Sizzling-Makeover 0x2a7538…307d66
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$287
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved
491
Trades
6,318
lifetime
Volume
$45.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$711
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-26 22:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Other
33% 66% -$53
Politics
32% 65% -$85
Crypto
17% 73% -$46
Sports
15% 42% -$117
Tech
4% 100% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +87 $69 94¢ $81 +$11 10-26 14:54
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +168 $15 34¢ $57 +$42 10-26 00:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +74 $53 72¢ $53 $0 10-26 20:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +55 $42 80¢ $44 +$3 10-21 19:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +44 $36 92¢ $40 +$4 10-03 00:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +36 $34 94¢ $34 $0 10-26 14:58
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +84 $34 38¢ $31 -$3 10-26 00:11
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $25 31¢ $31 +$6 10-26 13:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +28 $27 98¢ $27 +$1 10-03 14:39
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +25 $22 88¢ $22 $0 10-26 03:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 10-01 07:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 10-20 23:38
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +31 $20 64¢ $20 +$0 10-26 10:00
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +22 $21 90¢ $20 $0 10-26 07:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +22 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 10-23 07:56
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 $0 10-26 05:13
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $15 74¢ $14 -$1 10-03 06:47
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +14 $14 99¢ $14 +$0 10-01 14:52
Trump out as President before 2027? No +14 $13 96¢ $14 +$1 10-26 02:25
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +21 $13 64¢ $14 +$0 10-26 03:55
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +14 $13 98¢ $14 +$0 10-26 05:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +14 $14 96¢ $13 $0 10-26 04:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +14 $13 92¢ $13 +$0 10-25 18:50
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +14 $13 93¢ $13 $0 10-26 15:17
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 75¢ $12 -$3 10-21 20:02
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +11 $11 98¢ $11 +$0 09-16 20:56
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +11 $11 97¢ $11 +$0 09-13 17:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $11 97¢ $11 +$0 09-24 14:31
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +20 $8 37¢ $8 -$1 10-26 12:29
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +14 $8 55¢ $7 $0 10-22 14:05