Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
open
Total volume
$16,806
$5,135 in 24h
Trades
893
Unique wallets
293
Liquidity
$21,031
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-15 05:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+16.7¢
(top1%: 37% YES on $315
vs crowd: 20% YES on $6.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | — | $622 | $622 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $548 | $1.2K | $631 |
| 🐟 Fish | 24 | $368 | $752 | $384 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 248 | $381 | $2.5K | $2.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $117 | $198 | $81 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $290 | $145 | +$145 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $20 | $53 | $33 |
| Median | 56 | $25 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| Below median | 31 | $169 | $369 | $200 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $333 | $145 | +$188 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $21 | — | +$21 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| unranked | 178 | $298 | $1.6K | $1.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | +3,015 | $92 | $489 | 130 | 06-13 18:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xc76a…e1e0 | Yes | +2,917 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-07 14:50 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +1,586 | $45 | $464 | 164 | 06-15 05:42 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,312 | $40 | $194 | 39 | 06-10 13:13 |
| Obedient-Glut 0xbfbe…2b85 | Yes | +665 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-14 11:28 |
| Heavenly-Cassava 0x753c…e3ad | No | +517 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-12 15:06 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +495 | $14 | $32 | 13 | 06-07 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd048…588a | Yes | +455 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-11 08:26 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +300 | $10 | $30 | 18 | 06-10 13:13 |
| Authorized-Neighbour 0xaac7…afbe | Yes | +272 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-30 14:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb5d…01a1 | No | +207 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-10 09:27 |
| Cumbersome-Pay 0x1355…a695 | No | +204 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 06-02 07:45 |
| Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | Yes | +203 | $6 | $32 | 7 | 06-03 16:09 |
| Strict-Mouton 0x1402…febb | Yes | +200 | $7 | $10 | 3 | 06-10 12:31 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +200 | $6 | $26 | 8 | 06-10 13:13 |
| Brief-Payee 0xb1fb…d6d8 | Yes | +200 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-08 11:47 |
| Thrifty-Liquidity 0xd979…6340 | Yes | +188 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-03 18:40 |
| Unsung-Faculty 0x105f…5108 | Yes | +176 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-30 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x79dc…51b2 | Yes | +152 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 15:31 |
| Incredible-Eyeball 0x63ee…027e | Yes | +152 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-31 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5388…6846 | Yes | +150 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f15…10df | No | +119 | $115 | $115 | 3 | 06-06 15:09 |
| Dense-Harbour 0x6e0e…4927 | No | +116 | $112 | $112 | 1 | 06-09 14:59 |
| Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-08 11:01 |
| Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-08 11:01 |
| Youthful-Underneath 0x250a…7311 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-08 14:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x98ed…1349 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 06-09 06:35 |
| Utilized-Climate 0x264f…8d48 | No | +96 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 06-07 02:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x224a…70cd | No | +90 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 06-03 08:45 |
| Jolly-Vision 0xdf01…c782 | Yes | +72 | $2 | $9 | 3 | 05-31 17:44 |
| Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | +67 | $65 | $226 | 7 | 06-07 07:11 |
| Revolving-Pitcher 0x57da…a280 | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-08 11:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x0238…208e | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 4 | 06-09 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c11…8168 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-07 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xccc8…cff0 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-08 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x97ee…e7de | Yes | +49 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-09 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2cd…d0b5 | No | +47 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 06-08 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 22:40 |
| Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 14:20 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +33 | $1 | $19 | 6 | 06-08 13:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7e4…a283 | No | +33 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-11 09:16 |
| Nifty-Safeguard 0xb2a6…6865 | Yes | +32 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 11:19 |
| Palatable-Volunteer-Dogwood 0x15f2…d647 | Yes | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 19:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x18cd…6fb1 | Yes | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 15:16 |
| Lost-Tussle 0xca6a…90e1 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-10 01:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9676…06d3 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-10 02:40 |
| Slippery-Hundred 0x33c4…047c | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-08 05:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x49dc…8902 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-07 22:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9abd…4eff | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-08 16:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 05:42:09 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2e708a… |
| 06-15 05:42:09 | Carefree-Wage 0xac2f…2779 | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x2e708a… |
| 06-15 05:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 109 | 97¢ | $105 | 0x41f730… |
| 06-15 05:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x5504…6ddc | Yes | SELL | 109 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x41f730… |
| 06-15 02:45:12 | Rundown-Comfort 0x7628…d25e | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xfdc7c3… |
| 06-15 02:45:12 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xfdc7c3… |
| 06-14 20:17:06 | (anonymous) 0x3af2…a765 | No | SELL | 29 | 97¢ | $28 | 0xbb277c… |
| 06-14 20:17:06 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbb277c… |
| 06-14 17:51:36 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x7a9929… |
| 06-14 17:51:36 | Worrisome-Checking 0x9f17…1c37 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x7a9929… |
| 06-14 16:51:07 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xc459b6… |
| 06-14 16:51:07 | (anonymous) 0xef15…fc96 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xc459b6… |
| 06-14 15:56:22 | Jaded-Rumor 0x95a7…8f62 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x06f700… |
| 06-14 15:56:22 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x06f700… |
| 06-14 15:33:40 | (anonymous) 0x5d4b…94ea | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xced37b… |
| 06-14 15:33:40 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xced37b… |
| 06-14 11:44:58 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xada9fc… |
| 06-14 11:44:58 | (anonymous) 0xebd5…4a28 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xada9fc… |
| 06-14 11:28:46 | Obedient-Glut 0xbfbe…2b85 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 3¢ | $13 | 0x55cfd8… |
| 06-14 11:28:46 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 400 | 3¢ | $13 | 0x55cfd8… |
| 06-14 10:59:55 | Webbed-Hello 0xb115…d234 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x801b3f… |
| 06-14 10:59:55 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x801b3f… |
| 06-14 10:04:57 | (anonymous) 0x24f2…52a0 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x7794f2… |
| 06-14 10:04:57 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x7794f2… |
| 06-14 09:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x478e…a823 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x6647ea… |
| 06-14 09:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x6647ea… |
| 06-14 08:59:30 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xd9d92f… |
| 06-14 08:59:30 | Complete-Chocolate 0x4871…6e60 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xd9d92f… |
| 06-14 06:29:28 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x255c47… |
| 06-14 06:29:28 | (anonymous) 0x8eb6…cd7e | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x255c47… |
| 06-14 06:13:51 | (anonymous) 0x4fab…ce53 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xe2b29d… |
| 06-14 06:13:51 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xe2b29d… |
| 06-14 05:14:31 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf2a9be… |
| 06-14 05:14:31 | Determined-Synergy 0x8f88…195c | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xf2a9be… |
| 06-14 04:41:07 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xcf5da0… |
| 06-14 04:41:07 | (anonymous) 0x07b5…b86a | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xcf5da0… |
| 06-14 03:22:51 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3bb903… |
| 06-14 03:22:51 | Bossy-Cork 0xef8f…5fe0 | No | SELL | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x3bb903… |
| 06-14 02:49:27 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x44bbb2… |
| 06-14 02:49:27 | (anonymous) 0xa2b6…0fbc | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x44bbb2… |
| 06-14 02:16:01 | (anonymous) 0x82ec…4347 | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xb124f0… |
| 06-14 02:16:01 | (anonymous) 0x9d2d…cac3 | No | SELL | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xb124f0… |
| 06-13 18:51:46 | (anonymous) 0xa0ba…aa26 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x5bba24… |
| 06-13 18:51:46 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5bba24… |
| 06-13 18:42:54 | (anonymous) 0x9c87…38a2 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xcaa20b… |
| 06-13 18:42:54 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcaa20b… |
| 06-13 17:56:27 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1cc9b3… |
| 06-13 17:56:27 | (anonymous) 0xb1bd…5fd5 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x1cc9b3… |
| 06-13 17:39:21 | (anonymous) 0xbb54…95b2 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x188eea… |
| 06-13 17:39:21 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x188eea… |
| 06-13 16:58:58 | (anonymous) 0x1476…dfdb | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x72b6f1… |
| 06-13 16:58:58 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x72b6f1… |
| 06-13 16:42:16 | (anonymous) 0x5beb…939e | No | SELL | 68 | 97¢ | $66 | 0x0b45d4… |
| 06-13 16:42:16 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 68 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x0b45d4… |
| 06-13 16:32:00 | (anonymous) 0xc8d4…1494 | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x648b6c… |
| 06-13 16:32:00 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x648b6c… |
| 06-13 09:33:57 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 150 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x791dd9… |
| 06-13 09:33:57 | (anonymous) 0x5388…6846 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x791dd9… |
| 06-13 09:14:30 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe98a38… |
| 06-13 09:14:30 | (anonymous) 0xf727…3c6c | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xe98a38… |
| 06-13 08:48:28 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x41dbb5… |
| 06-13 08:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x2397…7f88 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x41dbb5… |
| 06-13 07:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x5e57…630e | No | SELL | 260 | 97¢ | $251 | 0x25ab01… |
| 06-13 07:54:43 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 260 | 3¢ | $9 | 0x25ab01… |
| 06-13 07:16:37 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x40abb7… |
| 06-13 07:16:37 | Ready-Menu 0xe06b…8aa0 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x40abb7… |
| 06-13 07:09:34 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0670b3… |
| 06-13 07:09:34 | (anonymous) 0xbb9e…3dd5 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0670b3… |
| 06-13 07:09:21 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf87a35… |
| 06-13 07:09:21 | (anonymous) 0xbb9e…3dd5 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf87a35… |
| 06-13 06:36:34 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xeb7e1c… |
| 06-13 06:36:34 | (anonymous) 0xd820…93e2 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xeb7e1c… |
| 06-13 06:36:24 | (anonymous) 0xd820…93e2 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x22d1bb… |
| 06-13 06:36:24 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x22d1bb… |
| 06-13 04:19:46 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc7fb67… |
| 06-13 04:19:46 | Virtual-Methodology 0xd95d…c71b | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xc7fb67… |
| 06-13 04:06:12 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc4bdf4… |
| 06-13 04:06:12 | Taut-Bicycle 0x974e…fb14 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xc4bdf4… |
| 06-13 03:34:45 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8e5905… |
| 06-13 03:34:45 | Productive-Semicolon 0x4861…ca41 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8e5905… |
| 06-13 03:32:40 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x55ab40… |
| 06-13 03:32:40 | Personal-Meatloaf 0x1328…4315 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x55ab40… |
| 06-13 03:29:43 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x653e87… |
| 06-13 03:29:43 | Truthful-Cage 0x3e4b…c6bd | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x653e87… |
| 06-13 03:26:28 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9047ab… |
| 06-13 03:26:28 | Aching-Rite 0x8fe2…f8e3 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x9047ab… |
| 06-13 03:19:54 | Starry-Committee 0x17e1…c397 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xb55d27… |
| 06-13 03:19:54 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb55d27… |
| 06-13 03:19:06 | Untrue-Littleneck 0x6fef…6e17 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x9b25e2… |
| 06-13 03:19:06 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9b25e2… |
| 06-12 23:25:24 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x734536… |
| 06-12 23:25:24 | (anonymous) 0x9159…707d | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x734536… |
| 06-12 17:34:51 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x39f7ff… |
| 06-12 17:34:51 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x39f7ff… |
| 06-12 15:06:25 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 517 | 3¢ | $17 | 0xeedf14… |
| 06-12 15:06:25 | Heavenly-Cassava 0x753c…e3ad | No | BUY | 517 | 97¢ | $500 | 0xeedf14… |
| 06-12 13:09:15 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 26 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc54c57… |
| 06-12 13:09:15 | Our-Operating 0x252f…4f62 | No | SELL | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0xc54c57… |
| 06-12 11:52:57 | (anonymous) 0x1273…de93 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x38f03e… |
| 06-12 11:52:57 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 51 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x38f03e… |