Realized P&L
+$961
Unrealized P&L
-$172
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved
633
Trades
6,908
lifetime
Volume
$69.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.68K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-23
last 10-31 20:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 140 days
Categories
Other
65% 50% +$1,097
Politics
35% 46% -$87
Crypto
0% 32% -$31
Sports
0% 0% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +279 $184 70¢ $197 +$13 10-11 19:14
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +209 $155 72¢ $152 -$3 10-28 21:06
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +197 $146 72¢ $141 -$5 10-28 20:00
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -131 -$88 95¢ $-125 -$36 05-31 12:28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +159 $92 72¢ $113 +$22 10-21 13:04
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -105 -$87 94¢ $-98 -$12 07-12 14:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +128 $83 70¢ $90 +$7 10-09 16:43
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -88 -$78 95¢ $-84 -$6 07-12 14:59
will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31 No +315 $177 23¢ $72 -$104 10-08 13:48
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +99 $62 72¢ $70 +$8 10-14 12:47
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +79 $56 74¢ $59 +$3 10-29 22:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +50 -$5 88¢ $44 +$50 10-21 19:59
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +58 $47 74¢ $43 -$4 10-28 10:28
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +55 $31 78¢ $43 +$12 10-09 23:11
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +131 $44 28¢ $36 -$8 09-03 15:25
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +237 $49 14¢ $32 -$17 10-24 14:40
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $48 24¢ $29 -$19 10-16 17:46
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +37 $20 78¢ $29 +$8 10-12 23:38
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +213 $31 12¢ $25 -$6 10-31 20:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +40 $46 58¢ $23 -$23 10-30 03:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +198 $27 12¢ $23 -$4 08-06 20:08
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +29 $21 68¢ $20 -$1 10-27 12:46
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31 Yes +59 $31 33¢ $20 -$11 09-15 12:29
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +29 $20 68¢ $19 -$1 10-30 19:41
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +26 $19 74¢ $19 +$1 10-29 17:44
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31 Yes +60 $24 30¢ $18 -$6 10-10 20:55
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +29 $13 56¢ $16 +$3 10-10 14:54
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +241 $21 6¢ $14 -$6 09-16 16:12
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +19 $16 70¢ $14 -$2 10-12 01:54
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +160 $35 6¢ $10 -$25 08-27 18:05