Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22f0…273a92
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Realized P&L
-$582
Unrealized P&L
+$158
Hit rate
2.8%
Resolved
19
Trades
4,130
lifetime
Volume
$36.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$982
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-23
last 07-20 23:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
64% 33% $-3
Politics
35% 33% $-565
Crypto
0% 25% $-6
Sports
0% 0% $-8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -199 $-185 92¢ $-184 +$1 06-11 20:09
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +159 $113 80¢ $128 +$15 07-03 17:08
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +159 $74 60¢ $96 +$22 07-17 09:54
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -88 $-78 92¢ $-81 $-2 07-12 14:59
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +136 $26 57¢ $77 +$51 07-20 22:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +158 $76 48¢ $75 $-1 07-12 05:09
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +246 $54 18¢ $46 $-9 07-20 18:04
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +166 $49 26¢ $43 $-6 07-17 16:04
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +217 $37 20¢ $42 +$5 07-16 10:50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -49 $-46 84¢ $-42 +$5 07-14 12:29
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +70 $39 52¢ $37 $-2 07-16 21:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -30 $-29 90¢ $-27 +$2 07-15 11:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +119 $11 22¢ $26 +$15 07-17 16:05
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No -22 $-16 76¢ $-17 $-1 07-09 10:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +50 $6 26¢ $13 +$8 07-19 16:14
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$0 07-08 09:05
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +28 $9 38¢ $11 +$2 06-19 20:17
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-0 05-31 12:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -60 $-8 11¢ $-6 +$2 05-29 16:01
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +11 $-14 43¢ $5 +$18 07-07 21:00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -6 $-34 70¢ $-4 +$29 07-12 14:02
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -4 $-5 92¢ $-3 +$2 07-12 14:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $2 8¢ $2 $-0 06-06 09:40