Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$8,328
$240 in 24h
Trades
293
Unique wallets
84
Liquidity
$6,525
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-15 18:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+34.9¢
(top1%: 61% YES on $829
vs crowd: 26% YES on $5.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $337 | $440 | $103 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $796 | $1.9K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $12 | $1.0K | $992 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $174 | $392 | $217 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $505 | $325 | +$180 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $60 | $27 | +$33 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $36 | $24 | +$13 |
| Median | 3 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Below median | 8 | $16 | $66 | $50 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | $100 | $100 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $177 | $947 | $770 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $420 | $919 | $499 |
| unranked | 31 | $96 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect-Dad 0x84c3…6efe | Yes | +2,028 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-15 13:07 |
| Tempting-Tell 0xb7c1…675e | No | +956 | $719 | $971 | 14 | 06-15 18:17 |
| Dramatic-Sheep 0x5739…5f1a | Yes | +929 | $176 | $176 | 1 | 05-31 12:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x55db…2031 | Yes | +867 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-08 08:10 |
| Glistening-Contributor 0x748a…3c56 | No | +700 | $530 | $530 | 3 | 06-15 13:07 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | Yes | +500 | $95 | $95 | 3 | 06-06 11:41 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | +391 | $293 | $293 | 6 | 06-15 13:08 |
| Front-Legislator-Birth 0x1da8…aa05 | No | +241 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-02 05:51 |
| Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | +200 | $143 | $600 | 4 | 06-15 13:07 |
| Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | +181 | $39 | $39 | 15 | 06-15 12:24 |
| Melodic-Giggle 0xc932…e6a5 | No | +181 | $132 | $132 | 1 | 06-08 08:41 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +171 | $132 | $132 | 13 | 06-09 19:35 |
| Smart-Den 0xa96a…dd9f | Yes | +102 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-08 07:52 |
| Extra-Small-Rawhide 0x25eb…0506 | No | +100 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 06-15 13:07 |
| Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | +60 | $13 | $48 | 6 | 06-06 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x195e…c633 | Yes | +60 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-10 11:26 |
| Gregarious-Eating 0x0002…56c9 | Yes | +60 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 13:26 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +60 | $45 | $537 | 12 | 06-15 18:17 |
| Frank-Questioner-Syrup 0xeaea…9995 | Yes | +49 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 17:48 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +44 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-08 08:41 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +43 | $10 | $33 | 7 | 06-15 13:08 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 12 | 06-15 15:30 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +40 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-08 18:26 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-31 19:25 |
| Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | +40 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 06-12 13:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +34 | $8 | $29 | 4 | 06-08 11:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b62…b8ab | Yes | +33 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-13 21:20 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-15 13:08 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-08 08:10 |
| Large-Bureau 0xc3a2…d0bd | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-15 15:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-08 09:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +24 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 06-08 11:36 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-15 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a16…a9fd | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-08 12:18 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-08 07:52 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-15 17:49 |
| Unfit-Squeegee 0x9d18…2065 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-08 08:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3f5…e175 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-15 13:08 |
| Circular-Coverage 0x07e0…e1e8 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-09 19:35 |
| Unfit-Squeegee 0x9d18…2065 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-08 09:17 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 18:42 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 20:42 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +2 | $-0 | $18 | 11 | 06-08 09:19 |
| Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $28 | 10 | 06-11 08:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 18:42:37 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xf3d942… |
| 06-15 18:42:37 | (anonymous) 0x73c1…28f3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xf3d942… |
| 06-15 18:17:09 | Tempting-Tell 0xb7c1…675e | No | BUY | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0x94eaef… |
| 06-15 18:17:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0x94eaef… |
| 06-15 17:49:52 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x8ae9f4… |
| 06-15 17:49:52 | Salty-Talk 0xbe49…d9f8 | No | SELL | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x8ae9f4… |
| 06-15 15:30:43 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xbde74d… |
| 06-15 15:30:43 | (anonymous) 0x73c1…28f3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xbde74d… |
| 06-15 15:30:42 | Tempting-Tell 0xb7c1…675e | No | BUY | 119 | 76¢ | $91 | 0x3b1e06… |
| 06-15 15:30:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 84 | 76¢ | $64 | 0x3b1e06… |
| 06-15 15:30:42 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | No | SELL | 12 | 76¢ | $9 | 0x3b1e06… |
| 06-15 15:30:42 | Large-Bureau 0xc3a2…d0bd | Yes | BUY | 24 | 24¢ | $6 | 0x3b1e06… |
| 06-15 15:30:33 | Tempting-Tell 0xb7c1…675e | No | BUY | 25 | 75¢ | $19 | 0xd8cfd9… |
| 06-15 15:30:33 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x94c2f7… |
| 06-15 15:30:33 | Large-Bureau 0xc3a2…d0bd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x94c2f7… |
| 06-15 15:30:33 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | No | SELL | 9 | 75¢ | $7 | 0xd8cfd9… |
| 06-15 15:30:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 75¢ | $12 | 0xd8cfd9… |
| 06-15 13:08:57 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0x44e41a… |
| 06-15 13:08:57 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xe98c7f… |
| 06-15 13:08:57 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 116 | 74¢ | $86 | 0x44e41a… |
| 06-15 13:08:57 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 17 | 73¢ | $12 | 0xe98c7f… |
| 06-15 13:08:57 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 81 | 74¢ | $60 | 0x44e41a… |
| 06-15 13:08:57 | (anonymous) 0xa3f5…e175 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x44e41a… |
| 06-15 13:08:06 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 133 | 75¢ | $100 | 0x2e8a9b… |
| 06-15 13:08:06 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 133 | 75¢ | $100 | 0x2e8a9b… |
| 06-15 13:07:27 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x2a43eb… |
| 06-15 13:07:27 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | BUY | 200 | 75¢ | $150 | 0x2a43eb… |
| 06-15 13:07:27 | Extroverted-Engineer 0x8631…9a73 | Yes | SELL | 700 | 25¢ | $175 | 0x2a43eb… |
| 06-15 13:07:27 | Extra-Small-Rawhide 0x25eb…0506 | No | BUY | 100 | 75¢ | $75 | 0x2a43eb… |
| 06-15 13:07:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 200 | 75¢ | $150 | 0x2a43eb… |
| 06-15 13:07:27 | Glistening-Contributor 0x748a…3c56 | No | BUY | 500 | 76¢ | $380 | 0x2a43eb… |
| 06-15 13:07:27 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 133 | 75¢ | $100 | 0x2a43eb… |
| 06-15 13:07:27 | Perfect-Dad 0x84c3…6efe | Yes | BUY | 2,028 | 25¢ | $500 | 0x2a43eb… |
| 06-15 13:07:27 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 190 | 76¢ | $144 | 0x2a43eb… |
| 06-15 12:24:21 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x5b1507… |
| 06-15 12:24:21 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x5b1507… |
| 06-15 12:24:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 39 | 77¢ | $30 | 0x650154… |
| 06-15 12:24:19 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 23¢ | $6 | 0x650154… |
| 06-15 12:24:19 | Tempting-Tell 0xb7c1…675e | No | BUY | 64 | 77¢ | $50 | 0x650154… |
| 06-14 11:06:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 19 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x69d684… |
| 06-14 11:06:07 | Demanding-Stake 0x703d…80f6 | No | SELL | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x388b53… |
| 06-14 11:06:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x388b53… |
| 06-14 11:06:07 | Demanding-Stake 0x703d…80f6 | No | SELL | 19 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x69d684… |
| 06-14 10:16:06 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x440320… |
| 06-14 10:16:06 | Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | No | SELL | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x440320… |
| 06-14 00:50:34 | Peppery-Leaf 0xf020…5b54 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x814133… |
| 06-14 00:50:34 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x814133… |
| 06-13 21:20:31 | (anonymous) 0x0b62…b8ab | Yes | BUY | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xc4c869… |
| 06-13 21:20:31 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xc4c869… |
| 06-13 14:26:46 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xe81e84… |
| 06-13 14:26:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 21 | 77¢ | $16 | 0xe81e84… |
| 06-13 14:26:46 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 23¢ | $11 | 0xe81e84… |
| 06-13 14:26:46 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xe81e84… |
| 06-12 20:12:03 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 80 | 74¢ | $59 | 0x5c40b4… |
| 06-12 20:12:03 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x5c40b4… |
| 06-12 20:12:03 | Required-Portrait 0x37af…2f21 | No | SELL | 100 | 74¢ | $74 | 0x5c40b4… |
| 06-12 16:14:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 21 | 76¢ | $16 | 0x645537… |
| 06-12 16:14:58 | (anonymous) 0x0b62…b8ab | Yes | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x645537… |
| 06-12 13:34:16 | Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xafd249… |
| 06-12 13:34:16 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xafd249… |
| 06-12 13:34:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 78¢ | $9 | 0xafd249… |
| 06-12 12:30:13 | Prickly-Caramel 0xf827…13ea | Yes | SELL | 18 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x6a9da4… |
| 06-12 12:30:13 | Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x6a9da4… |
| 06-12 10:18:34 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x3eef31… |
| 06-12 10:18:34 | Vigilant-Clove 0x51bf…59d3 | No | SELL | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x3eef31… |
| 06-12 09:50:19 | Tempting-Tell 0xb7c1…675e | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x8a6ed3… |
| 06-12 09:50:19 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x8a6ed3… |
| 06-12 07:33:30 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xb3fab4… |
| 06-12 07:33:30 | Required-Portrait 0x37af…2f21 | No | SELL | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xb3fab4… |
| 06-11 23:52:36 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x433889… |
| 06-11 23:52:36 | Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x433889… |
| 06-11 23:52:34 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x34dd74… |
| 06-11 23:52:34 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 297 | 77¢ | $229 | 0x34dd74… |
| 06-11 23:52:34 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x34dd74… |
| 06-11 23:52:34 | Tempting-Tell 0xb7c1…675e | No | BUY | 352 | 77¢ | $271 | 0x34dd74… |
| 06-11 21:31:43 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x99ec25… |
| 06-11 21:31:43 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x99ec25… |
| 06-11 14:39:22 | (anonymous) 0x6a0d…0d74 | No | SELL | 36 | 74¢ | $26 | 0x0a89d8… |
| 06-11 14:39:22 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 36 | 74¢ | $26 | 0x0a89d8… |
| 06-11 08:16:18 | Required-Portrait 0x37af…2f21 | No | SELL | 38 | 75¢ | $28 | 0x115cb6… |
| 06-11 08:16:18 | Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x115cb6… |
| 06-10 23:36:43 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xed8ac9… |
| 06-10 23:36:43 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xed8ac9… |
| 06-10 23:36:42 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0x2b1259… |
| 06-10 23:36:42 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x2b1259… |
| 06-10 23:36:42 | Tempting-Tell 0xb7c1…675e | No | BUY | 28 | 76¢ | $21 | 0x2b1259… |
| 06-10 23:30:21 | Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x0c117e… |
| 06-10 23:30:21 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x0c117e… |
| 06-10 23:21:09 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xf7c143… |
| 06-10 23:21:09 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0xf7c143… |
| 06-10 11:26:21 | Soulful-Leather 0xe913…4b84 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xa8981d… |
| 06-10 11:26:21 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xa8981d… |
| 06-10 11:26:18 | (anonymous) 0x195e…c633 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xec5af7… |
| 06-10 11:26:18 | Tempting-Tell 0xb7c1…675e | No | BUY | 30 | 77¢ | $23 | 0xec5af7… |
| 06-09 19:35:54 | Circular-Coverage 0x07e0…e1e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x3f3cf5… |
| 06-09 19:35:54 | Big-Repair 0xa2ef…4535 | No | SELL | 317 | 74¢ | $234 | 0x3f3cf5… |
| 06-09 19:35:54 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 40 | 74¢ | $30 | 0x3f3cf5… |
| 06-09 19:35:54 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | BUY | 272 | 74¢ | $201 | 0x3f3cf5… |
| 06-09 17:15:57 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xf96637… |
| 06-09 17:15:57 | Bountiful-Azimuth 0x2015…7c47 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xf96637… |