Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d424…dc8991
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$24.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.13K
Hit rate
53.3%
Resolved
685
Trades
73,555
lifetime
Volume
$140.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$5.46K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
73% 10% +$25,197
Tech
13% 18% -$3,166
Politics
11% 19% +$2,541
Sports
2% 100% +$352
Crypto
0% 0% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 808 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? Yes — +1,300 $27 97¢ $1.3K +$1,239 10-29 17:46
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +800 $22 98¢ $784 +$762 10-29 17:46
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +7,173 $675 7¢ $502 -$173 10-29 13:56
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +2,567 $78 10¢ $263 +$185 10-29 17:54
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +600 $4 29¢ $175 +$171 10-27 13:43
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +2,374 $52 6¢ $154 +$102 10-27 20:10
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -200 -$95 74¢ $-148 -$53 06-23 20:10
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,366 $330 3¢ $135 -$194 10-25 13:29
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +1,334 $197 10¢ $133 -$64 10-29 17:46
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 -$16 32¢ $127 +$143 07-17 08:42
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +1,318 $16 9¢ $119 +$103 10-25 15:59
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +400 $24 29¢ $116 +$92 10-26 21:42
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? No +3,731 $117 3¢ $116 -$2 10-24 00:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +665 $115 16¢ $108 -$7 10-19 03:23
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +300 $111 36¢ $106 -$4 10-08 10:54
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +300 $110 34¢ $103 -$7 10-03 16:21
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +6,858 $425 2¢ $103 -$322 10-29 08:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +300 $128 34¢ $100 -$27 10-28 17:43
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +5,023 $82 2¢ $100 +$18 10-28 04:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +900 $84 10¢ $93 +$9 10-29 19:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +8,350 $356 1¢ $88 -$268 10-29 04:59
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +450 $154 18¢ $81 -$73 10-26 12:21
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +500 $28 16¢ $78 +$50 10-28 16:04
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? Yes +2,181 $88 3¢ $68 -$20 09-23 14:00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3,850 $78 2¢ $67 -$11 10-29 14:21
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +12,213 $66 1¢ $67 +$1 10-28 20:06
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,900 $31 2¢ $66 +$35 08-18 09:38
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,000 -$73 6¢ $65 +$138 10-29 08:29
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +31,891 $2 0¢ $64 +$61 10-29 15:09
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +3,067 -$187 2¢ $61 +$249 10-29 19:03