Realized P&L
-$40.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.43K
Hit rate
68.2%
Resolved
3,538
Trades
69,316
lifetime
Volume
$4.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$76.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 19:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 259 days
Categories
Other
41% 50% +$46,674
Sports
31% 49% -$223,695
Politics
22% 50% +$134,692
Crypto
5% 46% +$3,315
Tech
1% 36% -$824
Pop-Culture
0% 69% -$339
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 260 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November? No +20,000 $19,714 99¢ $19.7K -$4 11-06 05:14
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20,580 $1,666 45¢ $9.3K +$7,626 08-02 17:05
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +6,000 $5,812 97¢ $5.8K +$14 11-06 19:45
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +6,463 $3,361 72¢ $4.7K +$1,325 10-09 02:23
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in November? No +3,734 $3,659 98¢ $3.7K +$16 11-06 04:07
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November? No +3,539 $3,425 97¢ $3.4K +$8 11-06 05:14
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -2,870 -$2,181 99¢ $-2846 -$665 09-11 06:36
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +5,426 $2,155 37¢ $2.0K -$147 08-05 03:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,000 -$1,880 98¢ $-1957 -$77 07-23 13:05
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No — +2,389 $1,996 79¢ $1.9K -$108 08-11 06:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,858 $1,363 98¢ $1.8K +$448 08-07 01:29
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +1,857 $1,430 93¢ $1.7K +$289 09-13 04:43
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +7,903 $4,767 21¢ $1.7K -$3,108 08-08 01:28
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +2,157 $1,788 75¢ $1.6K -$165 09-22 01:29
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +4,720 $1,202 32¢ $1.5K +$285 09-03 02:38
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +1,359 $1,243 96¢ $1.3K +$55 08-13 02:03
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +6,509 $2,513 20¢ $1.3K -$1,244 08-13 00:34
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +1,115 $927 98¢ $1.1K +$164 08-11 02:36
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,091 $1,073 99¢ $1.1K +$10 08-09 22:17
Discord IPO before 2027? No +1,142 $414 95¢ $1.1K +$666 06-15 07:22
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -1,035 -$805 88¢ $-911 -$105 07-15 00:18
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +890 $789 92¢ $817 +$28 09-23 03:20
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +808 $635 98¢ $791 +$156 06-24 06:42
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,070 $1,474 37¢ $772 -$702 07-19 22:31
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +825 $783 90¢ $739 -$44 05-01 07:14
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +4,808 $606 15¢ $697 +$91 11-06 05:45
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +693 $552 98¢ $681 +$129 08-05 02:38
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes +13,904 $3,353 5¢ $640 -$2,714 08-13 03:28
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +607 $587 98¢ $593 +$6 08-04 03:56
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? No +569 $368 100¢ $568 +$200 07-27 10:54