Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
98.9%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,157
lifetime
Volume
$1.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$80
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 07-20 22:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69%
Politics
17%
Crypto
9% 50% +$3
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +41 $16 34¢ $14 $-2 06-26 19:22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? Yes +15 $5 26¢ $4 $-1 06-29 02:09
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 75¢ $4 +$0 07-18 04:43
Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 07-11 22:07
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B? No +4 $3 86¢ $3 +$0 07-11 03:19
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +5 $3 65¢ $3 +$1 07-18 10:28
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-3 64¢ $-3 $-1 07-06 21:23
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -48 $-2 $-3 $-1 07-10 13:27
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $2 53¢ $3 +$1 07-19 17:19
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? No +5 $2 52¢ $3 +$1 07-15 21:24
Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +4 $2 62¢ $3 +$1 07-13 09:47
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? Yes +5 $2 52¢ $3 +$1 07-12 02:43
Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +5 $2 49¢ $3 +$0 07-15 03:48
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch? Yes +5 $2 50¢ $2 +$0 06-28 05:19
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +5 $0 44¢ $2 +$2 07-17 11:49
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +5 $3 44¢ $2 $-1 06-29 04:04
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +5 $2 38¢ $2 $-0 07-17 11:59
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes -11 $-5 17¢ $-2 +$3 07-12 12:09
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? Yes -15 $-2 12¢ $-2 $-0 07-15 03:59
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 36¢ $2 $-0 06-28 22:08
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-2 16¢ $-2 +$1 07-08 08:02
Over $3.5B crypto hack value in 2026? Yes +10 $1 16¢ $2 +$0 07-15 18:06
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes -5 $-2 30¢ $-2 +$1 07-15 03:24
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $2 10¢ $1 $-1 06-25 18:04
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +10 $3 15¢ $1 $-1 06-28 19:04
Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +5 $3 29¢ $1 $-1 07-12 01:13
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Yes +10 $2 14¢ $1 $-0 06-27 11:14
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? Yes +5 $2 28¢ $1 $-1 06-28 11:16
MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 27¢ $1 +$1 07-20 15:55
Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +5 $0 26¢ $1 +$1 07-17 14:02