Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
331
lifetime
Volume
$72.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$219
Open exposure
$7.43K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 06-09 21:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
45% 100% +$2
Politics
39%
Crypto
10%
Sports
3%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +1,000 $974 98¢ $984 +$10 06-09 20:22
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +600 $553 91¢ $544 $-9 06-01 16:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +600 $490 82¢ $495 +$5 06-09 17:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +400 $384 97¢ $389 +$5 06-01 20:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +400 $368 94¢ $374 +$6 06-04 20:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +400 $375 93¢ $371 $-3 06-05 03:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +400 $360 90¢ $362 +$2 06-09 12:01
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +300 $296 99¢ $298 +$2 06-02 09:03
Trump out as President by June 30? No +300 $296 99¢ $298 +$3 06-03 22:03
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No +300 $297 99¢ $298 +$1 06-05 21:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +400 $260 64¢ $258 $-2 06-09 14:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +200 $194 98¢ $197 +$3 06-07 15:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +200 $194 98¢ $195 +$1 06-04 20:21
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +202 $172 96¢ $194 +$22 06-07 19:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +200 $168 90¢ $179 +$11 06-01 09:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +200 $161 90¢ $179 +$18 05-31 15:24
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +200 $180 90¢ $179 $-1 06-03 05:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $168 86¢ $173 +$5 06-02 23:50
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $170 84¢ $169 $-1 06-01 16:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes +200 $168 80¢ $161 $-7 06-09 07:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +200 $160 80¢ $161 +$1 06-09 07:49
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +200 $151 74¢ $149 $-2 06-09 16:00
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +150 $136 92¢ $137 +$1 06-09 21:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +200 $130 68¢ $137 +$7 06-06 01:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +315 $165 39¢ $123 $-43 06-01 07:56
Epstein client list released by June 30? No +100 $95 98¢ $98 +$4 06-04 10:47
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +100 $93 96¢ $96 +$3 06-05 19:55
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +100 $94 94¢ $94 +$0 06-08 11:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +108 $74 68¢ $73 $-2 06-01 14:50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +90 $64 73¢ $66 +$2 06-03 00:46