Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes won
Total volume
$41,591
$19,687 in 24h
Trades
1,053
Unique wallets
204
Liquidity
$0
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-10-20
last 10-27 00:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+12.4¢
(top1%: 86% YES on $22.4K
vs crowd: 74% YES on $34.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 51 | $12.0K | $6.0K | +$6.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 43 | $7.6K | $1.3K | +$6.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 49 | $3.8K | $1.4K | +$2.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 61 | $1.6K | $264 | +$1.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 42 | $19.3K | $3.1K | +$16.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 23 | $453 | $651 | $198 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $443 | $7 | +$436 |
| Median | 23 | $236 | $53 | +$183 |
| Below median | 36 | $818 | $423 | +$395 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $521 | $190 | +$331 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 24 | $1.6K | $608 | +$1.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 34 | $1.7K | $3.9K | $2.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | +8,912 | $8,903 | $8,903 | 13 | 10-27 00:41 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | No | +3,575 | $1,068 | $2,816 | 122 | 10-26 22:10 |
| Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | No | +2,891 | $1,022 | $1,022 | 9 | 10-23 08:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ed2…ff3d | Yes | +1,964 | $1,184 | $1,184 | 27 | 10-26 16:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +1,093 | $225 | $225 | 22 | 10-26 22:55 |
| Subtle-Productivity 0x4f07…2036 | No | +1,058 | $343 | $343 | 1 | 10-26 21:51 |
| Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | +829 | $813 | $813 | 13 | 10-26 22:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +659 | $256 | $256 | 15 | 10-26 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +545 | $184 | $418 | 20 | 10-26 17:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +513 | $354 | $537 | 16 | 10-26 21:54 |
| Peaceful-Grassland 0xcd61…0002 | Yes | +500 | $245 | $245 | 1 | 10-21 01:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xea24…2cc8 | Yes | +500 | $375 | $375 | 1 | 10-23 08:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xea24…2cc8 | No | +500 | $135 | $135 | 10 | 10-23 08:56 |
| Hollow-Filing 0x9709…52ab | No | +485 | $163 | $163 | 2 | 10-26 22:10 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +462 | $107 | $107 | 13 | 10-26 22:55 |
| Hollow-Filing 0x9709…52ab | Yes | +429 | $252 | $772 | 11 | 10-26 22:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xb484…3bc3 | Yes | +428 | $291 | $291 | 1 | 10-25 15:33 |
| Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | +423 | $258 | $258 | 1 | 10-24 10:13 |
| Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | Yes | +417 | $386 | $386 | 2 | 10-26 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xda45…d95b | No | +417 | $133 | $133 | 2 | 10-23 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +403 | $67 | $67 | 6 | 10-26 22:55 |
| Superb-Moody 0xbe7c…8356 | No | +400 | $138 | $138 | 5 | 10-26 12:16 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +380 | $127 | $127 | 5 | 10-26 16:40 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +336 | $110 | $112 | 4 | 10-25 22:25 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +336 | $227 | $230 | 4 | 10-25 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9ce…4904 | No | +333 | $107 | $108 | 7 | 10-22 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9ce…4904 | Yes | +333 | $229 | $229 | 4 | 10-22 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b4…9049 | Yes | +331 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 10-26 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +320 | $129 | $143 | 16 | 10-26 19:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +320 | $203 | $203 | 14 | 10-26 19:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xde44…751f | No | +313 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 10-23 01:09 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | +300 | $219 | $231 | 2 | 10-23 08:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x007a…73b3 | No | +300 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 10-26 22:01 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | +300 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 10-22 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | +241 | $1 | $2 | 16 | 10-26 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +240 | $157 | $157 | 9 | 10-26 11:48 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | +240 | $158 | $158 | 8 | 10-26 18:17 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | +240 | $86 | $86 | 8 | 10-26 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x457d…1555 | No | +236 | $92 | $92 | 5 | 10-26 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | +234 | $92 | $92 | 6 | 10-26 16:40 |
| First-Record 0x14c3…df68 | Yes | +232 | $159 | $159 | 1 | 10-26 17:18 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +212 | $67 | $67 | 14 | 10-26 22:57 |
| Smug-Block 0x6dd9…bfe8 | Yes | +200 | $144 | $144 | 2 | 10-23 01:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2d3…7bb3 | No | +200 | $88 | $124 | 7 | 10-26 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2d3…7bb3 | Yes | +200 | $119 | $119 | 5 | 10-26 11:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e24…ca5d | No | +200 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 10-26 22:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa6e…cdda | No | +199 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 10-23 08:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa6e…cdda | Yes | +199 | $149 | $149 | 1 | 10-23 08:56 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +197 | $44 | $44 | 12 | 10-26 22:57 |
| Frightening-Trailpatrol 0x4a69…228f | No | +178 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 10-26 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | +158 | $21 | $38 | 19 | 10-26 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x33b3…d03d | Yes | +155 | $104 | $104 | 3 | 10-22 10:51 |
| Parallel-Transparency 0x5415…2a6e | Yes | +126 | $121 | $121 | 3 | 10-26 23:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x10b6…be29 | Yes | +125 | $91 | $91 | 2 | 10-26 19:54 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +121 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 10-24 17:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | +108 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 10-23 08:56 |
| Pointed-Dispute 0x3596…6c81 | Yes | +93 | $58 | $102 | 6 | 10-26 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcc4…fbde | Yes | +80 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 10-25 17:07 |
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | +80 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 10-26 21:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x83a3…23f1 | Yes | +78 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-26 15:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 00:41:39 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 1,004 | 100¢ | $1,003 | 0xb91d6f… |
| 10-27 00:41:39 | (anonymous) 0xdd97…9464 | Yes | SELL | 3,608 | 100¢ | $3,605 | 0xb91d6f… |
| 10-26 23:42:57 | (anonymous) 0x71ae…e5bf | Yes | SELL | 3,194 | 100¢ | $3,191 | 0x929d91… |
| 10-26 23:42:57 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 1,146 | 100¢ | $1,145 | 0x929d91… |
| 10-26 23:21:17 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x16ea47… |
| 10-26 23:21:17 | (anonymous) 0x5e3d…d167 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x16ea47… |
| 10-26 23:19:36 | (anonymous) 0x8421…d8ec | Yes | SELL | 1,904 | 100¢ | $1,902 | 0x650b18… |
| 10-26 23:19:36 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 950 | 100¢ | $949 | 0x650b18… |
| 10-26 23:18:56 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0x6bd052… |
| 10-26 23:18:56 | (anonymous) 0x11c7…8528 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0x6bd052… |
| 10-26 23:15:00 | (anonymous) 0x4cbe…e1b5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xb7ca2d… |
| 10-26 23:15:00 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xb7ca2d… |
| 10-26 23:07:59 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0ff45… |
| 10-26 23:07:59 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 100¢ | $157 | 0xb0ff45… |
| 10-26 23:07:59 | (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0ff45… |
| 10-26 23:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8e0a7e… |
| 10-26 23:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x885b…48ee | Yes | SELL | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x8e0a7e… |
| 10-26 23:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe9c751… |
| 10-26 23:05:20 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe9c751… |
| 10-26 23:05:20 | (anonymous) 0xf702…4c6d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0xe9c751… |
| 10-26 23:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xe9c751… |
| 10-26 23:05:20 | Grizzled-Infrastructure 0xb085…7b10 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe9c751… |
| 10-26 23:04:42 | (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | BUY | 66 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2cddae… |
| 10-26 23:04:42 | Scarce-Molding 0x7114…6432 | No | SELL | 66 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2cddae… |
| 10-26 23:03:32 | Parallel-Transparency 0x5415…2a6e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0xa564f2… |
| 10-26 23:03:32 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa564f2… |
| 10-26 23:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa564f2… |
| 10-26 23:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x1f44…8c1e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xa564f2… |
| 10-26 23:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x2401…182c | No | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8cde33… |
| 10-26 23:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8cde33… |
| 10-26 22:59:48 | (anonymous) 0x8a92…ee34 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xd11402… |
| 10-26 22:59:48 | Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xd11402… |
| 10-26 22:59:39 | Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0e25d6… |
| 10-26 22:59:39 | (anonymous) 0x09b8…e5fe | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0e25d6… |
| 10-26 22:58:56 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39480b… |
| 10-26 22:58:56 | (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 100¢ | $62 | 0x39480b… |
| 10-26 22:58:56 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xb9f9f8… |
| 10-26 22:58:56 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39480b… |
| 10-26 22:58:56 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9f9f8… |
| 10-26 22:57:27 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9a40e3… |
| 10-26 22:57:27 | Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0x3faf8d… |
| 10-26 22:57:27 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3faf8d… |
| 10-26 22:57:27 | Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x9a40e3… |
| 10-26 22:57:27 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3faf8d… |
| 10-26 22:56:41 | Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x310525… |
| 10-26 22:56:41 | (anonymous) 0x7461…b8b7 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x310525… |
| 10-26 22:55:36 | Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x633466… |
| 10-26 22:55:36 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x633466… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc42b29… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 223 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xe87f3f… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa68f54… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xffc154… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xe836c6… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe836c6… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | BUY | 438 | 98¢ | $430 | 0x01e9a3… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb75d8d… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 110 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x01e9a3… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x01e9a3… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xa68f54… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xb75d8d… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xc42b29… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | BUY | 223 | 98¢ | $218 | 0xe87f3f… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | Defenseless-Cultivator 0xb6a8…b1f7 | No | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xffc154… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xffc154… |
| 10-26 22:55:35 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 136 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x01e9a3… |
| 10-26 22:55:33 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcc1396… |
| 10-26 22:55:33 | Hospitable-Orchid 0x2b01…9bd7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xcc1396… |
| 10-26 22:55:21 | Parallel-Transparency 0x5415…2a6e | Yes | BUY | 97 | 96¢ | $93 | 0x15d082… |
| 10-26 22:55:21 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x77a0d8… |
| 10-26 22:55:21 | (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x15d082… |
| 10-26 22:55:21 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf983ab… |
| 10-26 22:55:21 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x77a0d8… |
| 10-26 22:55:21 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x15d082… |
| 10-26 22:55:21 | (anonymous) 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x77a0d8… |
| 10-26 22:55:21 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x15d082… |
| 10-26 22:55:21 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | BUY | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x15d082… |
| 10-26 22:55:21 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x15d082… |
| 10-26 22:55:21 | Plastic-Pet 0x44c5…8d45 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xf983ab… |
| 10-26 22:55:20 | Parallel-Transparency 0x5415…2a6e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xfccb5f… |
| 10-26 22:55:20 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfccb5f… |
| 10-26 22:55:05 | Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | Yes | BUY | 122 | 94¢ | $114 | 0x6e708f… |
| 10-26 22:55:05 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 122 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x6e708f… |
| 10-26 22:55:03 | Defenseless-Cultivator 0xb6a8…b1f7 | No | SELL | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8b9fed… |
| 10-26 22:55:03 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8b9fed… |
| 10-26 22:54:53 | (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xeae64d… |
| 10-26 22:54:53 | Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | Yes | BUY | 295 | 92¢ | $271 | 0xeae64d… |
| 10-26 22:54:53 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | BUY | 25 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xeae64d… |
| 10-26 22:54:53 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 51 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xeae64d… |
| 10-26 22:54:53 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 143 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xeae64d… |
| 10-26 22:54:53 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xeae64d… |
| 10-26 22:54:53 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xeae64d… |
| 10-26 22:51:14 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x2877c7… |
| 10-26 22:51:14 | Hollow-Filing 0x9709…52ab | Yes | BUY | 241 | 73¢ | $176 | 0x2877c7… |
| 10-26 22:51:14 | (anonymous) 0x3e24…ca5d | No | BUY | 133 | 26¢ | $35 | 0x2877c7… |
| 10-26 22:51:14 | (anonymous) 0xbb10…523d | Yes | SELL | 65 | 72¢ | $47 | 0x2877c7… |
| 10-26 22:51:14 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | BUY | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0x2877c7… |
| 10-26 22:17:45 | Interesting-Candidacy 0xa2c4…8bad | No | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x092301… |
| 10-26 22:17:45 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x092301… |
| 10-26 22:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0xe96653… |
| 10-26 22:11:32 | (anonymous) 0xb4cd…c041 | No | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xe96653… |