Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?
open
Total volume
$799
$10 in 24h
Trades
89
Unique wallets
37
Liquidity
$866
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-22 09:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $3 | $36 | $33 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $17 | $9 | +$8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $5 | $224 | $219 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $96 | $135 | $39 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $26 | $24 |
| Median | 9 | $10 | $90 | $80 |
| Below median | 3 | $5 | $17 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | $9 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $11 | $4 | +$7 |
| unranked | 17 | $86 | $258 | $173 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warmhearted-Toilet 0xcb14…f66d | Yes | +197 | $43 | $43 | 4 | 07-19 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa5d…04a6 | Yes | +129 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 06-03 06:45 |
| Aromatic-Grid 0xaa0d…c48c | No | +79 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 06-21 05:54 |
| Verifiable-Cheesecake 0x2c5f…f373 | Yes | +64 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-12 13:14 |
| Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | +54 | $40 | $86 | 8 | 08-20 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfbc…56f3 | No | +52 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 06-12 01:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +37 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 07-19 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x04fa…f43f | No | +32 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-09 13:10 |
| Faithful-Suite 0x3792…a87b | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-22 05:56 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +28 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 01:34 |
| Bowed-Chrome 0x4f33…9eeb | Yes | +27 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 20:06 |
| Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 06-03 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x28e2…b877 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 08-22 09:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ec4…2e6a | No | +17 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 08-22 05:56 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x6851…e999 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 07:53 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-05 04:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 08:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8cb…f91f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 05:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 09:39:10 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x2cfc6c… |
| 08-22 09:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x28e2…b877 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x2cfc6c… |
| 08-22 09:31:48 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb91acf… |
| 08-22 09:31:48 | (anonymous) 0x28e2…b877 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb91acf… |
| 08-22 05:56:40 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x3cc771… |
| 08-22 05:56:40 | (anonymous) 0x9ec4…2e6a | No | BUY | 17 | 84¢ | $14 | 0x3cc771… |
| 08-22 05:56:40 | Faithful-Suite 0x3792…a87b | Yes | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x3cc771… |
| 08-21 16:36:18 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xaa257f… |
| 08-21 16:36:18 | (anonymous) 0xa68b…c4b4 | No | SELL | 17 | 85¢ | $14 | 0xaa257f… |
| 08-21 16:36:18 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xaa257f… |
| 08-21 16:36:18 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xaa257f… |
| 08-20 16:55:34 | (anonymous) 0xa68b…c4b4 | No | BUY | 17 | 89¢ | $15 | 0x784fda… |
| 08-20 16:55:34 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | SELL | 17 | 89¢ | $15 | 0x784fda… |
| 08-05 04:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x97e753… |
| 08-05 04:59:06 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x97e753… |
| 08-01 21:20:09 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x2c1b94… |
| 08-01 21:20:09 | (anonymous) 0x28e2…b877 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x2c1b94… |
| 07-24 15:38:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x4e7f02… |
| 07-24 15:38:07 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x4e7f02… |
| 07-22 07:53:19 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x64f714… |
| 07-22 07:53:19 | (anonymous) 0x6851…e999 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x64f714… |
| 07-22 07:53:19 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x64f714… |
| 07-19 22:45:52 | Warmhearted-Toilet 0xcb14…f66d | Yes | BUY | 57 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x2af557… |
| 07-19 22:45:52 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x2af557… |
| 07-19 22:45:52 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 17 | 85¢ | $14 | 0x2af557… |
| 07-16 05:10:59 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x58e0a4… |
| 07-16 05:10:59 | (anonymous) 0xd8cb…f91f | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x58e0a4… |
| 07-12 13:14:01 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | Yes | SELL | 33 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x55e512… |
| 07-12 13:14:01 | Verifiable-Cheesecake 0x2c5f…f373 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x55e512… |
| 07-12 13:14:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x55e512… |
| 07-12 13:14:01 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x55e512… |
| 07-08 11:00:05 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xf76b89… |
| 07-08 11:00:05 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf76b89… |
| 07-08 11:00:05 | Junior-Mister 0x69ac…7b99 | No | SELL | 11 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xf76b89… |
| 07-04 00:30:50 | (anonymous) 0x8b71…917c | No | SELL | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xbc7e0b… |
| 07-04 00:30:50 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xbc7e0b… |
| 07-02 01:30:20 | Joyous-Kiosk 0x994b…02d3 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x9c9c35… |
| 07-02 01:30:20 | Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x9c9c35… |
| 07-02 01:30:20 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x9c9c35… |
| 06-21 05:58:35 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xdbcff1… |
| 06-21 05:58:35 | Tricky-Bubble 0xab60…4f5d | No | SELL | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xdbcff1… |
| 06-21 05:54:01 | Aromatic-Grid 0xaa0d…c48c | No | BUY | 79 | 84¢ | $67 | 0xad1519… |
| 06-21 05:54:01 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 79 | 84¢ | $67 | 0xad1519… |
| 06-21 03:10:56 | Tricky-Bubble 0xab60…4f5d | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x5f52f4… |
| 06-21 03:10:56 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x5f52f4… |
| 06-12 07:35:36 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7f6a25… |
| 06-12 07:35:36 | (anonymous) 0x8b71…917c | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x7f6a25… |
| 06-12 03:50:31 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xa79331… |
| 06-12 03:50:31 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xa79331… |
| 06-12 01:49:07 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xe964ee… |
| 06-12 01:49:07 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xe964ee… |
| 06-12 01:49:07 | (anonymous) 0xcfbc…56f3 | No | BUY | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0xe964ee… |
| 06-12 01:49:07 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe964ee… |
| 06-09 13:10:04 | Warmhearted-Toilet 0xcb14…f66d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xbbc77d… |
| 06-09 13:10:04 | (anonymous) 0x04fa…f43f | No | BUY | 19 | 74¢ | $14 | 0xbbc77d… |
| 06-09 13:07:09 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xfd7eda… |
| 06-09 13:07:09 | Warmhearted-Toilet 0xcb14…f66d | Yes | BUY | 39 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xfd7eda… |
| 06-09 13:07:09 | (anonymous) 0x04fa…f43f | No | BUY | 13 | 74¢ | $9 | 0xfd7eda… |
| 06-09 13:03:25 | Warmhearted-Toilet 0xcb14…f66d | Yes | BUY | 81 | 25¢ | $20 | 0xd1b2fd… |
| 06-09 13:03:25 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xd1b2fd… |
| 06-09 13:03:25 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 25¢ | $14 | 0xd1b2fd… |
| 06-09 13:03:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xd1b2fd… |
| 06-07 01:34:22 | (anonymous) 0xcfbc…56f3 | No | BUY | 28 | 88¢ | $25 | 0x17a172… |
| 06-07 01:34:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x17a172… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | Known-Waiting 0xcf2d…a1c4 | Yes | SELL | 186 | 14¢ | $26 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 45 | 88¢ | $39 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | No | SELL | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 13¢ | $11 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-05 19:14:25 | Charming-Wasp 0x9a77…2eb9 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbe27f5… |
| 06-05 19:14:25 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbe27f5… |
| 06-03 08:11:41 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xff2dcd… |
| 06-03 08:11:41 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | SELL | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xff2dcd… |
| 06-03 06:45:08 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | No | BUY | 13 | 71¢ | $9 | 0x19b6f3… |
| 06-03 06:45:08 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 7 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x19b6f3… |
| 06-03 06:45:08 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | BUY | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x19b6f3… |
| 06-03 06:45:08 | (anonymous) 0xfa5d…04a6 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 26¢ | $21 | 0x19b6f3… |
| 06-03 06:45:08 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x19b6f3… |
| 06-03 06:45:08 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x19b6f3… |
| 06-03 06:39:25 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 43 | 79¢ | $34 | 0x09f564… |
| 06-03 06:39:25 | (anonymous) 0xfa5d…04a6 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x09f564… |
| 06-03 06:39:25 | Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | BUY | 4 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x09f564… |
| 06-02 20:06:08 | Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xfe97b0… |
| 06-02 20:06:08 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xfe97b0… |
| 06-02 20:06:08 | Bowed-Chrome 0x4f33…9eeb | Yes | BUY | 27 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xfe97b0… |
| 05-30 20:34:13 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9451ea… |
| 05-30 20:34:13 | Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x9451ea… |