Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$155,109
Trades
1,042
Unique wallets
349
Liquidity
$52,465
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-07-03
last 10-26 18:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.5¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $1.5K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $78.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $45 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $33 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 121 | $272 | $38.1K | $37.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 181 | $5.0K | $31.6K | $26.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $19 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 54 | $1.3K | $8.7K | $7.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 18 | $166 | $4.7K | $4.5K |
| Median | 80 | $1.6K | $17.6K | $16.0K |
| Below median | 99 | $1.5K | $23.8K | $22.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 58 | $618 | $15.5K | $14.9K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $126 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $45 | $265 | $220 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | +1,279 | $1,176 | $1,176 | 2 | 08-01 19:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f64…27c9 | Yes | +1,193 | $95 | $105 | 5 | 08-30 20:57 |
| Yellow-Bother 0x165e…f5aa | No | +480 | $456 | $456 | 1 | 10-26 18:38 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +290 | $18 | $18 | 9 | 10-26 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c01…3cd8 | Yes | +181 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-25 10:26 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +149 | $137 | $203 | 3 | 10-20 13:40 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +93 | $85 | $85 | 7 | 09-25 20:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x52f9…a70a | Yes | +67 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-15 07:57 |
| Imaginative-Law 0x0ee8…d3fc | No | +62 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 10-04 08:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +55 | $2 | $2 | 12 | 10-07 16:17 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +54 | $5 | $10 | 2 | 08-05 08:03 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +44 | $3 | $11 | 13 | 10-26 18:38 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +39 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-26 18:38 |
| Super-Incident 0xe673…95cf | Yes | +38 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-24 21:43 |
| Pastel-Inflation 0xadb6…5875 | Yes | +36 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-12 04:44 |
| Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17…03b2 | No | +34 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 08-15 07:57 |
| Nutty-Frigate 0x403f…42c5 | Yes | +31 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-12 07:28 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $17 | 15 | 10-26 18:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3b2…b4c3 | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-05 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2564…f258 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $19 | 31 | 10-26 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +28 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-07 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +28 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 10-07 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +26 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-09 11:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +26 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 07-09 11:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xcea0…3d06 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-07 13:55 |
| Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 10-26 18:38 |
| Fat-Admin 0x3a91…a770 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-25 23:58 |
| Powerless-Pig 0x3dab…e5d0 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 07-11 13:00 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +20 | $18 | $75 | 3 | 10-20 14:22 |
| frosique1 0x91c7…b576 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-25 10:14 |
| Wary-Elicit 0x0fe0…4014 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-14 16:42 |
| Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-09 13:27 |
| Crisp-Outfit 0xaed4…7f61 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-06 11:06 |
| Idealistic-Trousers 0xd4fd…1a7d | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 10:56 |
| Courteous-Stepmother 0x5462…7b2e | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-25 20:42 |
| Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | +13 | $1 | $1,393 | 25 | 10-26 18:40 |
| Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | +13 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 08-15 18:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb65…0199 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 04:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x8339…fd49 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-15 18:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x098a…0547 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-09 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-26 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9209…a393 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c7b…6863 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 18:47 |
| Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-14 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb840…792e | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-17 07:55 |
| Silky-Shelter 0x0953…9283 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-10 09:00 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-06 07:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d4f…97f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a68…c1b0 | No | +4 | $4 | $26 | 2 | 07-20 18:31 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 18:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-09 10:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x1371…30ad | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x442f…5db4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 11:55 |
| Curly-Violin 0x8b06…86e6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 04:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 18:48:20 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6ae2fd… |
| 10-26 18:48:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6ae2fd… |
| 10-26 18:48:20 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6ae2fd… |
| 10-26 18:47:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x87ae57… |
| 10-26 18:47:20 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x87ae57… |
| 10-26 18:47:20 | (anonymous) 0x9209…a393 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x87ae57… |
| 10-26 18:47:20 | (anonymous) 0x3c7b…6863 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x87ae57… |
| 10-26 18:47:15 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0207bc… |
| 10-26 18:47:15 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0207bc… |
| 10-26 18:47:15 | (anonymous) 0xf74e…8c09 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x0207bc… |
| 10-26 18:47:11 | (anonymous) 0xf74e…8c09 | No | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0x21e151… |
| 10-26 18:47:11 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x21e151… |
| 10-26 18:47:11 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x21e151… |
| 10-26 18:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8a10db… |
| 10-26 18:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x1d4f…97f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8a10db… |
| 10-26 18:40:26 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | SELL | 45 | 95¢ | $43 | 0x8a10db… |
| 10-26 18:40:26 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8a10db… |
| 10-26 18:40:05 | Joyous-Supplement 0xceed…6d15 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4d8f52… |
| 10-26 18:40:05 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x4d8f52… |
| 10-26 18:40:00 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x32f6ad… |
| 10-26 18:40:00 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x32f6ad… |
| 10-26 18:39:41 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x63b955… |
| 10-26 18:39:41 | Joyous-Supplement 0xceed…6d15 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x63b955… |
| 10-26 18:39:38 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb85ca9… |
| 10-26 18:39:38 | Joyous-Supplement 0xceed…6d15 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb85ca9… |
| 10-26 18:39:11 | Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath 0x1e31…594b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa67e93… |
| 10-26 18:39:11 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa67e93… |
| 10-26 18:39:11 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd855f9… |
| 10-26 18:39:11 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd855f9… |
| 10-26 18:38:59 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xba99a9… |
| 10-26 18:38:59 | Cheerful-Cesspool 0x18c9…0079 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xba99a9… |
| 10-26 18:38:50 | (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xfec868… |
| 10-26 18:38:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfec868… |
| 10-26 18:38:48 | Strong-Announcement-Rod 0x0fc6…843d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xed3faf… |
| 10-26 18:38:48 | Cheerful-Cesspool 0x18c9…0079 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xed3faf… |
| 10-26 18:38:44 | Strong-Announcement-Rod 0x0fc6…843d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2f201c… |
| 10-26 18:38:44 | Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath 0x1e31…594b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2f201c… |
| 10-26 18:38:39 | (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4b14c0… |
| 10-26 18:38:39 | Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath 0x1e31…594b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4b14c0… |
| 10-26 18:38:30 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x198397… |
| 10-26 18:38:30 | Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath 0x1e31…594b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x198397… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x313175… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x313175… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x313175… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x313175… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x313175… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x313175… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x313175… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x313175… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x313175… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | SELL | 145 | 95¢ | $137 | 0x313175… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | Yellow-Bother 0x165e…f5aa | No | BUY | 480 | 95¢ | $456 | 0x313175… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x313175… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x313175… |
| 10-26 18:38:29 | (anonymous) 0x2564…f258 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x313175… |
| 10-25 10:14:12 | frosique1 0x91c7…b576 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xad57de… |
| 10-25 10:14:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xad57de… |
| 10-25 10:14:12 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0xad57de… |
| 10-25 07:47:18 | frosique1 0x91c7…b576 | No | BUY | 17 | 93¢ | $16 | 0xabbcf3… |
| 10-25 07:47:18 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xabbcf3… |
| 10-25 07:47:18 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xabbcf3… |
| 10-25 07:47:11 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x406cfc… |
| 10-25 07:47:11 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x406cfc… |
| 10-25 07:47:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x701465… |
| 10-25 07:47:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x701465… |
| 10-25 07:42:15 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 40 | 94¢ | $37 | 0x6bc899… |
| 10-25 07:42:15 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $37 | 0x6bc899… |
| 10-25 07:42:08 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x0ec4ec… |
| 10-25 07:42:08 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x0ec4ec… |
| 10-25 07:42:05 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 40 | 94¢ | $37 | 0x920c5d… |
| 10-25 07:42:05 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $37 | 0x920c5d… |
| 10-25 07:38:17 | (anonymous) 0x2564…f258 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe6bd39… |
| 10-25 07:38:17 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xe6bd39… |
| 10-25 07:38:17 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xe6bd39… |
| 10-25 07:38:17 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xe6bd39… |
| 10-25 07:38:17 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xe6bd39… |
| 10-25 07:38:17 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xe6bd39… |
| 10-25 07:38:17 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xe6bd39… |
| 10-25 07:38:17 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | SELL | 185 | 94¢ | $175 | 0xe6bd39… |
| 10-20 14:22:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x64a1ea… |
| 10-20 14:22:33 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x64a1ea… |
| 10-20 14:22:26 | (anonymous) 0x2564…f258 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xcf379d… |
| 10-20 14:22:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xcf379d… |
| 10-20 14:22:26 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xcf379d… |
| 10-20 13:40:11 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | SELL | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0x557c36… |
| 10-20 13:40:11 | (anonymous) 0x2564…f258 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x557c36… |
| 10-19 11:03:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x965e87… |
| 10-19 11:03:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x965e87… |
| 10-18 11:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x295bf6… |
| 10-18 11:58:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x295bf6… |
| 10-18 11:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x2564…f258 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x295bf6… |
| 10-18 11:58:56 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xa2f3ac… |
| 10-18 11:58:56 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa2f3ac… |
| 10-18 11:58:54 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x53d63f… |
| 10-18 11:58:54 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x53d63f… |
| 10-18 11:58:50 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbc281d… |
| 10-18 11:58:50 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbc281d… |
| 10-18 11:58:50 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $37 | 0xbc281d… |
| 10-18 11:43:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf42ce6… |
| 10-18 11:43:33 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf42ce6… |