Realized P&L
+$33.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$81
Hit rate
79.7%
Resolved
30,520
Trades
921,949
lifetime
Volume
$9.82M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-01 05:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 240 days
Categories
Other
64% 66% +$15,164
Politics
28% 68% +$15,128
Sports
5% 66% +$2,290
Tech
2% 63% +$192
Crypto
1% 68% +$554
Pop-Culture
1% 73% +$537
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +86 $52 85¢ $73 +$21 06-01 00:49
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -85 -$64 72¢ $-61 +$3 06-01 04:17
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -60 -$58 100¢ $-60 -$2 04-28 17:10
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -60 -$58 98¢ $-59 $0 05-31 11:51
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No -60 -$55 97¢ $-58 -$3 05-31 14:58
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -60 -$50 97¢ $-58 -$8 04-30 12:44
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -60 -$32 95¢ $-57 -$25 05-31 16:45
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -58 -$42 96¢ $-56 -$14 04-29 20:22
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No -60 -$25 92¢ $-56 -$31 05-31 11:51
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -56 -$44 95¢ $-53 -$9 04-29 22:02
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -59 -$11 82¢ $-48 -$38 04-30 15:44
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +48 $25 100¢ $48 +$23 04-30 22:16
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -36 -$32 98¢ $-35 -$3 04-30 18:10
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No -35 -$30 98¢ $-35 -$4 05-03 17:45
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -30 -$30 100¢ $-30 $0 04-30 13:43
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? No -30 -$30 100¢ $-30 $0 04-30 15:30
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$0 04-29 13:35
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -30 -$13 99¢ $-30 -$17 04-29 18:55
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$0 05-31 17:25
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +30 $11 98¢ $30 +$19 06-01 02:41
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -30 -$30 98¢ $-30 +$0 04-29 11:59
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$1 04-30 16:57
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -30 -$25 98¢ $-29 -$4 04-28 17:18
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -30 -$26 98¢ $-29 -$4 05-31 11:50
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -30 -$28 99¢ $-29 -$1 04-29 04:00
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$1 05-04 05:45
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +30 $12 97¢ $29 +$17 05-31 11:50
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? No -30 -$29 97¢ $-29 +$0 05-02 19:02
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +30 $28 97¢ $29 +$1 06-01 03:11
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -29 -$25 98¢ $-29 -$4 04-29 13:32