Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open
Total volume
$13,621
$15 in 24h
Trades
255
Unique wallets
75
Liquidity
$2,454
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-14 07:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $45 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $57 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $7 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $22 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $35 | $315 | $280 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $3 | $299 | $296 |
| Median | 7 | — | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| Below median | 7 | $18 | $769 | $751 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $6 | $43 | $37 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $48 | $581 | $533 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $492 | $492 |
| unranked | 31 | $21 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +1,529 | $1,358 | $1,358 | 6 | 07-31 18:42 |
| albert.c 0x0655…475d | No | +885 | $800 | $800 | 3 | 07-12 14:24 |
| Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | +449 | $390 | $1,105 | 24 | 08-14 07:15 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +362 | $326 | $326 | 2 | 07-15 12:18 |
| Far-Flung-Transom 0xf6c6…7d80 | No | +242 | $220 | $220 | 1 | 07-08 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6cf…b265 | No | +174 | $157 | $157 | 1 | 07-02 14:36 |
| Imaginary-Closet 0x2bcd…cbfb | No | +173 | $151 | $151 | 2 | 06-02 15:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | +146 | $131 | $131 | 2 | 08-06 04:38 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +128 | $110 | $110 | 3 | 06-08 00:27 |
| Golden-Anguish 0x23a8…8004 | No | +126 | $109 | $109 | 2 | 07-31 18:42 |
| Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | +124 | $105 | $301 | 10 | 08-14 07:15 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +70 | $61 | $61 | 8 | 07-15 12:55 |
| Optimal-Charter 0xab18…467d | No | +70 | $64 | $116 | 2 | 07-04 21:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x703b…2320 | Yes | +45 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-10 10:40 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +41 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 07-12 20:39 |
| Inferior-Championship 0xd211…6eaa | Yes | +37 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x024e…8fa1 | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 08-10 10:40 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 08-02 15:30 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-15 12:18 |
| Circular-Coverage 0x07e0…e1e8 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-12 05:16 |
| Burly-Chronometer 0x0524…1479 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-11 06:44 |
| Private-Eviction 0x07cf…a9fa | No | +18 | $15 | $121 | 8 | 06-23 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3413…d913 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-24 14:30 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-02 15:30 |
| Ordinary-Bird 0x5296…6d7b | Yes | +9 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 07-04 21:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $12 | 2 | 06-20 17:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 07:15:42 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | SELL | 13 | 89¢ | $11 | 0x117b59… |
| 08-14 07:15:42 | (anonymous) 0x144c…db79 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x117b59… |
| 08-14 07:15:42 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x117b59… |
| 08-12 13:35:45 | Gleeful-Philosopher-Elbow 0xf6ce…1eb4 | No | SELL | 13 | 88¢ | $11 | 0x44f8f6… |
| 08-12 13:35:45 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | BUY | 13 | 88¢ | $11 | 0x44f8f6… |
| 08-11 12:12:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 22 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa8231d… |
| 08-11 12:12:40 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 22 | 89¢ | $20 | 0xa8231d… |
| 08-10 10:40:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5ce74f… |
| 08-10 10:40:06 | (anonymous) 0x703b…2320 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x5ce74f… |
| 08-10 10:40:06 | (anonymous) 0x024e…8fa1 | No | BUY | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x5ce74f… |
| 08-06 04:38:17 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | SELL | 19 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x723cc8… |
| 08-06 04:38:17 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x723cc8… |
| 08-06 04:38:17 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 80 | 90¢ | $72 | 0x723cc8… |
| 08-06 04:38:17 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x723cc8… |
| 08-06 04:38:17 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x723cc8… |
| 08-05 10:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x91b0…d2ae | Yes | SELL | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x46cff3… |
| 08-05 10:01:00 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x46cff3… |
| 08-05 10:01:00 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x46cff3… |
| 08-05 10:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x91b0…d2ae | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x38f761… |
| 08-05 10:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x38f761… |
| 08-02 15:30:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x757f79… |
| 08-02 15:30:11 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x757f79… |
| 08-02 15:16:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x5c2c59… |
| 08-02 15:16:26 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 66 | 89¢ | $59 | 0x5c2c59… |
| 08-02 15:16:26 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 46 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x5c2c59… |
| 07-31 18:42:12 | Ill-Fated-Browsing 0x0fe5…91aa | No | SELL | 67 | 88¢ | $59 | 0x5599e9… |
| 07-31 18:42:12 | Golden-Anguish 0x23a8…8004 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x5599e9… |
| 07-31 18:42:12 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 17 | 87¢ | $15 | 0x5599e9… |
| 07-27 21:43:09 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x992dd4… |
| 07-27 21:43:09 | (anonymous) 0x4eba…c7d7 | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x992dd4… |
| 07-27 17:29:18 | (anonymous) 0x7e62…6cf7 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x0bbfc0… |
| 07-27 17:29:18 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x0bbfc0… |
| 07-27 11:20:10 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 78 | 87¢ | $68 | 0xa6b2e4… |
| 07-27 11:20:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 178 | 87¢ | $155 | 0xa6b2e4… |
| 07-27 11:20:10 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0xa6b2e4… |
| 07-27 11:20:06 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x2817f9… |
| 07-27 11:20:06 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x669190… |
| 07-27 11:20:06 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x669190… |
| 07-27 11:20:06 | (anonymous) 0x4eba…c7d7 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x2817f9… |
| 07-27 05:20:03 | Purple-Fruit 0x97ea…3363 | No | SELL | 1,323 | 89¢ | $1,178 | 0xe42b1c… |
| 07-27 05:20:03 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 1,323 | 89¢ | $1,178 | 0xe42b1c… |
| 07-23 14:33:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 46 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x382ea9… |
| 07-23 14:33:15 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 46 | 88¢ | $40 | 0x382ea9… |
| 07-22 08:21:48 | Automatic-Riding 0xa575…f2d0 | No | SELL | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0x88eb5a… |
| 07-22 08:21:48 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | BUY | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0x88eb5a… |
| 07-21 16:49:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 35 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x421182… |
| 07-21 16:49:15 | Purple-Fruit 0x97ea…3363 | No | SELL | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x421182… |
| 07-21 16:49:15 | Ill-Fated-Browsing 0x0fe5…91aa | No | BUY | 56 | 89¢ | $50 | 0x421182… |
| 07-21 16:48:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9e02fd… |
| 07-21 16:48:49 | Ill-Fated-Browsing 0x0fe5…91aa | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x9e02fd… |
| 07-20 21:01:03 | (anonymous) 0x7e62…6cf7 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x44d406… |
| 07-20 21:01:03 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x44d406… |
| 07-15 12:58:34 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x9d493e… |
| 07-15 12:58:34 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x9d493e… |
| 07-15 12:55:32 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0xf60ae2… |
| 07-15 12:55:32 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 133 | 86¢ | $114 | 0xf60ae2… |
| 07-15 12:55:32 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | BUY | 33 | 86¢ | $28 | 0xf60ae2… |
| 07-15 12:55:26 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x5d5c73… |
| 07-15 12:55:26 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x5d5c73… |
| 07-15 12:55:26 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x5d5c73… |
| 07-15 12:55:26 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 170 | 87¢ | $148 | 0x5d5c73… |
| 07-15 12:28:04 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | BUY | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x1f8216… |
| 07-15 12:28:04 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1f8216… |
| 07-15 12:28:04 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 109 | 88¢ | $96 | 0x1f8216… |
| 07-15 12:28:04 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x1f8216… |
| 07-15 12:28:04 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x1f8216… |
| 07-15 12:21:50 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x13700d… |
| 07-15 12:21:50 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x13700d… |
| 07-15 12:19:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x91403a… |
| 07-15 12:19:43 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x91403a… |
| 07-15 12:18:47 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 60 | 88¢ | $53 | 0x1a3f37… |
| 07-15 12:18:47 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | BUY | 60 | 88¢ | $53 | 0x1a3f37… |
| 07-15 12:18:38 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 3 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x8e7e92… |
| 07-15 12:18:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x8e7e92… |
| 07-15 12:18:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 33 | 89¢ | $29 | 0x8e7e92… |
| 07-15 12:18:37 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 160 | 90¢ | $144 | 0x1eabb9… |
| 07-15 12:18:37 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0x1eabb9… |
| 07-15 12:18:37 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x1eabb9… |
| 07-15 12:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 53 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x836cff… |
| 07-15 12:18:34 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 53 | 91¢ | $48 | 0x836cff… |
| 07-15 12:18:07 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xbad75e… |
| 07-15 12:18:07 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 412 | 91¢ | $375 | 0xbad75e… |
| 07-15 12:18:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 102 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xbad75e… |
| 07-15 12:18:07 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 1,389 | 91¢ | $1,264 | 0xbad75e… |
| 07-15 12:18:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 600 | 91¢ | $546 | 0xbad75e… |
| 07-15 12:18:07 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 175 | 91¢ | $159 | 0xbad75e… |
| 07-12 20:39:26 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x875098… |
| 07-12 20:39:26 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x875098… |
| 07-12 20:39:26 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | BUY | 71 | 91¢ | $65 | 0x875098… |
| 07-12 14:24:07 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 38 | 91¢ | $35 | 0x6547f7… |
| 07-12 14:24:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 24 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x6547f7… |
| 07-12 14:24:07 | albert.c 0x0655…475d | No | BUY | 330 | 91¢ | $300 | 0x6547f7… |
| 07-12 14:24:07 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 246 | 91¢ | $224 | 0x6547f7… |
| 07-12 14:24:07 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x6547f7… |
| 07-12 14:24:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x6547f7… |
| 07-11 06:44:26 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa65297… |
| 07-11 06:44:26 | Burly-Chronometer 0x0524…1479 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xa65297… |
| 07-10 20:30:40 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x692f11… |
| 07-10 20:30:40 | (anonymous) 0x4ca9…7aa1 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x692f11… |
| 07-10 15:21:44 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xba0801… |