Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
28
lifetime
Volume
$24
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$6
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-09 17:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
40% 0% $-0
Politics
26%
Crypto
25% 0% $-1
Tech
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +10 $0 11¢ $1 +$1 06-09 17:03
DAI depeg by December 31? Yes +12 $1 $1 +$0 06-06 00:02
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes +8 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-08 22:50
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-08 17:17
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? Yes -9 $-1 10¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 14:38
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? Yes +25 $1 $1 $-0 06-02 04:08
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes +34 $1 $0 $-1 06-04 19:10