Moist-Order — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56

Unrealized P&L

+$199

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

7,909

lifetime

Volume

$1.33M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$169

Open exposure

$23.8K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 23:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

74% 100% +$56

Politics

24% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	+7,978	$7,842	99¢	$7.9K	+$77	06-09 09:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+3,924	$3,612	92¢	$3.6K	+$1	06-10 06:02
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	+3,248	$3,202	99¢	$3.2K	+$27	06-10 01:51
Trump out as President by June 30?	No	+2,838	$2,792	99¢	$2.8K	+$27	06-06 14:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+2,502	$2,427	99¢	$2.5K	+$44	06-10 01:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+2,209	$2,040	93¢	$2.1K	+$13	06-09 17:48
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	+1,712	$1,653	97¢	$1.7K	+$10	06-09 17:44
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?	No	-4	$-4	90¢	$-4	+$0	06-03 12:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	817	$134.6K	87,451	60,473	+26,979	open	—	01-23 07:13
trump out as president by march 31	611	$96.6K	45,297	52,338	-7,041	open	—	03-25 12:26
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	556	$78.5K	39,095	40,914	-1,819	open	—	03-22 09:11
Trump out as President by April 30?	429	$69.7K	36,221	34,641	+1,579	open	—	04-24 06:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	337	$49.8K	26,745	24,540	+2,205	open	—	02-08 13:26
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	732	$32.8K	17,849	15,163	+2,686	open	—	06-10 01:51
will israel nuke iran by january 31	166	$29.7K	14,513	15,356	-843	open	—	01-24 16:31
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	107	$25.3K	15,192	10,379	+4,813	open	—	06-09 09:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	560	$22.1K	12,485	11,208	+1,277	open	—	06-09 17:48
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	179	$21.9K	13,941	9,641	+4,301	open	—	06-10 06:02
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	15	$20.8K	30,056	0	+30,056	open	—	02-02 01:58
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	54	$20.3K	14,258	6,132	+8,125	open	—	03-10 16:36
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	449	$16.9K	54,195	28,861	+25,334	open	—	01-20 16:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	85	$16.3K	9,114	9,114	+0	open	—	06-10 01:34
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	49	$15.3K	21,046	1,224	+19,821	open	—	01-29 14:44
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	79	$14.3K	7,063	7,535	-473	open	—	01-10 05:04
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	52	$14.0K	11,103	2,967	+8,136	open	—	01-31 16:03
will the government shutdown last 2 days or more	58	$13.9K	8,337	5,653	+2,684	open	—	02-01 02:23
Trump out as President by June 30?	87	$12.7K	7,855	5,017	+2,838	open	—	06-06 14:56
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	9	$11.9K	6,487	5,487	+1,000	open	—	01-03 10:07
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	71	$11.7K	9,024	2,822	+6,202	open	—	01-23 03:46
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	27	$11.6K	11,664	0	+11,664	open	—	02-02 17:19
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	7	$11.4K	11,368	0	+11,368	open	—	02-03 04:34
another us government shutdown by february 14	117	$11.3K	7,057	7,641	-584	open	—	02-13 06:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	18	$10.6K	10,712	0	+10,712	open	—	06-01 13:38
afc u23 final china vs japan	56	$10.4K	9,378	1,119	+8,259	open	—	01-24 18:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Up	+$10	05-07 13:30
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	18	$9.9K	9,959	0	+9,959	open	—	04-09 17:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	4	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	05-14 17:13
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	116	$8.9K	4,407	4,506	-99	open	—	02-16 05:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:02:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x9c93ae…
06-10 01:51:43	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xa410c2…
06-10 01:34:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$492	0x1d65f2…
06-10 01:33:27	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x72a806…
06-10 01:32:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x58a531…
06-10 01:27:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	389	98¢	$383	0x9690a1…
06-10 01:05:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xb02691…
06-10 01:03:42	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x27dc06…
06-10 01:03:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	262	98¢	$258	0xeb5274…
06-09 23:35:34	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x88e07f…
06-09 23:23:25	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0xde5e17…
06-09 22:59:06	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2a3efa…
06-09 22:21:37	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	67	99¢	$67	0x2620ec…
06-09 22:17:18	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x15c5de…
06-09 22:16:06	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x41472e…
06-09 22:01:49	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x9dbd9e…
06-09 21:52:28	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x02d80b…
06-09 21:40:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$489	0x12df2c…
06-09 21:28:37	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf84f7a…
06-09 21:00:34	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcbab59…
06-09 20:51:24	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x77470e…
06-09 20:29:07	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0x141564…
06-09 20:14:37	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xafd407…
06-09 20:02:01	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xe3c1f0…
06-09 19:50:03	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf1ecfa…
06-09 19:40:33	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbe07ab…
06-09 19:25:06	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xd7b95f…
06-09 19:24:19	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x4bc812…
06-09 19:03:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xbb35fe…
06-09 18:50:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	189	98¢	$186	0x9c365e…
06-09 18:47:43	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	984	92¢	$905	0xe68268…
06-09 17:48:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0xbbae66…
06-09 17:48:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$464	0xb49ba1…
06-09 17:46:09	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0x85ed4f…
06-09 17:45:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x716a2f…
06-09 17:44:54	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x27ddda…
06-09 17:32:25	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x3a252d…
06-09 17:20:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	278	98¢	$273	0x20124e…
06-09 17:15:48	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xfc5851…
06-09 17:13:28	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x81550b…
06-09 17:12:28	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf036c3…
06-09 17:12:24	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x7182c9…
06-09 17:03:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	189	98¢	$185	0x349e2f…
06-09 16:57:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$491	0x07646c…
06-09 16:52:28	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x3f8b45…
06-09 16:36:03	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xb1ef0e…
06-09 16:15:57	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x46ff6b…
06-09 16:14:43	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x43d2f2…
06-09 16:13:54	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x54b943…
06-09 16:09:09	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa0fb4f…
06-09 16:03:15	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x6f0b9c…
06-09 15:59:33	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x7884dd…
06-09 15:51:03	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0xf6499a…
06-09 15:36:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	300	93¢	$280	0x522038…
06-09 15:31:42	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	67	99¢	$67	0xb34c85…
06-09 15:24:40	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c722b…
06-09 15:24:27	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2224f…
06-09 15:12:06	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x1ecfeb…
06-09 14:49:16	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0xe064a8…
06-09 14:47:27	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x9e4036…
06-09 14:44:00	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x2d58ad…
06-09 14:43:45	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xb964ed…
06-09 14:36:30	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x569f08…
06-09 14:36:22	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xc17c69…
06-09 14:26:57	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x6d8cd5…
06-09 14:26:30	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14de7b…
06-09 14:22:10	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	197	99¢	$196	0x6ad827…
06-09 14:15:40	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe9e201…
06-09 14:06:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	500	93¢	$466	0xfa95d2…
06-09 13:56:24	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xa15fce…
06-09 13:52:12	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x3defe7…
06-09 13:31:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x31c06a…
06-09 13:29:37	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x6fe9ca…
06-09 12:43:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$462	0x7ec933…
06-09 12:35:49	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$463	0xd15fd9…
06-09 12:25:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	74	93¢	$69	0x3c65f7…
06-09 12:05:54	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	94	93¢	$87	0x08c020…
06-09 11:56:30	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x7c0d27…
06-09 11:55:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	400	93¢	$372	0x8ae0e5…
06-09 11:51:21	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x420759…
06-09 11:44:55	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x1fb3c2…
06-09 11:43:01	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0xf056ac…
06-09 11:40:12	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x1b40ab…
06-09 11:22:19	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xc49155…
06-09 11:14:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x398649…
06-09 11:13:06	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0e0f57…
06-09 11:02:03	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x761a63…
06-09 10:56:04	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xe0c928…
06-09 10:53:51	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xd871ca…
06-09 10:37:27	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xce2ad0…
06-09 10:03:18	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xde3925…
06-09 09:55:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x32cb90…
06-09 09:51:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$23	0x3553ef…
06-09 09:50:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x3cd178…
06-09 09:37:03	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	112	99¢	$112	0xf85702…
06-09 09:34:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	461	99¢	$458	0xf7b341…
06-09 09:33:40	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd7dcb6…
06-09 09:33:34	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x7811e9…
06-09 09:29:51	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc60a8b…
06-09 09:27:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x50df5e…