Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
open
Total volume
$412,910
$5,275 in 24h
Trades
11,601
Unique wallets
1,082
Liquidity
$11,028
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-01 04:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+12.3¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $36.0K
vs crowd: 18% YES on $223.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 63 | $11.4K | $54.0K | $42.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 120 | $13.5K | $53.5K | $40.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 241 | $6.0K | $34.6K | $28.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 658 | $8.3K | $42.3K | $34.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 23 | $10.7K | $25.3K | $14.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 54 | $5.0K | $13.1K | $8.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 48 | $693 | $4.1K | $3.4K |
| Median | 104 | $910 | $5.3K | $4.4K |
| Below median | 162 | $1.3K | $7.7K | $6.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 40 | $546 | $8.5K | $8.0K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 72 | $2.8K | $28.7K | $25.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 24 | $4.9K | $23.1K | $18.3K |
| unranked | 555 | $12.4K | $68.7K | $56.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Descriptive-Pug-Lumberman 0xc5a3…883a | No | +7,682 | $5,707 | $6,346 | 16 | 06-30 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x96b2…1bff | No | +6,210 | $4,932 | $4,932 | 2 | 06-25 09:10 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +5,837 | $5,831 | $5,831 | 1 | 07-01 03:15 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +5,776 | $4,564 | $4,564 | 21 | 06-28 14:40 |
| Perfect-Dad 0x84c3…6efe | Yes | +5,602 | $2,170 | $12,479 | 48 | 06-24 08:10 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | +5,521 | $4,585 | $6,789 | 39 | 07-01 04:54 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | +4,801 | $3,145 | $8,490 | 75 | 06-13 15:04 |
| Damaged-Rocker 0x2778…8547 | Yes | +4,700 | $1,462 | $1,462 | 4 | 06-02 14:24 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +4,474 | $980 | $1,567 | 69 | 06-27 09:48 |
| Unripe-Split 0x4ad6…464c | No | +3,904 | $3,892 | $3,892 | 1 | 07-01 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x15af…9e32 | Yes | +3,318 | $1,090 | $1,090 | 2 | 06-18 23:24 |
| siick 0xf9b7…60a4 | Yes | +2,680 | $887 | $887 | 5 | 06-17 19:55 |
| Wicked-Implication 0xceca…3f67 | No | +2,215 | $1,693 | $1,967 | 20 | 06-21 14:31 |
| Unique-Liquidity 0xe0d9…8483 | No | +2,077 | $1,591 | $1,591 | 5 | 06-24 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x55db…2031 | Yes | +2,000 | $828 | $828 | 4 | 06-13 12:18 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +1,870 | $226 | $1,593 | 91 | 06-09 08:58 |
| Demanding-Chopsticks 0x8f69…7df1 | Yes | +1,822 | $293 | $293 | 5 | 06-29 10:25 |
| Optimal-Miss 0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | +1,770 | $444 | $444 | 9 | 06-03 11:33 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +1,695 | $703 | $2,270 | 106 | 06-29 15:13 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +1,523 | $400 | $400 | 113 | 06-25 20:56 |
| Unlined-Latte 0x8fa0…72d6 | No | +1,500 | $1,065 | $1,065 | 7 | 06-10 17:54 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +1,447 | $1,024 | $1,024 | 83 | 06-25 19:51 |
| Harmful-Councilperson 0xb94a…a623 | No | +1,388 | $1,099 | $1,099 | 2 | 06-06 15:12 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +1,351 | $831 | $14,190 | 339 | 06-30 11:23 |
| Ashamed-Roster 0xcf9e…518e | No | +1,280 | $753 | $753 | 4 | 06-13 09:52 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +1,242 | $668 | $2,122 | 18 | 06-19 12:19 |
| Serpentine-Majority 0xce83…5b97 | No | +1,203 | $900 | $900 | 3 | 06-03 23:10 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +1,180 | $255 | $255 | 5 | 06-19 17:36 |
| Original-Physiology-Savannah 0x180a…8c61 | No | +1,115 | $1,046 | $1,402 | 32 | 06-30 05:21 |
| Odd-Deformation 0x7609…6c4e | No | +1,000 | $704 | $704 | 2 | 06-12 14:18 |
| Smooth-Influence 0x3032…99e7 | No | +946 | $700 | $700 | 3 | 06-10 15:51 |
| Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet 0xe8c4…395d | No | +936 | $642 | $642 | 1 | 05-31 17:47 |
| Bossy-Slash 0x8d14…4987 | Yes | +868 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 06-12 03:00 |
| Obvious-Eyebrow 0x9f66…3a50 | No | +865 | $746 | $746 | 4 | 06-27 13:54 |
| Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | +751 | $612 | $1,325 | 9 | 06-17 14:27 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | +724 | $570 | $570 | 7 | 06-25 07:29 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | Yes | +720 | $127 | $178 | 12 | 06-29 10:21 |
| Super-Hip 0x15bb…9251 | No | +679 | $487 | $1,927 | 21 | 06-22 23:55 |
| Complex-Gaffe 0x0122…159c | Yes | +676 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 06-11 01:31 |
| Harsh-Pillbox 0x3003…efa3 | No | +656 | $601 | $874 | 3 | 06-26 10:59 |
| Wet-Bumper 0x34b0…af3c | No | +656 | $500 | $500 | 2 | 06-11 16:53 |
| Average-Classic 0xf2a6…24b8 | Yes | +654 | $125 | $288 | 12 | 06-18 21:27 |
| Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | +646 | $362 | $1,503 | 28 | 06-28 09:43 |
| Strong-Throne 0xe7d4…886e | No | +627 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-22 11:35 |
| Smart-Den 0xa96a…dd9f | Yes | +623 | $229 | $229 | 8 | 06-21 05:04 |
| Near-Season 0xb003…97e1 | No | +611 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-20 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xab01…881a | Yes | +606 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 06-18 12:19 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +601 | $107 | $277 | 11 | 06-30 04:15 |
| Light-Front 0xb26c…0eb0 | No | +571 | $-2,165 | $13,197 | 47 | 07-01 03:15 |
| Junior-Plight 0x9eaa…80db | Yes | +568 | $200 | $200 | 3 | 06-15 15:52 |
| Frayed-Predecessor 0xc392…511b | Yes | +543 | $157 | $157 | 6 | 06-12 14:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x2741…50a3 | Yes | +463 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-22 19:33 |
| Growing-Tuition 0xe728…9d87 | Yes | +425 | $145 | $145 | 2 | 06-18 10:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d63…9b6a | Yes | +422 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-10 02:36 |
| Prickly-Bandana 0xd17d…d0ee | Yes | +411 | $145 | $145 | 1 | 06-16 15:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 04:54:38 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 464 | 100¢ | $463 | 0x127540… |
| 07-01 04:54:38 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 478 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x127540… |
| 07-01 04:54:38 | (anonymous) 0x6391…9c04 | No | SELL | 942 | 100¢ | $939 | 0x127540… |
| 07-01 04:51:49 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | SELL | 1,057 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x92145b… |
| 07-01 04:51:49 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 437 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x92145b… |
| 07-01 04:51:49 | (anonymous) 0xad82…1075 | No | SELL | 1,602 | 100¢ | $1,600 | 0x92145b… |
| 07-01 04:51:49 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 108 | 100¢ | $108 | 0x92145b… |
| 07-01 03:44:29 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | SELL | 1,153 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x314220… |
| 07-01 03:44:29 | Usable-Porcelain 0xc984…37ca | No | SELL | 1,153 | 100¢ | $1,152 | 0x314220… |
| 07-01 03:33:31 | (anonymous) 0x5075…7269 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x77a97b… |
| 07-01 03:33:31 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x77a97b… |
| 07-01 03:28:47 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xced8a6… |
| 07-01 03:28:47 | Acidic-Latte 0x69a7…38dd | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xced8a6… |
| 07-01 03:25:23 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeea8f6… |
| 07-01 03:25:23 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xeea8f6… |
| 07-01 03:22:53 | Unselfish-Tights 0x0705…27e3 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x338937… |
| 07-01 03:22:53 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x338937… |
| 07-01 03:19:07 | (anonymous) 0xb790…3c77 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xcb4ec9… |
| 07-01 03:19:07 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcb4ec9… |
| 07-01 03:18:55 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x15b3f3… |
| 07-01 03:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x141c…ae86 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x15b3f3… |
| 07-01 03:15:23 | (anonymous) 0x2604…82d7 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x3c306d… |
| 07-01 03:15:23 | Light-Front 0xb26c…0eb0 | No | SELL | 2,985 | 100¢ | $2,982 | 0x3c306d… |
| 07-01 03:15:23 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 5,837 | 100¢ | $5,831 | 0x3c306d… |
| 07-01 03:15:23 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | BUY | 1,345 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x3c306d… |
| 07-01 03:15:23 | Obedient-Mind 0xe22d…635d | No | SELL | 1,260 | 100¢ | $1,259 | 0x3c306d… |
| 07-01 03:15:23 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c306d… |
| 07-01 03:15:23 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 57 | 100¢ | $57 | 0x3c306d… |
| 07-01 02:11:26 | Considerate-Peacoat 0xfad4…379b | No | SELL | 62 | 100¢ | $62 | 0x79ef7f… |
| 07-01 02:11:26 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 62 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79ef7f… |
| 07-01 02:10:55 | Threadbare-Lunchroom 0x30de…1f9d | No | SELL | 303 | 100¢ | $302 | 0xeb7b47… |
| 07-01 02:10:55 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 303 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xeb7b47… |
| 07-01 02:09:26 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 532 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x95d4bb… |
| 07-01 02:09:26 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | SELL | 66 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95d4bb… |
| 07-01 02:09:26 | (anonymous) 0xa1cc…196a | No | SELL | 597 | 100¢ | $596 | 0x95d4bb… |
| 07-01 01:15:43 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 1,091 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc477d9… |
| 07-01 01:15:43 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | BUY | 1,091 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc477d9… |
| 07-01 01:00:52 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | SELL | 498 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf63019… |
| 07-01 01:00:52 | Afraid-Shower 0xa0b6…3961 | No | SELL | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0xf63019… |
| 07-01 01:00:52 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf63019… |
| 07-01 01:00:52 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 79 | 100¢ | $79 | 0xf63019… |
| 07-01 00:57:35 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 104 | 100¢ | $104 | 0x08d930… |
| 07-01 00:57:35 | (anonymous) 0xe99b…2f86 | No | SELL | 104 | 100¢ | $104 | 0x08d930… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | BUY | 564 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | (anonymous) 0x31c8…b02e | Yes | SELL | 706 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:55:17 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe38bc… |
| 07-01 00:23:19 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x202188… |
| 07-01 00:23:19 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x202188… |
| 07-01 00:23:16 | Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x65f5d6… |
| 07-01 00:23:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x65f5d6… |
| 07-01 00:15:08 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x377162… |
| 07-01 00:15:08 | Exalted-Brink 0x18df…9c19 | No | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x377162… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Scary-Slate 0xbdbb…e038 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x2a531a… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | (anonymous) 0xb7c5…c0ed | No | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x006473… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0dea16… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a531a… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8a7cd… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb80099… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x969927… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x684fb7… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa1b59… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Soulful-Alfalfa 0x6af9…34c5 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xfa1b59… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Overjoyed-Hedge 0xaf92…4274 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x969927… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Pink-Peanut 0x9ec4…11ad | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0513f9… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ba44c… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Clueless-Literate 0x38fe…95b9 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3c6a50… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd0c269… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | (anonymous) 0xffbb…79f4 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x8ba44c… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Enchanted-Inhibitor 0x77dc…b6f4 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd0c269… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | (anonymous) 0x57d4…dd21 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb80099… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x006473… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Punctual-Ferry 0x660f…6c78 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xe8a7cd… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c6a50… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | (anonymous) 0x1a3a…2b22 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x0dea16… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0513f9… |
| 07-01 00:14:53 | (anonymous) 0x37a4…c2c5 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x684fb7… |
| 07-01 00:14:52 | (anonymous) 0xeb08…e757 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x6044ad… |
| 07-01 00:14:52 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04c348… |
| 07-01 00:14:52 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x716564… |
| 07-01 00:14:52 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb94709… |
| 07-01 00:14:52 | Brief-Alert 0xd635…a305 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x716564… |
| 07-01 00:14:52 | Rubbery-Integration 0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52d638… |