Understated-Auto — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$875

Unrealized P&L

+$198

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

673

lifetime

Volume

$56.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

$815

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

92% — —

Politics

8% 100% +$875

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	+411	$268	84¢	$343	+$75	07-14 18:38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	-1,227	$-429	26¢	$-325	+$104	05-29 16:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	-1,306	$-166	11¢	$-147	+$19	06-23 20:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
starmer out by july 31 2026	29	$2.9K	10,806	500	+10,306	open	—	06-20 08:18
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	29	$2.5K	2,810	2,810	+0	open	—	03-12 18:32
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	7	$2.4K	1,397	1,397	+0	open	—	02-28 06:30
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	32	$2.3K	1,959	1,726	+233	open	—	05-26 13:56
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	14	$2.2K	2,500	1,831	+669	open	—	02-14 00:49
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	15	$2.1K	1,198	1,198	+0	open	—	02-16 10:23
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	79	$2.1K	3,214	3,211	+3	open	—	05-22 16:05
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	3	$2.0K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	07-04 02:41
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	8	$1.5K	2,514	2,514	+0	open	—	06-21 09:10
will russia enter sofiivka by january 31	20	$1.5K	1,300	1,020	+280	open	—	01-21 08:58
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	1	$1.4K	0	1,400	-1,400	open	—	06-20 08:16
will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	31	$1.3K	876	876	+0	open	—	07-19 06:24
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	4	$1.3K	0	1,335	-1,335	open	—	01-30 15:09
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	6	$1.3K	900	900	+0	open	—	06-07 10:49
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	5	$1.3K	2,250	1,302	+948	open	—	02-23 09:07
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	16	$1.2K	771	1,018	-248	open	—	01-21 12:06
will russia enter verkhnia tersa by february 28	7	$1.2K	1,220	426	+794	open	—	02-14 08:27
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	18	$1.2K	812	1,335	-523	open	—	02-26 23:17
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	12	$1.2K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	07-15 11:52
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-12 09:51
will russia enter kindrashivka by february 28	12	$1.1K	649	647	+2	open	—	02-17 13:30
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	3	$1.0K	545	545	+0	open	—	04-29 19:55
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	5	$1.0K	1,400	766	+634	open	—	01-08 21:11
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	5	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	01-10 11:27
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	37	$973	768	768	+0	open	—	02-12 21:29
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	11	$932	994	658	+336	open	—	05-26 09:10
will russia enter khatnie by february 28 2026	4	$819	440	440	+0	open	—	02-18 07:36
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	2	$818	1,090	1,090	+0	open	—	03-04 22:03
will russia enter svitle by september 30	8	$776	1,475	1,475	+0	open	—	07-23 10:38
will russia capture hryshyne by march 15 2026 338	8	$756	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	03-12 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 10:38:25	will russia enter svitle by september 30	No	SELL	1,475	0¢	$4	0x597b9a…
07-23 10:37:37	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	827	0¢	$3	0x4aefae…
07-22 20:56:46	will russia enter svitle by september 30	No	BUY	1,200	47¢	$564	0x24e926…
07-22 10:08:04	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	SELL	43	14¢	$6	0xb9d84c…
07-22 10:06:58	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xf25d2c…
07-22 10:06:46	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	SELL	88	6¢	$5	0xee83d9…
07-22 10:04:13	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xf7d77e…
07-19 06:24:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	438	77¢	$337	0x9e9ba0…
07-17 09:18:04	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xc1452d…
07-17 09:17:57	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0x7a3735…
07-17 09:17:24	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0x987ad2…
07-17 09:17:16	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xeac478…
07-17 08:25:19	will russia capture novodmytrivka by september 30 20260714215009496	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xce7c6a…
07-17 08:25:13	will russia capture novodmytrivka by september 30 20260714215009496	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x01bb74…
07-16 04:22:28	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 19	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x42ce11…
07-15 11:52:02	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	525	64¢	$336	0x285614…
07-15 11:11:14	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x1e723c…
07-15 10:51:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x4701ed…
07-14 18:38:13	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	77¢	$85	0xd6e97d…
07-13 12:00:17	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	236	76¢	$179	0x0069bb…
07-13 07:58:50	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x205e1f…
07-13 07:58:40	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	10	76¢	$7	0x02d78e…
07-13 07:38:19	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x0f0502…
07-13 04:56:55	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x6b218d…
07-13 03:48:14	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xd7d858…
07-13 03:48:13	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x0af2c2…
07-13 03:48:11	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x4f0c12…
07-13 03:48:10	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xa07dc6…
07-13 03:45:05	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xfaae3e…
07-13 03:45:04	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x86fb88…
07-13 03:45:04	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x020742…
07-13 03:45:01	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xe612ad…
07-13 03:41:52	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xff2607…
07-13 03:41:52	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xb2eaf1…
07-13 03:41:50	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x7442e5…
07-13 03:41:43	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x9ec790…
07-12 20:37:11	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x41b859…
07-12 11:17:29	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0xbf7774…
07-11 18:59:14	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xe6e21b…
07-11 06:14:40	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	31	76¢	$24	0x38c0d3…
07-10 16:02:11	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	SELL	1,490	2¢	$25	0x2e832a…
07-10 11:53:26	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	57	20¢	$11	0x0d4097…
07-10 11:24:10	will russia enter svitle by september 30	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x7232d8…
07-10 11:23:28	will russia enter svitle by september 30	No	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x3a186f…
07-09 20:04:50	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	70	22¢	$15	0x925755…
07-09 20:04:17	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	123	22¢	$27	0xa6d7a7…
07-09 20:04:07	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xd2b589…
07-09 20:04:02	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	58	21¢	$12	0x896eb5…
07-08 14:45:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	156	75¢	$117	0x1bb1ed…
07-08 14:44:40	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	27	75¢	$21	0x5118ed…
07-08 14:43:01	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x8ddf13…
07-08 14:37:22	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xa0c565…
07-08 14:32:02	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	132	75¢	$99	0x1323b4…
07-08 14:31:44	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	13	75¢	$9	0x46645b…
07-08 14:31:44	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	13	75¢	$9	0x08d301…
07-08 14:31:23	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	36	75¢	$27	0x97ada1…
07-08 09:18:58	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	476	77¢	$367	0xb8381c…
07-07 20:44:47	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xd56c10…
07-07 18:27:34	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	1,000	36¢	$360	0xd68d83…
07-07 18:26:47	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	785	39¢	$306	0xc885c5…
07-07 14:30:23	will russia enter svitle by september 30	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x9d4d29…
07-07 14:08:46	will russia enter svitle by september 30	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x60f565…
07-07 14:08:38	will russia enter svitle by september 30	No	BUY	130	79¢	$103	0x7030b1…
07-07 14:08:31	will russia enter svitle by september 30	No	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0xe78692…
07-07 14:06:43	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd7de7f…
07-07 14:04:53	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x7af1f3…
07-07 14:03:56	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0x68be33…
07-07 14:03:04	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	133	40¢	$53	0x887fbf…
07-07 14:02:58	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6820d0…
07-04 05:03:07	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	495	50¢	$248	0xd017e5…
07-04 02:41:41	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1,300	77¢	$1,001	0x3e8fe1…
07-04 02:25:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	75	50¢	$37	0x581393…
07-04 01:09:25	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xdfe269…
07-04 01:01:31	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0x700fb1…
07-04 00:03:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	59	50¢	$30	0xa1d5be…
07-03 19:35:19	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xd20f88…
07-03 19:35:17	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,100	77¢	$847	0xcb520e…
06-30 13:15:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0e434e…
06-30 11:37:20	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	237	50¢	$119	0x23154f…
06-29 10:06:49	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xaaf653…
06-28 23:14:41	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0x60aa52…
06-28 21:35:52	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x747ff0…
06-28 02:15:41	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x04a11c…
06-27 19:29:38	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcfdc75…
06-27 19:26:02	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x2dded8…
06-23 20:47:22	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	785	10¢	$78	0xfb7c6b…
06-23 20:41:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x31401d…
06-23 20:18:38	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x263f71…
06-22 16:20:28	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x59a100…
06-21 09:10:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	819	9¢	$74	0x72d260…
06-21 09:10:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x054d56…
06-21 09:10:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,680	10¢	$168	0x23caf2…
06-20 08:18:56	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7,622	14¢	$1,067	0x95aebf…
06-20 08:17:38	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	38¢	$570	0x23d25b…
06-20 08:16:55	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	No	SELL	1,400	99¢	$1,385	0x0fe21b…
06-20 08:16:25	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	184	99¢	$181	0xd7da7f…
06-20 08:16:11	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	132	99¢	$130	0x2b5aa9…
06-19 15:56:32	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	472	29¢	$137	0xbde978…
06-19 13:11:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x071d7a…
06-19 13:10:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	900	69¢	$621	0xb343d5…