Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$95
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
42,990
lifetime
Volume
$90.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$1.06K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 06:27
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67%
Tech
17%
Politics
14%
Sports
3%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 257 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +3,806 $488 12¢ $438 $-51 07-22 06:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -100 $-95 97¢ $-97 $-2 06-10 20:59
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +788 $-22 11¢ $87 +$109 07-21 05:53
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +699 $135 12¢ $80 $-54 07-13 12:17
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +700 $-25 $48 +$73 07-19 09:04
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +2,800 $24 $41 +$17 07-03 08:59
ECB rate cut in 2026? Yes +416 $47 $35 $-11 07-21 20:59
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +200 $17 17¢ $33 +$16 07-17 06:59
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? Yes +100 $30 32¢ $32 +$2 07-08 15:38
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +400 $38 $30 $-8 07-06 21:10
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +300 $20 $22 +$2 07-04 00:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $12 11¢ $21 +$9 07-04 01:58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +500 $22 $20 $-2 07-01 11:47
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? Yes +330 $16 $18 +$3 07-05 18:20
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? Yes +800 $27 $17 $-10 07-15 21:33
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +500 $10 $13 +$3 07-03 23:37
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +274 $6 $11 +$4 07-09 14:50
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +500 $15 $10 $-4 07-20 12:53
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +200 $12 $10 $-2 07-01 14:14