Our-Dough 0x38e59b…e795e7
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$374
Unrealized P&L
-$854
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved
34
Trades
38,103
lifetime
Volume
$2.48M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$16.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
44% 82% +$602
Sports
32% 78% $-1,203
Politics
15% 75% +$228
Crypto
7% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 676 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -2,020 $-2,010 100¢ $-2018 $-8 06-16 04:58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +4,461 $2,193 42¢ $1.9K $-297 06-23 12:51
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -1,600 $-1,591 100¢ $-1599 $-8 06-16 05:33
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1,492 $1,088 86¢ $1.3K +$196 06-26 07:48
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? No -1,265 $-1,261 100¢ $-1264 $-3 06-16 04:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2,400 $1,066 48¢ $1.1K +$74 06-24 08:53
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +1,603 $797 71¢ $1.1K +$341 06-25 16:24
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3,225 $786 28¢ $887 +$101 06-24 11:03
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? No -842 $-799 92¢ $-777 +$22 06-17 00:41
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -1,104 $-492 42¢ $-464 +$29 06-18 11:02
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +550 $435 82¢ $454 +$19 06-24 06:42
Discord IPO before 2027? No +757 $287 44¢ $330 +$43 06-15 07:22
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +17,405 $1,884 2¢ $313 $-1,570 06-29 14:17
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -349 $-286 84¢ $-295 $-9 06-24 01:18
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +300 $265 94¢ $282 +$16 06-14 17:35
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +3,951 $257 6¢ $243 $-14 06-30 15:06
Rippling IPO before 2027? No +275 $230 88¢ $242 +$12 06-19 03:19
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -794 $-261 25¢ $-198 +$62 06-22 15:21
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +211 $180 89¢ $188 +$8 06-07 23:39
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +599 $183 30¢ $180 $-3 06-17 00:44
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1,501 $197 11¢ $165 $-32 06-12 11:26
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -410 $-164 38¢ $-158 +$6 06-22 22:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -1,458 $-255 11¢ $-153 +$102 06-24 03:50
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? No +433 $193 34¢ $147 $-46 06-13 10:14
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +160 $135 88¢ $142 +$7 06-22 14:59
Glean IPO before 2027? No +144 $120 86¢ $125 +$4 06-18 15:25
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +127 $104 90¢ $114 +$10 06-17 15:24
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +133 $77 82¢ $108 +$32 06-17 14:19
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No -115 $-102 89¢ $-102 $-0 06-25 21:30
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +175 $47 58¢ $102 +$55 06-30 18:01