Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open
Total volume
$27,671
$8,634 in 24h
Trades
955
Unique wallets
189
Liquidity
$3,317
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-10-20
last 10-26 22:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-31.3¢
(top1%: 31% YES on $4.5K
vs crowd: 62% YES on $23.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 47 | $2.1K | $5.9K | $3.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 37 | $2.3K | $1.3K | +$1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 48 | $8.5K | $1.4K | +$7.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 56 | $1.6K | $261 | +$1.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 32 | $1.4K | $3.1K | $1.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 22 | $1.5K | $600 | +$866 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $66 | $5 | +$60 |
| Median | 13 | $4.0K | $118 | +$3.9K |
| Below median | 35 | $3.0K | $351 | +$2.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 13 | $529 | $281 | +$248 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 20 | $1.1K | $700 | +$374 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 31 | $2.0K | $3.7K | $1.7K |
| unranked | 15 | $1.0K | $13 | +$987 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xdd97…9464 | Yes | +3,608 | $2,411 | $2,411 | 6 | 10-22 15:58 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | No | +3,575 | $1,068 | $2,816 | 122 | 10-26 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x71ae…e5bf | Yes | +3,194 | $2,321 | $2,321 | 2 | 10-23 08:56 |
| Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | No | +2,891 | $1,022 | $1,022 | 9 | 10-23 08:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ed2…ff3d | Yes | +1,964 | $1,184 | $1,184 | 27 | 10-26 16:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x8421…d8ec | Yes | +1,904 | $1,202 | $1,202 | 12 | 10-24 15:56 |
| Subtle-Productivity 0x4f07…2036 | No | +1,058 | $343 | $343 | 1 | 10-26 21:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +659 | $256 | $256 | 15 | 10-26 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +611 | $209 | $209 | 17 | 10-26 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +545 | $184 | $418 | 20 | 10-26 17:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +513 | $354 | $537 | 16 | 10-26 21:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xea24…2cc8 | Yes | +500 | $375 | $375 | 1 | 10-23 08:56 |
| Peaceful-Grassland 0xcd61…0002 | Yes | +500 | $245 | $245 | 1 | 10-21 01:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xea24…2cc8 | No | +500 | $135 | $135 | 10 | 10-23 08:56 |
| Hollow-Filing 0x9709…52ab | No | +485 | $163 | $163 | 2 | 10-26 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb484…3bc3 | Yes | +428 | $291 | $291 | 1 | 10-25 15:33 |
| Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | +423 | $258 | $258 | 1 | 10-24 10:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xda45…d95b | No | +417 | $133 | $133 | 2 | 10-23 20:04 |
| Superb-Moody 0xbe7c…8356 | No | +400 | $138 | $138 | 5 | 10-26 12:16 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +380 | $127 | $127 | 5 | 10-26 16:40 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +336 | $110 | $112 | 4 | 10-25 22:25 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +336 | $227 | $230 | 4 | 10-25 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9ce…4904 | No | +333 | $107 | $108 | 7 | 10-22 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9ce…4904 | Yes | +333 | $229 | $229 | 4 | 10-22 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b4…9049 | Yes | +331 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 10-26 20:07 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +322 | $105 | $105 | 11 | 10-26 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +320 | $129 | $143 | 16 | 10-26 19:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +320 | $203 | $203 | 14 | 10-26 19:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xde44…751f | No | +313 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 10-23 01:09 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | +300 | $219 | $231 | 2 | 10-23 08:56 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | +300 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 10-22 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x007a…73b3 | No | +300 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 10-26 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +240 | $157 | $157 | 9 | 10-26 11:48 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | +240 | $158 | $158 | 8 | 10-26 18:17 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | +240 | $86 | $86 | 8 | 10-26 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x457d…1555 | No | +236 | $92 | $92 | 5 | 10-26 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | +234 | $92 | $92 | 6 | 10-26 16:40 |
| First-Record 0x14c3…df68 | Yes | +232 | $159 | $159 | 1 | 10-26 17:18 |
| Smug-Block 0x6dd9…bfe8 | Yes | +200 | $144 | $144 | 2 | 10-23 01:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2d3…7bb3 | No | +200 | $88 | $124 | 7 | 10-26 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2d3…7bb3 | Yes | +200 | $119 | $119 | 5 | 10-26 11:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa6e…cdda | No | +199 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 10-23 08:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa6e…cdda | Yes | +199 | $149 | $149 | 1 | 10-23 08:56 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +192 | $67 | $67 | 13 | 10-26 19:20 |
| Hollow-Filing 0x9709…52ab | Yes | +188 | $76 | $596 | 10 | 10-26 20:16 |
| Frightening-Trailpatrol 0x4a69…228f | No | +178 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 10-26 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +169 | $63 | $63 | 4 | 10-26 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x33b3…d03d | Yes | +155 | $104 | $104 | 3 | 10-22 10:51 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +155 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 10-26 20:16 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +145 | $52 | $52 | 7 | 10-26 05:43 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +128 | $41 | $41 | 6 | 10-26 20:07 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Sandbar 0xbf2d…8452 | No | +126 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 10-22 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x10b6…be29 | Yes | +125 | $91 | $91 | 2 | 10-26 19:54 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +121 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 10-24 17:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | +108 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 10-23 08:56 |
| Pointed-Dispute 0x3596…6c81 | Yes | +93 | $58 | $102 | 6 | 10-26 21:03 |
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | +80 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 10-26 21:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcc4…fbde | Yes | +80 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 10-25 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x83a3…23f1 | Yes | +78 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-26 15:44 |
| Short-Bonding 0x0d4b…21c7 | Yes | +69 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 10-26 13:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 22:11:32 | (anonymous) 0xb4cd…c041 | No | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xe96653… |
| 10-26 22:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0xe96653… |
| 10-26 22:10:17 | Hollow-Filing 0x9709…52ab | No | BUY | 465 | 34¢ | $158 | 0xcd3e10… |
| 10-26 22:10:17 | (anonymous) 0xbb10…523d | Yes | BUY | 65 | 66¢ | $43 | 0xcd3e10… |
| 10-26 22:10:17 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | No | SELL | 400 | 34¢ | $136 | 0xcd3e10… |
| 10-26 22:05:26 | (anonymous) 0x01b6…1f07 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 74¢ | $49 | 0x4d0966… |
| 10-26 22:05:26 | (anonymous) 0x3e24…ca5d | No | BUY | 67 | 26¢ | $17 | 0x4d0966… |
| 10-26 22:03:41 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x39fbaa… |
| 10-26 22:03:41 | (anonymous) 0x09cd…a6c0 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x39fbaa… |
| 10-26 22:01:36 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | No | SELL | 300 | 34¢ | $102 | 0x23ae69… |
| 10-26 22:01:36 | (anonymous) 0x007a…73b3 | No | BUY | 300 | 34¢ | $102 | 0x23ae69… |
| 10-26 21:54:41 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | Yes | BUY | 39 | 67¢ | $26 | 0xb6a4c0… |
| 10-26 21:54:41 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 67¢ | $26 | 0xb6a4c0… |
| 10-26 21:54:39 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 67¢ | $54 | 0xbea66b… |
| 10-26 21:54:39 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | BUY | 80 | 67¢ | $54 | 0xbea66b… |
| 10-26 21:51:41 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | SELL | 12 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x2335cb… |
| 10-26 21:51:41 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 68¢ | $81 | 0x2335cb… |
| 10-26 21:51:41 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | No | SELL | 491 | 33¢ | $162 | 0x2335cb… |
| 10-26 21:51:41 | Subtle-Productivity 0x4f07…2036 | No | BUY | 1,058 | 32¢ | $343 | 0x2335cb… |
| 10-26 21:50:06 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | No | SELL | 14 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x7c88a8… |
| 10-26 21:50:06 | (anonymous) 0x3462…3dc2 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 68¢ | $13 | 0x7c88a8… |
| 10-26 21:50:06 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x7c88a8… |
| 10-26 21:35:12 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | No | SELL | 150 | 32¢ | $48 | 0x84a7d8… |
| 10-26 21:35:12 | (anonymous) 0x51e6…6141 | Yes | SELL | 162 | 68¢ | $110 | 0x84a7d8… |
| 10-26 21:35:12 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | SELL | 12 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x84a7d8… |
| 10-26 21:28:36 | (anonymous) 0x51e6…6141 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x19e556… |
| 10-26 21:28:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x19e556… |
| 10-26 21:12:11 | (anonymous) 0xa1c9…0421 | No | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x9df78c… |
| 10-26 21:12:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x9df78c… |
| 10-26 21:08:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x1dabb4… |
| 10-26 21:08:23 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x1dabb4… |
| 10-26 21:03:00 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x696887… |
| 10-26 21:03:00 | (anonymous) 0xbeef…620e | No | BUY | 12 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x696887… |
| 10-26 21:03:00 | Pointed-Dispute 0x3596…6c81 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 79¢ | $22 | 0x696887… |
| 10-26 21:03:00 | (anonymous) 0x11c7…8528 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 79¢ | $35 | 0x696887… |
| 10-26 20:51:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 18 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x8cd96c… |
| 10-26 20:51:06 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 18 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x8cd96c… |
| 10-26 20:28:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x9b0818… |
| 10-26 20:28:35 | (anonymous) 0xc221…f86d | Yes | SELL | 14 | 76¢ | $11 | 0x9b0818… |
| 10-26 20:16:00 | (anonymous) 0x0629…501d | No | BUY | 13 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xc24efe… |
| 10-26 20:16:00 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | No | SELL | 101 | 27¢ | $27 | 0x77ed90… |
| 10-26 20:16:00 | Hollow-Filing 0x9709…52ab | Yes | BUY | 19 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x77ed90… |
| 10-26 20:16:00 | Hollow-Filing 0x9709…52ab | Yes | BUY | 116 | 72¢ | $84 | 0x553b61… |
| 10-26 20:16:00 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 116 | 28¢ | $33 | 0x553b61… |
| 10-26 20:16:00 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x448d60… |
| 10-26 20:16:00 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 125 | 27¢ | $34 | 0x77ed90… |
| 10-26 20:16:00 | Hollow-Filing 0x9709…52ab | Yes | BUY | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0x448d60… |
| 10-26 20:16:00 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x77ed90… |
| 10-26 20:16:00 | Hollow-Filing 0x9709…52ab | Yes | BUY | 13 | 72¢ | $9 | 0xc24efe… |
| 10-26 20:13:38 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | No | SELL | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x539de2… |
| 10-26 20:13:38 | Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0x539de2… |
| 10-26 20:10:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x138582… |
| 10-26 20:10:56 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | SELL | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x138582… |
| 10-26 20:10:56 | (anonymous) 0x105c…1122 | No | BUY | 32 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x138582… |
| 10-26 20:07:36 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | SELL | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x9be5b6… |
| 10-26 20:07:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x9be5b6… |
| 10-26 20:07:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 75¢ | $22 | 0xbe6954… |
| 10-26 20:07:32 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 24¢ | $7 | 0xbe6954… |
| 10-26 20:07:32 | (anonymous) 0xa1b4…9049 | Yes | BUY | 331 | 76¢ | $250 | 0xbe6954… |
| 10-26 20:07:32 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xbe6954… |
| 10-26 20:07:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0xbe6954… |
| 10-26 20:07:32 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 13 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xbe6954… |
| 10-26 20:07:32 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | BUY | 60 | 24¢ | $14 | 0xbe6954… |
| 10-26 20:07:32 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 17 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xbe6954… |
| 10-26 20:07:32 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | No | BUY | 106 | 25¢ | $26 | 0xbe6954… |
| 10-26 19:57:44 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | No | SELL | 40 | 30¢ | $12 | 0xc8a7ea… |
| 10-26 19:57:44 | (anonymous) 0xbb10…523d | Yes | SELL | 70 | 70¢ | $49 | 0xc8a7ea… |
| 10-26 19:57:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0xc8a7ea… |
| 10-26 19:54:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 71¢ | $21 | 0x52e33c… |
| 10-26 19:54:06 | (anonymous) 0x10b6…be29 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 72¢ | $44 | 0x52e33c… |
| 10-26 19:54:06 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 32 | 28¢ | $9 | 0x52e33c… |
| 10-26 19:51:17 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | No | SELL | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x6b37d0… |
| 10-26 19:51:17 | (anonymous) 0x0dfd…2df8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x6b37d0… |
| 10-26 19:50:51 | Pointed-Dispute 0x3596…6c81 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 67¢ | $26 | 0xb4aac2… |
| 10-26 19:50:51 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | SELL | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xb4aac2… |
| 10-26 19:50:51 | (anonymous) 0x8c6d…e088 | Yes | SELL | 323 | 68¢ | $219 | 0xb4aac2… |
| 10-26 19:50:51 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xb4aac2… |
| 10-26 19:50:51 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | No | SELL | 117 | 32¢ | $37 | 0xb4aac2… |
| 10-26 19:50:51 | (anonymous) 0x0dfd…2df8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xb4aac2… |
| 10-26 19:50:51 | (anonymous) 0xbb10…523d | Yes | BUY | 70 | 68¢ | $47 | 0xb4aac2… |
| 10-26 19:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x502a90… |
| 10-26 19:50:50 | Pointed-Dispute 0x3596…6c81 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x502a90… |
| 10-26 19:50:50 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | No | SELL | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x502a90… |
| 10-26 19:31:26 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x56e8ad… |
| 10-26 19:31:26 | Pointed-Dispute 0x3596…6c81 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x56e8ad… |
| 10-26 19:31:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 68¢ | $8 | 0x56e8ad… |
| 10-26 19:31:26 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x56e8ad… |
| 10-26 19:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 18 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xddb6ce… |
| 10-26 19:31:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 68¢ | $12 | 0xddb6ce… |
| 10-26 19:20:57 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | No | SELL | 13 | 34¢ | $4 | 0xe3e63f… |
| 10-26 19:20:57 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 13 | 34¢ | $4 | 0xe3e63f… |
| 10-26 19:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x063a…0a67 | No | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xcbdb39… |
| 10-26 19:19:08 | Hollow-Filing 0x9709…52ab | Yes | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0xcbdb39… |
| 10-26 19:17:00 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x496518… |
| 10-26 19:17:00 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x496518… |
| 10-26 19:16:42 | Pointed-Dispute 0x3596…6c81 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x7459a3… |
| 10-26 19:16:42 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 30 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x7459a3… |
| 10-26 19:16:41 | (anonymous) 0x8ff1…996c | No | SELL | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x25c083… |
| 10-26 19:16:41 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x25c083… |
| 10-26 18:56:27 | (anonymous) 0x1115…4a80 | No | BUY | 14 | 36¢ | $5 | 0xe44638… |