Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
open
Total volume
$5,838
$716 in 24h
Trades
257
Unique wallets
78
Liquidity
$8,403
Latest YES mid
46¢
Latest NO mid
53¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-17 20:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+84.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $83
vs crowd: 16% YES on $3.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $215 | $8 | +$207 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $56 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 30 | $190 | $87 | +$103 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $58 | $225 | $167 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $83 | — | +$83 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $38 | $200 | $162 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $99 | $8 | +$91 |
| Median | 9 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| Below median | 11 | $21 | $107 | $86 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $10 | $31 | $20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $48 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $65 | $430 | $365 |
| unranked | 25 | $113 | $228 | $115 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smoggy-Antique 0xaab9…a08d | No | +2,727 | $1,698 | $1,698 | 2 | 08-14 02:31 |
| Gruesome-Media 0xcfb5…7d2d | No | +705 | $430 | $430 | 3 | 08-07 22:40 |
| Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | +323 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-29 11:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | No | +316 | $193 | $193 | 5 | 08-07 16:47 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | +188 | $70 | $70 | 7 | 08-06 23:35 |
| Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | +105 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 07-29 13:28 |
| Victorious-Restaurant 0xf0ee…4b33 | No | +73 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 08-08 21:49 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | +68 | $27 | $74 | 13 | 08-06 23:10 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +55 | $21 | $31 | 5 | 07-22 19:53 |
| Interesting-Trek 0x442c…3db8 | No | +53 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 07-09 20:34 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +50 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-28 20:16 |
| Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | +49 | $31 | $31 | 5 | 08-07 02:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +47 | $20 | $20 | 10 | 07-15 10:38 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +43 | $15 | $53 | 8 | 07-27 06:56 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +40 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 07-09 20:34 |
| Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | +32 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 08-06 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c93…aafa | Yes | +30 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 08-06 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-17 17:58 |
| Juvenile-Jicama 0xd53e…0b73 | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-07 02:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +27 | $12 | $12 | 5 | 06-27 15:33 |
| Scientific-Guava 0x49c4…db5b | Yes | +24 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 08-06 23:10 |
| Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | Yes | +21 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-29 11:40 |
| Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | +21 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 08-06 23:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x5603…7a24 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-14 09:02 |
| Cavernous-Union 0xec32…dd1a | No | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 23:52 |
| Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | Yes | +16 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-29 11:39 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +14 | $7 | $23 | 6 | 08-05 17:35 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +13 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-20 17:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x57be…e140 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-07 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c65…240a | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-29 22:23 |
| Scientific-Crazy 0x53f9…80b7 | Yes | +12 | $6 | $14 | 8 | 07-29 11:40 |
| Minor-Rose 0x07bc…b413 | No | +12 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 07-21 20:58 |
| Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 08-06 23:10 |
| Closed-Statin 0x88b3…bad4 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-23 06:16 |
| Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | Yes | +8 | $3 | $6 | 4 | 08-14 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-08 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bbf…5b78 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-07 02:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-06 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x3be5…f7fe | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-30 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-06 23:35 |
| Few-Stone 0x4f78…62bd | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x52ca…1c58 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-09 08:56 |
| Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 15:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 20:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x30ff7c… |
| 08-17 20:28:31 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x30ff7c… |
| 08-17 08:42:19 | Unacceptable-Diarist 0x3d77…04c9 | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x48ea07… |
| 08-17 08:42:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x48ea07… |
| 08-16 09:19:28 | Unacceptable-Diarist 0x3d77…04c9 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xd93995… |
| 08-16 09:19:28 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xd93995… |
| 08-14 19:30:21 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x5b51ef… |
| 08-14 19:30:21 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x5b51ef… |
| 08-14 18:56:46 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x306f3b… |
| 08-14 18:56:46 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x306f3b… |
| 08-14 18:56:46 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x306f3b… |
| 08-14 02:31:48 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x6ba52f… |
| 08-14 02:31:48 | Smoggy-Antique 0xaab9…a08d | No | BUY | 238 | 65¢ | $155 | 0x6ba52f… |
| 08-14 02:31:48 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 224 | 65¢ | $146 | 0x6ba52f… |
| 08-10 15:24:57 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 1 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x70bb10… |
| 08-10 15:24:57 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x70bb10… |
| 08-09 08:56:22 | (anonymous) 0x52ca…1c58 | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x5f1e47… |
| 08-09 08:56:22 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x5f1e47… |
| 08-08 21:49:15 | Victorious-Restaurant 0xf0ee…4b33 | No | BUY | 73 | 65¢ | $47 | 0x8f011d… |
| 08-08 21:49:15 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 73 | 65¢ | $47 | 0x8f011d… |
| 08-08 06:51:27 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 60 | 65¢ | $39 | 0x26ae22… |
| 08-08 06:51:27 | International-Thinking 0x4067…6ffa | Yes | SELL | 60 | 35¢ | $21 | 0x26ae22… |
| 08-07 22:40:55 | Gruesome-Media 0xcfb5…7d2d | No | BUY | 154 | 65¢ | $100 | 0x625d55… |
| 08-07 22:40:55 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 154 | 65¢ | $100 | 0x625d55… |
| 08-07 16:47:30 | (anonymous) 0x57be…e140 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xeb9f7a… |
| 08-07 16:47:30 | (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xeb9f7a… |
| 08-07 15:37:31 | (anonymous) 0x57be…e140 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x6fa25d… |
| 08-07 15:37:31 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x6fa25d… |
| 08-07 02:01:24 | (anonymous) 0x2bbf…5b78 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x08a00c… |
| 08-07 02:01:24 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x08a00c… |
| 08-07 02:01:21 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | BUY | 27 | 63¢ | $17 | 0xa719ed… |
| 08-07 02:01:21 | Juvenile-Jicama 0xd53e…0b73 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0xa719ed… |
| 08-06 23:35:53 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xe93211… |
| 08-06 23:35:53 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0xe93211… |
| 08-06 23:35:50 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x8247e9… |
| 08-06 23:35:50 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x8247e9… |
| 08-06 23:35:50 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 37¢ | $0 | 0x8247e9… |
| 08-06 23:10:15 | Scientific-Guava 0x49c4…db5b | Yes | BUY | 18 | 38¢ | $7 | 0xb3b10f… |
| 08-06 23:10:15 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | SELL | 18 | 38¢ | $7 | 0xb3b10f… |
| 08-06 23:10:12 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x412cf0… |
| 08-06 23:10:12 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x412cf0… |
| 08-06 23:10:11 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x1daf40… |
| 08-06 23:10:11 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x1daf40… |
| 08-06 23:10:09 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x84e521… |
| 08-06 23:10:09 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x84e521… |
| 08-06 23:10:08 | (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | No | BUY | 76 | 63¢ | $48 | 0x53e6df… |
| 08-06 23:10:08 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 76 | 37¢ | $28 | 0x53e6df… |
| 08-06 23:10:08 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xbd21b0… |
| 08-06 23:10:08 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xbd21b0… |
| 08-06 23:10:08 | (anonymous) 0x0c93…aafa | Yes | BUY | 15 | 38¢ | $6 | 0xe70882… |
| 08-06 23:10:08 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 38¢ | $6 | 0xe70882… |
| 08-06 02:34:42 | (anonymous) 0x371e…8bba | No | SELL | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0xd312ff… |
| 08-06 02:34:42 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0xd312ff… |
| 08-05 17:35:53 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 38¢ | $17 | 0xd8a4cc… |
| 08-05 17:35:53 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 38¢ | $6 | 0xd8a4cc… |
| 08-05 17:35:53 | International-Thinking 0x4067…6ffa | Yes | BUY | 60 | 38¢ | $23 | 0xd8a4cc… |
| 08-05 17:30:02 | Scientific-Guava 0x49c4…db5b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x83d2c9… |
| 08-05 17:30:02 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x83d2c9… |
| 08-05 17:29:51 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xe785ed… |
| 08-05 17:29:51 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x4ac0e3… |
| 08-05 17:29:51 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xe785ed… |
| 08-05 17:29:51 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x4ac0e3… |
| 08-05 17:29:50 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x7da3d1… |
| 08-05 17:29:50 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x7da3d1… |
| 08-02 01:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x1ed442… |
| 08-02 01:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x1ed442… |
| 08-02 01:54:23 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x1ed442… |
| 08-02 01:54:23 | Smoggy-Antique 0xaab9…a08d | No | BUY | 2,488 | 62¢ | $1,543 | 0x1ed442… |
| 08-02 01:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x2e0a…e172 | No | SELL | 2,470 | 62¢ | $1,531 | 0x1ed442… |
| 07-30 22:43:53 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0xae98cf… |
| 07-30 22:43:53 | (anonymous) 0xb567…4d4a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xae98cf… |
| 07-30 20:56:27 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x0dfc44… |
| 07-30 20:56:27 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x0dfc44… |
| 07-30 15:44:57 | (anonymous) 0x3be5…f7fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x155a09… |
| 07-30 15:44:57 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x155a09… |
| 07-29 22:23:14 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 12 | 60¢ | $8 | 0xbfd444… |
| 07-29 22:23:14 | (anonymous) 0x3c65…240a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 40¢ | $5 | 0xbfd444… |
| 07-29 13:28:05 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 88 | 61¢ | $54 | 0x7ae75e… |
| 07-29 13:28:05 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 39¢ | $6 | 0x7ae75e… |
| 07-29 13:28:05 | Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | BUY | 105 | 61¢ | $64 | 0x7ae75e… |
| 07-29 11:44:44 | (anonymous) 0x0c93…aafa | Yes | BUY | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0x9d69df… |
| 07-29 11:44:44 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x9d69df… |
| 07-29 11:40:42 | Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x49410a… |
| 07-29 11:40:42 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 21 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x49410a… |
| 07-29 11:40:05 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x3089dd… |
| 07-29 11:40:05 | Scientific-Crazy 0x53f9…80b7 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 40¢ | $5 | 0x3089dd… |
| 07-29 11:39:45 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x250613… |
| 07-29 11:39:45 | (anonymous) 0xb567…4d4a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0xbdc874… |
| 07-29 11:39:45 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x49c371… |
| 07-29 11:39:45 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x250613… |
| 07-29 11:39:45 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xbdc874… |
| 07-29 11:39:45 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x49c371… |
| 07-29 11:39:44 | Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 40¢ | $6 | 0x7b6533… |
| 07-29 11:39:44 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x029e88… |
| 07-29 11:39:44 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 16 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x7b6533… |
| 07-29 11:39:44 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x029e88… |
| 07-29 11:39:42 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 83 | 38¢ | $32 | 0x65cb2d… |
| 07-29 11:39:42 | (anonymous) 0x2e0a…e172 | No | SELL | 240 | 62¢ | $149 | 0x65cb2d… |
| 07-29 11:39:42 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | BUY | 323 | 62¢ | $200 | 0x65cb2d… |
| 07-28 19:18:59 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | BUY | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0x532850… |