.2K $-50 06-09 08:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +43,392 $744 $738 $-7 06-09 09:07
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -3,389 $-407 12¢ $-390 +$17 05-31 09:45
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +709 $228 33¢ $234 +$6 06-09 10:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -753 $10 18¢ $-132 $-142 06-03 19:31
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +315 $84 40¢ $124 +$40 06-06 04:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +525 $40 18¢ $97 +$57 06-08 04:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +2,000 $120 $51 $-69 05-28 20:11
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1,140 $48 $39 $-9 06-04 00:16
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +806 $32 $23 $-8 06-04 00:37
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +32 $3 $2 $-0 06-08 03:07
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-06 10:22