Realized P&L
-$75
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
50.7%
Resolved
719
Trades
302,752
lifetime
Volume
$386.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$470
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
52%
21%
+$20
Politics
19%
20%
$-25
Sports
13%
24%
$-95
Crypto
12%
25%
+$46
Tech
2%
0%
$-32
Pop-Culture
1%
100%
+$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk
• peak 3204 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | 2,092 | $4.8K | 10,993 | 10,785 | +208 | open | — | 04-10 07:18 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 1,367 | $4.6K | 11,677 | 11,463 | +214 | open | — | 03-19 17:57 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929 | 563 | $2.1K | 5,230 | 4,987 | +244 | open | — | 03-26 00:28 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 706 | $2.0K | 6,844 | 6,597 | +247 | open | — | 01-30 09:30 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 514 | $1.9K | 5,398 | 5,119 | +279 | open | — | 03-24 19:59 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 767 | $1.7K | 7,344 | 6,907 | +437 | open | — | 03-23 19:39 |
| will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026 | 539 | $1.6K | 4,505 | 4,402 | +103 | open | — | 01-26 02:38 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | 671 | $1.6K | 6,253 | 6,183 | +70 | open | — | 01-30 06:49 |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 435 | $1.5K | 4,260 | 3,945 | +315 | open | — | 03-06 04:27 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 368 | $1.4K | 3,331 | 3,243 | +89 | open | — | 03-04 21:23 |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 540 | $1.4K | 4,166 | 4,036 | +129 | open | — | 03-28 17:44 |
| will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards | 499 | $1.3K | 4,280 | 4,162 | +119 | open | — | 03-02 03:28 |
| will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935 | 513 | $1.3K | 4,957 | 4,805 | +151 | open | — | 02-25 03:27 |
| will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025 | 510 | $1.2K | 3,775 | 3,705 | +70 | open | — | 02-24 03:08 |
| will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988 | 646 | $1.2K | 5,883 | 5,768 | +115 | open | — | 02-24 13:26 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | 1,281 | $1.2K | 4,533 | 4,361 | +173 | open | — | 04-10 07:21 |
| will player 167 win beast games season 2 763 | 354 | $1.2K | 2,829 | 2,764 | +65 | open | — | 02-18 02:27 |
| will drake maye win the 202526 nfl mvp award | 426 | $1.1K | 3,530 | 3,436 | +94 | open | — | 02-06 03:44 |
| Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | 145 | $1.1K | 2,650 | 2,532 | +118 | open | — | 04-01 00:00 |
| Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | 296 | $1.1K | 2,417 | 2,250 | +166 | open | — | 04-18 22:11 |
| will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament | 496 | $1.1K | 3,793 | 3,653 | +139 | open | — | 03-17 23:41 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 268 | $1.1K | 2,286 | 2,235 | +52 | open | — | 06-01 11:12 |
| will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026 | 282 | $1.1K | 2,676 | 2,676 | +0 | open | — | 01-09 22:49 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | 275 | $981 | 3,427 | 3,270 | +158 | open | — | 03-31 00:22 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | 371 | $967 | 2,772 | 2,547 | +225 | open | — | 01-31 13:27 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 520 | $952 | 4,461 | 4,341 | +120 | open | — | 03-16 12:16 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | 310 | $930 | 3,018 | 2,841 | +177 | open | — | 02-22 15:53 |
| will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026 | 662 | $921 | 6,454 | 6,157 | +297 | open | — | 01-20 16:15 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | 375 | $907 | 2,510 | 2,342 | +167 | open | — | 03-05 05:59 |
| will matthew stafford win the 202526 nfl mvp award | 293 | $902 | 2,512 | 2,478 | +34 | open | — | 02-06 03:46 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | 948 | $240.8K | 53,501 | 06-09 19:59 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 801 | $3.06M | 75,875 | 06-09 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2 | 779 | $826.1K | 76,308 | 04-19 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | 779 | $312.3K | 125,298 | 04-27 02:34 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | 746 | $52.4K | 12,386 | 03-27 21:25 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | 735 | $1.51M | 134,505 | 06-01 05:34 |
| Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389 | 718 | $699.4K | 124,857 | 06-08 17:57 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | 707 | $306.7K | 6,391 | 06-09 07:27 |