Realized P&L
-$75
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
50.7%
Resolved
719
Trades
302,752
lifetime
Volume
$386.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$470
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
52% 21% +$20
Politics
19% 20% $-25
Sports
13% 24% $-95
Crypto
12% 25% +$46
Tech
2% 0% $-32
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 3204 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? Yes -36 $-19 80¢ $-29 $-10 06-05 16:20
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $1,000 -50 $-25 52¢ $-26 $-1 06-03 20:40
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -25 $-13 100¢ $-25 $-12 06-07 18:36
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? Yes +25 $1 100¢ $25 +$24 06-05 13:21
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? No -24 $-40 94¢ $-22 +$17 05-31 10:46
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -25 $-9 71¢ $-18 $-9 05-28 04:59
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes -25 $-16 70¢ $-18 $-1 05-30 13:28
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30? No -25 $-8 70¢ $-17 $-9 05-30 12:22
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -25 $-9 67¢ $-17 $-8 06-04 20:38
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -25 $-6 66¢ $-16 $-10 06-01 13:51
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes -25 $-13 64¢ $-16 $-3 06-09 15:24
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -28 $-14 55¢ $-15 $-1 06-05 14:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Yes -25 $-14 57¢ $-14 $-0 06-05 19:41
WHOOP IPO before 2027? Yes +24 $4 59¢ $14 +$10 05-30 18:49
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -25 $-15 56¢ $-14 +$1 06-08 07:01
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes -31 $-16 45¢ $-14 +$2 06-04 08:52
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes +43 $12 30¢ $13 +$1 06-05 20:08
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +25 $7 52¢ $13 +$6 06-02 08:04
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? No +25 $6 52¢ $13 +$7 05-30 11:03
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +25 $6 50¢ $12 +$7 06-06 02:22
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -49 $-27 26¢ $-12 +$14 05-31 00:46
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -13 $-8 98¢ $-12 $-4 05-28 16:24
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? Alcaraz -25 $-14 49¢ $-12 +$2 05-30 20:01
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes -21 $-11 56¢ $-12 $-1 06-04 18:55
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? No +25 $7 48¢ $12 +$5 06-05 16:17
Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +25 $3 46¢ $12 +$9 06-08 15:32
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -25 $-13 46¢ $-12 +$2 06-07 04:48
Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary? Yes -19 $-11 60¢ $-11 $-0 06-03 03:14
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -22 $-15 50¢ $-11 +$4 05-30 19:46
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027? Yes +25 $0 44¢ $11 +$10 06-01 04:22