Moist-Order — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

12,921

lifetime

Volume

$2.02M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

70% 100% +$56

Politics

28% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1,441	$194.7K	98,265	97,654	+611	open	—	07-26 15:45
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	817	$134.6K	87,451	60,473	+26,979	open	—	01-23 07:13
trump out as president by march 31	611	$96.6K	45,297	52,338	-7,041	open	—	03-25 12:26
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1,478	$88.7K	45,887	43,358	+2,529	open	—	06-25 05:13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1,720	$78.9K	45,798	46,329	-531	open	—	08-09 18:44
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	556	$78.5K	39,095	40,914	-1,819	open	—	03-22 09:11
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	405	$70.2K	37,600	37,473	+127	open	—	08-06 07:47
Trump out as President by April 30?	429	$69.7K	36,221	34,641	+1,579	open	—	04-24 06:43
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	303	$54.1K	28,535	27,437	+1,097	open	—	08-09 18:06
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	337	$49.8K	26,745	24,540	+2,205	open	—	02-08 13:26
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	495	$47.6K	24,534	24,268	+265	open	—	08-10 07:42
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	162	$41.1K	22,392	19,075	+3,317	open	—	06-22 14:31
will israel nuke iran by january 31	166	$29.7K	14,513	15,356	-843	open	—	01-24 16:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	124	$28.5K	15,333	15,323	+10	open	—	06-11 17:48
Trump out as President by June 30?	127	$25.0K	14,424	10,810	+3,614	open	—	06-24 11:13
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	28	$21.8K	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	08-09 12:36
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	15	$20.8K	30,056	0	+30,056	open	—	02-02 01:58
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	54	$20.3K	14,258	6,132	+8,125	open	—	03-10 16:36
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	449	$16.9K	54,195	28,861	+25,334	open	—	01-20 16:00
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	49	$15.3K	21,046	1,224	+19,821	open	—	01-29 14:44
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	25	$14.9K	7,498	7,498	+0	open	—	07-13 18:42
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	43	$14.4K	8,193	8,550	-357	open	—	08-06 14:36
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	79	$14.3K	7,063	7,535	-473	open	—	01-10 05:04
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	68	$14.2K	7,600	7,600	+0	open	—	08-01 13:57
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	52	$14.0K	11,103	2,967	+8,136	open	—	01-31 16:03
will the government shutdown last 2 days or more	58	$13.9K	8,337	5,653	+2,684	open	—	02-01 02:23
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	9	$11.9K	6,487	5,487	+1,000	open	—	01-03 10:07
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	71	$11.7K	9,024	2,822	+6,202	open	—	01-23 03:46
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	27	$11.6K	11,664	0	+11,664	open	—	02-02 17:19
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	7	$11.4K	11,368	0	+11,368	open	—	02-03 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 20:24:42	spx opens up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	6,000	100¢	$5,994	0xc8e495…
08-10 19:51:21	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	247	98¢	$241	0x779beb…
08-10 19:14:06	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	253	98¢	$246	0x3250cd…
08-10 17:57:48	spx opens up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5061c4…
08-10 17:56:33	spx opens up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x40fcf8…
08-10 16:39:45	spx opens up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb072e…
08-10 16:10:16	spx opens up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb2b6cb…
08-10 13:37:15	spx opens up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x969569…
08-10 13:32:21	spx opens up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9e6456…
08-10 13:31:19	spx opens up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0xac0b5c…
08-10 07:42:39	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0xfd25a5…
08-10 07:28:01	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x94e585…
08-10 07:18:01	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5a1975…
08-10 06:55:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	542	91¢	$493	0xac28c6…
08-10 06:43:43	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x90eb19…
08-10 05:26:27	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x57f751…
08-10 03:44:00	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xefc800…
08-10 03:20:09	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x6d4a6a…
08-10 02:49:33	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6ce2a6…
08-10 01:44:07	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0xb6f86b…
08-10 01:01:24	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$486	0x6ece53…
08-09 18:44:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	832	96¢	$802	0xeb691f…
08-09 18:30:36	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x2e62d0…
08-09 18:20:31	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0xc74672…
08-09 18:06:06	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xcf6578…
08-09 18:03:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	372	96¢	$357	0x961a5f…
08-09 17:44:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xf2a644…
08-09 17:43:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xef2107…
08-09 17:29:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x37c4e5…
08-09 17:23:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbdb9ac…
08-09 17:10:16	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x92b50c…
08-09 16:59:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4f6059…
08-09 16:49:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x45894d…
08-09 16:47:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x370e7a…
08-09 16:28:07	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x0bffa7…
08-09 16:27:45	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x82e9cb…
08-09 16:24:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x76693c…
08-09 16:22:04	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	105	97¢	$103	0x5fd87c…
08-09 16:09:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x00a59c…
08-09 15:54:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa83a4b…
08-09 15:50:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	82	96¢	$78	0x2f856d…
08-09 15:48:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xded064…
08-09 15:34:22	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	309	99¢	$305	0xec2f55…
08-09 15:18:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8c60ea…
08-09 15:12:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x969825…
08-09 15:11:48	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc66bf4…
08-09 15:09:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeb209b…
08-09 15:08:27	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x27746c…
08-09 14:51:27	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x0b21cb…
08-09 14:45:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	161	96¢	$155	0x87f415…
08-09 12:36:55	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	4,000	99¢	$3,976	0xe67d19…
08-09 12:30:45	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,986	0xc9481f…
08-09 09:55:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	891	96¢	$858	0x0cfec5…
08-09 09:48:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x20e631…
08-09 09:39:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xdbf401…
08-09 09:36:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x4463c1…
08-09 09:30:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf2f789…
08-09 09:24:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1c0aca…
08-09 09:22:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	120	96¢	$115	0x9299b1…
08-09 09:22:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x6d2170…
08-09 09:21:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0xbb1edb…
08-09 09:07:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0686be…
08-09 09:05:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x8a9f40…
08-09 09:05:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x95798e…
08-09 08:57:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x52cd85…
08-09 08:54:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xaae576…
08-09 08:31:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd7e617…
08-09 08:25:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd5e556…
08-09 08:24:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf0718f…
08-09 08:13:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	77	96¢	$74	0x3cc0d3…
08-09 08:11:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd68c05…
08-09 08:10:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xb4d8ce…
08-09 07:28:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc83ee0…
08-09 07:24:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x20d0cc…
08-09 07:23:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x351923…
08-09 07:18:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x61ecbf…
08-09 06:54:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbe0b39…
08-09 06:43:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd958c0…
08-09 06:37:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x355ac5…
08-09 06:36:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x84a674…
08-09 06:30:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x56fc37…
08-09 06:21:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb23e0c…
08-09 06:21:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x64c910…
08-09 06:06:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaf1df6…
08-09 05:38:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	273	96¢	$262	0xfdb2c0…
08-09 05:29:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	415	96¢	$399	0x1117ad…
08-09 05:19:16	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,984	0xe7952e…
08-09 05:03:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x23b6b4…
08-09 04:53:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x7511ac…
08-09 04:53:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x6b5c1f…
08-09 04:19:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$25	0x9f74d8…
08-09 04:10:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0xa39d93…
08-09 04:02:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xff0fc7…
08-09 03:59:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfcf290…
08-09 03:56:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	536	96¢	$515	0x1e7d10…
08-09 03:34:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	281	96¢	$270	0x4e108c…
08-09 03:34:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xac34e8…
08-09 03:34:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xcdee5d…
08-09 03:22:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0xb9a8e8…
08-09 03:19:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x50576c…