Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
open
Total volume
$228
$716 in 24h
Trades
72
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$8,403
Latest YES mid
50¢
Latest NO mid
50¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-03 18:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+19.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $6
vs crowd: 80% YES on $131)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $41 | — | +$41 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $2 | $6 | $4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $48 | $3 | +$45 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $14 | $16 | $2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| Median | 4 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $9 | $8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| unranked | 10 | $14 | $16 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +50 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-28 20:16 |
| Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | Yes | +45 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-11 14:52 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +33 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 07-02 09:51 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +27 | $12 | $12 | 5 | 06-27 15:33 |
| Cavernous-Union 0xec32…dd1a | No | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 23:52 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | +17 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-23 06:16 |
| Closed-Statin 0x88b3…bad4 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-23 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x371e…8bba | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 03:03 |
| Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | +7 | $5 | $18 | 12 | 07-03 07:18 |
| Minor-Rose 0x07bc…b413 | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-11 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +7 | $1 | $12 | 7 | 06-30 02:50 |
| Few-Stone 0x4f78…62bd | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 13:06 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 14:05 |
| Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 15:40 |
| Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb715…8f7f | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 06:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 18:50:56 | Serpentine-Oversight 0x98fc…5382 | No | SELL | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x096aa2… |
| 07-03 18:50:56 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x096aa2… |
| 07-03 18:50:56 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x096aa2… |
| 07-03 07:18:19 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 54¢ | $2 | 0xda3a0e… |
| 07-03 07:18:19 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 54¢ | $2 | 0xda3a0e… |
| 07-03 06:57:59 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x7215a5… |
| 07-03 06:57:59 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x7215a5… |
| 07-02 09:51:56 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xd2e931… |
| 07-02 09:51:56 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xd2e931… |
| 06-30 02:50:58 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x9ad1d4… |
| 06-30 02:50:58 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x9ad1d4… |
| 06-29 19:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x7ba9…60ab | Yes | SELL | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x18909a… |
| 06-29 19:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x18909a… |
| 06-29 15:06:17 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 54¢ | $2 | 0xed6009… |
| 06-29 15:06:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 54¢ | $2 | 0xed6009… |
| 06-29 14:05:53 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xb0e402… |
| 06-29 14:05:53 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xb0e402… |
| 06-29 13:06:52 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x18fb92… |
| 06-29 13:06:52 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 3 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x18fb92… |
| 06-29 12:21:26 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xa10c24… |
| 06-29 12:21:26 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 6 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xa10c24… |
| 06-27 15:40:19 | Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xb828c0… |
| 06-27 15:40:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xb828c0… |
| 06-27 15:33:23 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xda6d58… |
| 06-27 15:33:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xda6d58… |
| 06-25 07:04:26 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x809739… |
| 06-25 07:04:26 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x809739… |
| 06-23 20:47:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xea24b2… |
| 06-23 20:47:46 | (anonymous) 0x5b31…0ada | Yes | SELL | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xea24b2… |
| 06-23 13:56:31 | Simple-Exercise 0xa032…679e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xd30198… |
| 06-23 13:56:31 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xd30198… |
| 06-23 06:48:37 | (anonymous) 0x5b31…0ada | Yes | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0xb11f17… |
| 06-23 06:48:37 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0xb11f17… |
| 06-23 06:16:35 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x4fb5c2… |
| 06-23 06:16:35 | (anonymous) 0x7ba9…60ab | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x4fb5c2… |
| 06-23 06:16:35 | (anonymous) 0xb715…8f7f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x9a3700… |
| 06-23 06:16:35 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x9a3700… |
| 06-23 06:16:34 | Few-Stone 0x4f78…62bd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x7cf619… |
| 06-23 06:16:34 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x7cf619… |
| 06-23 06:16:32 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x171ab2… |
| 06-23 06:16:32 | Closed-Statin 0x88b3…bad4 | No | BUY | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x5777fb… |
| 06-23 06:16:32 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x171ab2… |
| 06-23 06:16:32 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x5777fb… |
| 06-17 13:13:11 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xda8f60… |
| 06-17 13:13:11 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xda8f60… |
| 06-17 05:53:53 | Simple-Exercise 0xa032…679e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xf08c90… |
| 06-17 05:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xf08c90… |
| 06-14 14:53:09 | (anonymous) 0x8c0d…a3ce | Yes | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x3a5d21… |
| 06-14 14:53:09 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x3a5d21… |
| 06-11 14:52:28 | (anonymous) 0x8c0d…a3ce | Yes | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xebf99d… |
| 06-11 14:52:28 | Minor-Rose 0x07bc…b413 | No | BUY | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xebf99d… |
| 06-11 14:52:25 | Alienated-Octagon 0xfd82…342b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 39¢ | $19 | 0xaf20f9… |
| 06-11 14:52:25 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 39¢ | $17 | 0xaf20f9… |
| 06-11 14:52:25 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xaf20f9… |
| 06-09 03:32:43 | Minor-Rose 0x07bc…b413 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xb02c11… |
| 06-09 03:32:43 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xb02c11… |
| 06-08 03:03:30 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x6ed5c7… |
| 06-08 03:03:30 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x6ed5c7… |
| 06-08 03:03:30 | (anonymous) 0x371e…8bba | No | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x6ed5c7… |
| 06-07 23:01:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x9336ad… |
| 06-07 23:01:21 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x9336ad… |
| 06-05 15:43:51 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xc97a4f… |
| 06-05 15:43:51 | Minor-Rose 0x07bc…b413 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xc97a4f… |
| 06-04 16:42:06 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x0b5ff2… |
| 06-04 16:42:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x0b5ff2… |
| 05-28 23:52:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xad726c… |
| 05-28 23:52:26 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 43¢ | $5 | 0xad726c… |
| 05-28 23:52:26 | Cavernous-Union 0xec32…dd1a | No | BUY | 18 | 57¢ | $10 | 0xad726c… |
| 05-28 20:16:45 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 43¢ | $5 | 0xdcf867… |
| 05-28 20:16:45 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0xdcf867… |
| 05-28 20:16:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 45¢ | $6 | 0xdcf867… |
| 05-28 20:16:45 | Voluminous-Cabin 0x12bb…f88a | Yes | SELL | 80 | 44¢ | $35 | 0xdcf867… |