Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open
Total volume
$15,691
$31 in 24h
Trades
1,440
Unique wallets
114
Liquidity
$4,067
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-01 16:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+28.9¢
(top1%: 76% YES on $88
vs crowd: 47% YES on $11.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $2.8K | $2.5K | +$323 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $426 | $2.6K | $2.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 23 | $107 | $763 | $656 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 45 | $2.0K | $220 | +$1.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $67 | $22 | +$45 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $731 | $454 | +$277 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $1.6K | $332 | +$1.2K |
| Median | 10 | $699 | $257 | +$442 |
| Below median | 22 | $88 | $172 | $84 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $216 | $3.5K | $3.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $334 | $889 | $555 |
| unranked | 41 | $1.6K | $407 | +$1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | +2,397 | $1,203 | $1,487 | 48 | 06-30 18:00 |
| Smart-Pathway 0x993c…6787 | No | +2,300 | $1,331 | $1,331 | 10 | 07-05 13:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe624…e63b | Yes | +1,657 | $848 | $1,088 | 14 | 06-18 23:48 |
| Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | +1,651 | $664 | $1,994 | 62 | 07-30 12:30 |
| Sane-Sprout 0xd2b8…8cf5 | Yes | +908 | $520 | $520 | 6 | 07-05 13:02 |
| Watery-Fitness 0x5a56…adab | No | +526 | $364 | $364 | 3 | 07-25 04:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x111f…af00 | Yes | +429 | $230 | $230 | 2 | 06-18 11:07 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +411 | $244 | $244 | 28 | 07-30 12:30 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +395 | $167 | $167 | 31 | 07-15 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ac5…f35b | Yes | +387 | $174 | $174 | 1 | 07-04 06:26 |
| Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | +376 | $249 | $249 | 4 | 07-16 21:00 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +250 | $106 | $106 | 17 | 06-30 18:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +204 | $86 | $166 | 18 | 07-11 03:47 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +204 | $97 | $97 | 7 | 06-20 16:17 |
| Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843…b3d2 | Yes | +200 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 06-21 22:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +159 | $75 | $253 | 10 | 06-30 22:49 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | No | +150 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 07-03 07:51 |
| Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | +144 | $53 | $203 | 12 | 07-28 03:33 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +110 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 07-14 18:41 |
| Putrid-Vermicelli 0x3c44…f66f | No | +102 | $49 | $117 | 12 | 07-27 23:19 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | +85 | $-8 | $483 | 24 | 07-06 03:43 |
| Gruesome-Media 0xcfb5…7d2d | No | +77 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-12 10:48 |
| Cultivated-Objective 0x5939…7560 | Yes | +70 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-08 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +62 | $34 | $53 | 10 | 07-05 13:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +55 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-20 13:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +55 | $15 | $26 | 14 | 07-25 04:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +54 | $21 | $60 | 14 | 07-11 03:47 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +47 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-17 19:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x90aa…bb09 | No | +45 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-14 13:38 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +43 | $22 | $44 | 11 | 06-28 07:13 |
| Dim-Butane 0xb03e…1091 | No | +42 | $25 | $25 | 5 | 06-26 23:25 |
| Rapid-Accident 0xfd39…109d | Yes | +39 | $16 | $16 | 48 | 06-16 06:39 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +35 | $10 | $17 | 11 | 07-25 04:20 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +34 | $17 | $67 | 39 | 07-05 13:02 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +34 | $11 | $47 | 34 | 07-15 01:10 |
| Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | +33 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-14 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | +33 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 07-07 20:13 |
| Admirable-Foal 0x45e8…2783 | No | +32 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 07-15 03:03 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $20 | $372 | 25 | 07-30 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-25 04:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-21 03:40 |
| Thoughtful-Greenhouse 0x9395…3a6c | No | +13 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-18 21:36 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-18 15:59 |
| Acrobatic-Baggage 0x5331…3672 | No | +10 | $5 | $29 | 3 | 06-26 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-25 21:40 |
| Daring-Speech 0x4eb8…9231 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-05 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-26 15:57 |
| 0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e 0xfb9d…d78e | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 02:46 |
| Buzzing-Teriyaki 0xd286…d55d | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-11 20:57 |
| Thoughtful-Greenhouse 0x9395…3a6c | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-16 12:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-26 11:56 |
| Clean-Slang 0xd5ff…8450 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-11 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +4 | $2 | $21 | 10 | 06-17 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 15:09 |
| Attentive-Context 0x2698…2941 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $10 | 2 | 06-12 21:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 16:42:48 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x89b01c… |
| 08-01 16:42:48 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x89b01c… |
| 07-30 12:30:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x6373bb… |
| 07-30 12:30:44 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x6373bb… |
| 07-30 12:30:14 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 22 | 80¢ | $18 | 0xe83285… |
| 07-30 12:30:14 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 22 | 80¢ | $18 | 0xe83285… |
| 07-30 12:29:35 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 48 | 74¢ | $36 | 0x838da6… |
| 07-30 12:29:35 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | BUY | 126 | 74¢ | $93 | 0x838da6… |
| 07-30 03:35:53 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x9d5840… |
| 07-30 03:35:53 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x9d5840… |
| 07-28 03:33:31 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x7f40fa… |
| 07-28 03:33:31 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 17 | 71¢ | $12 | 0x7f40fa… |
| 07-27 23:19:12 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 26 | 71¢ | $19 | 0x8b7865… |
| 07-27 23:19:12 | Putrid-Vermicelli 0x3c44…f66f | No | SELL | 48 | 71¢ | $34 | 0x8b7865… |
| 07-27 11:45:36 | Robust-Footnote 0x4f52…f489 | No | SELL | 78 | 71¢ | $55 | 0xbeafa4… |
| 07-27 11:45:36 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 78 | 71¢ | $55 | 0xbeafa4… |
| 07-27 11:35:49 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0x3e9071… |
| 07-27 11:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 61 | 28¢ | $17 | 0x3e9071… |
| 07-27 11:35:49 | Robust-Footnote 0x4f52…f489 | No | SELL | 72 | 72¢ | $52 | 0x3e9071… |
| 07-25 04:20:39 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xd81fce… |
| 07-25 04:20:39 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xd81fce… |
| 07-25 04:20:39 | Watery-Fitness 0x5a56…adab | No | BUY | 60 | 73¢ | $44 | 0xd81fce… |
| 07-25 04:20:39 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xd81fce… |
| 07-25 04:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x07b759… |
| 07-25 04:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 18 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x07b759… |
| 07-25 04:20:01 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x07b759… |
| 07-25 04:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x07b759… |
| 07-25 04:20:01 | Watery-Fitness 0x5a56…adab | No | BUY | 113 | 71¢ | $80 | 0x07b759… |
| 07-24 11:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x4421…6287 | No | BUY | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0xe7b6a2… |
| 07-24 11:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xe7b6a2… |
| 07-21 03:40:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x864150… |
| 07-21 03:40:09 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 4 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x864150… |
| 07-21 03:40:09 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | SELL | 39 | 64¢ | $25 | 0x864150… |
| 07-21 03:40:09 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x864150… |
| 07-21 03:40:09 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x864150… |
| 07-17 10:33:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xdd91eb… |
| 07-17 10:33:04 | (anonymous) 0xf129…1edc | No | SELL | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0xdd91eb… |
| 07-17 10:33:04 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xdd91eb… |
| 07-16 21:00:02 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | BUY | 9 | 68¢ | $6 | 0xb093c1… |
| 07-16 21:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | SELL | 9 | 68¢ | $6 | 0xb093c1… |
| 07-16 20:34:52 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | SELL | 18 | 68¢ | $12 | 0x0eddf3… |
| 07-16 20:34:52 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x0eddf3… |
| 07-16 20:34:52 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | BUY | 13 | 68¢ | $9 | 0x0eddf3… |
| 07-16 01:33:29 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x2da874… |
| 07-16 01:33:29 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 139 | 66¢ | $92 | 0x2da874… |
| 07-16 01:33:29 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | BUY | 154 | 66¢ | $102 | 0x2da874… |
| 07-16 01:33:19 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | BUY | 200 | 66¢ | $132 | 0x469e23… |
| 07-16 01:33:19 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 200 | 66¢ | $132 | 0x469e23… |
| 07-15 03:03:22 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x1eb522… |
| 07-15 03:03:22 | Admirable-Foal 0x45e8…2783 | No | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0x1eb522… |
| 07-15 03:03:22 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x1eb522… |
| 07-15 01:10:26 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 42 | 66¢ | $28 | 0x797e22… |
| 07-15 01:10:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 31 | 64¢ | $20 | 0x797e22… |
| 07-15 01:10:26 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x797e22… |
| 07-15 01:10:26 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | SELL | 127 | 35¢ | $44 | 0x797e22… |
| 07-15 01:10:26 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x797e22… |
| 07-15 01:10:26 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x797e22… |
| 07-15 01:10:26 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 35¢ | $12 | 0x797e22… |
| 07-14 18:42:20 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x44bf21… |
| 07-14 18:42:20 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | SELL | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x44bf21… |
| 07-14 18:42:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 61¢ | $18 | 0x2664e8… |
| 07-14 18:42:08 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 30 | 61¢ | $18 | 0x2664e8… |
| 07-14 18:42:08 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | SELL | 1 | 61¢ | $0 | 0x05b602… |
| 07-14 18:42:08 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | BUY | 0 | 61¢ | $0 | 0xa8139f… |
| 07-14 18:42:08 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | BUY | 1 | 61¢ | $0 | 0x05b602… |
| 07-14 18:42:08 | (anonymous) 0xf129…1edc | No | SELL | 0 | 61¢ | $0 | 0xa8139f… |
| 07-14 18:41:20 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 1 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x5f09d7… |
| 07-14 18:41:20 | (anonymous) 0xf129…1edc | No | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x5f09d7… |
| 07-14 18:41:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 37¢ | $3 | 0xb6e8bd… |
| 07-14 18:41:19 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 15 | 64¢ | $10 | 0xb6e8bd… |
| 07-14 18:41:19 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xb6e8bd… |
| 07-14 18:41:19 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | SELL | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xfff818… |
| 07-14 18:41:19 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xfff818… |
| 07-14 18:41:19 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 180 | 63¢ | $114 | 0xb6e8bd… |
| 07-14 18:41:19 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 110 | 63¢ | $69 | 0xb6e8bd… |
| 07-14 15:35:46 | Sunny-Nitrogen 0xbf53…1720 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 34¢ | $8 | 0xae55e2… |
| 07-14 15:35:46 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 23 | 66¢ | $15 | 0xae55e2… |
| 07-14 13:38:46 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 45 | 66¢ | $30 | 0x710d92… |
| 07-14 13:38:46 | (anonymous) 0x90aa…bb09 | No | BUY | 45 | 66¢ | $30 | 0x710d92… |
| 07-14 11:02:50 | Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | BUY | 33 | 66¢ | $22 | 0x72aac8… |
| 07-14 11:02:50 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 28 | 66¢ | $18 | 0x72aac8… |
| 07-14 11:02:50 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x72aac8… |
| 07-13 03:15:46 | Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | SELL | 10 | 65¢ | $7 | 0x4a3333… |
| 07-13 03:15:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x4a3333… |
| 07-12 10:48:32 | Gruesome-Media 0xcfb5…7d2d | No | BUY | 77 | 65¢ | $50 | 0x2ee4fa… |
| 07-12 10:48:32 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 70 | 65¢ | $45 | 0x2ee4fa… |
| 07-12 10:48:32 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x2ee4fa… |
| 07-11 23:50:25 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x19251c… |
| 07-11 23:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x33b9…c9fb | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x19251c… |
| 07-11 20:57:55 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x1e625f… |
| 07-11 20:57:55 | Buzzing-Teriyaki 0xd286…d55d | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x1e625f… |
| 07-11 20:57:55 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x1e625f… |
| 07-11 19:51:53 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xd529ad… |
| 07-11 19:51:53 | Clean-Slang 0xd5ff…8450 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xd529ad… |
| 07-11 10:11:37 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xa0239a… |
| 07-11 10:11:37 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xa0239a… |
| 07-11 05:11:01 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x2ae0b8… |
| 07-11 05:11:01 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x2ae0b8… |
| 07-11 05:10:59 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xed5d01… |
| 07-11 05:10:59 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xed5d01… |