Realized P&L
+$8.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$741
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
320
Trades
19,657
lifetime
Volume
$3.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$154
Open exposure
$10.4K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 18:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Other
74% 92% +$8,091
Politics
23% 93% +$561
Sports
2% 89% +$63
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 198 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +3,887 $3,557 96¢ $3.7K +$192 10-26 19:45
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,824 $2,605 96¢ $2.7K +$96 10-26 13:02
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? No +1,549 $1,485 95¢ $1.5K -$9 10-25 23:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,016 -$1,323 98¢ $-996 +$327 10-24 20:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? No +500 $453 100¢ $499 +$46 10-25 03:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +500 $452 94¢ $468 +$15 10-25 15:44
Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +268 $232 82¢ $221 -$11 10-24 17:25
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -204 -$196 94¢ $-193 +$3 08-14 10:23
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +45 $39 99¢ $44 +$5 07-11 04:04
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$13 98¢ $-10 +$3 05-14 03:40
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No +1 -$12 98¢ $1 +$13 10-18 15:41
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +45 $0 1¢ $0 $0 07-04 17:17
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +0 -$16 99¢ $0 +$16 09-22 00:32
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -0 -$44 97¢ $-0 +$44 10-26 01:44
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 -$1 99¢ $0 +$1 08-20 18:03