Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$51,556
$240 in 24h
Trades
1,422
Unique wallets
270
Liquidity
$6,525
Latest YES mid
17¢
Latest NO mid
83¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-28 17:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+49.1¢
(top1%: 84% YES on $4.4K
vs crowd: 35% YES on $36.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 21 | $4.7K | $4.0K | +$772 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 54 | $5.1K | $12.2K | $7.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 64 | $1.3K | $5.2K | $3.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 131 | $1.7K | $2.7K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $3.7K | $717 | +$3.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $860 | $1.2K | $378 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $74 | $215 | $141 |
| Median | 17 | $641 | $301 | +$340 |
| Below median | 27 | $250 | $1.3K | $1.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $214 | $893 | $679 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 32 | $761 | $11.6K | $10.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 19 | $4.2K | $1.8K | +$2.4K |
| unranked | 138 | $2.2K | $6.0K | $3.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dramatic-Sheep 0x5739…5f1a | Yes | +12,583 | $2,891 | $2,891 | 29 | 07-10 17:50 |
| Melodic-Giggle 0xc932…e6a5 | No | +9,589 | $7,006 | $7,006 | 5 | 07-01 08:35 |
| Tempting-Tell 0xb7c1…675e | No | +3,546 | $2,517 | $2,770 | 31 | 06-23 20:42 |
| Light-Front 0xb26c…0eb0 | Yes | +3,199 | $855 | $855 | 7 | 07-06 09:15 |
| That-Physiology 0x2bd2…c21b | Yes | +2,640 | $711 | $849 | 3 | 07-07 11:21 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +2,532 | $604 | $838 | 19 | 07-18 02:23 |
| Motionless-Dwelling 0x6460…76db | Yes | +2,305 | $587 | $587 | 1 | 07-06 16:23 |
| Velvety-Confirmation 0x94d0…9e65 | No | +1,531 | $1,011 | $1,011 | 7 | 06-30 22:40 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +1,297 | $342 | $344 | 3 | 07-01 08:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a8d…262f | No | +1,168 | $898 | $898 | 2 | 07-06 16:36 |
| Elaborate-Cashier 0xb8b4…1f6e | Yes | +1,156 | $288 | $288 | 4 | 07-06 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x55db…2031 | Yes | +867 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-08 08:10 |
| Wry-Elm 0x43cc…9211 | No | +761 | $555 | $555 | 2 | 07-01 19:55 |
| Cluttered-Texture 0xf7fe…07cf | No | +700 | $539 | $539 | 1 | 07-09 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd604…92e2 | Yes | +675 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 06-17 20:52 |
| Unique-Liquidity 0xe0d9…8483 | No | +651 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-01 09:26 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +597 | $437 | $437 | 25 | 07-20 22:39 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +591 | $134 | $134 | 16 | 07-13 08:45 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +536 | $146 | $473 | 24 | 07-12 09:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x172b…a0c9 | Yes | +430 | $108 | $108 | 4 | 07-04 22:39 |
| Glistening-Contributor 0x748a…3c56 | No | +420 | $52 | $3,701 | 29 | 07-28 17:54 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | +400 | $77 | $136 | 14 | 07-23 20:30 |
| Antique-Mound 0xf567…1402 | Yes | +394 | $117 | $117 | 10 | 07-02 21:11 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | +391 | $247 | $1,107 | 18 | 07-01 08:35 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +345 | $271 | $989 | 16 | 07-26 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8a4…df53 | Yes | +324 | $59 | $59 | 4 | 07-20 12:55 |
| Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | Yes | +319 | $84 | $93 | 3 | 07-12 07:30 |
| Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | +300 | $225 | $225 | 2 | 07-04 21:50 |
| Front-Legislator-Birth 0x1da8…aa05 | No | +241 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-02 05:51 |
| Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | +235 | $56 | $56 | 19 | 06-23 20:10 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +230 | $196 | $214 | 8 | 07-12 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d60…e31e | Yes | +223 | $58 | $58 | 10 | 06-27 14:32 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +210 | $52 | $52 | 3 | 07-06 16:23 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +210 | $160 | $191 | 4 | 07-06 16:36 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +208 | $77 | $77 | 4 | 06-23 20:42 |
| Extra-Small-Rawhide 0x25eb…0506 | No | +200 | $140 | $140 | 5 | 06-23 20:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6165…a600 | No | +174 | $131 | $131 | 2 | 07-06 07:40 |
| Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | +165 | $130 | $130 | 2 | 07-28 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xfff0…54e7 | Yes | +164 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 07-06 07:40 |
| Ashamed-Roster 0xcf9e…518e | No | +153 | $116 | $116 | 1 | 07-03 22:57 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +142 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 07-14 17:56 |
| Shoddy-Cyst 0xef54…c997 | No | +141 | $104 | $104 | 4 | 06-27 14:32 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +124 | $86 | $157 | 11 | 06-29 09:21 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +120 | $35 | $35 | 6 | 06-25 21:23 |
| Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | Yes | +113 | $34 | $34 | 12 | 06-30 03:57 |
| Smart-Den 0xa96a…dd9f | Yes | +102 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-08 07:52 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +100 | $85 | $263 | 8 | 07-01 19:55 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +100 | $28 | $85 | 4 | 07-01 19:55 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +100 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 07-03 22:59 |
| Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | Yes | +98 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 06-22 23:29 |
| Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902…31e2 | No | +98 | $69 | $69 | 4 | 06-22 11:11 |
| Gregarious-Eating 0x0002…56c9 | Yes | +94 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-18 12:18 |
| Daring-Disaster 0x8029…bafc | Yes | +94 | $23 | $23 | 4 | 07-03 22:57 |
| Puzzled-Grandson 0x8144…4c8a | Yes | +93 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 07-10 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +74 | $61 | $61 | 9 | 07-20 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb740…b880 | No | +67 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-26 18:00 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +60 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 06-17 09:23 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +52 | $41 | $41 | 3 | 06-23 07:40 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +52 | $27 | $1,588 | 38 | 07-26 21:26 |
| Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | +50 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 07-06 16:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 17:54:31 | Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | BUY | 65 | 85¢ | $56 | 0xd6244f… |
| 07-28 17:54:31 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xd6244f… |
| 07-28 17:54:31 | Glistening-Contributor 0x748a…3c56 | No | SELL | 55 | 85¢ | $47 | 0xd6244f… |
| 07-27 05:45:46 | (anonymous) 0x74b5…9cde | No | SELL | 31 | 82¢ | $25 | 0xa9b40f… |
| 07-27 05:45:46 | Glistening-Contributor 0x748a…3c56 | No | BUY | 21 | 82¢ | $17 | 0xa9b40f… |
| 07-27 05:45:46 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xa9b40f… |
| 07-26 21:26:12 | Glistening-Contributor 0x748a…3c56 | No | SELL | 193 | 85¢ | $164 | 0x05a5f5… |
| 07-26 21:26:12 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 52 | 85¢ | $45 | 0x05a5f5… |
| 07-26 21:26:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x05a5f5… |
| 07-26 21:26:12 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x05a5f5… |
| 07-26 21:26:12 | (anonymous) 0x1765…d450 | Yes | SELL | 251 | 15¢ | $38 | 0x05a5f5… |
| 07-24 20:17:46 | (anonymous) 0xace6…c83b | No | BUY | 11 | 84¢ | $9 | 0x8d5bbf… |
| 07-24 20:17:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 11 | 84¢ | $9 | 0x8d5bbf… |
| 07-23 20:30:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0xdb98d6… |
| 07-23 20:30:10 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | SELL | 38 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xdb98d6… |
| 07-23 20:30:10 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0xdb98d6… |
| 07-23 20:28:25 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | SELL | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xb02b53… |
| 07-23 20:28:25 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0xb02b53… |
| 07-23 20:28:10 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x8b8769… |
| 07-23 20:28:10 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 83¢ | $33 | 0x8b8769… |
| 07-23 20:28:10 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | SELL | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x8b8769… |
| 07-23 20:25:21 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | SELL | 49 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xa9d34f… |
| 07-23 20:25:21 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | No | SELL | 49 | 83¢ | $41 | 0xa9d34f… |
| 07-23 20:23:52 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x18437b… |
| 07-23 20:23:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x18437b… |
| 07-23 20:23:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x824ff2… |
| 07-23 20:23:30 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 35 | 84¢ | $29 | 0x824ff2… |
| 07-23 20:23:30 | Diligent-Short 0xac71…f74c | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x824ff2… |
| 07-23 20:23:27 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x57b2df… |
| 07-23 20:23:27 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 40 | 84¢ | $34 | 0x57b2df… |
| 07-23 20:23:27 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x57b2df… |
| 07-23 20:23:27 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x57b2df… |
| 07-23 20:23:27 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | No | BUY | 49 | 84¢ | $41 | 0x57b2df… |
| 07-23 20:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x1765…d450 | Yes | BUY | 251 | 16¢ | $40 | 0x57b2df… |
| 07-23 20:23:27 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x57b2df… |
| 07-23 06:50:31 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | SELL | 26 | 85¢ | $22 | 0x8b1232… |
| 07-23 06:50:31 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x8b1232… |
| 07-22 17:39:25 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xc21f8b… |
| 07-22 17:39:25 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xc21f8b… |
| 07-22 17:38:33 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x37a696… |
| 07-22 17:38:33 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x37a696… |
| 07-22 17:38:24 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x26fdc3… |
| 07-22 17:38:24 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x26fdc3… |
| 07-22 17:35:54 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 62 | 13¢ | $8 | 0x4db87e… |
| 07-22 17:35:54 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 62 | 13¢ | $8 | 0x4db87e… |
| 07-22 17:35:51 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 38 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x113c2b… |
| 07-22 17:35:51 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | BUY | 38 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x113c2b… |
| 07-22 17:35:42 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x4e6edf… |
| 07-22 17:35:42 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x4e6edf… |
| 07-22 17:35:39 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x3833bc… |
| 07-22 17:35:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x3833bc… |
| 07-22 17:35:39 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x3833bc… |
| 07-22 17:35:39 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x3833bc… |
| 07-22 17:35:39 | Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | Yes | SELL | 265 | 14¢ | $38 | 0x3833bc… |
| 07-22 17:35:39 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x3833bc… |
| 07-22 17:35:39 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x3833bc… |
| 07-22 17:35:39 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x3833bc… |
| 07-22 11:25:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0xd8022a… |
| 07-22 11:25:12 | (anonymous) 0x6a16…a9fd | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xd8022a… |
| 07-21 23:18:43 | Diligent-Short 0xac71…f74c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb51191… |
| 07-21 23:18:43 | Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb51191… |
| 07-20 22:39:33 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 18 | 82¢ | $15 | 0x52a167… |
| 07-20 22:39:33 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 18 | 82¢ | $15 | 0x52a167… |
| 07-20 18:44:25 | Unsung-Fit 0x35f7…8058 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x900851… |
| 07-20 18:44:25 | Diligent-Short 0xac71…f74c | No | SELL | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x900851… |
| 07-20 18:40:15 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xe44aa8… |
| 07-20 18:40:15 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xe44aa8… |
| 07-20 18:40:15 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xe44aa8… |
| 07-20 13:51:57 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xce1f6c… |
| 07-20 13:51:57 | Frosty-Jam 0x36ef…3c3a | No | SELL | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xce1f6c… |
| 07-20 12:55:19 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 18 | 83¢ | $15 | 0x618240… |
| 07-20 12:55:19 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 13 | 83¢ | $11 | 0x618240… |
| 07-20 12:55:19 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0x618240… |
| 07-20 12:55:19 | Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x618240… |
| 07-20 12:55:16 | Unhealthy-Prize 0x8d88…1e28 | Yes | SELL | 156 | 17¢ | $27 | 0x924039… |
| 07-20 12:55:16 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x924039… |
| 07-20 12:55:16 | (anonymous) 0xf8a4…df53 | Yes | BUY | 294 | 17¢ | $50 | 0x924039… |
| 07-20 12:55:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0x924039… |
| 07-20 12:55:16 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | Yes | SELL | 83 | 17¢ | $14 | 0x924039… |
| 07-19 18:17:06 | (anonymous) 0xd2c5…91d7 | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x834b54… |
| 07-19 18:17:06 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x834b54… |
| 07-19 18:17:06 | (anonymous) 0xe7d0…bc0a | No | SELL | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0x834b54… |
| 07-19 18:16:21 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x0921a5… |
| 07-19 18:16:21 | (anonymous) 0xe7d0…bc0a | No | BUY | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0xab1790… |
| 07-19 18:16:21 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0xab1790… |
| 07-19 18:16:21 | (anonymous) 0xd2c5…91d7 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x0921a5… |
| 07-19 06:20:57 | (anonymous) 0x953f…88fd | No | SELL | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x883314… |
| 07-19 06:20:57 | (anonymous) 0x8612…a89a | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x883314… |
| 07-19 06:20:57 | (anonymous) 0xb514…a2f1 | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x883314… |
| 07-19 06:20:57 | (anonymous) 0x01c5…4739 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x883314… |
| 07-19 06:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x01c5…4739 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xc5323c… |
| 07-19 06:20:16 | (anonymous) 0xb514…a2f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xc5323c… |
| 07-19 06:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x953f…88fd | No | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x09bc18… |
| 07-19 06:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x8612…a89a | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x37ce8c… |
| 07-19 06:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x01c5…4739 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x09bc18… |
| 07-19 06:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x01c5…4739 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x37ce8c… |
| 07-18 23:57:42 | (anonymous) 0x25c5…2fd9 | No | SELL | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0xcf446f… |
| 07-18 23:57:42 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xcf446f… |
| 07-18 23:57:42 | (anonymous) 0x01c5…4739 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xcf446f… |
| 07-18 23:57:07 | (anonymous) 0xa4df…d3da | No | SELL | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0xe282c7… |