Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
245
Trades
1,040
lifetime
Volume
$933
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$1
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 09-23 22:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
69% 47% +$22
Politics
20% 46% $0
Tech
7% 50% +$3
Crypto
3% 50% +$0
Sports
1% 29% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +2 -$1 17¢ $0 +$1 07-19 05:45
greece x turkey military engagement by december 31 Yes +4 -$1 5¢ $0 +$1 07-18 14:16
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +2 -$1 10¢ $0 +$1 08-03 16:46
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 -$1 8¢ $0 +$1 07-10 18:30
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 Yes +1 $0 4¢ $0 $0 07-24 14:43
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes +3 $0 2¢ $0 $0 07-29 06:19
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? Yes +1 $0 3¢ $0 $0 07-15 14:25
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes +1 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 08-18 22:26
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 $0 07-13 06:10
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +2 $2 1¢ $0 -$1 07-20 15:58
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 07-29 09:46
ukraine coup attempt by december 31 Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 07-15 14:25
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +2 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-12 10:34
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 08-11 17:06
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-10 12:10
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +0 -$1 3¢ $0 +$1 07-15 14:25