Realized P&L
+$421
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
326
Trades
889,582
lifetime
Volume
$9.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-01 05:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
63% 68% +$284
Politics
28% 66% +$51
Sports
5% 70% $-11
Tech
2% 0%
Crypto
1% 63% +$97
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 15721 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026? No -60 $-58 99¢ $-60 $-1 05-31 11:52
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -60 $-58 97¢ $-58 +$0 05-31 11:51
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -60 $-50 88¢ $-52 $-3 05-31 11:51
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -60 $-39 73¢ $-44 $-5 05-31 11:53
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No -60 $-25 66¢ $-40 $-15 05-31 11:51
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -60 $-32 64¢ $-38 $-7 05-31 16:45
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No -60 $-32 57¢ $-34 $-2 05-31 22:11
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No -30 $-29 100¢ $-30 $-1 05-31 11:52
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$1 06-01 03:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$1 05-31 15:17
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 05-31 18:22
Jimmy Lai released by June 30? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$0 06-01 02:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$1 05-31 19:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +30 $28 100¢ $30 +$2 06-01 00:17
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok? No -30 $-29 100¢ $-30 $-0 05-31 11:50
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$0 06-01 04:10
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? No -30 $-29 99¢ $-30 $-0 05-31 11:53
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$0 05-31 12:11
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$1 05-31 22:37
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +30 $25 99¢ $30 +$5 06-01 04:08
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +30 $24 99¢ $30 +$5 05-31 15:29
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No -30 $-29 99¢ $-30 $-0 05-31 11:50
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No +30 $28 98¢ $30 +$1 06-01 04:50
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 05-31 20:51
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? No -30 $-29 97¢ $-29 $-0 05-31 11:51
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +30 $28 96¢ $29 +$1 06-01 03:11
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? No +30 $27 96¢ $29 +$1 05-31 23:11
Will Amazon acquire TikTok? No -29 $-28 100¢ $-29 $-1 05-31 11:50
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +30 $26 95¢ $28 +$2 06-01 01:19
Will GBP/USD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? No -30 $-28 94¢ $-28 $-0 05-31 11:52