Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open
Total volume
$13,790
$31 in 24h
Trades
1,333
Unique wallets
100
Liquidity
$4,067
Latest YES mid
41¢
Latest NO mid
59¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-10 10:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+25.5¢
(top1%: 76% YES on $88
vs crowd: 50% YES on $10.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $2.7K | $2.3K | +$405 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $407 | $2.0K | $1.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $57 | $531 | $474 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 44 | $2.0K | $265 | +$1.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $67 | $22 | +$45 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $685 | $385 | +$300 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $1.6K | $289 | +$1.3K |
| Median | 7 | $678 | $219 | +$459 |
| Below median | 18 | $86 | $145 | $59 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $204 | $3.3K | $3.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $334 | $467 | $133 |
| unranked | 37 | $1.6K | $336 | +$1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | Yes | +2,397 | $1,203 | $1,487 | 48 | 06-30 18:00 |
| Smart-Pathway 0x993c…6787 | No | +2,300 | $1,331 | $1,331 | 10 | 07-05 13:02 |
| Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | +1,784 | $743 | $1,725 | 54 | 07-06 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe624…e63b | Yes | +1,657 | $848 | $1,088 | 14 | 06-18 23:48 |
| Sane-Sprout 0xd2b8…8cf5 | Yes | +908 | $520 | $520 | 6 | 07-05 13:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x111f…af00 | Yes | +429 | $230 | $230 | 2 | 06-18 11:07 |
| Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | +426 | $241 | $249 | 18 | 07-08 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ac5…f35b | Yes | +387 | $174 | $174 | 1 | 07-04 06:26 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +359 | $206 | $206 | 24 | 07-10 10:09 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +354 | $152 | $152 | 27 | 07-10 10:08 |
| Watery-Fitness 0x5a56…adab | No | +352 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 07-06 02:00 |
| Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | +339 | $123 | $123 | 9 | 07-07 13:06 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +250 | $106 | $106 | 17 | 06-30 18:00 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +204 | $97 | $97 | 7 | 06-20 16:17 |
| Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843…b3d2 | Yes | +200 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 06-21 22:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +159 | $75 | $253 | 10 | 06-30 22:49 |
| Putrid-Vermicelli 0x3c44…f66f | No | +150 | $83 | $83 | 11 | 07-04 06:26 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | No | +150 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 07-03 07:51 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +138 | $63 | $142 | 17 | 06-30 23:13 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | +85 | $-8 | $483 | 24 | 07-06 03:43 |
| Cultivated-Objective 0x5939…7560 | Yes | +70 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-08 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +62 | $34 | $53 | 10 | 07-05 13:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +59 | $-2 | $996 | 168 | 07-10 10:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +55 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-20 13:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +51 | $20 | $59 | 13 | 07-06 02:00 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +47 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-17 19:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | +44 | $23 | $23 | 9 | 06-18 11:05 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +43 | $22 | $44 | 11 | 06-28 07:13 |
| Dim-Butane 0xb03e…1091 | No | +42 | $25 | $25 | 5 | 06-26 23:25 |
| Rapid-Accident 0xfd39…109d | Yes | +39 | $16 | $16 | 48 | 06-16 06:39 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +34 | $17 | $67 | 39 | 07-05 13:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | +33 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 07-07 20:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | +27 | $13 | $79 | 12 | 07-09 13:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | +18 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-10 10:08 |
| Admirable-Foal 0x45e8…2783 | No | +17 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 07-08 17:22 |
| Thoughtful-Greenhouse 0x9395…3a6c | No | +13 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-18 21:36 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-18 15:59 |
| Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-07 08:29 |
| Acrobatic-Baggage 0x5331…3672 | No | +10 | $5 | $29 | 3 | 06-26 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-25 21:40 |
| Daring-Speech 0x4eb8…9231 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-05 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-26 15:57 |
| 0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e 0xfb9d…d78e | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 02:46 |
| Thoughtful-Greenhouse 0x9395…3a6c | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-16 12:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $11 | 4 | 07-06 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-26 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-10 10:08 |
| Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | No | +5 | $1 | $17 | 37 | 06-17 20:36 |
| Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-09 05:11 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-05 13:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +4 | $2 | $21 | 10 | 06-17 14:05 |
| Attentive-Context 0x2698…2941 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $10 | 2 | 06-12 21:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 10:09:59 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x40dfcf… |
| 07-10 10:09:59 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x40dfcf… |
| 07-10 10:08:44 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 45¢ | $7 | 0xf23581… |
| 07-10 10:08:44 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xf23581… |
| 07-10 10:08:44 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xf23581… |
| 07-10 10:08:44 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xf23581… |
| 07-10 10:08:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 13 | 45¢ | $6 | 0x4df2be… |
| 07-10 10:08:43 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | BUY | 18 | 43¢ | $8 | 0x4df2be… |
| 07-10 10:08:43 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x4df2be… |
| 07-09 13:22:53 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x6b449a… |
| 07-09 13:22:53 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | SELL | 9 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x6b449a… |
| 07-09 13:22:53 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 4 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x6b449a… |
| 07-08 17:22:23 | Admirable-Foal 0x45e8…2783 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x11fc8b… |
| 07-08 17:22:23 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x11fc8b… |
| 07-07 20:13:02 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xad1bd2… |
| 07-07 20:13:02 | (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xad1bd2… |
| 07-07 13:06:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 16 | 33¢ | $5 | 0xba1a59… |
| 07-07 13:06:49 | (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | BUY | 14 | 66¢ | $9 | 0xba1a59… |
| 07-07 13:06:49 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0xba1a59… |
| 07-07 08:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x113f51… |
| 07-07 08:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | SELL | 9 | 67¢ | $6 | 0x113f51… |
| 07-07 08:29:34 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | SELL | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xc17ca8… |
| 07-07 08:29:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xc17ca8… |
| 07-07 08:29:34 | Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xc17ca8… |
| 07-07 08:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x784c9b… |
| 07-07 08:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | SELL | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x784c9b… |
| 07-07 08:16:35 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x5a86eb… |
| 07-07 08:16:35 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x5a86eb… |
| 07-06 12:36:41 | (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | BUY | 14 | 66¢ | $9 | 0x63681a… |
| 07-06 12:36:41 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x63681a… |
| 07-06 12:36:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 16 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x63681a… |
| 07-06 03:43:46 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 21 | 66¢ | $14 | 0xd12e28… |
| 07-06 03:43:46 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 21 | 66¢ | $14 | 0xd12e28… |
| 07-06 03:43:35 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0xed2769… |
| 07-06 03:43:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xed2769… |
| 07-06 03:43:35 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 13 | 67¢ | $9 | 0xed2769… |
| 07-06 02:00:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x208780… |
| 07-06 02:00:59 | (anonymous) 0xf129…1edc | No | SELL | 1 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x208780… |
| 07-06 02:00:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 67 | 30¢ | $20 | 0xa3e014… |
| 07-06 02:00:58 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xa3e014… |
| 07-06 02:00:58 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xa3e014… |
| 07-06 02:00:58 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 37¢ | $11 | 0xa3e014… |
| 07-06 02:00:58 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xa3e014… |
| 07-06 02:00:58 | Watery-Fitness 0x5a56…adab | No | BUY | 352 | 68¢ | $240 | 0xa3e014… |
| 07-06 02:00:58 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 155 | 70¢ | $109 | 0xa3e014… |
| 07-06 02:00:58 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | No | SELL | 9 | 70¢ | $6 | 0xa3e014… |
| 07-05 14:33:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x95c548… |
| 07-05 14:33:34 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x95c548… |
| 07-05 13:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 12 | 44¢ | $5 | 0xa3d8da… |
| 07-05 13:02:38 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xa3d8da… |
| 07-05 13:02:38 | Smart-Pathway 0x993c…6787 | No | BUY | 170 | 55¢ | $93 | 0xa3d8da… |
| 07-05 13:02:38 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xa3d8da… |
| 07-05 13:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 31 | 55¢ | $17 | 0xa3d8da… |
| 07-05 13:02:38 | Sane-Sprout 0xd2b8…8cf5 | Yes | BUY | 223 | 45¢ | $100 | 0xa3d8da… |
| 07-05 00:21:32 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xde3430… |
| 07-05 00:21:32 | Kindly-Noodles 0x8c68…219f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xde3430… |
| 07-05 00:21:32 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0xde3430… |
| 07-04 18:13:02 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x8bec77… |
| 07-04 18:13:02 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x8bec77… |
| 07-04 16:02:40 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 9 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x9c8d52… |
| 07-04 16:02:40 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0xca59e5… |
| 07-04 16:02:40 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 13 | 60¢ | $8 | 0xca59e5… |
| 07-04 16:02:40 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | BUY | 9 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x9c8d52… |
| 07-04 16:02:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 40¢ | $3 | 0xca59e5… |
| 07-04 16:02:38 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 9 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xe94dac… |
| 07-04 16:02:38 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x8c0be7… |
| 07-04 16:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | BUY | 9 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x819cd4… |
| 07-04 16:02:38 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 9 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x819cd4… |
| 07-04 16:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | BUY | 9 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xe94dac… |
| 07-04 16:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x8c0be7… |
| 07-04 16:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | BUY | 18 | 59¢ | $11 | 0x8c0be7… |
| 07-04 16:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 42¢ | $3 | 0xac2a2e… |
| 07-04 16:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x4d57…8620 | No | BUY | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0xac2a2e… |
| 07-04 06:26:20 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xfaf869… |
| 07-04 06:26:20 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 19 | 55¢ | $10 | 0xfaf869… |
| 07-04 06:26:20 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 12 | 44¢ | $5 | 0xfaf869… |
| 07-04 06:26:20 | Putrid-Vermicelli 0x3c44…f66f | No | BUY | 1 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xfaf869… |
| 07-04 06:26:20 | Smart-Pathway 0x993c…6787 | No | BUY | 330 | 55¢ | $182 | 0xfaf869… |
| 07-04 06:26:20 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0xfaf869… |
| 07-04 06:26:20 | (anonymous) 0x1ac5…f35b | Yes | BUY | 387 | 45¢ | $174 | 0xfaf869… |
| 07-03 07:51:25 | Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | No | BUY | 150 | 60¢ | $90 | 0xbc8399… |
| 07-03 07:51:25 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 150 | 60¢ | $90 | 0xbc8399… |
| 07-03 02:55:32 | Admirable-Foal 0x45e8…2783 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xa921a0… |
| 07-03 02:55:32 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xa921a0… |
| 07-02 05:52:56 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 13 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xf66900… |
| 07-02 05:52:56 | Putrid-Vermicelli 0x3c44…f66f | No | BUY | 19 | 59¢ | $11 | 0xf66900… |
| 07-02 05:52:56 | Putrid-Vermicelli 0x3c44…f66f | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x87216a… |
| 07-02 05:52:56 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xf66900… |
| 07-02 05:52:56 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x87216a… |
| 06-30 23:13:38 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x0ac24a… |
| 06-30 23:13:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x0ac24a… |
| 06-30 22:49:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xbeda3c… |
| 06-30 22:49:56 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 13 | 57¢ | $7 | 0xbeda3c… |
| 06-30 22:49:56 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 11 | 43¢ | $5 | 0xbeda3c… |
| 06-30 22:49:56 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 43¢ | $12 | 0xbeda3c… |
| 06-30 22:49:56 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 54 | 57¢ | $31 | 0xbeda3c… |
| 06-30 18:02:02 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 30 | 42¢ | $13 | 0xe589b0… |
| 06-30 18:02:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 58¢ | $17 | 0xe589b0… |
| 06-30 18:01:38 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 60 | 57¢ | $34 | 0x7603dd… |
| 06-30 18:01:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 43¢ | $13 | 0x7603dd… |