Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,817
$48 in 24h
Trades
115
Unique wallets
48
Liquidity
$3,219
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-16 06:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+77.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1
vs crowd: 23% YES on $833)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $24 | $97 | $73 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $90 | $226 | $137 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $43 | $223 | $180 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $34 | $96 | $61 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $12 | $97 | $85 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 4 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Below median | 13 | $66 | $175 | $109 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $50 | $118 | $68 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $19 | $146 | $127 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| unranked | 13 | $34 | $93 | $60 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +130 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-14 18:42 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +121 | $93 | $163 | 3 | 06-14 20:53 |
| Angry-Evaluation 0x162f…798d | No | +119 | $76 | $93 | 6 | 06-16 06:09 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +85 | $55 | $55 | 5 | 06-15 21:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf91…f6de | No | +67 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 06-15 14:20 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +50 | $17 | $61 | 4 | 06-14 18:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xabd7…a0ce | Yes | +40 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-15 21:17 |
| Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | +32 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-08 09:43 |
| Glossy-Statute 0xe732…898f | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-06 04:02 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $13 | $104 | 17 | 06-15 16:00 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +19 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-28 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | +18 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-06 18:50 |
| Instructive-Billion 0x1757…4a8d | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-27 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | +14 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-14 21:02 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | +8 | $8 | $38 | 2 | 06-15 11:35 |
| Some-Normalisation 0xa3fe…a7a5 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-15 16:00 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 20:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 06:34 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-27 21:03 |
| Loyal-Exam 0xd8dc…b4d2 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 10:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b4c…42ec | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 09:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e6f…cc51 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 23:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 06:09:22 | Quizzical-Habitat 0xf93d…e64b | No | SELL | 4 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x4cfe20… |
| 06-16 06:09:22 | Angry-Evaluation 0x162f…798d | No | BUY | 4 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x4cfe20… |
| 06-15 21:17:54 | Angry-Evaluation 0x162f…798d | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x67b425… |
| 06-15 21:17:54 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x67b425… |
| 06-15 21:17:54 | (anonymous) 0xabd7…a0ce | Yes | BUY | 28 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x67b425… |
| 06-15 16:00:45 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa357de… |
| 06-15 16:00:45 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xa357de… |
| 06-15 14:20:00 | (anonymous) 0xaf91…f6de | No | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xa94c56… |
| 06-15 14:20:00 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xa94c56… |
| 06-15 11:35:52 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 24 | 64¢ | $15 | 0x36c275… |
| 06-15 11:35:52 | Angry-Evaluation 0x162f…798d | No | BUY | 120 | 64¢ | $77 | 0x36c275… |
| 06-15 11:35:52 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 96 | 64¢ | $61 | 0x36c275… |
| 06-14 22:12:39 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xd915fa… |
| 06-14 22:12:39 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 37¢ | $3 | 0xd915fa… |
| 06-14 22:12:39 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 29 | 63¢ | $18 | 0xd915fa… |
| 06-14 21:02:40 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | BUY | 4 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x44dd71… |
| 06-14 21:02:40 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 14 | 63¢ | $9 | 0x44dd71… |
| 06-14 20:53:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xa76492… |
| 06-14 20:53:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x83264b… |
| 06-14 20:53:40 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 34 | 64¢ | $22 | 0x83264b… |
| 06-14 20:53:40 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 14 | 64¢ | $9 | 0x83264b… |
| 06-14 20:53:40 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xa76492… |
| 06-14 20:53:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $3 | 0x04275a… |
| 06-14 20:53:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x04275a… |
| 06-14 19:02:16 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | SELL | 50 | 71¢ | $36 | 0xe0588e… |
| 06-14 19:02:16 | (anonymous) 0xaf91…f6de | No | BUY | 50 | 71¢ | $36 | 0xe0588e… |
| 06-14 18:42:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x6437ec… |
| 06-14 18:42:33 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 32 | 72¢ | $23 | 0x6437ec… |
| 06-14 18:42:33 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x6437ec… |
| 06-14 18:42:31 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 125 | 73¢ | $91 | 0x44d745… |
| 06-14 18:42:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x44d745… |
| 06-14 18:42:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 103 | 27¢ | $28 | 0x44d745… |
| 06-14 18:42:31 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 175 | 73¢ | $128 | 0x44d745… |
| 06-14 18:42:31 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 130 | 73¢ | $95 | 0x44d745… |
| 06-14 18:42:31 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | BUY | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0x44d745… |
| 06-14 18:42:31 | Upset-Suede 0x9437…e75f | No | SELL | 603 | 73¢ | $440 | 0x44d745… |
| 06-14 17:58:54 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xa9423c… |
| 06-14 17:58:54 | Clear-Swimsuit 0x3a56…4738 | No | SELL | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0xa9423c… |
| 06-14 07:02:43 | (anonymous) 0xabd7…a0ce | Yes | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xc5003f… |
| 06-14 07:02:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xc5003f… |
| 06-14 00:12:33 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0xb43079… |
| 06-14 00:12:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xb43079… |
| 06-14 00:12:33 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 26¢ | $11 | 0xb43079… |
| 06-14 00:12:33 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xb43079… |
| 06-13 23:22:39 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x0e97da… |
| 06-13 23:22:39 | (anonymous) 0x0e6f…cc51 | No | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x0e97da… |
| 06-13 06:34:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x960254… |
| 06-13 06:34:13 | (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x960254… |
| 06-13 06:32:04 | (anonymous) 0xaf91…f6de | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xa5d982… |
| 06-13 06:32:04 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0xa5d982… |
| 06-12 19:38:36 | Fresh-Fill 0xbe40…efa0 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x0216a2… |
| 06-12 19:38:36 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x0216a2… |
| 06-12 17:17:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 32 | 71¢ | $23 | 0x359f7e… |
| 06-12 17:17:04 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 29¢ | $9 | 0x359f7e… |
| 06-12 17:16:58 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x7f952b… |
| 06-12 17:16:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x7f952b… |
| 06-12 17:16:58 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 30¢ | $11 | 0x7f952b… |
| 06-12 17:16:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x7bdb08… |
| 06-12 17:16:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xa11081… |
| 06-12 17:16:49 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xa11081… |
| 06-12 17:16:49 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x7bdb08… |
| 06-12 17:16:22 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 31¢ | $11 | 0x50faea… |
| 06-12 17:16:22 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 31¢ | $11 | 0x50faea… |
| 06-12 17:16:01 | Double-Daffodil 0x1bbe…1559 | Yes | SELL | 177 | 31¢ | $56 | 0xc3fea2… |
| 06-12 17:16:01 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 31¢ | $25 | 0xc3fea2… |
| 06-12 17:16:01 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0xc3fea2… |
| 06-12 17:16:01 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 31¢ | $11 | 0xc3fea2… |
| 06-12 17:16:01 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xc3fea2… |
| 06-12 17:16:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xc3fea2… |
| 06-12 11:16:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 28 | 67¢ | $19 | 0x3a90c7… |
| 06-12 11:16:57 | Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x3a90c7… |
| 06-12 11:16:57 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x3a90c7… |
| 06-12 09:15:19 | Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | SELL | 14 | 67¢ | $9 | 0x83c32d… |
| 06-12 09:15:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x83c32d… |
| 06-11 22:14:49 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 9 | 67¢ | $6 | 0x2a4a6a… |
| 06-11 22:14:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x2a4a6a… |
| 06-11 18:58:12 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x2f0cbc… |
| 06-11 18:58:12 | Everlasting-Premeditation 0xb538…413e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x2f0cbc… |
| 06-08 09:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x214e11… |
| 06-08 09:48:24 | Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x214e11… |
| 06-08 09:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 4 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x214e11… |
| 06-08 09:43:40 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 37¢ | $4 | 0xa98936… |
| 06-08 09:43:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xa98936… |
| 06-08 09:43:40 | Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | BUY | 32 | 63¢ | $20 | 0xa98936… |
| 06-07 15:41:18 | (anonymous) 0x5956…07cb | No | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x8b454d… |
| 06-07 15:41:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x8b454d… |
| 06-06 18:50:22 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 40¢ | $7 | 0xdb48ad… |
| 06-06 18:50:22 | Favorable-Cue 0x971a…0126 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 40¢ | $7 | 0xdb48ad… |
| 06-06 04:02:45 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x1f6309… |
| 06-06 04:02:45 | Glossy-Statute 0xe732…898f | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x1f6309… |
| 06-04 16:09:48 | Favorable-Cue 0x971a…0126 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x12cdbb… |
| 06-04 16:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x5956…07cb | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x12cdbb… |
| 06-04 07:53:06 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…a840 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 40¢ | $5 | 0xfd97c1… |
| 06-04 07:53:06 | Favorable-Cue 0x971a…0126 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 40¢ | $5 | 0xfd97c1… |
| 06-04 02:13:43 | Favorable-Cue 0x971a…0126 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 40¢ | $0 | 0xb969ba… |
| 06-04 02:13:43 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 40¢ | $0 | 0xb969ba… |
| 06-02 04:00:34 | Scornful-Submitter 0x6133…9613 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 38¢ | $29 | 0x105867… |
| 06-02 04:00:34 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 76 | 62¢ | $47 | 0x105867… |
| 06-01 03:56:51 | Angry-Evaluation 0x162f…798d | No | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xca0438… |
| 06-01 03:56:51 | (anonymous) 0xbb49…9e55 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xca0438… |