Realized P&L
-$108
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
40.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
2,799
lifetime
Volume
$127.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$4.24K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 00:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
45% 50% $-103
Other
40% 67% $-5
Tech
11%
Sports
3%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -2,100 $-2,039 98¢ $-2048 $-10 07-11 00:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -750 $-682 92¢ $-686 $-4 07-08 17:29
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +433 $398 90¢ $389 $-9 06-24 12:19
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? No +346 $276 86¢ $300 +$23 07-16 11:36
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -278 $-261 94¢ $-262 $-1 06-27 05:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +200 $156 86¢ $173 +$17 06-18 21:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $164 70¢ $141 $-23 07-13 08:14
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? No +155 $127 68¢ $104 $-22 06-13 10:56
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No +49 $40 92¢ $45 +$5 07-18 23:16
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -2,000 $-42 $-39 +$3 06-10 02:59
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +100 $39 34¢ $34 $-4 07-12 19:42
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026? No -15 $-14 96¢ $-14 $-0 07-14 21:36
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +0 $-6 78¢ $0 +$6 07-01 03:31