Realized P&L
+$56
Unrealized P&L
+$382
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
12,054
lifetime
Volume
$1.85M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$154
Open exposure
$11.1K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 06:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
69% 100% +$56
Politics
28%
Sports
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +3,409 $3,267 99¢ $3.4K +$96 07-20 12:46
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -3,453 $-3,330 95¢ $-3278 +$51 07-21 06:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,745 $1,619 96¢ $1.7K +$51 07-20 18:44
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1,451 $1,167 88¢ $1.3K +$118 07-20 23:29
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +500 $440 90¢ $448 +$8 07-06 08:56
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? No +269 $258 96¢ $257 $-1 07-08 18:37
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +242 $202 94¢ $229 +$27 07-11 11:25
Trump out as President before 2027? No -196 $-205 92¢ $-181 +$24 07-19 05:36
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No +117 $114 97¢ $114 +$0 07-17 16:27
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +82 $80 98¢ $80 +$0 07-21 07:43
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? No +51 $49 97¢ $49 $-0 07-10 07:20
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026? No -43 $-39 90¢ $-39 +$0 07-20 23:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +28 $20 96¢ $27 +$7 07-21 07:46
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +21 $20 97¢ $21 +$0 07-21 03:51
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? Yes +18 $15 98¢ $17 +$3 07-09 10:43
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? No +18 $3 $0 $-2 06-21 20:32