Realized P&L
+$421
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
326
Trades
889,582
lifetime
Volume
$9.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$941
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-01 05:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
63% 68% +$284
Politics
28% 66% +$51
Sports
5% 70% $-11
Tech
2% 0%
Crypto
1% 63% +$97
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 2916 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -60 $-58 97¢ $-58 $-0 05-31 11:51
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -60 $-50 91¢ $-55 $-5 05-31 11:51
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -60 $-32 86¢ $-52 $-20 05-31 16:45
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No -60 $-25 82¢ $-50 $-25 05-31 11:51
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No -60 $-32 69¢ $-41 $-9 05-31 22:11
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -60 $-39 68¢ $-41 $-2 05-31 11:53
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$0 05-31 20:51
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No +30 $28 98¢ $30 +$1 06-01 04:50
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -50 $-15 58¢ $-29 $-14 05-31 11:51
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? No +30 $27 96¢ $29 +$2 05-31 23:11
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? No -30 $-29 97¢ $-29 +$0 05-31 11:51
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +30 $22 96¢ $29 +$7 05-31 15:20
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +30 $26 96¢ $29 +$3 06-01 01:19
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +30 $28 96¢ $29 +$1 06-01 03:11
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +30 $27 95¢ $28 +$1 05-31 15:43
Will GBP/USD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? No -30 $-28 94¢ $-28 $-0 05-31 11:52
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? No -30 $-28 94¢ $-28 +$0 05-31 17:36
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -30 $-26 93¢ $-28 $-2 05-31 11:50
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No +30 $26 92¢ $28 +$1 06-01 02:35
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No -30 $-26 90¢ $-27 $-1 05-31 21:49
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No -30 $-27 90¢ $-27 +$1 05-31 14:58
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes -30 $-7 88¢ $-27 $-20 05-31 11:50
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +30 $24 84¢ $25 +$1 05-31 20:28
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +30 $19 84¢ $25 +$6 06-01 05:19
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No -26 $-24 96¢ $-25 $-1 05-31 11:51
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +30 $24 81¢ $24 +$0 05-31 15:35
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +30 $20 80¢ $24 +$4 05-31 22:01
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +30 $19 80¢ $24 +$5 05-31 13:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +29 $25 74¢ $22 $-3 05-31 15:05
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +30 $12 70¢ $21 +$9 05-31 23:44