Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22f0…273a92
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Realized P&L
-$582
Unrealized P&L
+$158
Hit rate
2.8%
Resolved
19
Trades
3,296
lifetime
Volume
$28.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$1.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-23
last 06-30 10:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
62% 33% $-3
Politics
38% 33% $-565
Crypto
0% 25% $-6
Sports
0% 0% $-8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -199 $-185 91¢ $-181 +$4 06-11 20:09
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +148 $133 89¢ $132 $-1 06-29 22:56
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -110 $-87 99¢ $-108 $-21 06-06 15:52
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +102 $89 92¢ $93 +$4 06-03 05:28
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No -91 $-90 100¢ $-90 $-0 06-28 19:17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -96 $-76 75¢ $-72 +$4 06-19 18:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -46 $-45 100¢ $-46 $-1 06-01 07:41
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +154 $36 27¢ $42 +$5 06-30 15:08
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +46 $41 90¢ $41 $-0 06-20 06:48
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -39 $-45 99¢ $-39 +$6 06-04 16:50
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +139 $41 28¢ $39 $-3 06-30 00:33
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +76 $23 50¢ $38 +$16 06-27 15:17
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +142 $47 26¢ $37 $-10 06-27 18:05
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +101 $23 35¢ $35 +$12 06-29 19:18
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +36 $32 86¢ $32 $-0 06-28 13:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +26 $20 100¢ $26 +$6 06-12 22:34
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -34 $-76 65¢ $-22 +$53 06-26 10:26
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +23 $18 86¢ $20 +$2 06-24 15:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -20 $-32 100¢ $-20 +$12 06-16 15:24
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +108 $19 18¢ $19 +$0 06-29 16:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +17 $14 100¢ $17 +$3 06-13 01:03
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +28 $9 50¢ $14 +$5 06-19 20:17
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 $-8 62¢ $-11 $-3 06-27 12:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No -10 $-40 100¢ $-10 +$30 06-16 14:58
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +10 $7 90¢ $9 +$2 06-27 22:38
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-6 74¢ $-6 +$0 05-31 12:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -60 $-8 10¢ $-6 +$3 05-29 16:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +40 $6 14¢ $5 $-1 06-29 18:45
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No -7 $-5 61¢ $-4 +$1 06-23 11:39
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes -160 $-35 2¢ $-4 +$31 06-18 07:27