Realized P&L
-$574
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
35.7%
Resolved
188
Trades
581
lifetime
Volume
$3.92K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$556
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-29
last 10-29 16:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Other
72% 29% -$371
Politics
18% 7% -$115
Tech
5% 0% -$45
Sports
5% 29% -$42
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +141 $133 95¢ $134 +$1 08-23 16:40
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +121 $120 100¢ $121 +$1 10-09 05:08
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? Yes +2,443 $59 2¢ $55 -$4 08-31 02:06
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +41 $39 96¢ $40 +$0 09-28 08:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +37 $20 60¢ $22 +$3 10-10 05:57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +33 $15 66¢ $22 +$6 08-06 08:31
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +22 $18 93¢ $21 +$2 07-02 10:21
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes +170 $5 10¢ $17 +$12 08-24 20:26
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20 $12 64¢ $13 +$1 07-03 15:08
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +370 $3 3¢ $12 +$9 08-25 15:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +16 $6 68¢ $11 +$5 07-03 15:07
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +11 $5 91¢ $10 +$5 07-03 15:07
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +109 $9 8¢ $9 $0 08-31 02:06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +12 $7 74¢ $8 +$1 07-03 15:08
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +211 $13 3¢ $7 -$6 10-21 01:24
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +20 $8 36¢ $7 -$1 07-02 10:21
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +9 $3 73¢ $6 +$4 08-31 14:03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +16 $9 32¢ $5 -$4 07-02 10:21
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7 $4 66¢ $5 +$0 07-02 10:21
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +5 $4 84¢ $5 +$0 08-05 14:31
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 08-06 08:32
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +776 $14 0¢ $3 -$10 10-08 04:00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +12 $5 26¢ $3 -$2 07-02 10:21
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +3 $1 90¢ $3 +$2 07-03 15:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +42 $12 6¢ $3 -$9 10-05 13:59
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7 $3 34¢ $2 -$1 07-03 15:07
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +3 $2 79¢ $2 $0 07-01 10:20
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? Yes +29 $3 7¢ $2 -$1 08-31 14:04
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +48 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 08-10 12:46
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes +33 $1 5¢ $2 +$1 09-25 21:35