Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a205…4454c2 Create alert
whale 12W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$437
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
37.4%
Resolved (30d)
51
Trades (30d)
377
3,801 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$8.33K
$744.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$196
Open exposure
$1.39K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 11-09 01:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Politics
58% 57% -$17,503
Other
29% 43% +$2,915
Tech
6% 47% +$2,640
Crypto
5% 39% -$268
Sports
2% 48% +$1,824
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1,198 $677 92¢ $1.1K +$432 10-24 15:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +1,198 $516 8¢ $90 -$427 10-27 09:04
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +75 $62 62¢ $47 -$15 10-24 18:59
Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027? No +62 $30 60¢ $37 +$7 10-23 21:23
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +75 $12 38¢ $28 +$16 10-24 18:00
Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027? Yes +62 $32 40¢ $25 -$7 10-23 21:16
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? Yes +20 $11 88¢ $18 +$6 10-27 09:03
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? Yes +20 $14 64¢ $13 -$1 10-26 06:30
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? No +20 $4 36¢ $7 +$3 10-26 04:30
Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31? No +10 $6 68¢ $7 +$0 10-25 19:34
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-26 17:20
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? No +20 $14 12¢ $2 -$11 10-26 04:55
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-06 10:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +4 $0 4¢ $0 $0 11-04 19:49
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +1 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 06-18 15:22
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? Yes +2 $8 0¢ $0 -$8 10-27 09:04
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +0 -$20 12¢ $0 +$20 06-12 11:15
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +0 -$23 6¢ $0 +$23 07-15 13:19
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +0 $19 0¢ $0 -$19 07-27 06:59