Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$326
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
3,234
lifetime
Volume
$288.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$17.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 07-21 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56%
Other
36% 100% +$2
Tech
4%
Crypto
3%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 309 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -2,528 $-2,341 92¢ $-2313 +$27 07-03 04:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,500 $2,018 72¢ $1.8K $-230 07-20 14:26
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,300 $1,211 95¢ $1.2K +$18 07-09 15:12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,200 $1,074 90¢ $1.1K +$0 07-17 09:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,200 $1,062 90¢ $1.1K +$12 07-13 18:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +934 $366 99¢ $924 +$558 07-14 16:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +800 $720 94¢ $756 +$36 07-10 20:33
Trump out as President before 2027? No +800 $740 92¢ $740 +$0 07-14 14:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +800 $588 78¢ $628 +$40 07-07 07:49
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,000 $632 58¢ $585 $-47 07-21 05:26
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +680 $588 86¢ $581 $-6 07-05 06:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,069 $717 54¢ $572 $-145 07-17 00:51
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +600 $560 94¢ $561 +$1 07-05 05:58
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +500 $465 92¢ $458 $-8 07-04 20:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +500 $406 81¢ $405 $-1 07-13 19:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +400 $383 98¢ $391 +$7 07-16 22:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +400 $375 96¢ $383 +$8 06-05 03:25
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +400 $370 93¢ $373 +$3 07-20 16:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +487 $383 74¢ $360 $-23 07-19 23:31
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +400 $355 88¢ $352 $-3 07-19 19:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +500 $333 66¢ $332 $-0 07-19 23:03
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +409 $280 70¢ $288 +$8 07-06 21:08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +300 $284 96¢ $287 +$2 07-16 18:31
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +288 $247 88¢ $252 +$5 07-14 23:19
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +500 $205 39¢ $195 $-10 07-21 15:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +400 $132 46¢ $186 +$54 07-15 13:57
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +200 $184 92¢ $185 +$1 07-02 06:50
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +200 $166 88¢ $175 +$9 07-14 11:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +200 $172 88¢ $175 +$3 07-13 08:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +200 $166 86¢ $173 +$7 07-06 14:07