Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$346,800
$576 in 24h
Trades
2,309
Unique wallets
590
Liquidity
$33,138
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-19 16:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.6¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $22.4K
vs crowd: 9% YES on $221.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 40 | $551 | $69.0K | $68.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 55 | $5.8K | $50.7K | $44.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 168 | $8.5K | $72.7K | $64.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 327 | $5.8K | $8.7K | $2.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $828 | $21.6K | $20.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 24 | $323 | $34.7K | $34.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 22 | $138 | $2.9K | $2.8K |
| Median | 89 | $634 | $5.5K | $4.9K |
| Below median | 167 | $248 | $8.2K | $7.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 15 | $2.4K | $3.6K | $1.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $5 | $7.2K | $7.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 14 | $678 | $19.1K | $18.4K |
| unranked | 235 | $15.4K | $98.3K | $82.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aged-Tortoise 0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | +53,708 | $2,819 | $2,819 | 10 | 08-13 09:59 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +26,908 | $25,206 | $33,452 | 89 | 08-19 03:55 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +12,000 | $10,728 | $10,728 | 4 | 06-05 16:01 |
| Energetic-Producer 0x5eb0…5012 | Yes | +10,664 | $2,166 | $6,474 | 41 | 07-18 01:30 |
| Avaricious-Summary 0x363c…9b0e | Yes | +8,741 | $524 | $524 | 1 | 07-19 22:21 |
| Tempting-Sneeze 0x5e07…93f1 | No | +8,025 | $7,481 | $10,714 | 38 | 08-19 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x97fa…f9b0 | No | +7,399 | $6,659 | $6,659 | 1 | 06-04 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c0c…d6ed | No | +7,367 | $6,704 | $6,704 | 3 | 06-18 10:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x353a…7b82 | No | +5,679 | $5,054 | $5,054 | 1 | 06-05 13:21 |
| Favorable-Motion 0x152f…a549 | Yes | +5,455 | $600 | $600 | 1 | 06-05 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x49ac…9aee | No | +5,237 | $4,661 | $4,661 | 1 | 06-05 13:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | +5,000 | $4,700 | $4,700 | 3 | 07-26 20:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x27b3…01bb | No | +5,000 | $4,750 | $4,750 | 2 | 07-07 06:57 |
| Lasting-Dessert 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | +5,000 | $4,750 | $4,750 | 1 | 08-13 02:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x9181…71ec | Yes | +4,566 | $514 | $514 | 4 | 06-05 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x26aa…5054 | No | +4,207 | $3,745 | $3,745 | 2 | 06-05 12:59 |
| Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | +3,993 | $3,574 | $3,574 | 2 | 06-10 10:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe58f…75a4 | No | +3,900 | $3,510 | $3,510 | 1 | 06-07 07:22 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +3,545 | $3,321 | $3,321 | 14 | 08-10 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xe144…fa7c | Yes | +3,314 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-21 21:58 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +3,262 | $2,995 | $2,995 | 114 | 08-18 16:41 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +3,225 | $262 | $262 | 53 | 08-14 05:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2468…4826 | Yes | +3,224 | $299 | $299 | 4 | 07-11 10:16 |
| Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | +3,191 | $3,019 | $3,019 | 22 | 08-13 09:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bc6…420d | No | +3,158 | $3,000 | $3,000 | 1 | 08-14 05:07 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +3,000 | $330 | $330 | 1 | 06-07 22:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | +3,000 | $2,820 | $2,820 | 1 | 08-13 09:59 |
| Stale-Cartilage 0xbd5c…8408 | Yes | +2,983 | $179 | $221 | 2 | 07-02 19:28 |
| Common-Love 0x00ff…f7ad | No | +2,926 | $2,629 | $2,629 | 6 | 06-20 07:39 |
| Dirty-Disclosure 0xab16…d5dc | Yes | +2,924 | $309 | $309 | 3 | 06-12 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d65…9ad4 | No | +2,780 | $2,474 | $2,474 | 1 | 06-05 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +2,697 | $157 | $253 | 36 | 07-19 22:21 |
| Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | +2,666 | $133 | $133 | 1 | 08-19 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a3c…5089 | Yes | +2,217 | $230 | $230 | 4 | 06-12 16:23 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | +2,000 | $1,868 | $1,868 | 7 | 08-13 09:59 |
| Intrepid-Holder 0x4f31…efa3 | No | +1,996 | $1,857 | $1,857 | 1 | 06-30 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cfe…3232 | No | +1,715 | $1,526 | $1,526 | 1 | 06-04 05:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf80e…2af8 | Yes | +1,300 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 08-16 16:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +1,240 | $1,102 | $1,102 | 5 | 06-07 22:41 |
| Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | +1,200 | $1,144 | $1,144 | 5 | 07-13 14:15 |
| Inconsequential-Peanut 0xfa28…bf30 | No | +1,099 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-14 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e6c…e358 | No | +1,042 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-14 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x1741…f702 | Yes | +1,000 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-18 16:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +1,000 | $890 | $890 | 1 | 06-05 16:21 |
| Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | +1,000 | $960 | $960 | 1 | 08-19 03:55 |
| Fragrant-Toot 0xf89c…464d | No | +1,000 | $930 | $930 | 1 | 06-29 17:52 |
| Wrathful-Scarification 0x730a…51a0 | Yes | +1,000 | $90 | $330 | 4 | 06-05 16:03 |
| Instructive-Faculty 0xf0f3…985a | Yes | +917 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 07-03 08:53 |
| Notable-Gopher 0x0b39…a8c1 | Yes | +833 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-03 08:52 |
| Long-Morning 0xb395…3a1f | Yes | +800 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-03 08:53 |
| Modern-Vase-Questionnaire 0xc6e4…3267 | Yes | +650 | $32 | $32 | 4 | 07-07 05:49 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +547 | $42 | $413 | 101 | 08-13 02:10 |
| Naughty-Bubble 0x2f5e…e184 | Yes | +469 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-08 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x7fd9…1fd8 | Yes | +432 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-01 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6c0…b1cc | Yes | +400 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-14 20:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 16:04:15 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xcfdea8… |
| 08-19 16:04:15 | Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | BUY | 2,666 | 5¢ | $133 | 0xcfdea8… |
| 08-19 16:04:15 | Tempting-Sneeze 0x5e07…93f1 | No | BUY | 1,390 | 95¢ | $1,320 | 0xcfdea8… |
| 08-19 16:04:15 | Chilly-Siding 0xcfde…4006 | Yes | SELL | 460 | 5¢ | $23 | 0xcfdea8… |
| 08-19 16:04:15 | (anonymous) 0x3876…4802 | No | BUY | 114 | 95¢ | $109 | 0xcfdea8… |
| 08-19 16:04:15 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | BUY | 500 | 95¢ | $475 | 0xcfdea8… |
| 08-19 16:04:15 | (anonymous) 0x82a0…33a1 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xcfdea8… |
| 08-19 03:55:13 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 96¢ | $960 | 0x02ed89… |
| 08-19 03:55:13 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 96¢ | $960 | 0x02ed89… |
| 08-18 16:41:10 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x6197d9… |
| 08-18 16:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x1741…f702 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 5¢ | $50 | 0x6197d9… |
| 08-18 16:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x3876…4802 | No | BUY | 138 | 95¢ | $131 | 0x6197d9… |
| 08-18 16:41:10 | Tempting-Sneeze 0x5e07…93f1 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x6197d9… |
| 08-18 16:41:10 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x6197d9… |
| 08-18 16:41:10 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 500 | 95¢ | $475 | 0x6197d9… |
| 08-18 08:36:51 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x234d50… |
| 08-18 08:36:51 | (anonymous) 0x3ead…d177 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x234d50… |
| 08-17 20:09:37 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x3498f0… |
| 08-17 20:09:37 | (anonymous) 0x75fd…7265 | No | BUY | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x3498f0… |
| 08-17 08:37:54 | (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x6c2e24… |
| 08-17 08:37:54 | Quirky-Kohlrabi 0x9011…03a9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x6c2e24… |
| 08-16 16:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xa80eec… |
| 08-16 16:24:01 | (anonymous) 0xf80e…2af8 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xa80eec… |
| 08-15 21:37:21 | (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | BUY | 60 | 95¢ | $57 | 0x517fec… |
| 08-15 21:37:21 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x517fec… |
| 08-15 15:37:58 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x9f8d59… |
| 08-15 15:37:58 | (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x9f8d59… |
| 08-15 15:17:13 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x88899a… |
| 08-15 15:17:13 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x88899a… |
| 08-14 12:42:36 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf5b2b8… |
| 08-14 12:42:36 | (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | BUY | 27 | 95¢ | $26 | 0xf5b2b8… |
| 08-14 12:36:21 | (anonymous) 0x3876…4802 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x2fcbcc… |
| 08-14 12:36:21 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | SELL | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x2fcbcc… |
| 08-14 12:36:21 | (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | BUY | 271 | 95¢ | $257 | 0x2fcbcc… |
| 08-14 10:27:06 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | SELL | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x667b0c… |
| 08-14 10:27:06 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x667b0c… |
| 08-14 08:56:30 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xaaf3f7… |
| 08-14 08:56:30 | (anonymous) 0x9977…78ae | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xaaf3f7… |
| 08-14 08:55:13 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | SELL | 41 | 95¢ | $39 | 0x0a901e… |
| 08-14 08:55:13 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 124 | 96¢ | $119 | 0x0a901e… |
| 08-14 08:55:13 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0a901e… |
| 08-14 08:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | SELL | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0x0a901e… |
| 08-14 08:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x9977…78ae | No | BUY | 209 | 96¢ | $200 | 0x0a901e… |
| 08-14 05:07:16 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6d2370… |
| 08-14 05:07:16 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x6d2370… |
| 08-14 05:07:16 | (anonymous) 0x5bc6…420d | No | BUY | 3,158 | 95¢ | $3,000 | 0x6d2370… |
| 08-14 05:07:16 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | SELL | 1,959 | 95¢ | $1,861 | 0x6d2370… |
| 08-14 05:07:16 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | SELL | 1,000 | 95¢ | $950 | 0x6d2370… |
| 08-13 17:28:42 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xcb99cf… |
| 08-13 17:28:42 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xcb99cf… |
| 08-13 17:16:00 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x039d55… |
| 08-13 17:16:00 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x039d55… |
| 08-13 17:09:45 | (anonymous) 0x3f63…2dbd | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x68c8aa… |
| 08-13 17:09:45 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x68c8aa… |
| 08-13 10:03:28 | (anonymous) 0xca76…c885 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x493f7e… |
| 08-13 10:03:28 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | BUY | 24 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x493f7e… |
| 08-13 09:59:27 | Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | BUY | 847 | 94¢ | $796 | 0xae8537… |
| 08-13 09:59:27 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 94¢ | $1,880 | 0xae8537… |
| 08-13 09:59:27 | Aged-Tortoise 0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | BUY | 7,599 | 6¢ | $456 | 0xae8537… |
| 08-13 09:59:27 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 94¢ | $940 | 0xae8537… |
| 08-13 09:59:27 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | BUY | 752 | 94¢ | $706 | 0xae8537… |
| 08-13 09:59:27 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 94¢ | $2,820 | 0xae8537… |
| 08-13 02:10:43 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | BUY | 31 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xeb2e97… |
| 08-13 02:10:43 | (anonymous) 0x771a…3659 | No | SELL | 6,329 | 95¢ | $6,008 | 0xeb2e97… |
| 08-13 02:10:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 73 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xeb2e97… |
| 08-13 02:10:43 | Lasting-Dessert 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 95¢ | $4,750 | 0xeb2e97… |
| 08-13 02:10:43 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xeb2e97… |
| 08-13 02:10:43 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | BUY | 248 | 94¢ | $234 | 0xeb2e97… |
| 08-13 02:10:43 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 796 | 95¢ | $756 | 0xeb2e97… |
| 08-12 20:54:49 | (anonymous) 0x82a0…33a1 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x04dad0… |
| 08-12 20:54:49 | (anonymous) 0x9c6f…d2cb | No | BUY | 41 | 95¢ | $39 | 0x04dad0… |
| 08-12 20:54:49 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 1,204 | 95¢ | $1,144 | 0x04dad0… |
| 08-12 20:54:49 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x04dad0… |
| 08-12 20:54:49 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | SELL | 1,400 | 95¢ | $1,330 | 0x04dad0… |
| 08-12 06:03:10 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xdec86e… |
| 08-12 06:03:10 | (anonymous) 0x9c6f…d2cb | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xdec86e… |
| 08-11 12:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x9c6f…d2cb | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xe05ecb… |
| 08-11 12:14:51 | Free-Condition 0x16ad…8bec | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xe05ecb… |
| 08-11 06:12:31 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xe017c1… |
| 08-11 06:12:31 | Free-Condition 0x16ad…8bec | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xe017c1… |
| 08-10 17:30:10 | (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | SELL | 182 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x7f19f2… |
| 08-10 17:30:10 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 182 | 96¢ | $175 | 0x7f19f2… |
| 08-10 14:11:06 | (anonymous) 0x2902…f315 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x269afd… |
| 08-10 14:11:06 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x269afd… |
| 08-10 13:29:15 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x761ee8… |
| 08-10 13:29:15 | (anonymous) 0x93ea…de35 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x761ee8… |
| 08-10 09:06:18 | (anonymous) 0x2902…f315 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x8129bf… |
| 08-10 09:06:18 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x8129bf… |
| 08-09 15:07:33 | Homely-Fairness 0x69c2…4025 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x6308e7… |
| 08-09 15:07:33 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x6308e7… |
| 08-09 12:27:37 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 301 | 95¢ | $286 | 0xaaeb78… |
| 08-09 12:27:37 | (anonymous) 0xe542…5171 | Yes | BUY | 301 | 5¢ | $15 | 0xaaeb78… |
| 08-09 08:43:37 | Exciting-Bacon 0x8e38…1a4a | Yes | SELL | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x069af2… |
| 08-09 08:43:37 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 33 | 96¢ | $32 | 0x069af2… |
| 08-09 07:07:15 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x9db242… |
| 08-09 07:07:15 | Homely-Fairness 0x69c2…4025 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x9db242… |
| 08-09 01:51:21 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 1,200 | 95¢ | $1,140 | 0x71dd11… |
| 08-09 01:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xf80e…2af8 | Yes | BUY | 1,200 | 5¢ | $60 | 0x71dd11… |
| 08-07 17:33:46 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 115 | 95¢ | $109 | 0xb04de5… |
| 08-07 17:33:46 | Sparkling-Self 0xf257…3ed5 | No | SELL | 115 | 95¢ | $109 | 0xb04de5… |