Understated-Auto — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$875

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

735

lifetime

Volume

$60.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-04 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

93% — —

Politics

7% 100% +$875

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
starmer out by july 31 2026	29	$2.9K	10,806	500	+10,306	open	—	06-20 08:18
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	29	$2.5K	2,810	2,810	+0	open	—	03-12 18:32
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	7	$2.4K	1,397	1,397	+0	open	—	02-28 06:30
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	32	$2.3K	1,959	1,726	+233	open	—	05-26 13:56
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	14	$2.2K	2,500	1,831	+669	open	—	02-14 00:49
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	15	$2.1K	1,198	1,198	+0	open	—	02-16 10:23
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	79	$2.1K	3,214	3,211	+3	open	—	05-22 16:05
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	3	$2.0K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	07-04 02:41
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	8	$1.5K	2,514	2,514	+0	open	—	06-21 09:10
will russia enter sofiivka by january 31	20	$1.5K	1,300	1,020	+280	open	—	01-21 08:58
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	18	$1.5K	1,202	1,202	+0	open	—	07-28 16:03
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	1	$1.4K	0	1,400	-1,400	open	—	06-20 08:16
will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	31	$1.3K	876	876	+0	open	—	07-19 06:24
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	4	$1.3K	0	1,335	-1,335	open	—	01-30 15:09
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	6	$1.3K	900	900	+0	open	—	06-07 10:49
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	5	$1.3K	2,250	1,302	+948	open	—	02-23 09:07
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	16	$1.2K	771	1,018	-248	open	—	01-21 12:06
will russia enter verkhnia tersa by february 28	7	$1.2K	1,220	426	+794	open	—	02-14 08:27
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	18	$1.2K	812	1,335	-523	open	—	02-26 23:17
will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	18	$1.2K	3,040	4,040	-1,000	open	—	07-29 20:42
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-12 09:51
will russia enter kindrashivka by february 28	12	$1.1K	649	647	+2	open	—	02-17 13:30
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	3	$1.0K	545	545	+0	open	—	04-29 19:55
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	5	$1.0K	1,400	766	+634	open	—	01-08 21:11
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	5	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	01-10 11:27
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	37	$973	768	768	+0	open	—	02-12 21:29
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	11	$932	994	658	+336	open	—	05-26 09:10
will russia enter khatnie by february 28 2026	4	$819	440	440	+0	open	—	02-18 07:36
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	2	$818	1,090	1,090	+0	open	—	03-04 22:03
will russia enter svitle by september 30	8	$776	1,475	1,475	+0	open	—	07-23 10:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 17:05:47	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	89	75¢	$67	0x7a18ea…
08-04 15:45:21	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	79	72¢	$57	0x2b782a…
08-04 15:45:14	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x598c3e…
08-04 15:43:48	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	150	72¢	$107	0x13a58d…
08-04 15:04:32	will russia capture dovha balka by september 30	No	BUY	219	65¢	$142	0x91b9cb…
08-04 15:04:30	will russia capture dovha balka by september 30	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x270ce9…
08-03 20:39:12	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	Yes	BUY	640	18¢	$115	0x94d00e…
08-03 20:39:00	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	Yes	BUY	202	17¢	$34	0x5d56a9…
08-03 03:46:51	will russia capture dovha balka by september 30	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x5807bc…
08-02 14:49:21	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	274	61¢	$167	0xc41140…
08-02 14:45:14	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	526	61¢	$321	0xde0de4…
08-02 04:48:02	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0x198bc3…
08-01 14:45:17	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x5d5e76…
08-01 13:12:23	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0xcc6921…
08-01 08:46:53	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xf591d5…
07-29 20:42:11	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	895	12¢	$107	0x379c68…
07-29 20:41:35	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	85	11¢	$9	0x8c5bdf…
07-29 20:34:57	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x453fae…
07-29 20:34:42	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	800	11¢	$88	0x4de8d1…
07-29 16:15:33	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	82	98¢	$81	0x0c6230…
07-29 14:07:45	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	61	12¢	$7	0xa1b1c2…
07-29 13:56:50	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	57	12¢	$7	0x323a22…
07-29 13:27:50	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	250	9¢	$22	0x3eab3f…
07-29 13:18:23	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	250	12¢	$30	0x7d2dd8…
07-29 13:15:11	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	250	12¢	$30	0xf1d74e…
07-29 13:07:02	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	250	12¢	$30	0x88e2e2…
07-29 12:45:26	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	177	12¢	$21	0x310242…
07-29 12:42:51	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xbca078…
07-29 12:41:54	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	583	12¢	$70	0x239aad…
07-29 12:41:20	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	66	63¢	$41	0x1eb37e…
07-29 12:38:18	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x1e6ced…
07-29 12:08:30	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	SELL	331	12¢	$40	0x06e110…
07-29 11:47:09	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	1,000	13¢	$133	0x0f09d0…
07-29 10:37:41	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	240	14¢	$34	0xff1e61…
07-29 10:37:14	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	1,000	14¢	$136	0x4ab4cd…
07-28 16:03:29	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	76	90¢	$68	0x518e8f…
07-28 10:52:43	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x1cd07b…
07-28 07:20:07	will russia capture novyi donbas by august 31 20260724163321935	No	SELL	137	79¢	$108	0x6210c1…
07-28 06:40:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	24	90¢	$21	0x39c425…
07-28 06:15:04	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd25d52…
07-28 04:34:48	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xacef4b…
07-28 04:29:36	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	45	90¢	$41	0x299603…
07-28 03:51:21	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xe66c6d…
07-28 03:45:33	will russia capture novyi donbas by august 31 20260724163321935	No	BUY	107	79¢	$85	0xeb4a83…
07-28 03:45:12	will russia capture novyi donbas by august 31 20260724163321935	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x3d9726…
07-28 03:27:03	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	127	90¢	$114	0xc0cf7c…
07-28 03:26:51	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xdef6f2…
07-28 03:23:46	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x2b3b5c…
07-26 18:00:03	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	BUY	210	9¢	$19	0x45b7f7…
07-26 02:53:42	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	No	BUY	800	52¢	$416	0xc671b1…
07-25 20:40:46	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	900	24¢	$216	0x7ac488…
07-25 20:38:18	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xb57258…
07-25 20:38:13	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x13e6d0…
07-25 14:03:34	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	350	26¢	$91	0x591db0…
07-25 14:03:01	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	191	25¢	$48	0x89f344…
07-25 11:04:19	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	86¢	$120	0xafb46a…
07-25 06:11:45	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	BUY	141	26¢	$37	0x7ee80d…
07-25 06:11:33	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xd51220…
07-23 10:38:25	will russia enter svitle by september 30	No	SELL	1,475	0¢	$4	0x597b9a…
07-23 10:37:37	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	827	0¢	$3	0x4aefae…
07-22 20:56:46	will russia enter svitle by september 30	No	BUY	1,200	47¢	$564	0x24e926…
07-22 10:08:04	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	SELL	43	14¢	$6	0xb9d84c…
07-22 10:06:58	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xf25d2c…
07-22 10:06:46	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	SELL	88	6¢	$5	0xee83d9…
07-22 10:04:13	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xf7d77e…
07-19 06:24:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	438	77¢	$337	0x9e9ba0…
07-17 09:18:04	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xc1452d…
07-17 09:17:57	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0x7a3735…
07-17 09:17:24	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0x987ad2…
07-17 09:17:16	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xeac478…
07-17 08:25:19	will russia capture novodmytrivka by september 30 20260714215009496	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xce7c6a…
07-17 08:25:13	will russia capture novodmytrivka by september 30 20260714215009496	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x01bb74…
07-16 04:22:28	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 19	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x42ce11…
07-15 11:52:02	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	525	64¢	$336	0x285614…
07-15 11:11:14	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x1e723c…
07-15 10:51:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x4701ed…
07-14 18:38:13	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	77¢	$85	0xd6e97d…
07-13 12:00:17	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	236	76¢	$179	0x0069bb…
07-13 07:58:50	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x205e1f…
07-13 07:58:40	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	10	76¢	$7	0x02d78e…
07-13 07:38:19	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x0f0502…
07-13 04:56:55	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x6b218d…
07-13 03:48:14	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xd7d858…
07-13 03:48:13	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x0af2c2…
07-13 03:48:11	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x4f0c12…
07-13 03:48:10	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xa07dc6…
07-13 03:45:05	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xfaae3e…
07-13 03:45:04	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x86fb88…
07-13 03:45:04	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x020742…
07-13 03:45:01	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xe612ad…
07-13 03:41:52	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xff2607…
07-13 03:41:52	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xb2eaf1…
07-13 03:41:50	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x7442e5…
07-13 03:41:43	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x9ec790…
07-12 20:37:11	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x41b859…
07-12 11:17:29	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0xbf7774…
07-11 18:59:14	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xe6e21b…
07-11 06:14:40	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	31	76¢	$24	0x38c0d3…
07-10 16:02:11	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	SELL	1,490	2¢	$25	0x2e832a…
07-10 11:53:26	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	57	20¢	$11	0x0d4097…