Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
open
Total volume
$49,613
$15,257 in 24h
Trades
502
Unique wallets
179
Liquidity
$104,088
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2027-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-11 23:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+77.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $390
vs crowd: 22% YES on $31.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $152 | — | +$152 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $1.3K | $3.4K | $2.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 30 | $2.3K | $17.9K | $15.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 124 | $3.3K | $3.3K | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $390 | — | +$390 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $634 | $760 | $126 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $503 | — | +$503 |
| Median | 17 | $67 | $503 | $436 |
| Below median | 13 | $42 | $358 | $316 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $123 | $250 | $127 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $610 | $6.9K | $6.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $144 | — | +$144 |
| unranked | 100 | $4.5K | $15.9K | $11.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | +12,857 | $10,941 | $10,941 | 13 | 06-02 06:45 |
| Babyish-Examination 0xac29…36c7 | Yes | +12,180 | $1,827 | $1,827 | 27 | 06-01 14:08 |
| Devoted-Offramp 0x527b…eb08 | Yes | +6,156 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 05-31 20:11 |
| Wilted-Airfield-Diaphragm 0x6779…2ff6 | No | +4,096 | $3,483 | $3,483 | 11 | 06-09 01:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1545…3599 | Yes | +2,785 | $428 | $428 | 1 | 06-06 13:55 |
| Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | +1,996 | $299 | $299 | 12 | 06-11 05:07 |
| Constant-Flag 0xcfeb…3365 | Yes | +1,994 | $289 | $289 | 8 | 06-02 06:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x406c…dfe9 | No | +1,700 | $1,445 | $1,445 | 3 | 06-10 15:38 |
| Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | +1,632 | $1,400 | $1,400 | 2 | 06-03 05:36 |
| Buoyant-Migration 0xf74a…dad9 | Yes | +1,616 | $234 | $234 | 13 | 06-03 05:36 |
| Swift-Lightning 0x09e3…48ac | No | +1,520 | $1,282 | $1,282 | 2 | 05-31 20:11 |
| Our-Metro 0xbdd7…6497 | Yes | +1,021 | $153 | $153 | 2 | 06-07 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +1,000 | $840 | $840 | 11 | 06-11 17:31 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +764 | $107 | $107 | 2 | 06-03 03:05 |
| Unfit-Parenthesis 0xaf7d…314e | Yes | +652 | $100 | $100 | 5 | 06-03 08:14 |
| Rare-Growth 0x0f9b…7829 | No | +604 | $508 | $508 | 5 | 05-28 09:30 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +600 | $516 | $516 | 1 | 06-05 14:03 |
| Insistent-Mailer 0xc2c8…10ff | Yes | +600 | $93 | $93 | 5 | 06-09 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4ac…448a | Yes | +544 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 06-03 14:59 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +500 | $420 | $420 | 8 | 06-09 14:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x8351…656b | Yes | +489 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 06-01 14:08 |
| Worthwhile-Piece 0xa4c3…bbb2 | No | +460 | $393 | $393 | 3 | 06-07 02:16 |
| Stingy-Thief 0x1fe9…ffe0 | Yes | +375 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 06-01 12:31 |
| Satisfied-Trolley 0x2dc4…d440 | Yes | +355 | $47 | $253 | 7 | 06-01 23:07 |
| Academic-Nurture 0xe5c2…94e1 | Yes | +312 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-03 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc29d…776d | Yes | +312 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-07 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | +308 | $256 | $256 | 1 | 06-11 15:13 |
| Rotating-Fault 0x405b…755c | No | +300 | $252 | $252 | 2 | 05-29 02:08 |
| Turbulent-Biplane 0x9198…6b2f | Yes | +298 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-29 00:29 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +298 | $15 | $745 | 23 | 06-11 23:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xe251…f8b1 | Yes | +285 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-11 10:53 |
| Nutty-Atelier 0x8725…eb10 | Yes | +240 | $36 | $36 | 8 | 06-04 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ee9…b9e2 | No | +233 | $201 | $201 | 1 | 06-02 16:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xffa6…08fe | Yes | +220 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-28 08:45 |
| Enchanting-Providence 0x8aa6…266d | No | +220 | $187 | $187 | 1 | 05-29 18:22 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +219 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 06-01 04:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f3f…10ba | Yes | +210 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-03 03:05 |
| Intent-Century 0x922e…5dd2 | Yes | +200 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-06 13:10 |
| Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | Yes | +200 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 06-03 03:05 |
| Good-Natured-Halfsister 0xd584…aa62 | No | +200 | $172 | $172 | 1 | 06-02 08:14 |
| Exciting-Manhunt 0x8fe2…952c | No | +199 | $170 | $170 | 3 | 06-04 14:57 |
| Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | +197 | $165 | $165 | 3 | 06-11 04:04 |
| Aching-Separation 0x686b…a44f | No | +195 | $168 | $271 | 5 | 06-07 08:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fc3…1f1f | Yes | +188 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-11 01:14 |
| Shameless-Caper 0x5b7f…01b0 | No | +175 | $150 | $150 | 3 | 06-05 13:10 |
| Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | +156 | $32 | $248 | 13 | 06-07 09:46 |
| Masculine-Copy 0x6bb1…09c8 | No | +150 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 05-29 08:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e84…ef69 | Yes | +143 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-03 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xcffd…65cc | Yes | +130 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-09 10:34 |
| Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | +125 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-10 18:07 |
| Authentic-Ninja 0xe740…f9e3 | No | +120 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 05-30 08:44 |
| Hoarse-Seed 0xcd4a…6570 | No | +116 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-02 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d13…f01e | Yes | +102 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-06 19:50 |
| Hairy-Member 0xc288…45d9 | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 06-01 00:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9be…c838 | No | +70 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-05 03:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x78ae…ff33 | No | +60 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-08 08:55 |
| Fluid-Message 0x55cd…8fc1 | No | +59 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-30 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1a4…7c97 | No | +58 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-03 06:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 23:39:03 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x72ea5b… |
| 06-11 23:39:03 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…88eb | No | BUY | 24 | 85¢ | $20 | 0x72ea5b… |
| 06-11 22:10:36 | (anonymous) 0x811c…bea2 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x747337… |
| 06-11 22:10:36 | (anonymous) 0x5c73…c4bb | Yes | BUY | 107 | 15¢ | $16 | 0x747337… |
| 06-11 22:10:36 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 24 | 85¢ | $20 | 0x747337… |
| 06-11 22:10:36 | (anonymous) 0x4d96…3fd7 | Yes | BUY | 92 | 15¢ | $14 | 0x747337… |
| 06-11 22:10:36 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x747337… |
| 06-11 22:10:36 | Unwelcome-Grin 0x0404…8353 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 15¢ | $60 | 0x747337… |
| 06-11 22:10:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 53 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x747337… |
| 06-11 19:38:46 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 250 | 15¢ | $38 | 0x202b3d… |
| 06-11 19:38:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 250 | 15¢ | $38 | 0x202b3d… |
| 06-11 17:31:06 | (anonymous) 0x9c93…ce00 | No | SELL | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x6cbb7c… |
| 06-11 17:31:06 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x6cbb7c… |
| 06-11 15:43:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x785e83… |
| 06-11 15:43:37 | (anonymous) 0x4411…d147 | No | BUY | 35 | 85¢ | $30 | 0x785e83… |
| 06-11 15:15:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xdf1dcf… |
| 06-11 15:15:15 | Funny-Outlay 0x74c1…0f3c | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xdf1dcf… |
| 06-11 15:13:13 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 123 | 84¢ | $103 | 0x41c2c4… |
| 06-11 15:13:13 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 308 | 83¢ | $256 | 0x41c2c4… |
| 06-11 15:13:13 | (anonymous) 0x0c37…4049 | No | SELL | 686 | 83¢ | $570 | 0x41c2c4… |
| 06-11 15:13:13 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 17¢ | $34 | 0x41c2c4… |
| 06-11 14:06:45 | Truthful-Cage 0x3e4b…c6bd | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xb695f5… |
| 06-11 14:06:45 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xb695f5… |
| 06-11 13:07:16 | (anonymous) 0x8f1e…4dbb | No | SELL | 35 | 84¢ | $30 | 0xfdf8c9… |
| 06-11 13:07:16 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 35 | 84¢ | $30 | 0xfdf8c9… |
| 06-11 11:12:15 | Jealous-Reflection 0x46f8…64e3 | No | SELL | 36 | 84¢ | $30 | 0xf7d846… |
| 06-11 11:12:15 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 36 | 84¢ | $30 | 0xf7d846… |
| 06-11 10:53:19 | (anonymous) 0xe251…f8b1 | Yes | BUY | 285 | 16¢ | $46 | 0x1f4d56… |
| 06-11 10:53:19 | Meek-Aircraft 0x1066…81bc | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x1f4d56… |
| 06-11 10:53:19 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 17¢ | $11 | 0x1f4d56… |
| 06-11 10:53:19 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 200 | 84¢ | $168 | 0x1f4d56… |
| 06-11 05:07:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x5c7bc7… |
| 06-11 05:07:55 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | BUY | 149 | 15¢ | $22 | 0x5c7bc7… |
| 06-11 05:07:55 | (anonymous) 0xc74e…9006 | Yes | SELL | 160 | 15¢ | $24 | 0x5c7bc7… |
| 06-11 04:04:24 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | BUY | 19 | 84¢ | $16 | 0xa7ecbb… |
| 06-11 04:04:24 | Strident-Favor 0x0b89…4879 | No | SELL | 19 | 84¢ | $16 | 0xa7ecbb… |
| 06-11 02:09:10 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | BUY | 118 | 84¢ | $99 | 0x88157f… |
| 06-11 02:09:10 | Milky-Interferometer 0xcf06…2417 | No | SELL | 118 | 84¢ | $99 | 0x88157f… |
| 06-11 01:14:40 | (anonymous) 0x9fc3…1f1f | Yes | BUY | 188 | 16¢ | $30 | 0x655125… |
| 06-11 01:14:40 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 127 | 16¢ | $20 | 0x655125… |
| 06-11 01:14:40 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | BUY | 61 | 84¢ | $51 | 0x655125… |
| 06-11 00:40:18 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc4562f… |
| 06-11 00:40:18 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc4562f… |
| 06-10 21:54:42 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x180ff8… |
| 06-10 21:54:42 | (anonymous) 0xc430…6531 | No | SELL | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0x180ff8… |
| 06-10 20:04:15 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xc00312… |
| 06-10 20:04:15 | Subdued-Mrna 0xacbf…be73 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xc00312… |
| 06-10 18:07:36 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 124 | 16¢ | $20 | 0x90e7bf… |
| 06-10 18:07:36 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x90e7bf… |
| 06-10 18:07:36 | Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 16¢ | $20 | 0x90e7bf… |
| 06-10 17:22:52 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x54ca39… |
| 06-10 17:22:52 | (anonymous) 0x35ae…f93a | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x54ca39… |
| 06-10 15:38:40 | (anonymous) 0x406c…dfe9 | No | BUY | 1,500 | 85¢ | $1,275 | 0x25fff3… |
| 06-10 15:38:40 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | BUY | 1,500 | 15¢ | $225 | 0x25fff3… |
| 06-10 15:04:07 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x90d453… |
| 06-10 15:04:07 | (anonymous) 0x406c…dfe9 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x90d453… |
| 06-10 14:50:54 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x1a0a26… |
| 06-10 14:50:54 | Super-Stab 0x2377…4186 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x1a0a26… |
| 06-10 14:19:34 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | BUY | 26 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x1b4cd5… |
| 06-10 14:19:34 | Smug-Blackberry 0x36b6…38a3 | No | BUY | 26 | 85¢ | $22 | 0x1b4cd5… |
| 06-10 07:50:25 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | BUY | 45 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x6d8c1c… |
| 06-10 07:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x3d4e…68b1 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x6d8c1c… |
| 06-10 03:45:30 | Milky-Interferometer 0xcf06…2417 | No | BUY | 118 | 85¢ | $100 | 0xe1d8e1… |
| 06-10 03:45:30 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | BUY | 118 | 15¢ | $18 | 0xe1d8e1… |
| 06-10 02:57:00 | Buzzing-Teriyaki 0xd286…d55d | No | BUY | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x37e981… |
| 06-10 02:57:00 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x37e981… |
| 06-10 02:16:15 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xae978a… |
| 06-10 02:16:15 | (anonymous) 0x35ae…f93a | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xae978a… |
| 06-09 16:02:06 | Insistent-Mailer 0xc2c8…10ff | Yes | BUY | 56 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x43379d… |
| 06-09 16:02:06 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | BUY | 44 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x43379d… |
| 06-09 16:02:06 | (anonymous) 0x406c…dfe9 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x43379d… |
| 06-09 14:27:31 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 205 | 84¢ | $172 | 0x367a73… |
| 06-09 14:27:31 | Noxious-Lumberman 0xecb9…bdd4 | No | SELL | 398 | 84¢ | $334 | 0x367a73… |
| 06-09 14:27:31 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x367a73… |
| 06-09 14:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 187 | 84¢ | $157 | 0x367a73… |
| 06-09 10:34:49 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 130 | 84¢ | $109 | 0x6bec08… |
| 06-09 10:34:49 | (anonymous) 0xcffd…65cc | Yes | BUY | 130 | 16¢ | $21 | 0x6bec08… |
| 06-09 10:13:52 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xd6df70… |
| 06-09 10:13:52 | Worn-Noodles 0xcedd…2719 | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xd6df70… |
| 06-09 07:28:03 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 48 | 84¢ | $40 | 0xcce466… |
| 06-09 07:28:03 | Humongous-Liquid 0x8f64…ec91 | No | SELL | 48 | 84¢ | $40 | 0xcce466… |
| 06-09 03:14:39 | Insistent-Mailer 0xc2c8…10ff | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x546861… |
| 06-09 03:14:39 | (anonymous) 0x81ba…6628 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x546861… |
| 06-09 01:22:19 | Insistent-Mailer 0xc2c8…10ff | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x155542… |
| 06-09 01:22:19 | Wilted-Airfield-Diaphragm 0x6779…2ff6 | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x155542… |
| 06-08 17:48:33 | Nervous-Sheep 0x85e0…5c49 | Yes | SELL | 231 | 15¢ | $35 | 0xbb5108… |
| 06-08 17:48:33 | Insistent-Mailer 0xc2c8…10ff | Yes | BUY | 231 | 15¢ | $35 | 0xbb5108… |
| 06-08 17:42:22 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x0c0fd0… |
| 06-08 17:42:22 | Agonizing-Calculus 0x1d1a…3912 | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x0c0fd0… |
| 06-08 16:52:24 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x08e316… |
| 06-08 16:52:24 | Slight-Island 0x762e…b771 | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x08e316… |
| 06-08 14:45:00 | Watery-Purchase 0xd1ff…46ba | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x44d11a… |
| 06-08 14:45:00 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x44d11a… |
| 06-08 13:14:00 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x9c46c4… |
| 06-08 13:14:00 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 109 | 84¢ | $92 | 0x9c46c4… |
| 06-08 13:14:00 | Nervous-Sheep 0x85e0…5c49 | Yes | BUY | 231 | 16¢ | $37 | 0x9c46c4… |
| 06-08 13:14:00 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9c46c4… |
| 06-08 13:14:00 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 106 | 84¢ | $89 | 0x9c46c4… |
| 06-08 11:03:57 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 94 | 84¢ | $79 | 0x6af1da… |
| 06-08 11:03:57 | (anonymous) 0x8ce8…8c8d | Yes | BUY | 94 | 16¢ | $15 | 0x6af1da… |