Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
open
Total volume
$114
Trades
31
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$138
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-01
last 08-07 02:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $0 | $8 | $8 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | $28 | $27 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $9 | — | +$9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | $8 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $28 | $28 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 8 | $6 | — | +$6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x6747…b5fd | Yes | +38 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 08-04 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x51a1…2335 | Yes | +35 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-14 21:36 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 08-04 11:40 |
| Deep-Director 0x8f9f…36e1 | Yes | +28 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-28 17:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 08-07 02:29 |
| Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 9 | 08-05 09:31 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 16:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 02:29:07 | (anonymous) 0xc143…0b00 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xfe7f9a… |
| 08-07 02:29:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xfe7f9a… |
| 08-07 02:27:10 | (anonymous) 0x77a8…99fd | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x7a702a… |
| 08-07 02:27:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x7a702a… |
| 08-07 02:24:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xd65d10… |
| 08-07 02:24:43 | (anonymous) 0x452f…ab4f | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xd65d10… |
| 08-05 09:31:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x377b6b… |
| 08-05 09:31:53 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x377b6b… |
| 08-04 11:40:56 | (anonymous) 0x6747…b5fd | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xf789b8… |
| 08-04 11:40:56 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xf789b8… |
| 08-03 06:14:57 | (anonymous) 0x6747…b5fd | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb5c526… |
| 08-03 06:14:57 | (anonymous) 0xd92e…6a51 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb5c526… |
| 08-03 06:14:27 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xcd6777… |
| 08-03 06:14:27 | (anonymous) 0xd92e…6a51 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xcd6777… |
| 07-25 19:29:39 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x2bc9f5… |
| 07-25 19:29:39 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2bc9f5… |
| 07-21 09:49:09 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x67428d… |
| 07-21 09:49:09 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67428d… |
| 07-18 12:16:04 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75f1a0… |
| 07-18 12:16:04 | Sane-Close 0x8269…e51b | No | SELL | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x75f1a0… |
| 07-18 12:16:04 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75f1a0… |
| 07-14 21:36:32 | (anonymous) 0xabad…6183 | Yes | SELL | 96 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x689171… |
| 07-14 21:36:32 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x689171… |
| 07-14 21:36:32 | Euphoric-Flan 0x529d…6381 | No | SELL | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x689171… |
| 07-14 21:36:32 | (anonymous) 0x51a1…2335 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x689171… |
| 07-14 21:36:32 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x689171… |
| 06-28 17:32:01 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1dafe0… |
| 06-28 17:32:01 | Deep-Director 0x8f9f…36e1 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x1dafe0… |
| 06-28 17:32:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x1dafe0… |
| 06-01 16:53:33 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x14e1e4… |
| 06-01 16:53:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x14e1e4… |