Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d424…dc8991
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$231
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
42,631
lifetime
Volume
$89.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$834
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:31
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
66% — —
Tech
17% — —
Politics
14% — —
Sports
3% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 440 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +2,110 $331 12¢ $243 $-88 06-22 16:02
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +599 $120 22¢ $129 +$9 06-08 02:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -100 $-95 96¢ $-96 $-1 06-10 20:59
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +4,000 $19 1¢ $32 +$13 06-30 20:07
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? Yes +95 $29 34¢ $32 +$3 06-15 15:53
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +1,300 $4 2¢ $29 +$25 06-23 09:59
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Yes +6,317 $48 0¢ $25 $-23 06-28 12:11
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes -228 $-130 11¢ $-25 +$105 06-30 21:57
ECB rate cut in 2026? Yes +132 $16 17¢ $22 +$7 06-25 07:31
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +7,265 $29 0¢ $18 $-11 06-29 10:30
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30? Yes +3,788 $37 0¢ $17 $-20 06-30 00:16
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +200 $20 8¢ $17 $-3 06-26 12:01
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +4,829 $70 0¢ $17 $-54 06-30 20:00
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +4,000 $19 0¢ $16 $-3 06-28 18:29
Megaquake by June 30? Yes +2,169 $51 1¢ $12 $-39 06-29 08:02
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +4,533 $27 0¢ $11 $-15 06-30 08:45
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? Yes +400 $22 2¢ $10 $-12 06-30 18:31
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +4,495 $26 0¢ $9 $-17 06-26 11:41
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +100 $8 8¢ $8 +$0 06-30 21:59
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? Yes +8,000 $18 0¢ $8 $-10 06-24 22:31
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? Yes +8,000 $27 0¢ $8 $-19 06-26 02:48
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? Yes +7,500 $27 0¢ $7 $-20 06-29 05:45
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? Yes +4,260 $14 0¢ $6 $-7 06-30 08:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? Yes +5,999 $10 0¢ $6 $-4 06-24 18:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? Yes +5,854 $10 0¢ $6 $-4 06-23 06:35
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -68 $-7 8¢ $-5 +$2 06-02 16:40
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? Yes +3,219 $14 0¢ $5 $-9 06-29 02:46
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +4,500 $24 0¢ $4 $-20 06-27 17:31
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +4,500 $24 0¢ $4 $-19 06-27 21:51
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $4 +$3 06-25 07:01