AI bubble burst in 2026?
open
Total volume
$52,925
$178 in 24h
Trades
1,382
Unique wallets
326
Liquidity
$11,788
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-06 21:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.9¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $3.5K
vs crowd: 12% YES on $28.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $350 | $6.7K | $6.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 40 | $288 | $6.5K | $6.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 65 | $932 | $5.8K | $4.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 201 | $2.0K | $6.3K | $4.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $128 | $3.4K | $3.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $23 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | $298 | $643 | $345 |
| Median | 25 | $48 | $900 | $852 |
| Below median | 42 | $144 | $2.9K | $2.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 16 | $137 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $412 | $2.0K | $1.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $355 | $1.2K | $810 |
| unranked | 187 | $2.1K | $11.5K | $9.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | +3,214 | $2,591 | $2,591 | 17 | 07-02 01:11 |
| Gregarious-Return 0x7c30…7673 | No | +2,267 | $1,777 | $1,777 | 22 | 06-28 21:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b01…9a1d | Yes | +1,960 | $486 | $486 | 2 | 05-28 04:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +1,340 | $1,137 | $1,137 | 1 | 07-06 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xaddb…4f44 | No | +1,262 | $1,060 | $1,060 | 1 | 07-03 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3da…4b5e | No | +1,250 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-04 15:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd2b…a330 | Yes | +1,215 | $311 | $311 | 4 | 06-20 12:45 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +999 | $751 | $1,217 | 23 | 07-03 22:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbde…a857 | No | +764 | $578 | $578 | 10 | 06-12 12:03 |
| Uneven-Neighborhood 0xc81c…e454 | No | +760 | $580 | $580 | 9 | 06-09 16:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5efe…5f55 | No | +758 | $619 | $619 | 17 | 07-04 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6d1…32b8 | No | +703 | $528 | $528 | 1 | 05-28 04:07 |
| Separate-Conga 0x2f4e…3d8d | No | +649 | $526 | $526 | 1 | 07-01 19:53 |
| Webbed-Edible 0x5be9…9106 | Yes | +628 | $145 | $145 | 1 | 06-07 18:56 |
| Odd-Deformation 0x7609…6c4e | No | +566 | $440 | $440 | 6 | 06-17 02:39 |
| Bland-Metronome 0x0325…16e7 | No | +559 | $451 | $451 | 1 | 06-21 17:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc89a…368c | Yes | +505 | $112 | $112 | 1 | 06-05 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x1bdf…1b74 | No | +500 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 06-28 12:34 |
| Chubby-Trust 0xa0e9…1f00 | Yes | +498 | $103 | $103 | 4 | 06-22 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x141e…cc5b | Yes | +496 | $126 | $126 | 2 | 06-06 04:36 |
| k166 0xfb58…f176 | No | +489 | $394 | $394 | 4 | 07-01 17:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdea…1c07 | Yes | +455 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 17:06 |
| Wet-Clam 0x3606…4e08 | No | +432 | $326 | $326 | 6 | 06-02 13:12 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +368 | $268 | $268 | 2 | 05-29 20:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c69…27ce | Yes | +300 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-13 12:19 |
| Academic-Inspection 0xd024…527e | Yes | +300 | $62 | $62 | 5 | 06-13 12:19 |
| Far-Off-Thunderbolt 0x93ed…7eaa | Yes | +270 | $60 | $60 | 11 | 06-09 20:29 |
| Far-Off-Thunderbolt 0x93ed…7eaa | No | +270 | $210 | $210 | 13 | 06-08 21:52 |
| Positive-Negligee 0xb93e…195e | Yes | +258 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-01 15:16 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +238 | $198 | $198 | 2 | 07-05 16:06 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +237 | $55 | $55 | 13 | 06-18 22:56 |
| Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | +228 | $139 | $1,812 | 34 | 06-25 05:56 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +221 | $166 | $166 | 16 | 06-11 04:38 |
| Political-Clarinet 0x0b0c…79a3 | Yes | +219 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-30 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4940…e353 | Yes | +200 | $41 | $41 | 4 | 06-29 21:54 |
| Academic-Inspection 0xd024…527e | No | +200 | $156 | $156 | 2 | 06-05 01:12 |
| Turbulent-Notepad 0xd555…e28a | No | +200 | $151 | $151 | 1 | 05-28 12:42 |
| Rosy-Ghost 0x3eb8…7b06 | Yes | +200 | $31 | $31 | 5 | 07-03 22:59 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +192 | $162 | $162 | 6 | 07-06 21:09 |
| Illustrious-Platelet 0x50a0…440c | Yes | +185 | $43 | $43 | 8 | 06-22 22:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d76…06ec | Yes | +181 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 07-02 23:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | No | +168 | $130 | $130 | 3 | 06-19 13:14 |
| Peppery-Chateau 0x5e35…bff7 | Yes | +168 | $38 | $62 | 2 | 06-07 08:36 |
| Ethical-Geometry 0x31d0…7f0f | No | +161 | $124 | $124 | 1 | 06-03 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b49…2e46 | No | +157 | $129 | $129 | 1 | 07-02 23:39 |
| Admired-Map 0x791d…d914 | Yes | +143 | $25 | $25 | 6 | 07-03 05:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf08f…8840 | Yes | +140 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-28 14:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x0aec…883f | No | +138 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 06-28 19:29 |
| Awful-Inheritance 0x4e57…f99f | No | +132 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-02 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x685d…1f17 | No | +128 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-07 22:52 |
| Whole-Mustard 0xe334…b195 | Yes | +109 | $26 | $26 | 4 | 06-27 10:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ee7…cadf | Yes | +107 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-25 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ccb…57b7 | Yes | +100 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-28 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe6c7…2ddf | Yes | +97 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-25 18:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 21:09:07 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 83 | 85¢ | $71 | 0xa668c3… |
| 07-06 21:09:07 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 15¢ | $13 | 0xa668c3… |
| 07-06 19:12:20 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | BUY | 1,340 | 85¢ | $1,137 | 0xe01fe2… |
| 07-06 19:12:20 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | SELL | 550 | 85¢ | $467 | 0xe01fe2… |
| 07-06 09:52:52 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 33 | 85¢ | $28 | 0x46b2f8… |
| 07-06 09:52:52 | Questionable-Metric 0x0a3a…f612 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x46b2f8… |
| 07-05 23:24:08 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xfd3a85… |
| 07-05 23:24:08 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | SELL | 33 | 85¢ | $28 | 0xfd3a85… |
| 07-05 23:22:26 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xee6f08… |
| 07-05 23:22:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xee6f08… |
| 07-05 23:22:26 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 55 | 85¢ | $47 | 0xee6f08… |
| 07-05 16:06:47 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 68 | 85¢ | $58 | 0x228d76… |
| 07-05 16:06:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 68 | 85¢ | $58 | 0x228d76… |
| 07-05 05:19:34 | Noxious-Lumberman 0xecb9…bdd4 | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x9ddb5a… |
| 07-05 05:19:34 | Real-Grape 0x8827…99fc | No | SELL | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x9ddb5a… |
| 07-05 04:30:28 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x8f981b… |
| 07-05 04:30:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x8f981b… |
| 07-05 04:28:55 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x48df25… |
| 07-05 04:28:55 | Noxious-Lumberman 0xecb9…bdd4 | No | BUY | 9 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x48df25… |
| 07-05 03:14:38 | Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xa0a084… |
| 07-05 03:14:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xa0a084… |
| 07-04 21:57:46 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x5d9c31… |
| 07-04 21:57:46 | Vast-Breakthrough 0x5bbe…3416 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x5d9c31… |
| 07-04 14:51:32 | (anonymous) 0x5efe…5f55 | No | BUY | 22 | 83¢ | $19 | 0xaeb0d0… |
| 07-04 14:51:32 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xaeb0d0… |
| 07-04 14:51:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xaeb0d0… |
| 07-04 14:51:32 | Pastel-Inflation 0xadb6…5875 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 17¢ | $10 | 0xaeb0d0… |
| 07-04 13:30:58 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6e4146… |
| 07-04 13:30:58 | (anonymous) 0x8928…6ca9 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x6e4146… |
| 07-04 12:27:58 | (anonymous) 0x5efe…5f55 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xc32990… |
| 07-04 12:27:58 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xc32990… |
| 07-04 12:27:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xc32990… |
| 07-04 12:27:58 | (anonymous) 0xc9e5…cc34 | No | SELL | 150 | 83¢ | $125 | 0xc32990… |
| 07-04 12:27:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 97 | 83¢ | $81 | 0xc32990… |
| 07-04 10:04:13 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd53a92… |
| 07-04 10:04:13 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd53a92… |
| 07-04 03:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x98f051… |
| 07-04 03:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x98f051… |
| 07-04 03:15:05 | First-Slip 0xa3cd…03af | No | SELL | 9 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x98f051… |
| 07-04 00:21:19 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | SELL | 27 | 85¢ | $23 | 0xeabf88… |
| 07-04 00:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x0a91…9d8d | Yes | SELL | 27 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xeabf88… |
| 07-03 23:15:49 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | SELL | 32 | 85¢ | $28 | 0x847d2a… |
| 07-03 23:15:49 | (anonymous) 0xb5d8…af42 | No | BUY | 32 | 85¢ | $28 | 0x847d2a… |
| 07-03 23:01:02 | (anonymous) 0x1f18…dc6d | No | BUY | 19 | 85¢ | $16 | 0x3bdbf9… |
| 07-03 23:01:02 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | SELL | 19 | 85¢ | $16 | 0x3bdbf9… |
| 07-03 23:00:37 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x543764… |
| 07-03 23:00:37 | (anonymous) 0x572c…4360 | No | SELL | 0 | 84¢ | $0 | 0x543764… |
| 07-03 23:00:35 | (anonymous) 0x108d…68db | No | SELL | 0 | 84¢ | $0 | 0xbf9eb2… |
| 07-03 23:00:35 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xbf9eb2… |
| 07-03 23:00:32 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x0a59b7… |
| 07-03 23:00:32 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | SELL | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x0a59b7… |
| 07-03 22:59:52 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xdfefad… |
| 07-03 22:59:52 | Rosy-Ghost 0x3eb8…7b06 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 15¢ | $13 | 0xdfefad… |
| 07-03 22:59:52 | (anonymous) 0xf143…4ef2 | No | BUY | 103 | 85¢ | $87 | 0xdfefad… |
| 07-03 22:59:52 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | SELL | 19 | 85¢ | $16 | 0xdfefad… |
| 07-03 22:33:58 | (anonymous) 0xc911…a7ff | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x67fc14… |
| 07-03 22:33:58 | Rosy-Ghost 0x3eb8…7b06 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x67fc14… |
| 07-03 22:32:47 | Rosy-Ghost 0x3eb8…7b06 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xa4476a… |
| 07-03 22:32:47 | (anonymous) 0x98e3…9208 | No | BUY | 44 | 85¢ | $37 | 0xa4476a… |
| 07-03 21:39:44 | Rosy-Ghost 0x3eb8…7b06 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x0ad537… |
| 07-03 21:39:44 | (anonymous) 0x07bb…fcca | No | BUY | 26 | 85¢ | $22 | 0x0ad537… |
| 07-03 16:54:50 | (anonymous) 0xe0c3…e101 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 16¢ | $6 | 0xcc3585… |
| 07-03 16:54:50 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | SELL | 119 | 84¢ | $100 | 0xcc3585… |
| 07-03 16:54:50 | Silent-Obsidian 0x57b0…76f4 | No | SELL | 1,068 | 84¢ | $896 | 0xcc3585… |
| 07-03 16:54:50 | (anonymous) 0xaddb…4f44 | No | BUY | 1,262 | 84¢ | $1,060 | 0xcc3585… |
| 07-03 16:54:50 | Rosy-Ghost 0x3eb8…7b06 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0xcc3585… |
| 07-03 08:57:59 | Silent-Obsidian 0x57b0…76f4 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xa47c4b… |
| 07-03 08:57:59 | (anonymous) 0x271e…584c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xa47c4b… |
| 07-03 08:16:35 | Silent-Obsidian 0x57b0…76f4 | No | SELL | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x2e1e4c… |
| 07-03 08:16:35 | (anonymous) 0xa4e7…723e | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x2e1e4c… |
| 07-03 07:08:28 | (anonymous) 0x5efe…5f55 | No | BUY | 196 | 84¢ | $164 | 0x38764c… |
| 07-03 07:08:28 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x38764c… |
| 07-03 07:08:28 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | SELL | 161 | 84¢ | $135 | 0x38764c… |
| 07-03 07:08:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x38764c… |
| 07-03 05:56:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 32 | 83¢ | $27 | 0x34a174… |
| 07-03 05:56:07 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 169 | 83¢ | $141 | 0x34a174… |
| 07-03 05:56:07 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | SELL | 119 | 83¢ | $99 | 0x34a174… |
| 07-03 05:56:07 | Admired-Map 0x791d…d914 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x34a174… |
| 07-02 23:40:11 | (anonymous) 0x5efe…5f55 | No | BUY | 91 | 81¢ | $74 | 0x06b2ca… |
| 07-02 23:40:11 | (anonymous) 0xd72c…0bc7 | No | BUY | 60 | 81¢ | $49 | 0x06b2ca… |
| 07-02 23:40:11 | (anonymous) 0x6d76…06ec | Yes | BUY | 181 | 19¢ | $34 | 0x06b2ca… |
| 07-02 23:40:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $24 | 0x06b2ca… |
| 07-02 23:39:34 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x34ff09… |
| 07-02 23:39:34 | Admired-Map 0x791d…d914 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x34ff09… |
| 07-02 23:39:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x34ff09… |
| 07-02 23:39:34 | (anonymous) 0xd488…8fe6 | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x34ff09… |
| 07-02 23:39:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b49…2e46 | No | BUY | 157 | 82¢ | $129 | 0x34ff09… |
| 07-02 17:37:28 | Admired-Map 0x791d…d914 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xbce6a7… |
| 07-02 17:37:28 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xbce6a7… |
| 07-02 15:34:16 | Stingy-Parameter 0xda64…b94c | Yes | SELL | 493 | 18¢ | $88 | 0x36e645… |
| 07-02 15:34:16 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x36e645… |
| 07-02 15:34:16 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | SELL | 200 | 82¢ | $165 | 0x36e645… |
| 07-02 15:34:16 | (anonymous) 0x58c0…4233 | No | SELL | 9 | 82¢ | $7 | 0x36e645… |
| 07-02 15:34:16 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x36e645… |
| 07-02 15:34:16 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x36e645… |
| 07-02 15:34:16 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | SELL | 94 | 82¢ | $77 | 0x36e645… |
| 07-02 14:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x566e…8ada | No | BUY | 37 | 82¢ | $30 | 0x4e259d… |
| 07-02 14:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x58c0…4233 | No | SELL | 37 | 82¢ | $30 | 0x4e259d… |
| 07-02 14:49:34 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x320fc8… |
| 07-02 14:49:34 | Coarse-Box 0x653d…cb6b | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x320fc8… |