Our-Dough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$374

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

Trades

40,683

lifetime

Volume

$2.57M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

45% 82% +$602

Sports

32% 78% $-1,203

Politics

15% 75% +$228

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 375 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1,630	$92.9K	175,252	23,719	+151,533	open	—	01-31 05:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	580	$73.3K	96,360	95,352	+1,009	open	—	04-24 12:47
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	5	$58.3K	61,507	0	+61,507	open	—	03-29 19:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$49.8K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	04-09 00:19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	176	$47.4K	67,031	26,616	+40,415	open	—	04-12 23:09
will la mudanza be played first at the super bowl halftime show	60	$46.6K	52,146	0	+52,146	open	—	02-09 01:20
nba tor cle 2026 04 18	441	$45.1K	58,378	0	+58,378	open	—	04-18 19:26
fl1 psg met 2026 02 21 psg	4	$43.9K	50,977	0	+50,977	open	—	02-21 20:37
nba phi den 2026 03 17	6	$42.8K	47,353	0	+47,353	open	—	03-18 03:01
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	246	$34.7K	66,323	5,485	+60,838	open	—	02-28 02:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	122	$34.7K	17,950	17,773	+177	open	—	04-16 05:01
nba nyk den 2026 03 06	56	$33.0K	40,768	0	+40,768	open	—	03-07 04:03
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	193	$32.3K	35,000	26,190	+8,810	open	—	04-22 01:23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	438	$32.0K	46,808	21,921	+24,887	open	—	02-19 05:40
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	357	$30.9K	98,389	330	+98,059	open	—	02-09 01:14
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	34	$30.4K	36,216	0	+36,216	Timberwolves	$-4,150	05-05 04:06
atp djokovi draper 2026 03 10	14	$29.1K	36,061	0	+36,061	open	—	03-12 03:20
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	744	$27.7K	71,238	20,109	+51,130	open	—	01-29 08:40
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	113	$23.4K	18,294	9,502	+8,792	open	—	02-27 01:41
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	15	$23.4K	24,338	0	+24,338	open	—	04-19 02:54
nba gsw nyk 2026 03 15	1	$22.4K	26,870	0	+26,870	open	—	03-16 00:34
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	284	$21.4K	19,241	9,977	+9,264	open	—	02-02 06:06
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	227	$21.3K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-27 17:53
Hawks vs. Knicks	25	$19.2K	22,633	0	+22,633	open	—	04-29 00:49
nba nyk cha 2026 03 26	10	$19.2K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	03-27 00:58
nba okc was 2026 03 21	1	$19.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	03-21 18:04
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	7	$19.0K	20,696	0	+20,696	open	—	03-09 06:24
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	468	$18.8K	29,340	7,538	+21,802	open	—	02-05 13:03
nba gsw den 2026 03 29	1	$18.7K	22,000	0	+22,000	open	—	03-29 23:29
nba phx tor 2026 03 13	41	$18.2K	28,396	0	+28,396	open	—	03-13 23:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 04:30:30	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	99	23¢	$23	0xa85961…
08-10 03:37:30	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	79	24¢	$19	0xe74da5…
08-10 03:30:19	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x93bf0a…
08-10 03:20:12	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x34e851…
08-10 03:17:37	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0xc00357…
08-10 03:17:00	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x738445…
08-10 03:11:43	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x94e8e7…
08-10 03:10:27	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x3906e5…
08-10 03:09:06	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x99a77b…
08-10 02:09:19	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x12b286…
08-10 01:12:16	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x58d73d…
08-10 01:07:06	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf924e1…
08-10 01:05:01	will carmela conroy advance to the general election for wa 05 20260708200738453	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x8a3329…
08-10 01:02:31	will nate powell advance to the general election for wa 05 20260708200738457	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xd503fe…
08-10 01:02:19	will nate powell advance to the general election for wa 05 20260708200738457	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x916b93…
08-10 00:50:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	21¢	$18	0x7cbc40…
08-10 00:50:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	21¢	$21	0x676674…
08-10 00:50:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	21¢	$7	0x6fb0e9…
08-10 00:50:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	21¢	$31	0xcfa23d…
08-10 00:48:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	21¢	$18	0x8749d4…
08-10 00:48:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x8f75fd…
08-10 00:48:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	21¢	$18	0x411374…
08-10 00:48:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	21¢	$22	0x8782d2…
08-10 00:48:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	21¢	$20	0xb16735…
08-10 00:48:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	21¢	$7	0x75b52b…
08-10 00:48:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	21¢	$13	0x3e575e…
08-10 00:48:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	21¢	$26	0xaec25b…
08-10 00:41:34	will sebastian stan be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0xb0d33c…
08-10 00:39:48	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd71034…
08-10 00:35:25	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xbfc0b0…
08-10 00:32:19	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7f3cb9…
08-10 00:31:33	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0xd3a7c8…
08-10 00:31:21	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0d9685…
08-10 00:09:28	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x44ef6b…
08-10 00:09:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x207b3c…
08-10 00:08:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3b45ae…
08-10 00:08:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	21¢	$32	0xe0df6a…
08-10 00:08:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	21¢	$7	0xd2e3b2…
08-10 00:07:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	21¢	$7	0x316942…
08-10 00:07:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	21¢	$6	0x387057…
08-10 00:07:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x17e42c…
08-10 00:07:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xde240a…
08-10 00:07:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x2a750b…
08-10 00:07:36	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x82aab4…
08-10 00:07:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	21¢	$22	0xf25a70…
08-10 00:07:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x005417…
08-10 00:07:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	21¢	$7	0x04c244…
08-10 00:07:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	21¢	$17	0xf7afc9…
08-10 00:07:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	21¢	$28	0x3864ac…
08-10 00:07:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	21¢	$24	0x8c6e76…
08-10 00:07:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	21¢	$12	0xabe669…
08-10 00:07:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	429	21¢	$90	0xbf179b…
08-10 00:01:45	Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	147	95¢	$140	0xef1cf9…
08-09 23:59:39	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0x9fc00f…
08-09 23:15:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	21¢	$14	0x70c7fe…
08-09 23:08:18	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0x153841…
08-09 22:40:42	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xaed26a…
08-09 22:24:04	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xd3ea3f…
08-09 21:55:07	will sebastian stan be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xddfcda…
08-09 21:46:39	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	27	16¢	$4	0x1426cb…
08-09 20:22:42	Will the Phoenix Mercury make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xe486e4…
08-09 20:22:18	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe7b6bd…
08-09 20:07:16	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xb2fe1d…
08-09 20:06:54	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x499248…
08-09 20:06:51	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x411f37…
08-09 20:06:45	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	99	8¢	$8	0xbc632e…
08-09 18:47:48	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	No	BUY	54	39¢	$21	0x1602fd…
08-09 18:03:01	Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0x8a9311…
08-09 17:33:55	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	29	46¢	$13	0x320897…
08-09 17:29:37	Will the Phoenix Mercury make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x6eb705…
08-09 17:29:34	Will the Phoenix Mercury make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x15ad7b…
08-09 17:11:48	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x62cc8a…
08-09 16:52:19	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	69	85¢	$58	0x3a65d2…
08-09 16:00:18	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xf26dc0…
08-09 14:52:51	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x740fe4…
08-09 14:49:27	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	46	27¢	$12	0x321635…
08-09 14:49:24	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0xff1723…
08-09 14:20:40	Will the Phoenix Mercury make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xd79029…
08-09 12:55:46	Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xe6b59d…
08-09 12:21:28	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	14¢	$6	0x1915c0…
08-09 12:02:22	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x6a3aa4…
08-09 12:01:43	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x5bc2a8…
08-09 11:13:06	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x9c3d86…
08-09 11:13:04	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xa98d3c…
08-09 11:12:58	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	228	17¢	$39	0x96d979…
08-09 11:12:57	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0xd3d2de…
08-09 11:12:52	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x02f6d7…
08-09 11:12:45	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	56	17¢	$10	0x0eddd3…
08-09 11:11:55	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0f511b…
08-09 11:08:49	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x29f029…
08-09 11:05:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x9bfd0f…
08-09 11:04:43	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x97e6a1…
08-09 11:04:40	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	41	18¢	$7	0x674e79…
08-09 11:04:24	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	34	18¢	$6	0xead43b…
08-09 11:03:01	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x7f1869…
08-09 11:02:46	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	238	18¢	$43	0x69afe4…
08-09 11:01:55	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x0c508b…
08-09 11:00:48	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x27991d…
08-09 11:00:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x25df65…
08-09 08:40:01	Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x3df1bf…