Realized P&L
-$2.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$192
Hit rate
43.6%
Resolved
2,348
Trades
40,919
lifetime
Volume
$269.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$2.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 10-27 12:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Crypto
74% 52% -$31
Other
24% 16% -$1,888
Politics
2% 9% -$110
Tech
0% 10% -$32
Sports
0% 25% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +250 $122 69¢ $173 +$51 10-15 12:21
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +168 $142 96¢ $162 +$20 10-07 14:30
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +167 $108 81¢ $135 +$27 10-07 20:36
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026 No +132 $99 100¢ $132 +$32 08-25 09:12
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by december 31 2026 No +137 $92 92¢ $127 +$35 08-25 18:45
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +209 $139 59¢ $123 -$16 10-12 18:32
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +142 $94 77¢ $109 +$16 10-08 11:43
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? No +102 $83 99¢ $101 +$18 09-20 06:55
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +209 $85 41¢ $86 +$1 10-12 18:32
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +86 $40 98¢ $84 +$44 08-10 12:30
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +84 $68 96¢ $80 +$12 10-06 05:13
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +84 $72 94¢ $79 +$8 10-12 17:50
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +85 $75 92¢ $78 +$2 09-18 20:50
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +250 $149 31¢ $76 -$72 10-15 12:21
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +84 $43 86¢ $73 +$30 10-10 18:13
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +86 $75 82¢ $71 -$4 09-17 13:51
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +87 $77 80¢ $69 -$7 09-17 20:31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +84 $60 78¢ $66 +$5 10-04 06:57
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +76 $89 82¢ $62 -$27 10-12 19:03
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +75 $67 82¢ $61 -$5 10-07 17:51
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +108 $42 54¢ $58 +$16 10-02 12:45
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +55 $26 99¢ $54 +$28 08-10 17:12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +108 $76 46¢ $50 -$26 10-02 12:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +84 $59 56¢ $47 -$11 10-06 05:14
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +84 $54 56¢ $46 -$8 10-12 15:43
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +84 $34 44¢ $37 +$3 10-12 15:43
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +43 $20 86¢ $37 +$17 08-10 05:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +84 $27 44¢ $37 +$10 10-06 05:14
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +44 $21 82¢ $36 +$15 09-14 19:41
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +142 $53 23¢ $33 -$21 10-08 11:43