Our-Dough 0x38e59b…e795e7 Create alert
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$45.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.07K
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
3,068
Trades
69,247
lifetime
Volume
$4.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$157.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 09:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 255 days
Categories
Other
41% 51% +$52,611
Sports
32% 49% -$223,692
Politics
21% 49% +$123,459
Crypto
4% 46% +$3,315
Tech
1% 36% -$824
Pop-Culture
0% 69% -$339
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 514 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +42,611 $30,177 78¢ $33.4K +$3,272 11-02 03:19
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +19,353 $17,417 94¢ $18.1K +$677 10-28 00:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +20,000 $15,200 76¢ $15.1K -$100 11-03 06:41
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +12,456 $11,126 90¢ $11.1K +$22 11-03 09:27
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +17,572 $9,041 62¢ $11.0K +$1,942 11-02 00:55
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20,580 $1,666 40¢ $8.3K +$6,618 08-02 17:05
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +25,482 $7,245 26¢ $6.8K -$492 09-22 15:32
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +12,000 $5,400 54¢ $6.4K +$1,020 10-31 07:32
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +6,463 $3,361 74¢ $4.8K +$1,422 10-09 02:23
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +11,676 $2,885 30¢ $3.6K +$676 10-31 14:35
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $3,200 32¢ $3.2K +$50 10-31 06:59
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +5,373 $3,776 60¢ $3.2K -$579 09-22 16:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +53,982 $9,030 6¢ $3.0K -$6,061 08-06 00:36
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,320 $2,886 26¢ $2.7K -$151 07-07 02:59
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +46,818 $7,442 6¢ $2.6K -$4,867 08-09 21:07
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -2,870 -$2,181 76¢ $-2196 -$15 09-11 06:36
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +8,900 $4,386 24¢ $2.2K -$2,206 09-18 01:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +2,000 $1,990 99¢ $2.0K -$9 11-03 05:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,000 -$1,880 96¢ $-1929 -$49 07-23 13:05
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,858 $1,363 97¢ $1.8K +$434 08-07 01:29
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +4,720 $1,202 38¢ $1.8K +$592 09-03 02:38
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +1,857 $1,430 93¢ $1.7K +$301 09-13 04:43
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +2,157 $1,788 77¢ $1.7K -$127 09-22 01:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +6,000 $2,350 24¢ $1.5K -$880 09-22 12:18
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +7,903 $4,767 18¢ $1.4K -$3,384 08-08 01:28
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +1,359 $1,243 94¢ $1.3K +$41 08-13 02:03
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,070 $1,474 55¢ $1.1K -$342 07-19 22:31
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20,051 $3,225 6¢ $1.1K -$2,122 09-22 05:00
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +1,115 $927 98¢ $1.1K +$165 08-11 02:36
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -1,088 -$162 100¢ $-1085 -$923 08-14 00:39