Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,319
Trades
126
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$3,901
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-15 08:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $114
vs crowd: 14% YES on $1.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $123 | $228 | $105 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $84 | $236 | $152 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $4 | $719 | $714 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $22 | $265 | $244 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $114 | $114 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $10 | $204 | $194 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $27 | $20 | +$8 |
| Median | 2 | — | $125 | $125 |
| Below median | 5 | $4 | $25 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $16 | $16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $73 | $102 | $29 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $104 | $208 | $104 |
| unranked | 14 | $14 | $634 | $619 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashamed-Roster 0xcf9e…518e | No | +374 | $257 | $257 | 4 | 06-01 17:18 |
| Understated-Auto 0xe443…c065 | No | +300 | $183 | $183 | 2 | 05-30 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1ba…c903 | No | +220 | $149 | $149 | 3 | 05-28 21:17 |
| Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | +157 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 05-31 18:57 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | +140 | $85 | $142 | 4 | 06-06 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x347f…702e | No | +100 | $68 | $68 | 2 | 05-28 21:42 |
| Extra-Small-Rawhide 0x25eb…0506 | No | +92 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 06-05 11:42 |
| Spirited-Cheese 0xbfe8…c4c9 | No | +80 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-31 19:16 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +60 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 05-28 21:42 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +40 | $21 | $243 | 4 | 06-01 17:19 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +40 | $27 | $77 | 5 | 05-31 18:57 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +36 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-28 23:49 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +34 | $8 | $141 | 7 | 06-04 02:04 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-31 22:01 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +29 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-01 17:19 |
| Clueless-Stepgrandfather 0x91d7…5cf7 | No | +23 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-02 13:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd130…ad19 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-28 20:03 |
| Whole-Pork 0x09d2…a3ac | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 08:20 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 20:09 |
| Required-Portrait 0x37af…2f21 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-04 02:04 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 07:17 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 08:21 |
| Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 17:53 |
| Only-Member 0x8302…5466 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 20:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 08:21:42 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xcb139b… |
| 06-15 08:21:42 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xcb139b… |
| 06-15 08:20:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x9863e3… |
| 06-15 08:20:49 | Whole-Pork 0x09d2…a3ac | No | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x9863e3… |
| 06-12 16:35:57 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x3d8298… |
| 06-12 16:35:57 | (anonymous) 0xd96a…d8ce | Yes | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x3d8298… |
| 06-06 22:39:01 | (anonymous) 0xd96a…d8ce | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xce8a9a… |
| 06-06 22:39:01 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xce8a9a… |
| 06-05 11:54:01 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 39 | 65¢ | $25 | 0x35cb7a… |
| 06-05 11:54:01 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 35¢ | $15 | 0x35cb7a… |
| 06-05 11:54:01 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x35cb7a… |
| 06-05 11:42:42 | Extra-Small-Rawhide 0x25eb…0506 | No | BUY | 92 | 63¢ | $58 | 0xe35b8a… |
| 06-05 11:42:42 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | SELL | 38 | 63¢ | $24 | 0xe35b8a… |
| 06-05 11:42:42 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 10 | 63¢ | $7 | 0xe35b8a… |
| 06-05 11:42:42 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 37¢ | $16 | 0xe35b8a… |
| 06-05 07:17:30 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x3a2479… |
| 06-05 07:17:30 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | SELL | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x3a2479… |
| 06-05 07:17:27 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 82 | 62¢ | $51 | 0xfe95d2… |
| 06-05 07:17:27 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 82 | 62¢ | $51 | 0xfe95d2… |
| 06-04 02:04:33 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 102 | 62¢ | $63 | 0xf28637… |
| 06-04 02:04:33 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xf28637… |
| 06-04 02:04:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xf28637… |
| 06-04 02:04:33 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 283 | 63¢ | $177 | 0xf28637… |
| 06-04 02:04:33 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 82 | 63¢ | $52 | 0xf28637… |
| 06-04 02:04:33 | Required-Portrait 0x37af…2f21 | No | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xf28637… |
| 06-04 02:04:33 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | BUY | 40 | 63¢ | $25 | 0xf28637… |
| 06-04 02:04:33 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 37¢ | $15 | 0xf28637… |
| 06-03 20:43:43 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xf059f4… |
| 06-03 20:43:43 | Only-Member 0x8302…5466 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xf059f4… |
| 06-02 13:42:16 | Clueless-Stepgrandfather 0x91d7…5cf7 | No | BUY | 23 | 67¢ | $15 | 0x66cd35… |
| 06-02 13:42:16 | Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | No | SELL | 9 | 66¢ | $6 | 0x66cd35… |
| 06-02 13:42:16 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 13 | 67¢ | $9 | 0x66cd35… |
| 06-02 10:48:52 | Required-Portrait 0x37af…2f21 | No | BUY | 1 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xafb551… |
| 06-02 10:48:52 | (anonymous) 0xa951…e6b3 | No | SELL | 1 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xafb551… |
| 06-01 17:19:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 58 | 69¢ | $40 | 0x6a49ff… |
| 06-01 17:19:52 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x6a49ff… |
| 06-01 17:19:52 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 31¢ | $27 | 0x6a49ff… |
| 06-01 17:18:17 | Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x860ba5… |
| 06-01 17:18:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 70¢ | $70 | 0x860ba5… |
| 06-01 17:18:17 | Ashamed-Roster 0xcf9e…518e | No | BUY | 192 | 70¢ | $134 | 0x860ba5… |
| 06-01 17:18:17 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 30¢ | $26 | 0x860ba5… |
| 06-01 01:49:32 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0x6fe547… |
| 06-01 01:49:32 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 12 | 64¢ | $8 | 0x6fe547… |
| 06-01 01:49:32 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 47 | 64¢ | $30 | 0x6fe547… |
| 06-01 01:49:32 | Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x6fe547… |
| 06-01 01:10:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x248964… |
| 06-01 01:10:55 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x248964… |
| 05-31 22:02:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 200 | 66¢ | $132 | 0x2a95ef… |
| 05-31 22:02:58 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | SELL | 30 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x2a95ef… |
| 05-31 22:02:58 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 230 | 66¢ | $152 | 0x2a95ef… |
| 05-31 22:01:01 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 33¢ | $13 | 0x5e3c60… |
| 05-31 22:01:01 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | BUY | 30 | 67¢ | $20 | 0x5e3c60… |
| 05-31 22:01:01 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 70 | 67¢ | $47 | 0x5e3c60… |
| 05-31 20:09:15 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 32¢ | $13 | 0x1210e9… |
| 05-31 20:09:15 | Ashamed-Roster 0xcf9e…518e | No | BUY | 40 | 68¢ | $27 | 0x1210e9… |
| 05-31 20:09:08 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xa51087… |
| 05-31 20:09:08 | Ashamed-Roster 0xcf9e…518e | No | BUY | 12 | 67¢ | $8 | 0xa51087… |
| 05-31 20:05:38 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x2fdebc… |
| 05-31 20:05:38 | Ashamed-Roster 0xcf9e…518e | No | BUY | 130 | 67¢ | $87 | 0x2fdebc… |
| 05-31 20:05:38 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 67¢ | $20 | 0x2fdebc… |
| 05-31 20:05:38 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x2fdebc… |
| 05-31 20:05:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 33¢ | $13 | 0x2fdebc… |
| 05-31 19:44:03 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0xb1814a… |
| 05-31 19:44:03 | Keen-Hate 0xcfaf…b9ea | No | SELL | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xb1814a… |
| 05-31 19:43:21 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | No | SELL | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xad19a1… |
| 05-31 19:43:21 | Keen-Hate 0xcfaf…b9ea | No | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xad19a1… |
| 05-31 19:42:46 | Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0x9091c8… |
| 05-31 19:42:46 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | No | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x9091c8… |
| 05-31 19:20:48 | Demanding-Stake 0x703d…80f6 | No | SELL | 48 | 66¢ | $32 | 0x6858c1… |
| 05-31 19:20:48 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 34¢ | $17 | 0x6858c1… |
| 05-31 19:20:48 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x6858c1… |
| 05-31 19:16:04 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 80 | 63¢ | $50 | 0x0a3ccd… |
| 05-31 19:16:04 | Spirited-Cheese 0xbfe8…c4c9 | No | BUY | 80 | 63¢ | $50 | 0x0a3ccd… |
| 05-31 18:57:35 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | BUY | 40 | 62¢ | $25 | 0xd78ec4… |
| 05-31 18:57:35 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 40 | 62¢ | $25 | 0xd78ec4… |
| 05-30 10:40:29 | Understated-Auto 0xe443…c065 | No | BUY | 100 | 61¢ | $61 | 0x12451c… |
| 05-30 10:40:29 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 100 | 61¢ | $61 | 0x12451c… |
| 05-30 08:20:22 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 200 | 61¢ | $122 | 0x9c54fb… |
| 05-30 08:20:22 | Understated-Auto 0xe443…c065 | No | BUY | 200 | 61¢ | $122 | 0x9c54fb… |
| 05-30 03:04:06 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 80 | 63¢ | $50 | 0x5c854f… |
| 05-30 03:04:06 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 80 | 63¢ | $50 | 0x5c854f… |
| 05-29 05:51:46 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x6d3607… |
| 05-29 05:51:46 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 40 | 63¢ | $25 | 0x6d3607… |
| 05-29 00:21:59 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 40 | 64¢ | $26 | 0x577769… |
| 05-29 00:21:59 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x577769… |
| 05-29 00:20:33 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x494ab9… |
| 05-29 00:20:33 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 32 | 65¢ | $21 | 0x494ab9… |
| 05-29 00:20:33 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 12 | 65¢ | $8 | 0x494ab9… |
| 05-28 23:59:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 35¢ | $18 | 0xfdd4ba… |
| 05-28 23:59:00 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 50 | 65¢ | $32 | 0xfdd4ba… |
| 05-28 23:58:53 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0xc445e3… |
| 05-28 23:58:53 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0xc445e3… |
| 05-28 23:54:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x3cc488… |
| 05-28 23:54:43 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 30 | 65¢ | $20 | 0x3cc488… |
| 05-28 23:52:37 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 40 | 66¢ | $26 | 0x52c513… |
| 05-28 23:52:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 34¢ | $14 | 0x52c513… |
| 05-28 23:49:14 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 36 | 67¢ | $24 | 0x2d11c5… |
| 05-28 23:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 33¢ | $13 | 0x2d11c5… |
| 05-28 23:49:14 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 210 | 67¢ | $141 | 0x2d11c5… |
| 05-28 23:49:14 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x2d11c5… |