Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
open
Total volume
$88,280
$5,135 in 24h
Trades
3,284
Unique wallets
1,026
Liquidity
$21,031
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-16 14:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+51.5¢
(top1%: 57% YES on $461
vs crowd: 6% YES on $45.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | — | $7.6K | $7.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $1.6K | $16.1K | $14.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 165 | $316 | $8.4K | $8.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 819 | $642 | $11.0K | $10.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $263 | $198 | +$65 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $616 | $242 | +$374 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 18 | $23 | $2.4K | $2.4K |
| Median | 98 | $28 | $3.8K | $3.8K |
| Below median | 60 | $171 | $1.3K | $1.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 13 | $551 | $366 | +$184 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $186 | $6.0K | $5.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $44 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
| unranked | 805 | $657 | $26.3K | $25.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exhausted-Tanktop 0x8349…c99d | No | +10,263 | $9,946 | $9,946 | 2 | 07-16 22:04 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +5,554 | $152 | $897 | 364 | 08-15 17:28 |
| Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | +4,874 | $140 | $872 | 343 | 08-13 03:30 |
| Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | +4,505 | $85 | $107 | 21 | 08-12 07:27 |
| Smoggy-Cover 0x8639…fb86 | Yes | +3,752 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-10 01:01 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +2,936 | $76 | $76 | 80 | 08-15 21:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xc76a…e1e0 | Yes | +2,917 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-07 14:50 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,795 | $80 | $446 | 170 | 08-13 08:14 |
| Sneaky-Necessity 0x0ead…9572 | No | +2,534 | $2,458 | $2,525 | 2 | 07-20 04:33 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +2,508 | $2,442 | $2,442 | 67 | 08-15 21:42 |
| Definitive-Resume 0xdcee…bda5 | Yes | +1,502 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-16 16:29 |
| Brief-Payee 0xb1fb…d6d8 | Yes | +600 | $17 | $17 | 20 | 08-01 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x16e9…db58 | Yes | +556 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-21 14:22 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +524 | $9 | $79 | 68 | 08-10 01:01 |
| Heavenly-Cassava 0x753c…e3ad | No | +517 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-12 15:06 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +500 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-03 23:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f83…761b | No | +500 | $486 | $486 | 1 | 08-10 01:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd048…588a | Yes | +455 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-11 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x805c…ae87 | Yes | +400 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-17 18:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f2a…1e08 | No | +400 | $389 | $389 | 1 | 08-11 13:31 |
| Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | +363 | $350 | $3,968 | 125 | 08-16 14:07 |
| Healthy-Novel 0x46c8…5894 | Yes | +354 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-20 08:52 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +330 | $321 | $321 | 2 | 07-17 22:22 |
| Reflecting-Candidate 0x29d6…1388 | Yes | +323 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 15:58 |
| Competent-Fantasy 0xc8a5…82bd | No | +306 | $298 | $298 | 12 | 08-15 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x7162…f2b3 | Yes | +292 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-21 05:40 |
| Authorized-Neighbour 0xaac7…afbe | Yes | +272 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-30 14:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x61b4…713d | Yes | +260 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-20 07:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb5d…01a1 | No | +207 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-10 09:27 |
| Icky-Millennium 0x9065…c634 | No | +206 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 08-10 07:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x32dc…b4f5 | No | +206 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-08 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb750…c6eb | No | +206 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-08 08:17 |
| Cumbersome-Pay 0x1355…a695 | No | +204 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 06-02 07:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb8f…3ce9 | No | +204 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 07-20 07:38 |
| Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | Yes | +203 | $6 | $32 | 7 | 06-03 16:09 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +200 | $7 | $39 | 29 | 07-06 13:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x81b3…5880 | No | +200 | $194 | $194 | 4 | 08-13 03:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9259…2bf9 | Yes | +185 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-31 04:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c85…5125 | Yes | +161 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xff88…bcd5 | No | +155 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 07-10 10:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x79dc…51b2 | Yes | +152 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 15:31 |
| Incredible-Eyeball 0x63ee…027e | Yes | +152 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-31 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5388…6846 | Yes | +150 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 09:33 |
| Snoopy-Butane 0x69a5…d122 | No | +147 | $143 | $143 | 1 | 07-03 06:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e5…a5c8 | No | +143 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 07-11 09:07 |
| Hard-Controller 0x72f8…25fa | No | +134 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 07-04 07:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x214d…e581 | No | +113 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 08-13 08:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xebe7…afb4 | No | +108 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 07-04 02:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x4eb7…c021 | Yes | +108 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-16 13:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d56…f65e | Yes | +107 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-03 06:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d05…3434 | No | +105 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 08-12 02:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 14:07:39 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x97fd77… |
| 08-16 14:07:39 | (anonymous) 0x104c…66c3 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x97fd77… |
| 08-16 14:04:46 | Useful-Face 0x3164…de26 | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x0762ea… |
| 08-16 14:04:46 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x0762ea… |
| 08-16 14:02:55 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 59 | 97¢ | $57 | 0xc2e071… |
| 08-16 14:02:55 | (anonymous) 0x564f…3f5e | Yes | SELL | 311 | 3¢ | $8 | 0xc2e071… |
| 08-16 13:54:30 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xe68438… |
| 08-16 13:54:30 | (anonymous) 0xbea7…9cac | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xe68438… |
| 08-16 13:49:58 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x7a134a… |
| 08-16 13:49:58 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x7a134a… |
| 08-16 13:47:43 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xc78f2e… |
| 08-16 13:47:43 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xc78f2e… |
| 08-16 13:44:24 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x61e098… |
| 08-16 13:44:24 | Standard-Bow 0xeb88…5739 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x61e098… |
| 08-16 13:36:57 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x3b5b2e… |
| 08-16 13:36:57 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x3b5b2e… |
| 08-16 13:31:19 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x4cc3f8… |
| 08-16 13:31:19 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x4cc3f8… |
| 08-16 13:23:51 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xc6af1d… |
| 08-16 13:23:51 | (anonymous) 0x5d65…ab38 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xc6af1d… |
| 08-16 13:19:57 | (anonymous) 0x51cf…6384 | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x858c94… |
| 08-16 13:19:57 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x858c94… |
| 08-16 13:05:28 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x38539a… |
| 08-16 13:05:28 | (anonymous) 0xb92b…abed | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x38539a… |
| 08-16 12:54:12 | Near-Babushka 0x9e58…682e | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x34c216… |
| 08-16 12:54:12 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x34c216… |
| 08-16 12:52:21 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x9338a8… |
| 08-16 12:52:21 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x9338a8… |
| 08-16 12:49:15 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x0112d1… |
| 08-16 12:49:15 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x0112d1… |
| 08-16 12:40:06 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x9d416c… |
| 08-16 12:40:06 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x9d416c… |
| 08-16 12:39:10 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0xcaa682… |
| 08-16 12:39:10 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0xcaa682… |
| 08-16 12:13:00 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 19 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xd145cd… |
| 08-16 12:13:00 | (anonymous) 0x9edd…7565 | No | SELL | 19 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xd145cd… |
| 08-16 11:50:51 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x3ca6a4… |
| 08-16 11:50:51 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x3ca6a4… |
| 08-16 11:49:46 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x43a437… |
| 08-16 11:49:46 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x43a437… |
| 08-16 11:01:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xae6403… |
| 08-16 11:01:12 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xae6403… |
| 08-16 10:06:01 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0xcb1665… |
| 08-16 10:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x647c…2cbf | No | SELL | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0xcb1665… |
| 08-16 10:04:30 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0x62abed… |
| 08-16 10:04:30 | (anonymous) 0x0a1d…49c6 | No | SELL | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0x62abed… |
| 08-16 09:09:16 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x6fb5fd… |
| 08-16 09:09:16 | (anonymous) 0x14bc…f8ed | No | SELL | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x6fb5fd… |
| 08-16 09:08:48 | (anonymous) 0x4ac3…e18a | No | SELL | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0xa0579b… |
| 08-16 09:08:48 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0xa0579b… |
| 08-16 09:07:31 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xed51be… |
| 08-16 09:07:31 | (anonymous) 0x4d3b…7ac5 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xed51be… |
| 08-16 09:04:21 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x7d86e4… |
| 08-16 09:04:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x7d86e4… |
| 08-16 09:04:21 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x7d86e4… |
| 08-16 08:41:19 | (anonymous) 0x54bc…4dfb | No | SELL | 16 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x590ad9… |
| 08-16 08:41:19 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 16 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x590ad9… |
| 08-16 08:40:55 | (anonymous) 0x80af…35b0 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3b5485… |
| 08-16 08:40:55 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3b5485… |
| 08-16 08:39:49 | (anonymous) 0x681e…b132 | No | SELL | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x8cd5a7… |
| 08-16 08:39:49 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x8cd5a7… |
| 08-16 08:38:28 | (anonymous) 0x8a0a…9501 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xd3beea… |
| 08-16 08:38:28 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xd3beea… |
| 08-16 08:13:28 | (anonymous) 0x215e…3054 | No | SELL | 19 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x8120bd… |
| 08-16 08:13:28 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 19 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x8120bd… |
| 08-16 08:13:06 | (anonymous) 0xfc8e…6ba3 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xa720e3… |
| 08-16 08:13:06 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xa720e3… |
| 08-16 08:11:40 | (anonymous) 0x883d…20fc | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x927e22… |
| 08-16 08:11:40 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x927e22… |
| 08-16 08:11:31 | (anonymous) 0xc9cc…67a8 | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x3f6d0d… |
| 08-16 08:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x3f6d0d… |
| 08-16 08:11:19 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xcb9e73… |
| 08-16 08:11:19 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xcb9e73… |
| 08-16 08:11:00 | (anonymous) 0x2d46…07be | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x1a798a… |
| 08-16 08:11:00 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x1a798a… |
| 08-16 08:04:51 | Several-Grouper 0x59da…b865 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x2e377c… |
| 08-16 08:04:51 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x2e377c… |
| 08-16 08:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x0ee6fa… |
| 08-16 08:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x07ea…8ce2 | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x0ee6fa… |
| 08-16 07:55:48 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xc597eb… |
| 08-16 07:55:48 | (anonymous) 0x765b…594f | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xc597eb… |
| 08-16 07:55:19 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x90c44c… |
| 08-16 07:55:19 | (anonymous) 0xb7c9…5e5a | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x90c44c… |
| 08-16 07:54:36 | Understated-Silly 0x161f…9f42 | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xe1cf4a… |
| 08-16 07:54:36 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xe1cf4a… |
| 08-16 07:53:18 | (anonymous) 0xb141…42d1 | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x2d2eb9… |
| 08-16 07:53:18 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x2d2eb9… |
| 08-16 07:47:37 | (anonymous) 0x5574…458d | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x03a83f… |
| 08-16 07:47:37 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x03a83f… |
| 08-16 07:43:04 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x294b64… |
| 08-16 07:43:04 | (anonymous) 0x2bc9…950e | No | SELL | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x294b64… |
| 08-16 07:42:25 | (anonymous) 0x82eb…84a7 | No | SELL | 19 | 97¢ | $18 | 0xac9fb5… |
| 08-16 07:42:25 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 19 | 97¢ | $18 | 0xac9fb5… |
| 08-16 07:25:12 | (anonymous) 0x09ec…3dd9 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xa8833f… |
| 08-16 07:25:12 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xa8833f… |
| 08-16 07:20:52 | (anonymous) 0xbd4a…8a4f | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x8724a6… |
| 08-16 07:20:52 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x8724a6… |
| 08-16 07:04:52 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xcc6741… |
| 08-16 07:04:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xcc6741… |
| 08-16 06:04:15 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x169c54… |