Realized P&L
-$168
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
37.9%
Resolved
96
Trades
42,227
lifetime
Volume
$106.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$280
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 06:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
52% 31% $-138
Politics
35% 21% $-21
Sports
7% 100% +$2
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
2%
Crypto
1% 40% $-10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 452 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? Yes -693 $-18 $-32 $-14 06-08 19:26
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election? No -62 $-5 28¢ $-17 $-13 06-03 03:53
Glean IPO before 2027? Yes -105 $-12 16¢ $-17 $-5 06-03 07:48
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -201 $-15 $-16 $-1 06-09 12:33
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30? Yes +518 $15 $13 $-2 06-09 09:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -194 $3 $-13 $-15 06-10 05:45
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +34 $3 36¢ $12 +$9 06-08 18:19
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? Yes +250 $18 $11 $-7 06-09 12:02
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30? Yes +100 $9 10¢ $10 +$0 06-05 00:01
Will Meta acquire TikTok? Yes -912 $-8 $-9 $-1 06-07 05:32
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T Yes +202 $16 $9 $-7 06-10 01:07
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? No +248 $11 $9 $-2 06-07 06:37
Will Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +102 $8 $8 $-1 06-09 23:47
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -43 $-6 18¢ $-8 $-2 05-27 20:44
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? Yes +659 $10 $7 $-3 06-09 03:52
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +76 $7 10¢ $7 $-0 06-10 05:12
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? Yes +102 $5 $7 +$2 06-10 07:22
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30? Yes +101 $8 $7 $-1 06-05 21:49
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July? Yes +102 $8 $7 $-2 06-09 00:16
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? Yes -76 $-5 $-6 $-2 06-10 07:16
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $5 12¢ $6 +$2 06-01 08:06
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -51 $-3 12¢ $-6 $-3 06-05 07:40
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +87 $8 $6 $-2 06-08 13:28
Will Sharon Brown advance from the CA-04 primary election? Yes -128 $0 $-6 $-6 06-03 05:44
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? No +313 $6 $6 +$0 06-09 22:59
Les Wexner charged by June 30? Yes +109 $6 $6 $-0 06-08 22:07
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? Yes -101 $-5 $-5 $-0 06-08 14:52
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? Yes -46 $-4 11¢ $-5 $-1 06-09 19:58
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026? Yes -490 $-9 $-5 +$4 06-08 08:49
Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes -20 $-1 23¢ $-5 $-3 06-06 14:11