Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
41,770
lifetime
Volume
$87.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$649
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 06:39
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
66%
Tech
17%
Politics
14%
Sports
3%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 743 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +1,010 $195 18¢ $177 $-18 06-05 16:37
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +599 $120 25¢ $150 +$30 06-08 02:24
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +1,400 $16 $40 +$24 06-01 12:38
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +300 $30 $24 $-6 06-07 16:54
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +2,500 $20 $20 +$0 06-08 01:33
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +399 $27 $20 $-7 06-09 23:09
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30? Yes +788 $19 $19 +$1 06-07 08:42
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +1,289 $17 $18 +$1 06-10 06:39
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +2,034 $18 $17 $-0 06-08 08:56
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Yes +1,814 $26 $17 $-9 06-03 09:43
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? Yes +2,000 $17 $13 $-4 06-07 21:50
Megaquake by June 30? Yes +169 $7 $13 +$6 06-05 01:37
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +1,501 $18 $12 $-5 06-07 10:35
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +699 $13 $11 $-2 06-09 03:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? Yes +5,000 $15 $10 $-5 06-06 17:57
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +1,000 $12 $8 $-4 06-05 20:39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? Yes +500 $10 $8 $-2 06-09 13:40
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +1,000 $10 $8 $-2 06-05 20:40
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +1,000 $10 $8 $-2 06-05 20:40
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? Yes +271 $-3 $7 +$10 06-03 13:26
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes +1,000 $5 $7 +$2 06-08 11:34
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -68 $-7 10¢ $-6 +$0 06-02 16:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +500 $10 $6 $-4 05-29 07:35
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? Yes +3,900 $1 $6 +$5 06-08 08:05
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? Yes +2,854 $7 $6 $-1 06-07 04:08
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? Yes -70 $-8 $-5 +$4 06-04 03:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? Yes +3,000 $7 $4 $-2 06-10 04:49
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes +751 $4 $4 +$0 06-08 19:07
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +529 $5 $3 $-2 06-10 07:11
ECB rate cut in 2026? Yes +13 $-1 14¢ $2 +$3 06-06 10:39