Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
open
Total volume
$10,878
$260 in 24h
Trades
133
Unique wallets
55
Liquidity
$1,396
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-02 11:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | — | $3.9K | $3.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $2 | $2.8K | $2.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $401 | $1.4K | $1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $453 | $302 | +$151 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $74 | $3.6K | $3.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 7 | — | $2.3K | $2.3K |
| Below median | 6 | $125 | $1.4K | $1.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $651 | $651 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $19 | $223 | $204 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $114 | $114 |
| unranked | 26 | $638 | $201 | +$437 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | +3,860 | $3,551 | $3,551 | 8 | 06-20 07:23 |
| Chubby-Trust 0xa0e9…1f00 | Yes | +3,406 | $295 | $295 | 8 | 06-23 08:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x17da…31f3 | Yes | +2,500 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-05 17:41 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | +1,496 | $1,354 | $1,354 | 5 | 07-01 15:42 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +1,148 | $1,030 | $2,649 | 6 | 06-27 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | +900 | $93 | $93 | 5 | 07-01 20:48 |
| Intent-Beck 0x08c9…a2ef | No | +700 | $651 | $651 | 1 | 06-05 19:16 |
| Mixed-Offer 0x69be…c807 | Yes | +497 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-10 13:18 |
| Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | +352 | $310 | $310 | 1 | 06-30 11:27 |
| Second-Hand-Fishmonger 0xd60a…5a90 | Yes | +297 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-20 07:23 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +243 | $223 | $223 | 3 | 07-01 20:48 |
| Triangular-Increase 0x66a5…56cb | Yes | +200 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-08 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ad6…1c72 | No | +133 | $125 | $125 | 2 | 06-20 07:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c40…40da | Yes | +90 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x67dd…71c1 | No | +54 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-19 06:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x3fb2…fac4 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-10 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 07-01 15:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | +35 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-28 23:56 |
| Darling-Obligation 0x15be…a491 | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-30 10:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x61e4…2df4 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-18 02:39 |
| Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-26 20:30 |
| Private-Soil 0x3234…8400 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-11 07:42 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +13 | $10 | $217 | 6 | 07-02 11:51 |
| Hoarse-Monk 0x86fc…4266 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 23:29 |
| Broken-Landform 0x09a7…89fd | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-11 06:49 |
| Breakable-Dynamics 0x7a9c…97a4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $12 | 2 | 06-22 15:06 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +10 | $9 | $18 | 3 | 06-23 17:43 |
| Playful-Badger 0x86ba…3694 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 11:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $23 | 3 | 06-27 01:43 |
| Wavy-Parsley 0x101e…d4da | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-14 23:27 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 15:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 11:51:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x9afc38… |
| 07-02 11:51:23 | Playful-Badger 0x86ba…3694 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x9afc38… |
| 07-01 20:48:47 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x0c53ef… |
| 07-01 20:48:47 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 27 | 91¢ | $25 | 0x0c53ef… |
| 07-01 15:42:59 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0x222956… |
| 07-01 15:42:59 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x222956… |
| 07-01 15:42:49 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 433 | 91¢ | $394 | 0x81c026… |
| 07-01 15:42:49 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 433 | 9¢ | $39 | 0x81c026… |
| 07-01 04:51:13 | (anonymous) 0xf385…aa41 | No | SELL | 334 | 91¢ | $305 | 0xd2314c… |
| 07-01 04:51:13 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 320 | 91¢ | $291 | 0xd2314c… |
| 07-01 04:51:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd2314c… |
| 06-30 23:29:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9c6074… |
| 06-30 23:29:49 | Hoarse-Monk 0x86fc…4266 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9c6074… |
| 06-30 11:27:13 | Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | BUY | 352 | 88¢ | $310 | 0xc7835c… |
| 06-30 11:27:13 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 352 | 12¢ | $42 | 0xc7835c… |
| 06-30 10:32:52 | Darling-Obligation 0x15be…a491 | No | BUY | 14 | 88¢ | $12 | 0xdafaab… |
| 06-30 10:32:52 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 34 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xdafaab… |
| 06-30 10:32:52 | (anonymous) 0x0aab…931d | Yes | BUY | 48 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xdafaab… |
| 06-28 23:56:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 18 | 89¢ | $16 | 0x99ac16… |
| 06-28 23:56:02 | (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x99ac16… |
| 06-27 01:43:38 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x105469… |
| 06-27 01:43:38 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0x105469… |
| 06-27 01:43:38 | (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | BUY | 17 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x105469… |
| 06-26 20:30:47 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xdbdb86… |
| 06-26 20:30:47 | Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xdbdb86… |
| 06-26 01:43:20 | (anonymous) 0xa93d…36ca | No | SELL | 44 | 95¢ | $42 | 0x53deaa… |
| 06-26 01:43:20 | (anonymous) 0xc0c7…3826 | Yes | SELL | 408 | 5¢ | $20 | 0x53deaa… |
| 06-26 01:43:20 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 364 | 95¢ | $346 | 0x53deaa… |
| 06-24 02:45:47 | (anonymous) 0xc0c7…3826 | Yes | BUY | 408 | 10¢ | $39 | 0xa765b8… |
| 06-24 02:45:47 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 243 | 90¢ | $219 | 0xa765b8… |
| 06-24 02:45:47 | (anonymous) 0x2178…aab5 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa765b8… |
| 06-24 02:45:47 | (anonymous) 0x59b3…a039 | Yes | SELL | 139 | 9¢ | $12 | 0xa765b8… |
| 06-23 17:43:35 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x34dcc9… |
| 06-23 17:43:35 | (anonymous) 0x2178…aab5 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x34dcc9… |
| 06-23 17:43:35 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x34dcc9… |
| 06-23 17:43:35 | (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x34dcc9… |
| 06-23 11:33:25 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x9fa80a… |
| 06-23 11:33:25 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x9fa80a… |
| 06-23 08:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x59b3…a039 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x11c517… |
| 06-23 08:48:20 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 91¢ | $1,820 | 0x11c517… |
| 06-23 08:48:20 | Chubby-Trust 0xa0e9…1f00 | Yes | BUY | 1,893 | 9¢ | $170 | 0x11c517… |
| 06-23 08:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x2178…aab5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x11c517… |
| 06-23 04:45:31 | Chubby-Trust 0xa0e9…1f00 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x6c1570… |
| 06-23 04:45:31 | (anonymous) 0x3349…2afe | Yes | SELL | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x6c1570… |
| 06-23 04:09:40 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x46b968… |
| 06-23 04:09:40 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x46b968… |
| 06-23 04:09:40 | Chubby-Trust 0xa0e9…1f00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x46b968… |
| 06-22 15:06:08 | (anonymous) 0x59b3…a039 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x50c326… |
| 06-22 15:06:08 | Breakable-Dynamics 0x7a9c…97a4 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x50c326… |
| 06-22 15:06:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 51 | 93¢ | $48 | 0x50c326… |
| 06-22 11:00:58 | Chubby-Trust 0xa0e9…1f00 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x79e9cd… |
| 06-22 11:00:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 51 | 92¢ | $47 | 0x79e9cd… |
| 06-22 11:00:55 | Chubby-Trust 0xa0e9…1f00 | Yes | BUY | 154 | 7¢ | $11 | 0x5dde1a… |
| 06-22 11:00:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x5dde1a… |
| 06-22 11:00:55 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 129 | 7¢ | $9 | 0x5dde1a… |
| 06-20 07:23:49 | (anonymous) 0xa93d…36ca | No | BUY | 44 | 94¢ | $41 | 0x9f3a85… |
| 06-20 07:23:49 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 60 | 92¢ | $56 | 0x9f3a85… |
| 06-20 07:23:49 | Second-Hand-Fishmonger 0xd60a…5a90 | Yes | BUY | 297 | 7¢ | $20 | 0x9f3a85… |
| 06-20 07:23:49 | Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x9f3a85… |
| 06-20 07:23:49 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9f3a85… |
| 06-20 07:23:49 | (anonymous) 0x2ad6…1c72 | No | BUY | 87 | 94¢ | $82 | 0x9f3a85… |
| 06-19 06:21:07 | (anonymous) 0x2ad6…1c72 | No | BUY | 46 | 94¢ | $43 | 0x7c27a3… |
| 06-19 06:21:07 | Breakable-Dynamics 0x7a9c…97a4 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x7c27a3… |
| 06-19 06:21:07 | (anonymous) 0x67dd…71c1 | No | BUY | 54 | 94¢ | $51 | 0x7c27a3… |
| 06-18 02:39:29 | (anonymous) 0x61e4…2df4 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x28fa7a… |
| 06-18 02:39:29 | Repentant-Lane 0xbc7f…f922 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x28fa7a… |
| 06-18 02:39:29 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x28fa7a… |
| 06-16 17:33:31 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2e4c34… |
| 06-16 17:33:31 | Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2e4c34… |
| 06-16 17:33:31 | (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2e4c34… |
| 06-15 13:58:40 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x690b86… |
| 06-15 13:58:40 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 90 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x690b86… |
| 06-15 13:57:27 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | Yes | SELL | 90 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xbbbc07… |
| 06-15 13:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x8c40…40da | Yes | BUY | 90 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xbbbc07… |
| 06-14 23:27:51 | Flippant-Casement 0x7b37…222b | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xb87c39… |
| 06-14 23:27:51 | Wavy-Parsley 0x101e…d4da | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xb87c39… |
| 06-14 11:11:36 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x4dc5c4… |
| 06-14 11:11:36 | Flippant-Casement 0x7b37…222b | No | SELL | 42 | 93¢ | $39 | 0x4dc5c4… |
| 06-13 07:47:49 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xa205ed… |
| 06-13 07:47:49 | Repentant-Lane 0xbc7f…f922 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 9¢ | $6 | 0xa205ed… |
| 06-13 07:47:49 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xa205ed… |
| 06-12 14:12:31 | (anonymous) 0x8e78…39eb | Yes | SELL | 56 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x7e32f0… |
| 06-12 14:12:31 | Flippant-Casement 0x7b37…222b | No | SELL | 56 | 93¢ | $52 | 0x7e32f0… |
| 06-12 14:12:07 | (anonymous) 0x8e78…39eb | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x58a95c… |
| 06-12 14:12:07 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x58a95c… |
| 06-11 20:45:37 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 202 | 92¢ | $186 | 0x58be18… |
| 06-11 20:45:37 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 147 | 8¢ | $12 | 0x58be18… |
| 06-11 20:45:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 56 | 92¢ | $51 | 0x58be18… |
| 06-11 18:07:10 | 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x3e6a6f… |
| 06-11 18:07:10 | Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x3e6a6f… |
| 06-11 07:42:57 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | BUY | 14 | 90¢ | $12 | 0x9e81e7… |
| 06-11 07:42:57 | Private-Soil 0x3234…8400 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9e81e7… |
| 06-11 06:49:49 | Private-Soil 0x3234…8400 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa03d26… |
| 06-11 06:49:49 | Broken-Landform 0x09a7…89fd | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xa03d26… |
| 06-10 13:18:45 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 481 | 90¢ | $433 | 0x796300… |
| 06-10 13:18:45 | Mixed-Offer 0x69be…c807 | Yes | BUY | 497 | 10¢ | $50 | 0x796300… |
| 06-10 13:18:45 | Darling-Obligation 0x15be…a491 | No | BUY | 16 | 88¢ | $14 | 0x796300… |
| 06-10 09:33:30 | Chubby-Trust 0xa0e9…1f00 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x5e08c4… |
| 06-10 09:33:30 | (anonymous) 0x3fb2…fac4 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x5e08c4… |
| 06-10 00:32:25 | Chubby-Trust 0xa0e9…1f00 | Yes | BUY | 444 | 9¢ | $40 | 0x9071c3… |