Realized P&L
+$421
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
326
Trades
889,582
lifetime
Volume
$9.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-01 05:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
63%
68%
+$284
Politics
28%
66%
+$51
Sports
5%
70%
$-11
Tech
2%
0%
—
Crypto
1%
63%
+$97
Pop-Culture
1%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk
• peak 15721 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 4,090 | $61.5K | 58,811 | 57,858 | +953 | open | — | 04-21 16:01 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 3,042 | $43.0K | 41,178 | 39,621 | +1,557 | open | — | 04-21 16:02 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 2,559 | $34.3K | 24,218 | 24,344 | -126 | open | — | 03-30 18:19 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | 1,912 | $29.1K | 29,979 | 28,612 | +1,367 | open | — | 04-28 05:25 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 1,438 | $27.3K | 23,431 | 23,071 | +360 | open | — | 04-16 02:36 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 1,843 | $24.5K | 19,016 | 18,987 | +30 | open | — | 03-01 01:32 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552 | 1,619 | $22.0K | 15,517 | 15,464 | +53 | open | — | 03-31 16:55 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 1,959 | $21.3K | 18,454 | 18,454 | +0 | open | — | 04-07 23:44 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 1,371 | $21.1K | 21,170 | 19,995 | +1,176 | open | — | 04-28 02:48 |
| us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895 | 1,233 | $21.1K | 15,800 | 15,572 | +228 | open | — | 04-14 01:09 |
| will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards | 2,306 | $20.9K | 21,589 | 21,615 | -25 | open | — | 03-16 02:20 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | 1,268 | $19.6K | 20,074 | 18,204 | +1,871 | open | — | 04-26 18:51 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 2,563 | $19.3K | 22,908 | 22,749 | +159 | open | — | 03-22 09:55 |
| us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946 | 1,276 | $19.1K | 13,438 | 13,325 | +113 | open | — | 01-12 03:27 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 1,064 | $18.9K | 11,048 | 10,996 | +53 | open | — | 03-01 01:34 |
| will iran strike israel on march 10 | 1,353 | $18.7K | 12,639 | 12,609 | +30 | open | — | 03-13 23:26 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 1,055 | $18.4K | 10,772 | 10,798 | -26 | open | — | 01-24 02:57 |
| will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards | 2,102 | $18.2K | 17,495 | 17,480 | +15 | open | — | 03-16 01:57 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 1,818 | $17.8K | 18,445 | 18,491 | -47 | open | — | 01-30 11:51 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881 | 1,728 | $17.7K | 16,864 | 16,686 | +178 | open | — | 03-31 18:07 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | 1,072 | $17.2K | 15,039 | 14,283 | +755 | open | — | 04-22 07:55 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | 1,081 | $16.8K | 16,461 | 13,941 | +2,520 | open | — | 04-30 05:24 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | 1,142 | $16.2K | 17,335 | 15,831 | +1,504 | open | — | 04-27 19:32 |
| will trump visit china by march 31 | 1,225 | $15.6K | 10,504 | 10,544 | -39 | open | — | 03-24 09:45 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31 | 1,215 | $15.3K | 10,580 | 10,525 | +55 | open | — | 02-02 08:39 |
| will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party | 1,196 | $14.8K | 12,226 | 12,280 | -54 | open | — | 01-23 06:53 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | 1,337 | $14.4K | 14,312 | 14,111 | +201 | open | — | 04-28 00:30 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | 961 | $14.4K | 12,853 | 12,683 | +170 | open | — | 04-30 20:52 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | 859 | $14.1K | 10,241 | 9,957 | +285 | open | — | 04-21 15:12 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 1,304 | $14.0K | 13,859 | 13,858 | +0 | open | — | 02-28 07:12 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 912 | $6.17M | 138,572 | 05-31 23:31 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | 796 | $189.4K | 42,609 | 05-25 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | 778 | $292.8K | 96,194 | 04-26 14:40 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | 775 | $3.74M | 63,933 | 05-31 15:42 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | 760 | $575.5K | 6,852 | 05-27 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2 | 738 | $1.37M | 124,215 | 04-07 21:29 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | 724 | $72.8M | 124,564 | 06-01 06:05 |
| Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8 | 648 | $450.4K | 95,837 | 05-08 08:26 |