Realized P&L
+$81.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$276
Hit rate
96.6%
Resolved
3,573
Trades
47,834
lifetime
Volume
$43.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$916
Open exposure
$130.5K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 23:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 268 days
Categories
Other
70% 98% +$66,693
Crypto
20% 99% +$9,650
Politics
9% 97% +$15,368
Tech
1% 98% -$10,323
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$73
Sports
0% 100% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 448 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +75,000 $74,750 100¢ $74.9K +$175 10-23 12:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +55,000 $54,815 100¢ $54.8K -$8 10-25 22:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +500 $477 99¢ $493 +$16 10-23 13:21
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -2,000 -$230 8¢ $-150 +$80 09-24 16:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -35,000 -$125 0¢ $-122 +$2 10-26 09:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -5,000 -$15 0¢ $-5 +$10 10-21 16:20