Realized P&L
+$56
Unrealized P&L
+$531
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
9,559
lifetime
Volume
$1.55M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$162
Open exposure
$23.8K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
76% 100% +$56
Politics
22%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +7,237 $7,100 100¢ $7.2K +$130 06-22 14:31
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +5,474 $5,385 100¢ $5.5K +$84 06-25 05:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +3,504 $3,390 100¢ $3.5K +$110 06-11 17:48
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +3,232 $3,099 98¢ $3.2K +$60 06-29 16:42
Trump out as President by June 30? No +2,321 $2,267 100¢ $2.3K +$52 06-24 11:13
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,624 $1,476 94¢ $1.5K +$45 06-29 14:33
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by June 30, 2026? No +500 $499 99¢ $496 $-3 06-30 13:41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -75 $-125 95¢ $-71 +$53 06-24 12:33
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026? No -4 $-4 90¢ $-4 +$0 06-03 12:59
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? No +18 $3 12¢ $2 $-1 06-21 20:32