Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
76
lifetime
Volume
$2.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$308
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 07-01 03:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
72%
Politics
28%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -160 $-159 100¢ $-160 $-1 07-01 02:57
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +69 $41 64¢ $44 +$3 06-23 00:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +40 $21 90¢ $36 +$15 06-23 00:30
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +102 $20 24¢ $24 +$4 06-08 07:52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -110 $-26 22¢ $-24 +$2 07-01 03:01
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +200 $11 $9 $-3 06-23 00:26
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes -100 $-7 $-6 +$1 07-01 02:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +67 $20 $5 $-15 06-08 08:55