Realized P&L
+$6.50K
Unrealized P&L
+$133
Hit rate
61.0%
Resolved
19,632
Trades
212,328
lifetime
Volume
$246.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$185
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 11-11 22:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 238 days
Categories
Other
46% 42% +$4,646
Crypto
34% 35% -$1,360
Politics
14% 50% +$2,510
Sports
4% 51% +$607
Tech
1% 44% +$99
Pop-Culture
0% 18% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? Yes +175 $1 8¢ $14 +$13 10-22 15:37
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +699 $1 2¢ $11 +$10 11-09 05:20
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +898 $2 1¢ $11 +$9 11-07 22:59
Will South Korea win Eurovision Asia 2026? Yes +741 $7 1¢ $10 +$3 11-11 23:36
Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +1,399 $3 1¢ $9 +$6 08-29 00:41
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Switzerland? Yes — +453 $2 2¢ $8 +$6 10-19 17:51
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? No +133 -$11 5¢ $7 +$18 11-11 16:41
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the UAE? Yes +445 -$6 2¢ $7 +$13 10-28 09:19
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? Yes +214 $1 3¢ $6 +$5 10-22 11:44
Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? No +156 $5 4¢ $6 +$1 11-06 15:16
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +1,026 $0 1¢ $6 +$6 11-10 22:17
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +184 $5 3¢ $6 +$0 11-09 15:24
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +799 $1 1¢ $6 +$5 11-10 19:21
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Germany? Yes +699 $3 1¢ $6 +$3 10-21 19:50
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week? No +254 $3 2¢ $6 +$3 11-10 21:54
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? Yes +133 $1 4¢ $5 +$5 11-08 21:54
Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +933 $1 1¢ $5 +$4 09-17 18:57
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes +336 $3 2¢ $5 +$2 10-31 19:37
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +775 $2 1¢ $5 +$3 11-11 17:26
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? Yes +173 $4 3¢ $5 +$1 11-06 14:48
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31? Yes +203 $6 2¢ $5 -$1 11-07 10:37
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +85 $1 5¢ $4 +$4 10-03 12:10
Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +560 $2 1¢ $4 +$2 11-03 12:08
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +399 $1 1¢ $4 +$4 11-11 05:48
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? Yes +311 $3 1¢ $4 +$2 11-07 18:53
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? Yes +1,399 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 10-27 01:57
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? Yes +93 $3 5¢ $4 +$1 11-06 21:51
Will Backrooms be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes +102 $3 4¢ $4 +$1 11-09 04:50
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? Yes +34 $2 12¢ $4 +$2 11-10 12:11
Will Josh Jacobs have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +40 $2 10¢ $4 +$2 09-30 16:16