Realized P&L
+$10
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
70.9%
Resolved
12
Trades
976
lifetime
Volume
$8.12K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$233
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-20 05:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
43% 100% +$12
Crypto
26%
Other
25% 100% +$0
Sports
5% 38% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +72 $58 90¢ $65 +$8 06-20 05:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -56 $-51 86¢ $-49 +$2 06-19 20:08
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-24 98¢ $-25 $-0 06-19 08:14
Trump out as President by June 30? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 06-20 01:02
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -17 $-16 99¢ $-17 $-0 05-30 13:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 $-0 06-19 23:19
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +19 $19 76¢ $14 $-5 06-20 04:14
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +26 $12 34¢ $9 $-3 06-18 17:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$1 06-18 06:11
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-18 18:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -45 $-15 10¢ $-4 +$10 05-31 15:03
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $-0 92¢ $1 +$1 06-20 03:38