Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
open
Total volume
$13,699
$528 in 24h
Trades
411
Unique wallets
86
Liquidity
$9,176
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 19:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $11
vs crowd: 13% YES on $8.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $13 | $113 | $101 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | — | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $63 | $933 | $869 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 56 | $999 | $4.9K | $3.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $66 | $69 | $2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $15 | $232 | $217 |
| Median | 4 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 8 | $2 | $503 | $501 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $326 | $326 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $4 | $643 | $640 |
| unranked | 51 | $988 | $5.5K | $4.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stable-Trap 0xec9f…c357 | Yes | +2,279 | $319 | $319 | 2 | 05-30 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1e8…27b1 | Yes | +500 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 06-15 19:10 |
| Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | +426 | $62 | $62 | 32 | 06-29 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xea0f…b862 | No | +415 | $357 | $357 | 1 | 05-29 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e35…87ee | No | +415 | $357 | $357 | 1 | 05-30 01:10 |
| Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | +402 | $335 | $536 | 3 | 06-15 19:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a95…28bd | No | +388 | $334 | $334 | 1 | 05-30 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x5235…7300 | No | +361 | $310 | $310 | 1 | 05-29 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xc218…e951 | No | +350 | $301 | $301 | 1 | 05-29 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b0c…0052 | No | +350 | $301 | $301 | 1 | 05-30 01:10 |
| Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | +342 | $293 | $360 | 16 | 07-01 19:48 |
| Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | +282 | $242 | $242 | 8 | 07-01 11:42 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +211 | $177 | $177 | 14 | 06-15 21:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xff6f…32b3 | Yes | +184 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-15 21:23 |
| Buttery-Trapezium 0xd95e…ffa8 | No | +104 | $91 | $91 | 6 | 07-01 19:48 |
| Insistent-Developer 0x6b65…6e1d | Yes | +75 | $12 | $12 | 11 | 06-13 08:21 |
| Far-Flung-Weird 0x0309…22d1 | Yes | +51 | $7 | $7 | 11 | 06-18 23:55 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +47 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-30 13:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 06-21 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +34 | $29 | $30 | 8 | 06-29 13:32 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +31 | $23 | $324 | 25 | 06-22 14:42 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x01e4…2d6a | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-16 17:18 |
| Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-22 10:32 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +12 | $10 | $44 | 6 | 06-22 11:01 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 16:29 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-30 13:26 |
| Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | +5 | $4 | $13 | 3 | 06-02 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x45a7…558a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 10:15 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | +1 | $6 | $187 | 27 | 06-14 15:05 |
| Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | +1 | $1 | $112 | 5 | 05-28 20:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 19:48:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 29 | 88¢ | $25 | 0xf6cb52… |
| 07-01 19:48:05 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xf6cb52… |
| 07-01 19:48:05 | Buttery-Trapezium 0xd95e…ffa8 | No | BUY | 34 | 88¢ | $30 | 0xf6cb52… |
| 07-01 11:43:11 | (anonymous) 0x9223…ba8b | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xdb86c2… |
| 07-01 11:43:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xdb86c2… |
| 07-01 11:42:47 | (anonymous) 0x9223…ba8b | No | SELL | 270 | 86¢ | $232 | 0xee1992… |
| 07-01 11:42:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 29 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xee1992… |
| 07-01 11:42:47 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | BUY | 211 | 86¢ | $181 | 0xee1992… |
| 07-01 11:42:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xee1992… |
| 07-01 10:15:10 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x4d4b6a… |
| 07-01 10:15:10 | (anonymous) 0x45a7…558a | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x4d4b6a… |
| 06-30 08:02:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 29 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x05af6a… |
| 06-30 08:02:38 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x05af6a… |
| 06-29 22:01:19 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x603e78… |
| 06-29 22:01:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x603e78… |
| 06-29 22:01:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x603e78… |
| 06-29 21:46:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0xeab617… |
| 06-29 21:46:31 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xeab617… |
| 06-29 21:46:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xeab617… |
| 06-29 17:46:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc7d98f… |
| 06-29 17:46:17 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xc7d98f… |
| 06-29 17:45:47 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xe3ed5f… |
| 06-29 17:45:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xe3ed5f… |
| 06-29 17:37:22 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xefd403… |
| 06-29 17:37:22 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xefd403… |
| 06-29 16:58:55 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x8e19d6… |
| 06-29 16:58:55 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x8e19d6… |
| 06-29 16:16:07 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x753557… |
| 06-29 16:16:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x753557… |
| 06-29 16:16:07 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x753557… |
| 06-29 16:11:35 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xdee4d2… |
| 06-29 16:11:35 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xdee4d2… |
| 06-29 15:55:38 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x55aea8… |
| 06-29 15:55:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x55aea8… |
| 06-29 15:12:59 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xd06a81… |
| 06-29 15:12:59 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xd06a81… |
| 06-29 14:33:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 4 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x079397… |
| 06-29 14:33:16 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x079397… |
| 06-29 14:33:16 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x079397… |
| 06-29 14:17:47 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xd9ea46… |
| 06-29 14:17:47 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xd9ea46… |
| 06-29 14:08:56 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9df91c… |
| 06-29 14:08:56 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x9df91c… |
| 06-29 13:32:44 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xfaadd1… |
| 06-29 13:32:44 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xfaadd1… |
| 06-29 13:03:47 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x46cb13… |
| 06-29 13:03:47 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x46cb13… |
| 06-29 13:02:05 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x74b166… |
| 06-29 13:02:05 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x74b166… |
| 06-29 12:45:10 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xc08056… |
| 06-29 12:45:10 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc08056… |
| 06-29 12:20:22 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xc56a30… |
| 06-29 12:20:22 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xc56a30… |
| 06-28 08:33:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $11 | 0x9bceb7… |
| 06-28 08:33:43 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x9bceb7… |
| 06-27 09:37:44 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x9c380f… |
| 06-27 09:37:44 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x9c380f… |
| 06-27 09:37:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x9c380f… |
| 06-26 06:05:05 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x97284b… |
| 06-26 06:05:05 | Unwelcome-Reserve 0x5651…66a6 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x97284b… |
| 06-25 15:01:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x62a0ee… |
| 06-25 15:01:49 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x62a0ee… |
| 06-22 14:42:08 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x4395ca… |
| 06-22 14:42:08 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x4395ca… |
| 06-22 11:01:59 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x9975d6… |
| 06-22 11:01:59 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x9975d6… |
| 06-22 10:32:37 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x724df6… |
| 06-22 10:32:37 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x724df6… |
| 06-22 10:32:22 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xb3ec72… |
| 06-22 10:32:22 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0xb3ec72… |
| 06-22 10:10:20 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x1f4c98… |
| 06-22 10:10:20 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x1f4c98… |
| 06-22 03:18:05 | (anonymous) 0x9291…71a2 | No | SELL | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x6b9cdf… |
| 06-22 03:18:05 | (anonymous) 0xd2c5…91d7 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x6b9cdf… |
| 06-22 03:17:59 | (anonymous) 0xe7d0…bc0a | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xb06327… |
| 06-22 03:17:59 | (anonymous) 0xd2c5…91d7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xb06327… |
| 06-22 03:17:53 | (anonymous) 0xb39b…fa87 | No | SELL | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x7253f0… |
| 06-22 03:17:53 | (anonymous) 0xd2c5…91d7 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x7253f0… |
| 06-22 03:17:47 | (anonymous) 0x2a30…9726 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x28e6f0… |
| 06-22 03:17:47 | (anonymous) 0xb39b…fa87 | No | SELL | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x28e6f0… |
| 06-22 03:17:41 | (anonymous) 0x2a30…9726 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xbcaa60… |
| 06-22 03:17:41 | (anonymous) 0x935c…19e7 | No | SELL | 35 | 87¢ | $30 | 0xbcaa60… |
| 06-22 03:16:37 | (anonymous) 0xb39b…fa87 | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xf668a0… |
| 06-22 03:16:37 | (anonymous) 0xd2c5…91d7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x4e7e72… |
| 06-22 03:16:37 | (anonymous) 0xd2c5…91d7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xf668a0… |
| 06-22 03:16:37 | (anonymous) 0xe7d0…bc0a | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x4e7e72… |
| 06-22 03:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x935c…19e7 | No | BUY | 35 | 87¢ | $30 | 0xf95a27… |
| 06-22 03:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x2a30…9726 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xf95a27… |
| 06-22 03:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x2a30…9726 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x32fb2f… |
| 06-22 03:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x9291…71a2 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x32fb2f… |
| 06-21 23:58:31 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0xeafa14… |
| 06-21 23:58:31 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xeafa14… |
| 06-21 23:58:31 | (anonymous) 0x0815…cf3c | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xeafa14… |
| 06-21 23:12:41 | (anonymous) 0x960a…1b17 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x679817… |
| 06-21 23:12:41 | (anonymous) 0x0424…f722 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x679817… |
| 06-21 23:12:41 | (anonymous) 0x0a1b…b45d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x679817… |
| 06-21 23:12:41 | (anonymous) 0x2c3b…244a | No | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x679817… |
| 06-21 23:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x2529…51f8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x51c66b… |
| 06-21 23:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x8612…a89a | No | SELL | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x51c66b… |
| 06-21 23:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x953f…88fd | No | SELL | 25 | 87¢ | $22 | 0x51c66b… |