Our-Dough 0x38e59b…e795e7
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$374
Unrealized P&L
-$1.95K
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved
34
Trades
39,736
lifetime
Volume
$2.56M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$12.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 02:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
45% 82% +$602
Sports
32% 78% $-1,203
Politics
15% 75% +$228
Crypto
7% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 375 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -1,496 $-1,423 95¢ $-1420 +$3 07-08 10:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +4,468 $2,195 30¢ $1.4K $-833 07-04 10:57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +3,400 $1,438 38¢ $1.3K $-163 07-19 20:53
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,439 $1,040 84¢ $1.2K +$169 07-08 02:45
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +2,146 $1,051 40¢ $858 $-192 07-12 11:05
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? No -842 $-799 95¢ $-799 +$0 06-17 00:41
Discord IPO before 2027? No +757 $287 68¢ $516 +$228 06-15 07:22
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +550 $435 92¢ $506 +$71 06-24 06:42
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -1,104 $-492 34¢ $-370 +$123 06-18 11:02
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1,779 $470 20¢ $365 $-105 07-18 02:38
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +13,345 $1,814 2¢ $320 $-1,494 07-19 04:14
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -349 $-286 80¢ $-277 +$8 06-24 01:18
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1,116 $289 22¢ $251 $-38 07-19 04:15
Rippling IPO before 2027? No +275 $230 86¢ $238 +$8 06-19 03:19
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +853 $249 26¢ $218 $-31 07-14 01:20
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +2,025 $255 10¢ $202 $-52 07-20 01:22
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +211 $180 88¢ $187 +$7 06-07 23:39
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +873 $140 20¢ $179 +$39 07-18 04:31
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -727 $-246 24¢ $-171 +$76 07-16 02:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -1,466 $-256 11¢ $-154 +$102 07-11 00:17
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -1,121 $-168 14¢ $-151 +$17 07-19 06:04
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +160 $135 90¢ $145 +$10 06-22 14:59
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -779 $-252 18¢ $-144 +$108 07-19 17:56
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? Yes +891 $157 16¢ $143 $-15 07-16 04:33
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -188 $-141 70¢ $-133 +$8 07-15 00:18
Glean IPO before 2027? No +144 $120 90¢ $130 +$10 06-18 15:25
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? No +433 $193 30¢ $128 $-66 06-13 10:14
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +133 $77 92¢ $122 +$45 06-17 14:19
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +127 $104 92¢ $116 +$12 06-17 15:24
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No -115 $-102 90¢ $-103 $-1 06-25 21:30