Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$655
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,193
lifetime
Volume
$149.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$125
Open exposure
$8.04K
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 07-01 06:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
58%
Other
31% 100% +$2
Crypto
5%
Tech
4%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2,000 $1,812 99¢ $2.0K +$173 06-26 12:01
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,300 $1,262 100¢ $1.3K +$37 06-29 23:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,000 $602 70¢ $695 +$93 06-25 00:00
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +700 $646 93¢ $652 +$6 06-30 22:29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +644 $545 98¢ $634 +$89 07-01 02:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +400 $375 95¢ $381 +$6 06-05 03:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $338 90¢ $362 +$24 06-10 22:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +300 $249 100¢ $300 +$50 06-12 17:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +300 $238 86¢ $260 +$22 06-11 17:45
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +250 $216 99¢ $248 +$32 06-14 19:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -275 $-343 86¢ $-235 +$108 07-01 01:58
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +200 $180 94¢ $187 +$7 06-03 05:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $168 92¢ $183 +$15 06-02 23:50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +200 $168 90¢ $179 +$11 06-01 09:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $170 86¢ $173 +$3 06-01 16:01
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +100 $97 97¢ $97 +$0 06-10 09:31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +90 $64 74¢ $67 +$3 06-03 00:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $48 20¢ $39 $-9 06-10 18:01
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $24 72¢ $27 +$3 07-01 04:47
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $44 26¢ $26 $-18 06-30 15:24
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? No +14 $13 88¢ $13 $-0 06-15 09:32