Understated-Auto — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$875

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

597

lifetime

Volume

$50.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

$796

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 13:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

91% — —

Politics

9% 100% +$875

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	-1,227	$-429	32¢	$-399	+$31	05-29 16:10
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	+300	$183	67¢	$201	+$18	05-30 10:40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	-1,306	$-166	15¢	$-196	$-30	06-23 20:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
starmer out by july 31 2026	29	$2.9K	10,806	500	+10,306	open	—	06-20 08:18
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	29	$2.5K	2,810	2,810	+0	open	—	03-12 18:32
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	7	$2.4K	1,397	1,397	+0	open	—	02-28 06:30
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	32	$2.3K	1,959	1,726	+233	open	—	05-26 13:56
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	14	$2.2K	2,500	1,831	+669	open	—	02-14 00:49
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	15	$2.1K	1,198	1,198	+0	open	—	02-16 10:23
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	79	$2.1K	3,214	3,211	+3	open	—	05-22 16:05
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	8	$1.5K	2,514	2,514	+0	open	—	06-21 09:10
will russia enter sofiivka by january 31	20	$1.5K	1,300	1,020	+280	open	—	01-21 08:58
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	1	$1.4K	0	1,400	-1,400	open	—	06-20 08:16
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	4	$1.3K	0	1,335	-1,335	open	—	01-30 15:09
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	6	$1.3K	900	900	+0	open	—	06-07 10:49
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	5	$1.3K	2,250	1,302	+948	open	—	02-23 09:07
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	16	$1.2K	771	1,018	-248	open	—	01-21 12:06
will russia enter verkhnia tersa by february 28	7	$1.2K	1,220	426	+794	open	—	02-14 08:27
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	18	$1.2K	812	1,335	-523	open	—	02-26 23:17
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-12 09:51
will russia enter kindrashivka by february 28	12	$1.1K	649	647	+2	open	—	02-17 13:30
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	3	$1.0K	545	545	+0	open	—	04-29 19:55
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	5	$1.0K	1,400	766	+634	open	—	01-08 21:11
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	5	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	01-10 11:27
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	37	$973	768	768	+0	open	—	02-12 21:29
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	11	$932	994	658	+336	open	—	05-26 09:10
will russia enter khatnie by february 28 2026	4	$819	440	440	+0	open	—	02-18 07:36
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	2	$818	1,090	1,090	+0	open	—	03-04 22:03
will russia capture hryshyne by march 15 2026 338	8	$756	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	03-12 18:31
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	10	$735	0	750	-750	open	—	06-28 23:14
will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	18	$676	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	03-03 17:25
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	8	$594	0	600	-600	open	—	06-05 13:58
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	4	$582	800	0	+800	open	—	04-02 02:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:15:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0e434e…
06-30 11:37:20	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	237	50¢	$119	0x23154f…
06-29 10:06:49	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xaaf653…
06-28 23:14:41	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0x60aa52…
06-28 21:35:52	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x747ff0…
06-28 02:15:41	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x04a11c…
06-27 19:29:38	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcfdc75…
06-27 19:26:02	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x2dded8…
06-23 20:47:22	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	785	10¢	$78	0xfb7c6b…
06-23 20:41:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x31401d…
06-23 20:18:38	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x263f71…
06-22 16:20:28	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x59a100…
06-21 09:10:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	819	9¢	$74	0x72d260…
06-21 09:10:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x054d56…
06-21 09:10:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,680	10¢	$168	0x23caf2…
06-20 08:18:56	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7,622	14¢	$1,067	0x95aebf…
06-20 08:17:38	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	38¢	$570	0x23d25b…
06-20 08:16:55	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	SELL	1,400	99¢	$1,385	0x0fe21b…
06-20 08:16:25	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	184	99¢	$181	0xd7da7f…
06-20 08:16:11	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	132	99¢	$130	0x2b5aa9…
06-19 15:56:32	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	472	29¢	$137	0xbde978…
06-19 13:11:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x071d7a…
06-19 13:10:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	900	69¢	$621	0xb343d5…
06-19 13:10:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0x7ede67…
06-19 13:10:25	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	68¢	$27	0x8c1ae3…
06-19 13:09:31	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0xe09f5e…
06-19 13:09:14	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	450	40¢	$180	0xf3ce96…
06-19 13:09:02	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	261	39¢	$102	0xccec0e…
06-17 08:10:19	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	361	54¢	$195	0x24ca9e…
06-17 07:03:02	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x3a7e4a…
06-17 07:00:47	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xbb9a4a…
06-17 06:58:52	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x600878…
06-17 06:51:19	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xfcffce…
06-17 06:51:19	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x1c1373…
06-17 06:50:58	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xf1c6eb…
06-17 06:10:25	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x968890…
06-17 05:42:14	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xaa90a8…
06-17 05:23:52	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x1896ca…
06-17 05:03:22	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xa2e9fc…
06-17 05:01:16	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x9a1e05…
06-17 04:14:35	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xee76e5…
06-17 03:52:56	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	28	54¢	$15	0x5811a0…
06-17 03:47:34	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xe9a642…
06-17 03:44:10	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x4b6c8a…
06-17 03:43:29	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xe75615…
06-17 03:25:30	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x1587b1…
06-16 14:19:14	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	174	58¢	$101	0x45fc2c…
06-16 13:03:18	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xfb1a5c…
06-16 12:37:52	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x972733…
06-16 12:35:06	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	303	58¢	$176	0x13cc16…
06-16 12:24:46	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x685b34…
06-13 19:30:34	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	201	58¢	$117	0x614550…
06-10 21:10:55	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	SELL	268	12¢	$32	0xbbafb8…
06-10 10:08:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0xa68dcc…
06-09 23:28:28	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	SELL	577	12¢	$69	0xd7e785…
06-09 23:28:18	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	SELL	96	13¢	$12	0x44d72b…
06-09 23:28:04	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	SELL	339	14¢	$47	0x6532f9…
06-09 08:16:21	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x3fcedd…
06-08 13:58:48	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xc27a6f…
06-08 13:58:40	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xc2c75a…
06-08 05:59:10	will starmer say mrpt speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137131	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd3659c…
06-08 05:34:00	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0xa7448c…
06-07 10:49:39	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	727	83¢	$603	0x498281…
06-07 09:47:12	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x5df924…
06-07 06:41:37	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0x52f9a5…
06-06 08:15:34	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	240	21¢	$50	0x08c9ea…
06-06 08:15:15	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xf90f7d…
06-06 08:05:24	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x38e97b…
06-06 08:05:15	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x5d5e74…
06-06 08:05:06	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xefb953…
06-06 07:55:15	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x131db9…
06-06 07:55:09	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x950e15…
06-06 07:45:07	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x1a0b9e…
06-06 07:35:12	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x0ec6fa…
06-06 07:35:06	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x135469…
06-06 07:25:09	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xf2cb47…
06-06 07:15:12	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x35fc9e…
06-06 07:15:04	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x02f606…
06-06 06:55:09	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xdd2951…
06-06 06:27:36	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	BUY	243	21¢	$51	0xda7e42…
06-06 04:44:03	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	125	83¢	$104	0x7bfd9f…
06-05 13:58:22	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x8dedde…
06-05 13:57:42	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xe42e1f…
06-05 13:56:01	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	SELL	184	99¢	$182	0x64e984…
06-05 13:55:58	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0x7b9139…
06-05 13:26:03	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7375bb…
06-05 13:12:21	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xeb1bbf…
06-05 12:51:36	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x06e91a…
06-05 06:48:57	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	SELL	69	99¢	$69	0x62850a…
06-02 18:36:30	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	647	6¢	$38	0x2ee517…
06-01 23:48:15	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,001	1¢	$12	0xa88646…
06-01 21:12:10	Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	24¢	$240	0xd8f440…
06-01 16:38:41	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xa482b4…
06-01 16:27:13	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	506	1¢	$6	0xd3902f…
06-01 16:26:57	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	411	1¢	$5	0x00dc22…
06-01 14:17:11	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	BUY	141	58¢	$82	0xcf210a…
06-01 11:26:58	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	BUY	759	58¢	$440	0xa6161a…
06-01 09:42:54	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x5988d6…
06-01 09:42:30	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x8fd6c8…
06-01 09:41:57	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	3¢	$4	0x1f9f20…