Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,961
$15 in 24h
Trades
134
Unique wallets
51
Liquidity
$2,454
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-04 12:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $32 | $363 | $332 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $27 | $232 | $205 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $12 | $382 | $370 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $14 | $662 | $648 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $25 | $4 | +$20 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $272 | $272 |
| Median | 4 | — | $87 | $87 |
| Below median | 6 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $6 | $34 | $28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $28 | $135 | $107 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $166 | $166 |
| unranked | 20 | $15 | $941 | $926 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| albert.c 0x0655…475d | No | +555 | $500 | $500 | 2 | 07-04 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6cf…b265 | No | +174 | $157 | $157 | 1 | 07-02 14:36 |
| Imaginary-Closet 0x2bcd…cbfb | No | +173 | $151 | $151 | 2 | 06-02 15:30 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +128 | $110 | $110 | 3 | 06-08 00:27 |
| Golden-Anguish 0x23a8…8004 | No | +76 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 06-20 00:21 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-28 14:18 |
| Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | +50 | $42 | $132 | 5 | 07-02 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +39 | $0 | $49 | 13 | 07-04 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +38 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 06-20 08:58 |
| Inferior-Championship 0xd211…6eaa | Yes | +37 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 12:49 |
| Circular-Coverage 0x07e0…e1e8 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-12 05:16 |
| Private-Eviction 0x07cf…a9fa | No | +18 | $15 | $121 | 8 | 06-23 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3413…d913 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-24 14:30 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-28 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 00:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $12 | 2 | 06-20 17:43 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 16:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 12:07:53 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $45 | 0xbd1673… |
| 07-04 12:07:53 | albert.c 0x0655…475d | No | BUY | 330 | 91¢ | $300 | 0xbd1673… |
| 07-04 12:07:53 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xbd1673… |
| 07-04 12:07:53 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 150 | 91¢ | $136 | 0xbd1673… |
| 07-03 20:37:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x102c8a… |
| 07-03 20:37:13 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | SELL | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x102c8a… |
| 07-02 14:36:23 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | SELL | 74 | 90¢ | $67 | 0xb21b2c… |
| 07-02 14:36:23 | (anonymous) 0xc6cf…b265 | No | BUY | 174 | 90¢ | $157 | 0xb21b2c… |
| 07-02 14:36:23 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xb21b2c… |
| 07-02 14:36:23 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xb21b2c… |
| 06-28 14:18:49 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x99c17d… |
| 06-28 14:18:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x99c17d… |
| 06-28 14:18:28 | albert.c 0x0655…475d | No | BUY | 224 | 89¢ | $200 | 0x4caee4… |
| 06-28 14:18:28 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x4caee4… |
| 06-28 14:18:28 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 54 | 90¢ | $49 | 0x4caee4… |
| 06-28 14:18:28 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x4caee4… |
| 06-28 00:16:04 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | SELL | 82 | 89¢ | $73 | 0xd9f37c… |
| 06-28 00:16:04 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 82 | 11¢ | $9 | 0xd9f37c… |
| 06-28 00:16:02 | (anonymous) 0x1424…c73f | Yes | SELL | 196 | 12¢ | $24 | 0xdaf836… |
| 06-28 00:16:02 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 12¢ | $10 | 0xdaf836… |
| 06-28 00:16:02 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xdaf836… |
| 06-28 00:16:02 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdaf836… |
| 06-28 00:16:02 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0xdaf836… |
| 06-26 22:29:05 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x5ec479… |
| 06-26 22:29:05 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x5ec479… |
| 06-26 22:29:05 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 28 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x5ec479… |
| 06-26 22:29:05 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 150 | 87¢ | $130 | 0x5ec479… |
| 06-26 22:29:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x5ec479… |
| 06-25 14:55:59 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xa375a2… |
| 06-25 14:55:59 | (anonymous) 0x6ac2…99bf | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xa375a2… |
| 06-25 14:53:34 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x34bedc… |
| 06-25 14:53:34 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x34bedc… |
| 06-25 14:53:34 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x34bedc… |
| 06-24 16:40:01 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xdb8090… |
| 06-24 16:40:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xdb8090… |
| 06-24 15:09:29 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x2f8576… |
| 06-24 15:09:29 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | SELL | 38 | 88¢ | $34 | 0x2f8576… |
| 06-24 14:30:20 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xc57cfd… |
| 06-24 14:30:20 | (anonymous) 0x3413…d913 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xc57cfd… |
| 06-23 22:08:23 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x1c713a… |
| 06-23 22:08:23 | Private-Eviction 0x07cf…a9fa | No | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x1c713a… |
| 06-20 17:43:22 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xa7592c… |
| 06-20 17:43:22 | (anonymous) 0x6ac2…99bf | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xa7592c… |
| 06-20 17:43:20 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x253d96… |
| 06-20 17:43:20 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x253d96… |
| 06-20 17:43:20 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x253d96… |
| 06-20 08:58:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 28 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xff8801… |
| 06-20 08:58:08 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $8 | 0xff8801… |
| 06-20 08:58:08 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 38 | 87¢ | $33 | 0xff8801… |
| 06-20 00:21:08 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 70 | 86¢ | $60 | 0x0e14f3… |
| 06-20 00:21:08 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x0e14f3… |
| 06-20 00:21:08 | Golden-Anguish 0x23a8…8004 | No | BUY | 76 | 86¢ | $65 | 0x0e14f3… |
| 06-17 11:48:53 | (anonymous) 0x5fe1…273b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x4083b6… |
| 06-17 11:48:53 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x4083b6… |
| 06-15 15:11:07 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xcfb562… |
| 06-15 15:11:07 | (anonymous) 0xde2b…73a0 | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xcfb562… |
| 06-15 15:10:46 | (anonymous) 0x7c8e…9be8 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xaafa0f… |
| 06-15 15:10:46 | Private-Eviction 0x07cf…a9fa | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xaafa0f… |
| 06-15 13:53:21 | Private-Eviction 0x07cf…a9fa | No | SELL | 45 | 85¢ | $38 | 0x061db2… |
| 06-15 13:53:21 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 45 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x061db2… |
| 06-12 05:16:07 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x32e410… |
| 06-12 05:16:07 | (anonymous) 0xde2c…ce79 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x32e410… |
| 06-12 05:16:04 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x8f4c25… |
| 06-12 05:16:04 | Circular-Coverage 0x07e0…e1e8 | No | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x8f4c25… |
| 06-12 05:16:04 | Deadly-Grid 0x57ee…8112 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x8f4c25… |
| 06-12 05:16:04 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x8f4c25… |
| 06-12 05:15:55 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x51ca54… |
| 06-12 05:15:55 | Deadly-Grid 0x57ee…8112 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x51ca54… |
| 06-11 22:16:46 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 16 | 84¢ | $13 | 0xe22073… |
| 06-11 22:16:46 | Circular-Coverage 0x07e0…e1e8 | No | BUY | 16 | 84¢ | $13 | 0xe22073… |
| 06-11 22:07:12 | Handmade-Burst 0x4f9a…436d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x6b042c… |
| 06-11 22:07:12 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x6b042c… |
| 06-08 20:03:51 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x25bd93… |
| 06-08 20:03:51 | Second-Domain 0x682d…4cd6 | No | SELL | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0x25bd93… |
| 06-08 20:03:51 | Grave-Combination 0x49b1…c280 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x25bd93… |
| 06-08 00:27:43 | Optimal-Charter 0xab18…467d | No | SELL | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x1cca9c… |
| 06-08 00:27:43 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x1cca9c… |
| 06-06 12:49:25 | Inferior-Championship 0xd211…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 37 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xcda7c3… |
| 06-06 12:49:25 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 37 | 86¢ | $32 | 0xcda7c3… |
| 06-04 21:14:27 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 61 | 86¢ | $52 | 0x6140cc… |
| 06-04 21:14:27 | Amazing-Counseling 0xa639…f5e8 | No | SELL | 61 | 86¢ | $52 | 0x6140cc… |
| 06-04 21:11:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x2a7934… |
| 06-04 21:11:33 | Amazing-Counseling 0xa639…f5e8 | No | BUY | 61 | 87¢ | $53 | 0x2a7934… |
| 06-04 21:11:33 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x2a7934… |
| 06-04 14:02:37 | Ordinary-Bird 0x5296…6d7b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x269126… |
| 06-04 14:02:37 | Private-Eviction 0x07cf…a9fa | No | SELL | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x269126… |
| 06-02 22:25:29 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 12 | 88¢ | $11 | 0xc10bbc… |
| 06-02 22:25:29 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc10bbc… |
| 06-02 15:30:32 | Imaginary-Closet 0x2bcd…cbfb | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x57c197… |
| 06-02 15:30:32 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x57c197… |
| 06-02 11:09:52 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x44439d… |
| 06-02 11:09:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x44439d… |
| 06-02 11:09:52 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 80 | 87¢ | $70 | 0x44439d… |
| 06-02 09:47:11 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x0d5274… |
| 06-02 09:47:11 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x0d5274… |
| 06-02 09:47:11 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 26 | 86¢ | $22 | 0x0d5274… |
| 06-02 09:47:11 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x0d5274… |
| 06-02 09:47:11 | Imaginary-Closet 0x2bcd…cbfb | No | BUY | 168 | 87¢ | $146 | 0x0d5274… |
| 05-31 13:03:02 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x18d194… |
| 05-31 13:03:02 | (anonymous) 0xe730…f0bb | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x8559ac… |