Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
open
Total volume
$3,970
$5,135 in 24h
Trades
50
Unique wallets
49
Liquidity
$21,031
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 12:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 49 | $13 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $94 | $94 |
| Median | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Below median | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 42 | $2 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wonderful-Thrill 0x0325…0d5a | No | +223 | $215 | $215 | 1 | 05-14 04:01 |
| Short-Flipflops 0xbf4f…f538 | No | +203 | $195 | $195 | 1 | 05-13 07:51 |
| Nutritious-Selfesteem 0xb6da…2b66 | No | +148 | $143 | $143 | 1 | 05-14 06:18 |
| Plain-Drapes 0xb4d0…b4b4 | No | +125 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 05-13 08:44 |
| Belated-Empowerment 0xc084…de30 | No | +124 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 05-14 10:39 |
| Tattered-Hospitality 0x8547…72b5 | No | +114 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 05-14 12:42 |
| Vicious-Lens 0xcd27…b1db | No | +108 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 05-14 03:36 |
| Present-Schedule 0x5c28…59ff | No | +104 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 06:14 |
| Serious-Graduate 0xbe08…007c | No | +104 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 12:37 |
| Content-Neurobiologist 0x2e68…6898 | No | +98 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 05-09 08:30 |
| Eminent-Passenger 0x483e…4a9c | No | +93 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-14 06:09 |
| Buoyant-Cycle 0x753b…7ff5 | No | +83 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-14 06:54 |
| Harmonious-Odometer 0x1c2b…de3a | No | +57 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-14 11:22 |
| Dark-Town 0x4e8a…668e | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 12:47 |
| Hefty-Brain 0xe25f…0306 | Yes | +47 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 01:38 |
| Lonely-Stud 0x5847…dd9b | Yes | +46 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 09:49 |
| Dazzling-Zombie 0xe172…274e | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 16:31 |
| Growling-Analyst 0xb967…bc7a | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 10:34 |
| Linear-Growth 0x98cf…1f4a | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Humming-Kendo 0x866e…2bec | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 11:01 |
| Same-Winner 0x8f2d…105c | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:43 |
| Shabby-Shipping 0x6626…d25a | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-10 14:17 |
| Infinite-Associate 0x61ea…31f5 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 02:27 |
| Cloudy-Ambience 0xcdac…9277 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-06 03:23 |
| Familiar-Musculature 0x2590…e38e | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 06:21 |
| Light-Root 0xbdda…2408 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 06:28 |
| Carefree-Wage 0xac2f…2779 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-06 03:04 |
| Rosy-Deathwatch 0x0468…e0c4 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-07 08:20 |
| Frayed-Blind 0xf5fe…b52d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 08:14 |
| Revolving-Yin 0x4e58…4668 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 06:11 |
| Superb-Boar 0xf833…bd99 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 01:22 |
| Angelic-Synthesis 0xf878…05c1 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 06:14 |
| Astonishing-Measure 0x3b7c…3eca | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 02:34 |
| Granular-Pottery 0x3694…44cb | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 10:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 12:47:36 | Dark-Town 0x4e8a…668e | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x0a34a8… |
| 05-14 12:42:35 | Tattered-Hospitality 0x8547…72b5 | No | BUY | 114 | 96¢ | $110 | 0xb9eba8… |
| 05-14 12:37:39 | Serious-Graduate 0xbe08…007c | No | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0xa3877c… |
| 05-14 11:22:14 | Harmonious-Odometer 0x1c2b…de3a | No | BUY | 57 | 96¢ | $55 | 0x4a1861… |
| 05-14 10:39:37 | Belated-Empowerment 0xc084…de30 | No | BUY | 124 | 96¢ | $120 | 0xfefc28… |
| 05-14 10:34:38 | Growling-Analyst 0xb967…bc7a | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x4427bd… |
| 05-14 08:29:00 | Lean-Chronometer 0x830c…b514 | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x1ad947… |
| 05-14 06:54:09 | Buoyant-Cycle 0x753b…7ff5 | No | BUY | 83 | 96¢ | $80 | 0xe5dbbc… |
| 05-14 06:28:59 | Light-Root 0xbdda…2408 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xfa3bea… |
| 05-14 06:21:05 | Familiar-Musculature 0x2590…e38e | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x71e20a… |
| 05-14 06:18:59 | Nutritious-Selfesteem 0xb6da…2b66 | No | BUY | 148 | 96¢ | $143 | 0x68d49a… |
| 05-14 06:14:29 | Angelic-Synthesis 0xf878…05c1 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xdd3390… |
| 05-14 06:11:31 | Revolving-Yin 0x4e58…4668 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x513eab… |
| 05-14 06:09:58 | Eminent-Passenger 0x483e…4a9c | No | BUY | 93 | 96¢ | $90 | 0x74a7bb… |
| 05-14 04:01:07 | Wonderful-Thrill 0x0325…0d5a | No | BUY | 223 | 96¢ | $215 | 0x086568… |
| 05-14 03:36:05 | Vicious-Lens 0xcd27…b1db | No | BUY | 108 | 96¢ | $104 | 0xe128f5… |
| 05-14 02:34:13 | Astonishing-Measure 0x3b7c…3eca | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x18db76… |
| 05-14 02:27:06 | Infinite-Associate 0x61ea…31f5 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x4df5d0… |
| 05-14 01:22:09 | Superb-Boar 0xf833…bd99 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x1c48ad… |
| 05-13 09:10:05 | Zany-Incidence 0x80ad…a966 | Yes | SELL | 148 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x2538b4… |
| 05-13 09:09:48 | Zany-Incidence 0x80ad…a966 | Yes | BUY | 148 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xb33598… |
| 05-13 08:44:46 | Plain-Drapes 0xb4d0…b4b4 | No | BUY | 125 | 96¢ | $120 | 0xaea8f1… |
| 05-13 08:43:38 | Joyful-Dark 0x38d7…059e | Yes | SELL | 98 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x4dede2… |
| 05-13 08:14:56 | Frayed-Blind 0xf5fe…b52d | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xc1ddac… |
| 05-13 07:51:13 | Short-Flipflops 0xbf4f…f538 | No | BUY | 203 | 96¢ | $195 | 0x2b4506… |
| 05-13 06:14:39 | Present-Schedule 0x5c28…59ff | No | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0x557b8b… |
| 05-12 16:31:30 | Dazzling-Zombie 0xe172…274e | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x23e048… |
| 05-12 01:38:41 | Hefty-Brain 0xe25f…0306 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x21187a… |
| 05-11 16:43:06 | Same-Winner 0x8f2d…105c | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe4e62a… |
| 05-11 04:48:22 | Inconsequential-Bafflement 0x06d1…1780 | No | SELL | 1,900 | 96¢ | $1,823 | 0xd1d77e… |
| 05-10 14:17:06 | Shabby-Shipping 0x6626…d25a | No | BUY | 24 | 96¢ | $23 | 0x70bfef… |
| 05-10 12:42:31 | Imaginary-Organising 0xfb64…fb85 | No | SELL | 117 | 96¢ | $113 | 0xe5a08e… |
| 05-10 11:01:53 | Humming-Kendo 0x866e…2bec | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x62d216… |
| 05-10 04:22:43 | Linear-Growth 0x98cf…1f4a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe2aed6… |
| 05-09 10:45:11 | Granular-Pottery 0x3694…44cb | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xaaf1c1… |
| 05-09 08:30:16 | Content-Neurobiologist 0x2e68…6898 | No | BUY | 98 | 96¢ | $94 | 0x33ccc9… |
| 05-09 03:36:19 | Daring-Understanding 0x8dd7…dd08 | No | SELL | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x6688e8… |
| 05-08 14:29:49 | Major-Breadcrumb 0xc7c4…4d96 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4e33eb… |
| 05-08 07:15:25 | Disguised-Inventor 0x2585…0d62 | No | SELL | 32 | 96¢ | $31 | 0x7c1d31… |
| 05-07 23:21:19 | Swift-Wardrobe 0x700f…f917 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x873a45… |
| 05-07 13:00:37 | Grand-Morbidity 0x353f…4bca | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x36ea32… |
| 05-07 09:49:56 | Lonely-Stud 0x5847…dd9b | Yes | BUY | 46 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x7d3fe8… |
| 05-07 08:20:11 | Rosy-Deathwatch 0x0468…e0c4 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xabd1b1… |
| 05-07 06:38:16 | Pointed-Steel 0x191f…0f13 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xcf83fc… |
| 05-07 05:03:04 | This-Pastoralist 0x77ec…19f0 | No | SELL | 91 | 96¢ | $87 | 0x8da139… |
| 05-06 18:50:20 | Old-Fashioned-Monkey 0x7d3e…171b | Yes | SELL | 78 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xab846a… |
| 05-06 15:57:11 | Reliable-Weedkiller 0xddc7…3b13 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa9b62f… |
| 05-06 03:23:40 | Cloudy-Ambience 0xcdac…9277 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x324e28… |
| 05-06 03:04:38 | Carefree-Wage 0xac2f…2779 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xb1636d… |
| 05-06 01:24:22 | Immediate-Minimalism 0x61b1…a3c7 | No | SELL | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x941a63… |