Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
open
Total volume
$1,188
$716 in 24h
Trades
156
Unique wallets
50
Liquidity
$8,403
Latest YES mid
46¢
Latest NO mid
53¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-28 01:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+65.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $6
vs crowd: 35% YES on $876)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $139 | $8 | +$131 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $3 | $386 | $383 |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $128 | $9 | +$119 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $36 | $167 | $131 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $77 | $8 | +$69 |
| Median | 9 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| Below median | 7 | $2 | $43 | $41 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $26 | $19 | +$7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $75 | $330 | $255 |
| unranked | 13 | $47 | $170 | $123 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gruesome-Media 0xcfb5…7d2d | No | +551 | $330 | $330 | 2 | 07-15 10:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | No | +232 | $140 | $140 | 3 | 07-17 17:58 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | +100 | $39 | $39 | 6 | 07-28 01:02 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +55 | $21 | $31 | 5 | 07-22 19:53 |
| Interesting-Trek 0x442c…3db8 | No | +53 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 07-09 20:34 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +50 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-28 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +47 | $20 | $20 | 10 | 07-15 10:38 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +43 | $15 | $53 | 8 | 07-27 06:56 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +40 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 07-09 20:34 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +35 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 07-07 10:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-17 17:58 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +27 | $12 | $12 | 5 | 06-27 15:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x5603…7a24 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-14 09:02 |
| Cavernous-Union 0xec32…dd1a | No | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 23:52 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | +17 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-23 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +15 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-15 10:40 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +13 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-20 17:55 |
| Minor-Rose 0x07bc…b413 | No | +12 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 07-21 20:58 |
| Closed-Statin 0x88b3…bad4 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-23 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x371e…8bba | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-08 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $6 | 3 | 07-22 19:53 |
| Few-Stone 0x4f78…62bd | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 06:16 |
| Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-28 01:46 |
| Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 15:40 |
| Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 06:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 01:46:00 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x0811db… |
| 07-28 01:46:00 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x0811db… |
| 07-28 01:02:04 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x0a5c70… |
| 07-28 01:02:04 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x0a5c70… |
| 07-27 17:34:07 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x19e1fc… |
| 07-27 17:34:07 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x19e1fc… |
| 07-27 06:56:13 | (anonymous) 0x32eb…f531 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x226b1f… |
| 07-27 06:56:13 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | Yes | SELL | 89 | 39¢ | $35 | 0x4c1995… |
| 07-27 06:56:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 40¢ | $7 | 0x4c1995… |
| 07-27 06:56:13 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | BUY | 71 | 39¢ | $28 | 0x4c1995… |
| 07-27 06:56:13 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x226b1f… |
| 07-22 19:53:33 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 41¢ | $8 | 0xaa90ff… |
| 07-22 19:53:33 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xaa90ff… |
| 07-22 19:53:33 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xaa90ff… |
| 07-22 19:53:33 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xaa90ff… |
| 07-21 20:58:34 | (anonymous) 0x32eb…f531 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xeedb57… |
| 07-21 20:58:34 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xeedb57… |
| 07-21 20:58:34 | Minor-Rose 0x07bc…b413 | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xeedb57… |
| 07-21 20:58:33 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x3fd8dd… |
| 07-21 20:58:33 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x3fd8dd… |
| 07-21 20:58:33 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 41¢ | $7 | 0x3fd8dd… |
| 07-21 15:29:07 | Thrifty-Crystallography 0x527c…5a2b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xa8325f… |
| 07-21 15:29:07 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xa8325f… |
| 07-20 17:55:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 13 | 58¢ | $8 | 0xdd853d… |
| 07-20 17:55:49 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xdd853d… |
| 07-20 17:55:49 | Jolly-Crewmate 0x58f1…7032 | No | SELL | 30 | 58¢ | $18 | 0xdd853d… |
| 07-20 17:55:49 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xdd853d… |
| 07-19 19:13:51 | Secret-Mixture 0x4d6b…5e31 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0xd15bb3… |
| 07-19 19:13:51 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0xd15bb3… |
| 07-17 17:58:34 | (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | No | BUY | 60 | 61¢ | $37 | 0x5d1589… |
| 07-17 17:58:34 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0x5d1589… |
| 07-17 17:58:34 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0x5d1589… |
| 07-17 17:48:24 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0x7f6853… |
| 07-17 17:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | No | BUY | 30 | 61¢ | $18 | 0x7f6853… |
| 07-17 17:48:24 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | SELL | 0 | 60¢ | $0 | 0x7f6853… |
| 07-17 17:38:13 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | SELL | 128 | 60¢ | $77 | 0xe5660e… |
| 07-17 17:38:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xe5660e… |
| 07-17 17:38:13 | (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | No | BUY | 142 | 60¢ | $85 | 0xe5660e… |
| 07-17 17:38:13 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xe5660e… |
| 07-15 10:47:31 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x1b1ce9… |
| 07-15 10:47:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x1b1ce9… |
| 07-15 10:40:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x3f5b2d… |
| 07-15 10:40:46 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x3f5b2d… |
| 07-15 10:39:14 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | SELL | 32 | 60¢ | $19 | 0x13e7a2… |
| 07-15 10:39:14 | Gruesome-Media 0xcfb5…7d2d | No | BUY | 500 | 60¢ | $300 | 0x13e7a2… |
| 07-15 10:38:37 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xc9caa6… |
| 07-15 10:38:37 | Gruesome-Media 0xcfb5…7d2d | No | BUY | 51 | 59¢ | $30 | 0xc9caa6… |
| 07-15 10:38:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 42¢ | $4 | 0xc9caa6… |
| 07-14 09:02:43 | (anonymous) 0x5603…7a24 | No | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x06bf45… |
| 07-14 09:02:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 41¢ | $8 | 0x06bf45… |
| 07-13 20:06:58 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x321405… |
| 07-13 20:06:58 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x321405… |
| 07-12 15:31:32 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x64f7f4… |
| 07-12 15:31:32 | Scientific-Crazy 0x53f9…80b7 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x64f7f4… |
| 07-12 04:17:13 | Peppery-Nurse 0x5f0b…2305 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x0d4a78… |
| 07-12 04:17:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x0d4a78… |
| 07-10 17:14:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 28 | 48¢ | $13 | 0x4dd9b8… |
| 07-10 17:14:40 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 48¢ | $13 | 0x4dd9b8… |
| 07-10 11:58:05 | Scientific-Crazy 0x53f9…80b7 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x7be5ef… |
| 07-10 11:58:05 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 0 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x7be5ef… |
| 07-10 11:51:40 | Scientific-Crazy 0x53f9…80b7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x5ff1fd… |
| 07-10 11:51:40 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x5ff1fd… |
| 07-10 11:32:19 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 0 | 42¢ | $0 | 0x93b090… |
| 07-10 11:32:19 | Scientific-Crazy 0x53f9…80b7 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 42¢ | $0 | 0x93b090… |
| 07-10 11:27:07 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 43¢ | $0 | 0x7674b4… |
| 07-10 11:27:07 | Scientific-Crazy 0x53f9…80b7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 43¢ | $0 | 0x7674b4… |
| 07-10 11:16:43 | Scientific-Crazy 0x53f9…80b7 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 44¢ | $0 | 0x9278ef… |
| 07-10 11:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 0 | 44¢ | $0 | 0x9278ef… |
| 07-09 22:45:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x7450f9… |
| 07-09 22:45:46 | Scientific-Crazy 0x53f9…80b7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x7450f9… |
| 07-09 22:45:46 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 59¢ | $4 | 0x7450f9… |
| 07-09 20:53:23 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | SELL | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x597efd… |
| 07-09 20:53:23 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 7 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x597efd… |
| 07-09 20:34:01 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | SELL | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x9b4025… |
| 07-09 20:34:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 41¢ | $12 | 0x9b4025… |
| 07-09 20:34:01 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x9b4025… |
| 07-09 20:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x9b4025… |
| 07-09 20:34:01 | Interesting-Trek 0x442c…3db8 | No | BUY | 53 | 59¢ | $31 | 0x9b4025… |
| 07-09 19:14:26 | Jolly-Crewmate 0x58f1…7032 | No | BUY | 30 | 58¢ | $17 | 0xf338ca… |
| 07-09 19:14:26 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 42¢ | $13 | 0xf338ca… |
| 07-08 18:20:17 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 4 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x59e83c… |
| 07-08 18:20:17 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 54¢ | $2 | 0x59e83c… |
| 07-07 10:48:26 | (anonymous) 0xb715…8f7f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xe13c70… |
| 07-07 10:48:26 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xe13c70… |
| 07-03 18:50:56 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x096aa2… |
| 07-03 18:50:56 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x096aa2… |
| 07-03 18:50:56 | Serpentine-Oversight 0x98fc…5382 | No | SELL | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x096aa2… |
| 07-03 07:18:19 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 54¢ | $2 | 0xda3a0e… |
| 07-03 07:18:19 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 54¢ | $2 | 0xda3a0e… |
| 07-03 06:57:59 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x7215a5… |
| 07-03 06:57:59 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x7215a5… |
| 07-02 09:51:56 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xd2e931… |
| 07-02 09:51:56 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xd2e931… |
| 06-30 02:50:58 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x9ad1d4… |
| 06-30 02:50:58 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x9ad1d4… |
| 06-29 19:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x18909a… |
| 06-29 19:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x7ba9…60ab | Yes | SELL | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x18909a… |
| 06-29 15:06:17 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 54¢ | $2 | 0xed6009… |
| 06-29 15:06:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 54¢ | $2 | 0xed6009… |
| 06-29 14:05:53 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xb0e402… |