(anonymous) 0x553324…8251ba
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$48
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
32.6%
Resolved
58
Trades
33,733
lifetime
Volume
$43.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$55
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 07-12 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
85% 36% $-48
Other
7% — —
Politics
4% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 1024 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +420 $7 2¢ $7 $-1 07-11 02:36
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No +165 $5 3¢ $4 $-0 07-11 19:08
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +121 $4 3¢ $4 +$1 07-11 22:47
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +110 $7 4¢ $4 $-3 07-10 23:52
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +114 $4 3¢ $4 +$0 07-11 23:30
Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +122 $3 3¢ $4 +$1 07-11 01:50
Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026? Yes +150 $3 2¢ $3 +$0 07-10 08:05
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +509 $3 1¢ $3 $-0 07-12 05:16
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +205 $3 2¢ $3 $-0 07-12 04:10
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +99 $2 3¢ $3 +$1 07-08 11:47
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +82 $3 3¢ $3 $-0 07-08 08:32
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +87 $3 2¢ $2 $-1 07-07 11:30
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? Yes +41 $4 5¢ $2 $-2 07-12 02:29
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2 $0 80¢ $2 +$1 06-30 15:04
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes +34 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 07-10 10:46
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? Yes +60 $3 2¢ $1 $-1 07-03 06:17
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? Yes +34 $-0 2¢ $1 +$1 07-09 08:33
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? Yes +14 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 07-08 10:41
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes +34 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 07-11 22:24
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +15 $0 4¢ $1 +$0 07-12 06:41
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? Yes +45 $1 1¢ $0 $-0 07-06 22:18
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? Yes +6 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 07-11 21:33
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? No +149 $5 0¢ $0 $-4 07-12 05:46
Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +2 $-3 6¢ $0 +$3 07-10 21:28
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +3 $1 4¢ $0 $-1 07-12 03:29
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? Yes +64 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 07-12 04:08
Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +3 $0 2¢ $0 $-0 06-30 12:26
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 3¢ $0 $-1 07-11 00:17
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +4 $0 1¢ $0 $-0 07-01 11:03
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +0 $-0 5¢ $0 +$0 07-02 20:57