Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22f0…273a92
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Realized P&L
-$582
Unrealized P&L
+$66
Hit rate
2.8%
Resolved
19
Trades
2,323
lifetime
Volume
$20.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$827
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-23
last 06-09 21:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
60% 33% $-3
Politics
40% 33% $-565
Crypto
1% 25% $-6
Sports
0% 0% $-8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -110 $-87 90¢ $-99 $-12 06-06 15:52
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +102 $89 90¢ $91 +$2 06-03 05:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +89 $53 76¢ $67 +$14 06-08 07:23
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +70 $62 90¢ $63 +$0 06-03 20:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +65 $47 88¢ $57 +$11 06-07 20:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -54 $-50 80¢ $-43 +$7 06-05 14:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -46 $-45 90¢ $-42 +$3 06-01 07:41
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -39 $-45 95¢ $-37 +$8 06-04 16:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +40 $32 92¢ $36 +$4 06-07 21:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +36 $33 96¢ $35 +$2 06-08 14:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +37 $31 90¢ $33 +$3 05-28 20:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $30 82¢ $31 +$2 06-08 14:26
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +165 $33 18¢ $31 $-3 06-09 11:08
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -37 $-25 68¢ $-25 +$0 06-07 18:06
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $22 48¢ $22 $-1 06-09 21:58
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +53 $19 37¢ $20 +$1 06-08 14:20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +19 $15 78¢ $15 +$0 05-29 11:00
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +59 $13 22¢ $13 +$0 06-08 09:10
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +14 $12 84¢ $12 $-0 06-01 07:49
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 94¢ $8 +$0 05-28 07:21
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +36 $9 21¢ $8 $-2 06-09 13:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -60 $-8 12¢ $-8 +$1 05-29 16:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +10 $-6 62¢ $7 +$13 06-01 08:56
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-6 76¢ $-6 +$0 05-31 12:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $-4 90¢ $5 +$9 06-08 10:18
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 06-01 10:34
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +15 $4 24¢ $4 $-0 05-31 19:47
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +6 $-0 45¢ $3 +$3 06-08 20:51
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes +17 $3 16¢ $3 +$0 06-07 07:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -4 $-3 64¢ $-3 +$0 06-08 20:43