Realized P&L
+$6.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$130
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved
19,709
Trades
213,216
lifetime
Volume
$247.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$209
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 11-13 20:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 240 days
Categories
Other
47% 42% +$4,621
Crypto
34% 35% -$1,360
Politics
14% 50% +$2,553
Sports
4% 51% +$607
Tech
1% 45% +$104
Pop-Culture
0% 18% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will South Korea win Eurovision Asia 2026? Yes +1,168 $12 3¢ $40 +$28 11-13 16:26
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +699 $1 2¢ $11 +$10 11-09 05:20
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +898 $2 1¢ $9 +$7 11-07 22:59
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Switzerland? Yes +453 $2 2¢ $8 +$6 10-19 17:51
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +249 $5 3¢ $7 +$2 11-12 13:23
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? No +173 $5 4¢ $7 +$2 11-13 15:04
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +600 -$2 1¢ $7 +$8 11-13 14:21
Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? Yes +399 $3 2¢ $7 +$4 11-13 13:38
Will Vietnam win Eurovision Asia 2026? Yes +149 $2 4¢ $7 +$5 11-13 16:26
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? Yes +214 $1 3¢ $6 +$5 10-22 11:44
Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? No +156 $5 4¢ $6 +$1 11-06 15:16
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? Yes +133 $1 4¢ $6 +$5 11-08 21:54
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Germany? Yes +699 $3 1¢ $6 +$3 10-21 19:50
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +114 $2 5¢ $6 +$4 11-12 08:48
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? Yes +212 $4 3¢ $5 +$1 11-13 19:28
Will Nemiga Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? Yes +357 $5 2¢ $5 +$0 11-12 21:16
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +182 $5 3¢ $5 $0 11-13 15:38
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting? Yes +933 $3 1¢ $5 +$2 11-12 23:31
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes +336 $3 2¢ $5 +$2 10-31 19:37
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? Yes +186 $3 3¢ $5 +$2 11-09 02:22
Will Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” sell for less than $150m at auction? Yes +82 $3 6¢ $5 +$2 11-12 19:30
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on December 15, 2026? Yes +233 $3 2¢ $5 +$2 11-13 18:32
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026? Yes +391 $3 1¢ $5 +$2 11-13 03:37
Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +307 -$2 2¢ $5 +$7 11-12 23:32
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31? Yes +203 $6 2¢ $5 -$1 11-07 10:37
Will "Ghost Soldier" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m? Yes +70 $3 6¢ $5 +$2 11-13 20:08
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? Yes +205 $0 2¢ $5 +$5 11-12 00:36
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +233 $1 2¢ $4 +$4 11-09 01:54
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? Yes +311 $3 1¢ $4 +$2 11-07 18:53
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? Yes +180 -$4 2¢ $4 +$9 11-12 17:27