Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
open
Total volume
$46,211
$528 in 24h
Trades
578
Unique wallets
144
Liquidity
$9,176
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-22 07:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+29.5¢
(top1%: 38% YES on $18
vs crowd: 8% YES on $24.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $28 | $113 | $86 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | — | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $66 | $1.9K | $1.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 109 | $2.0K | $19.0K | $17.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $7 | $11 | $4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $69 | $69 | $0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $20 | $705 | $685 |
| Median | 10 | — | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| Below median | 15 | $2 | $3.2K | $3.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $326 | $326 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $532 | $532 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $8 | $902 | $894 |
| unranked | 92 | $2.0K | $14.7K | $12.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stable-Trap 0xec9f…c357 | Yes | +2,279 | $319 | $319 | 2 | 05-30 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1e8…27b1 | Yes | +500 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 06-15 19:10 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +479 | $420 | $451 | 21 | 07-22 07:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xea0f…b862 | No | +415 | $357 | $357 | 1 | 05-29 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e35…87ee | No | +415 | $357 | $357 | 1 | 05-30 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a95…28bd | No | +388 | $334 | $334 | 1 | 05-30 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x5235…7300 | No | +361 | $310 | $310 | 1 | 05-29 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xc218…e951 | No | +350 | $301 | $301 | 1 | 05-29 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b0c…0052 | No | +350 | $301 | $301 | 1 | 05-30 01:10 |
| Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | +314 | $279 | $329 | 3 | 07-02 10:43 |
| Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | +302 | $244 | $627 | 4 | 07-14 09:15 |
| Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | +285 | $47 | $80 | 39 | 07-14 09:15 |
| Wry-Elm 0x43cc…9211 | No | +242 | $228 | $228 | 1 | 07-17 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xff6f…32b3 | Yes | +184 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-15 21:23 |
| Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | +115 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 07-18 12:12 |
| Buttery-Trapezium 0xd95e…ffa8 | No | +104 | $91 | $91 | 6 | 07-01 19:48 |
| Insistent-Developer 0x6b65…6e1d | Yes | +75 | $12 | $12 | 11 | 06-13 08:21 |
| Far-Flung-Weird 0x0309…22d1 | Yes | +61 | $8 | $8 | 12 | 07-09 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9f2…f982 | Yes | +56 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 04:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x01e4…2d6a | No | +50 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 07-01 23:17 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +47 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-05 14:24 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +47 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-30 13:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 06-21 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +34 | $29 | $30 | 8 | 06-29 13:32 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +31 | $23 | $324 | 25 | 06-22 14:42 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $3 | $12 | 6 | 07-01 23:17 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 05:28 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +12 | $10 | $44 | 6 | 06-22 11:01 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 16:29 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-30 13:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf242…041c | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x23c0…4836 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-18 08:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x45a7…558a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 10:15 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | No | +1 | $6 | $187 | 27 | 06-14 15:05 |
| Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | +1 | $1 | $112 | 5 | 05-28 20:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 07:38:37 | Handsome-Jicama 0x950a…6790 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xf3b2bc… |
| 07-22 07:38:37 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xf3b2bc… |
| 07-20 06:54:46 | (anonymous) 0xf242…041c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5f102f… |
| 07-20 06:54:46 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x5f102f… |
| 07-19 04:12:04 | (anonymous) 0xe9f2…f982 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x860e56… |
| 07-19 04:12:04 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 56 | 91¢ | $51 | 0x860e56… |
| 07-18 12:12:16 | Handsome-Jicama 0x950a…6790 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x64481c… |
| 07-18 12:12:16 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x64481c… |
| 07-18 09:26:58 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x734e9d… |
| 07-18 09:26:58 | Exalted-Cabin-Rescue 0xfa6c…a67d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x734e9d… |
| 07-18 08:53:25 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbd0b28… |
| 07-18 08:53:25 | (anonymous) 0x23c0…4836 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xbd0b28… |
| 07-18 07:03:24 | (anonymous) 0xdf9b…296b | No | SELL | 676 | 93¢ | $629 | 0x21a292… |
| 07-18 07:03:24 | (anonymous) 0x7e68…7a79 | Yes | SELL | 1,020 | 7¢ | $71 | 0x21a292… |
| 07-18 07:03:24 | (anonymous) 0x3e3a…bc6e | No | SELL | 344 | 93¢ | $320 | 0x21a292… |
| 07-18 07:02:31 | (anonymous) 0x4247…69a3 | No | SELL | 698 | 93¢ | $649 | 0xd1f22b… |
| 07-18 07:02:31 | (anonymous) 0x5ef4…94b6 | Yes | SELL | 1,020 | 7¢ | $71 | 0xd1f22b… |
| 07-18 07:02:31 | (anonymous) 0x894a…92d9 | No | SELL | 322 | 93¢ | $299 | 0xd1f22b… |
| 07-18 07:01:52 | (anonymous) 0xe42d…fb80 | Yes | SELL | 1,020 | 7¢ | $71 | 0xa8e3e9… |
| 07-18 07:01:52 | (anonymous) 0x4812…2ade | No | SELL | 354 | 93¢ | $329 | 0xa8e3e9… |
| 07-18 07:01:52 | (anonymous) 0x9f45…0f43 | No | SELL | 666 | 93¢ | $619 | 0xa8e3e9… |
| 07-18 07:00:30 | (anonymous) 0xe6c5…0be4 | No | SELL | 644 | 93¢ | $599 | 0xb7e095… |
| 07-18 07:00:30 | (anonymous) 0x7b7c…cd61 | No | SELL | 376 | 93¢ | $350 | 0xb7e095… |
| 07-18 07:00:30 | (anonymous) 0xf043…bef5 | Yes | SELL | 1,020 | 7¢ | $71 | 0xb7e095… |
| 07-18 06:24:27 | (anonymous) 0xf043…bef5 | Yes | BUY | 344 | 7¢ | $24 | 0xcd3d51… |
| 07-18 06:24:27 | (anonymous) 0x3e3a…bc6e | No | BUY | 344 | 93¢ | $320 | 0xcd3d51… |
| 07-18 06:24:25 | (anonymous) 0xf043…bef5 | Yes | BUY | 676 | 7¢ | $47 | 0x6fc035… |
| 07-18 06:24:25 | (anonymous) 0xdf9b…296b | No | BUY | 676 | 93¢ | $629 | 0x6fc035… |
| 07-18 06:24:10 | (anonymous) 0x9f45…0f43 | No | BUY | 666 | 93¢ | $619 | 0x0fe315… |
| 07-18 06:24:10 | (anonymous) 0x5ef4…94b6 | Yes | BUY | 666 | 7¢ | $47 | 0x0fe315… |
| 07-18 06:24:09 | (anonymous) 0x4812…2ade | No | BUY | 354 | 93¢ | $329 | 0x5663d8… |
| 07-18 06:24:09 | (anonymous) 0x5ef4…94b6 | Yes | BUY | 354 | 7¢ | $25 | 0x5663d8… |
| 07-18 06:20:13 | (anonymous) 0x894a…92d9 | No | BUY | 322 | 93¢ | $299 | 0xd195b1… |
| 07-18 06:20:13 | (anonymous) 0xe42d…fb80 | Yes | BUY | 322 | 7¢ | $23 | 0xd195b1… |
| 07-18 06:20:12 | (anonymous) 0x4247…69a3 | No | BUY | 698 | 93¢ | $649 | 0x58d021… |
| 07-18 06:20:12 | (anonymous) 0xe42d…fb80 | Yes | BUY | 698 | 7¢ | $49 | 0x58d021… |
| 07-18 06:19:42 | (anonymous) 0xe6c5…0be4 | No | BUY | 644 | 93¢ | $599 | 0x38bd13… |
| 07-18 06:19:42 | (anonymous) 0x7e68…7a79 | Yes | BUY | 644 | 7¢ | $45 | 0x38bd13… |
| 07-18 06:19:40 | (anonymous) 0x7b7c…cd61 | No | BUY | 376 | 93¢ | $350 | 0x7e5911… |
| 07-18 06:19:40 | (anonymous) 0x7e68…7a79 | Yes | BUY | 376 | 7¢ | $26 | 0x7e5911… |
| 07-18 04:30:39 | (anonymous) 0x697b…f521 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x2a5735… |
| 07-18 04:30:39 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x2a5735… |
| 07-18 04:30:03 | (anonymous) 0xeefc…ecd5 | No | SELL | 490 | 93¢ | $456 | 0xcee612… |
| 07-18 04:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x052b…1b8a | No | SELL | 385 | 93¢ | $358 | 0xcee612… |
| 07-18 04:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x697b…f521 | Yes | SELL | 875 | 7¢ | $61 | 0xcee612… |
| 07-18 04:29:52 | (anonymous) 0x052b…1b8a | No | SELL | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x3f34c9… |
| 07-18 04:29:52 | (anonymous) 0x629a…f7a9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x3f34c9… |
| 07-18 04:29:40 | (anonymous) 0xdd02…ddbb | No | SELL | 389 | 93¢ | $362 | 0x09ba78… |
| 07-18 04:29:40 | (anonymous) 0x629a…f7a9 | Yes | SELL | 875 | 7¢ | $61 | 0x09ba78… |
| 07-18 04:29:40 | (anonymous) 0x9cea…c71e | No | SELL | 486 | 93¢ | $452 | 0x09ba78… |
| 07-18 04:29:33 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 105 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x4c5b84… |
| 07-18 04:29:33 | (anonymous) 0xdd02…ddbb | No | SELL | 105 | 93¢ | $98 | 0x4c5b84… |
| 07-18 02:26:51 | (anonymous) 0x629a…f7a9 | Yes | BUY | 485 | 6¢ | $29 | 0xb9ed16… |
| 07-18 02:26:51 | (anonymous) 0x052b…1b8a | No | BUY | 485 | 94¢ | $456 | 0xb9ed16… |
| 07-18 02:26:36 | (anonymous) 0xeefc…ecd5 | No | BUY | 490 | 94¢ | $461 | 0xe60b20… |
| 07-18 02:26:36 | (anonymous) 0x629a…f7a9 | Yes | BUY | 490 | 6¢ | $29 | 0xe60b20… |
| 07-18 02:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x697b…f521 | Yes | BUY | 486 | 6¢ | $29 | 0x48c450… |
| 07-18 02:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x9cea…c71e | No | BUY | 486 | 94¢ | $457 | 0x48c450… |
| 07-18 02:23:54 | (anonymous) 0x697b…f521 | Yes | BUY | 494 | 6¢ | $30 | 0x0f6bef… |
| 07-18 02:23:54 | (anonymous) 0xdd02…ddbb | No | BUY | 494 | 94¢ | $464 | 0x0f6bef… |
| 07-18 02:15:51 | Mature-Packet 0x9a54…37cb | No | SELL | 478 | 94¢ | $449 | 0xb159a5… |
| 07-18 02:15:51 | Old-Fashioned-Tiger 0x6b7b…4c4a | Yes | SELL | 945 | 6¢ | $57 | 0xb159a5… |
| 07-18 02:15:51 | Muddy-Sentence 0x08be…4a1d | No | SELL | 467 | 94¢ | $439 | 0xb159a5… |
| 07-18 02:15:42 | Handy-Maker 0xa1d5…cf5e | No | SELL | 457 | 94¢ | $430 | 0xa83b2a… |
| 07-18 02:15:42 | Obedient-Lender 0x5ad2…5abd | No | SELL | 488 | 94¢ | $459 | 0xa83b2a… |
| 07-18 02:15:42 | Detailed-Crewmate 0x403e…0462 | Yes | SELL | 945 | 6¢ | $57 | 0xa83b2a… |
| 07-18 02:14:19 | (anonymous) 0x7870…807e | No | SELL | 461 | 94¢ | $433 | 0x2a13e1… |
| 07-18 02:14:19 | (anonymous) 0x4dc5…d840 | No | SELL | 489 | 94¢ | $460 | 0x2a13e1… |
| 07-18 02:14:19 | Only-Foxglove 0x4627…2cf8 | Yes | SELL | 950 | 6¢ | $57 | 0x2a13e1… |
| 07-18 02:13:58 | Only-Foxglove 0x4627…2cf8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc4d34a… |
| 07-18 02:13:58 | (anonymous) 0x9447…ebcd | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xc4d34a… |
| 07-18 02:13:42 | (anonymous) 0x5317…b364 | No | SELL | 471 | 94¢ | $443 | 0xb30467… |
| 07-18 02:13:42 | (anonymous) 0x9447…ebcd | No | SELL | 484 | 94¢ | $455 | 0xb30467… |
| 07-18 02:13:42 | Inexperienced-Sticker-Outfielder 0x7abb…b601 | Yes | SELL | 955 | 6¢ | $57 | 0xb30467… |
| 07-18 02:02:34 | Stylish-Latitude 0x494d…59f6 | No | SELL | 483 | 94¢ | $454 | 0x7aac10… |
| 07-18 02:02:34 | Rash-Metronome 0x126e…0850 | No | SELL | 452 | 94¢ | $425 | 0x7aac10… |
| 07-18 02:02:34 | (anonymous) 0xea42…23be | Yes | SELL | 935 | 6¢ | $56 | 0x7aac10… |
| 07-18 02:01:58 | (anonymous) 0x55fe…76bd | Yes | SELL | 462 | 6¢ | $28 | 0x7a285c… |
| 07-18 02:01:58 | Delirious-Coral 0x2e11…21b0 | No | SELL | 462 | 94¢ | $434 | 0x7a285c… |
| 07-18 02:01:34 | Excellent-Geography-Instrument 0x2b32…bd33 | No | SELL | 473 | 94¢ | $445 | 0x2260ed… |
| 07-18 02:01:34 | (anonymous) 0x55fe…76bd | Yes | SELL | 473 | 6¢ | $28 | 0x2260ed… |
| 07-18 01:55:07 | Jovial-Nexus 0x1146…ad4e | No | SELL | 479 | 94¢ | $450 | 0xe1cb6d… |
| 07-18 01:55:07 | (anonymous) 0x09ba…45a6 | Yes | SELL | 479 | 6¢ | $29 | 0xe1cb6d… |
| 07-18 01:55:00 | (anonymous) 0x09ba…45a6 | Yes | SELL | 466 | 6¢ | $28 | 0x74c2a4… |
| 07-18 01:55:00 | Yellow-Chamber 0x95da…1c0a | No | SELL | 466 | 94¢ | $438 | 0x74c2a4… |
| 07-18 01:54:48 | Self-Reliant-Outfit 0x791b…a88c | No | SELL | 484 | 94¢ | $455 | 0x2f1f42… |
| 07-18 01:54:48 | (anonymous) 0x83b0…bcde | Yes | SELL | 484 | 6¢ | $29 | 0x2f1f42… |
| 07-18 01:54:37 | (anonymous) 0x83b0…bcde | Yes | SELL | 461 | 6¢ | $28 | 0x6b79e3… |
| 07-18 01:54:37 | Sane-Foreigner 0x5796…7b65 | No | SELL | 461 | 94¢ | $433 | 0x6b79e3… |
| 07-18 01:53:24 | Pink-Lizard 0x3796…a350 | No | SELL | 455 | 94¢ | $428 | 0x583c39… |
| 07-18 01:53:24 | Villainous-Downfall 0xd184…078b | Yes | SELL | 455 | 6¢ | $27 | 0x583c39… |
| 07-18 01:53:13 | Villainous-Downfall 0xd184…078b | Yes | SELL | 485 | 6¢ | $29 | 0x39c45b… |
| 07-18 01:53:13 | (anonymous) 0xda1b…a244 | No | SELL | 485 | 94¢ | $456 | 0x39c45b… |
| 07-18 01:53:03 | Gruesome-Garb 0xfd5e…26c0 | Yes | SELL | 475 | 6¢ | $28 | 0x944d4a… |
| 07-18 01:53:03 | Steep-Disruption 0x7b22…4659 | No | SELL | 475 | 94¢ | $446 | 0x944d4a… |
| 07-18 01:52:52 | Notable-Goal 0x8b47…5d3f | No | SELL | 465 | 94¢ | $437 | 0xf50504… |
| 07-18 01:52:52 | Gruesome-Garb 0xfd5e…26c0 | Yes | SELL | 465 | 6¢ | $28 | 0xf50504… |
| 07-18 01:50:28 | Obedient-Lender 0x5ad2…5abd | No | BUY | 488 | 94¢ | $459 | 0xe5392b… |
| 07-18 01:50:28 | Old-Fashioned-Tiger 0x6b7b…4c4a | Yes | BUY | 488 | 6¢ | $29 | 0xe5392b… |
| 07-18 01:50:16 | Old-Fashioned-Tiger 0x6b7b…4c4a | Yes | BUY | 457 | 6¢ | $27 | 0x223eaf… |