Realized P&L
+$7.02K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.42K
Hit rate
78.4%
Resolved
1,818
Trades
15,001
lifetime
Volume
$968.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$19.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 10-27 03:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 171 days
Categories
Other
48% 69% +$1,477
Politics
41% 71% +$4,657
Tech
8% 59% -$1,517
Crypto
1% 59% +$2,402
Sports
1% 80% -$73
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +5,733 $4,220 36¢ $2.1K -$2,127 10-14 20:11
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -1,288 -$1,101 97¢ $-1247 -$146 07-05 05:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,200 $760 82¢ $978 +$218 10-16 00:15
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +1,041 $758 84¢ $880 +$121 10-05 09:59
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +900 $692 94¢ $842 +$149 09-20 09:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +889 $707 94¢ $831 +$123 10-13 21:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +748 $627 96¢ $718 +$91 10-25 08:41
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +962 $848 72¢ $697 -$151 10-08 06:44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +700 $632 92¢ $648 +$16 10-05 18:14
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +972 $645 63¢ $615 -$30 10-19 16:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +600 $550 100¢ $600 +$50 10-19 15:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +700 $496 86¢ $598 +$102 10-23 16:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +600 $354 98¢ $587 +$233 09-09 12:01
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,000 $632 58¢ $585 -$47 07-21 05:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +600 $252 97¢ $582 +$330 10-27 03:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +600 $527 96¢ $576 +$49 10-12 17:39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +600 $492 94¢ $561 +$69 10-06 18:56
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +600 $564 90¢ $543 -$21 10-02 08:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +587 $309 92¢ $543 +$234 10-19 15:51
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +600 $350 86¢ $513 +$163 09-25 15:47
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +710 $540 72¢ $508 -$33 09-30 11:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3,901 $1,813 12¢ $449 -$1,365 09-10 09:43
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +461 $304 96¢ $444 +$140 09-19 01:07
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +1,150 $390 38¢ $443 +$52 10-18 07:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,250 $676 34¢ $431 -$245 09-07 16:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +600 $334 70¢ $423 +$89 10-18 21:13
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +438 $369 96¢ $420 +$51 10-23 08:22
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +449 $101 92¢ $415 +$314 07-30 22:25
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +506 $305 80¢ $408 +$103 09-06 20:56
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 Yes +743 $355 55¢ $405 +$50 07-15 08:36