Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?
open
Total volume
$601
$10 in 24h
Trades
58
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$866
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-08 11:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $17 | $9 | +$8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | — | $180 | $180 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $76 | $89 | $13 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $26 | $24 |
| Median | 5 | — | $41 | $41 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $17 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | $9 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| unranked | 11 | $76 | $186 | $110 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warmhearted-Toilet 0xcb14…f66d | Yes | +140 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 06-09 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa5d…04a6 | Yes | +129 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 06-03 06:45 |
| Aromatic-Grid 0xaa0d…c48c | No | +79 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 06-21 05:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfbc…56f3 | No | +52 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 06-12 01:49 |
| Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | +47 | $35 | $46 | 3 | 07-08 11:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x04fa…f43f | No | +32 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-09 13:10 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +28 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 01:34 |
| Bowed-Chrome 0x4f33…9eeb | Yes | +27 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-06 12:10 |
| Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 06-03 06:39 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 08:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 11:00:05 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xf76b89… |
| 07-08 11:00:05 | Junior-Mister 0x69ac…7b99 | No | SELL | 11 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xf76b89… |
| 07-08 11:00:05 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf76b89… |
| 07-04 00:30:50 | (anonymous) 0x8b71…917c | No | SELL | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xbc7e0b… |
| 07-04 00:30:50 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xbc7e0b… |
| 07-02 01:30:20 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x9c9c35… |
| 07-02 01:30:20 | Joyous-Kiosk 0x994b…02d3 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x9c9c35… |
| 07-02 01:30:20 | Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x9c9c35… |
| 06-21 05:58:35 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xdbcff1… |
| 06-21 05:58:35 | Tricky-Bubble 0xab60…4f5d | No | SELL | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xdbcff1… |
| 06-21 05:54:01 | Aromatic-Grid 0xaa0d…c48c | No | BUY | 79 | 84¢ | $67 | 0xad1519… |
| 06-21 05:54:01 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 79 | 84¢ | $67 | 0xad1519… |
| 06-21 03:10:56 | Tricky-Bubble 0xab60…4f5d | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x5f52f4… |
| 06-21 03:10:56 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x5f52f4… |
| 06-12 07:35:36 | (anonymous) 0x8b71…917c | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x7f6a25… |
| 06-12 07:35:36 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7f6a25… |
| 06-12 03:50:31 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xa79331… |
| 06-12 03:50:31 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xa79331… |
| 06-12 01:49:07 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xe964ee… |
| 06-12 01:49:07 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xe964ee… |
| 06-12 01:49:07 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe964ee… |
| 06-12 01:49:07 | (anonymous) 0xcfbc…56f3 | No | BUY | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0xe964ee… |
| 06-09 13:10:04 | (anonymous) 0x04fa…f43f | No | BUY | 19 | 74¢ | $14 | 0xbbc77d… |
| 06-09 13:10:04 | Warmhearted-Toilet 0xcb14…f66d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xbbc77d… |
| 06-09 13:07:09 | (anonymous) 0x04fa…f43f | No | BUY | 13 | 74¢ | $9 | 0xfd7eda… |
| 06-09 13:07:09 | Warmhearted-Toilet 0xcb14…f66d | Yes | BUY | 39 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xfd7eda… |
| 06-09 13:07:09 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xfd7eda… |
| 06-09 13:03:25 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xd1b2fd… |
| 06-09 13:03:25 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 25¢ | $14 | 0xd1b2fd… |
| 06-09 13:03:25 | Warmhearted-Toilet 0xcb14…f66d | Yes | BUY | 81 | 25¢ | $20 | 0xd1b2fd… |
| 06-09 13:03:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xd1b2fd… |
| 06-07 01:34:22 | (anonymous) 0xcfbc…56f3 | No | BUY | 28 | 88¢ | $25 | 0x17a172… |
| 06-07 01:34:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x17a172… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | SELL | 45 | 88¢ | $39 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | Known-Waiting 0xcf2d…a1c4 | Yes | SELL | 186 | 14¢ | $26 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | No | SELL | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-06 12:10:06 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 13¢ | $11 | 0x4e2b09… |
| 06-05 19:14:25 | Charming-Wasp 0x9a77…2eb9 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbe27f5… |
| 06-05 19:14:25 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbe27f5… |
| 06-03 08:11:41 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | SELL | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xff2dcd… |
| 06-03 08:11:41 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xff2dcd… |
| 06-03 06:45:08 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x19b6f3… |
| 06-03 06:45:08 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | No | BUY | 13 | 71¢ | $9 | 0x19b6f3… |
| 06-03 06:45:08 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | BUY | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x19b6f3… |
| 06-03 06:45:08 | (anonymous) 0xfa5d…04a6 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 26¢ | $21 | 0x19b6f3… |
| 06-03 06:45:08 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x19b6f3… |
| 06-03 06:45:08 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 7 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x19b6f3… |
| 06-03 06:39:25 | Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | BUY | 4 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x09f564… |
| 06-03 06:39:25 | (anonymous) 0xfa5d…04a6 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x09f564… |
| 06-03 06:39:25 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 43 | 79¢ | $34 | 0x09f564… |
| 06-02 20:06:08 | Bowed-Chrome 0x4f33…9eeb | Yes | BUY | 27 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xfe97b0… |
| 06-02 20:06:08 | Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xfe97b0… |
| 06-02 20:06:08 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xfe97b0… |
| 05-30 20:34:13 | Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x9451ea… |
| 05-30 20:34:13 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9451ea… |