Realized P&L
+$384
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
3,501
Trades
16,082
lifetime
Volume
$16.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$101
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 11-07 17:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
63% 40% +$256
Politics
22% 44% +$88
Sports
7% 38% +$23
Crypto
6% 39% +$10
Tech
3% 46% +$6
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 0%-5%? Yes +5 $0 99¢ $5 +$5 09-28 20:50
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%? No +5 $2 92¢ $5 +$3 10-22 23:22
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000? Yes +5 $1 90¢ $4 +$3 09-26 10:23
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 29? Yes +5 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 11-07 01:56
Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 11-07 18:37
Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election? No — +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 11-07 12:25
Sweden snap election called in 2026? No +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 11-03 19:52
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? No +5 $1 72¢ $4 +$2 10-14 15:04
Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 91¢ $4 +$1 10-05 01:50
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October? No +5 $2 70¢ $3 +$1 10-28 13:59
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +4 $0 100¢ $3 +$3 08-04 14:44
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0% and 0.5%? No +5 $4 69¢ $3 $0 11-04 18:29
will the ornn h100 index hit 2pt25 low by december 31 2026 20260709170850330 No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 11-06 04:31
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in November? No +5 $4 68¢ $3 $0 11-04 10:15
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +5 $2 68¢ $3 +$1 11-06 08:56
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? No +5 $2 66¢ $3 +$1 11-07 10:13
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027 No +3 $2 95¢ $3 +$1 08-02 18:30
Will Garrett Wilson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +5 $3 65¢ $3 +$0 11-06 16:09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by November 30? No +5 $3 64¢ $3 +$0 11-07 12:01
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $600 in November? Yes +5 $1 60¢ $3 +$2 11-06 09:21
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +4 $2 84¢ $3 +$1 08-14 20:12
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027? No +4 $1 75¢ $3 +$2 10-08 18:27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of November? No +5 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 11-06 17:26
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December? No +4 $1 76¢ $3 +$2 09-17 00:04
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 in November? No +5 $2 55¢ $3 +$0 11-07 03:47
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in November? Yes +5 $3 55¢ $3 -$1 11-02 14:49
Rubio's Republican nomination odds dip to 15% by December 31? No +5 $3 55¢ $3 -$1 11-05 03:18
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in November? No +5 $2 54¢ $3 +$0 11-06 15:27
will a hurricane make landfall in hawaii before 2027 20260721182828397 No +3 $1 97¢ $3 +$2 07-25 08:40
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in November? No +5 $3 53¢ $3 $0 11-05 14:37