Realized P&L
+$6.57K
Unrealized P&L
+$104
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved
19,762
Trades
213,592
lifetime
Volume
$248.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$163
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 11-14 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 241 days
Categories
Other
47% 42% +$4,663
Crypto
34% 35% -$1,360
Politics
14% 50% +$2,561
Sports
4% 51% +$607
Tech
1% 45% +$103
Pop-Culture
0% 18% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +699 $1 2¢ $12 +$11 11-09 05:20
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +898 $2 1¢ $9 +$6 11-07 22:59
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Switzerland? Yes +453 $2 2¢ $8 +$6 10-19 17:51
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +647 -$1 1¢ $7 +$9 11-14 03:17
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +249 $5 3¢ $7 +$2 11-12 13:23
Will Alice Huang be arrested by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $4 5¢ $7 +$3 11-14 16:39
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? Yes +133 $1 5¢ $6 +$5 11-08 21:54
Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? No +156 $5 4¢ $6 +$1 11-06 15:16
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Germany? Yes +699 $3 1¢ $6 +$3 10-21 19:50
Will Nemiga Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? Yes +357 $5 2¢ $5 +$0 11-12 21:16
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +103 $1 5¢ $5 +$4 11-14 15:33
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes +336 $3 2¢ $5 +$2 10-31 19:37
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? Yes +186 $3 3¢ $5 +$2 11-09 02:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.9%-1.2%? Yes +133 $3 4¢ $5 +$2 11-14 07:19
Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +307 -$2 2¢ $5 +$7 11-12 23:32
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026? Yes +391 $3 1¢ $5 +$1 11-13 03:37
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting? Yes +933 $3 0¢ $5 +$2 11-12 23:31
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes +196 -$6 2¢ $5 +$10 11-14 18:08
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31? Yes +203 $6 2¢ $5 -$1 11-07 10:37
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $3 6¢ $5 +$2 11-14 07:41
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? Yes +205 $0 2¢ $5 +$5 11-12 00:36
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +233 $1 2¢ $4 +$4 11-09 01:54
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 15, 2026? Yes +107 $3 4¢ $4 +$2 11-14 08:22
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? Yes +311 $3 1¢ $4 +$2 11-07 18:53
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +107 $0 4¢ $4 +$4 11-13 21:39
Will Backrooms be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes +102 $3 4¢ $4 +$1 11-09 04:50
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +1,026 $0 0¢ $4 +$4 11-10 22:17
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes +184 $2 2¢ $4 +$2 11-14 14:41
Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +560 $2 1¢ $4 +$2 11-03 12:08
Will the Democrats win Oklahoma in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +43 $3 9¢ $4 +$1 11-14 01:57