(anonymous) 0x716257…b4f2b3
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Realized P&L
-$221
Unrealized P&L
-$43
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved
254
Trades
845
lifetime
Volume
$4.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$165
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-25 10:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Other
81% 41% -$254
Politics
16% 32% +$52
Sports
3% 37% -$20
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +153 $60 44¢ $66 +$6 10-20 10:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +142 $40 17¢ $24 -$16 09-10 10:20
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +465 $29 4¢ $17 -$12 08-13 08:37
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655 Yes +38 $10 26¢ $10 +$0 08-13 08:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +437 $18 2¢ $9 -$9 07-31 10:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +13 $5 60¢ $8 +$3 10-01 14:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +21 $7 32¢ $7 $0 10-25 08:21
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +292 $8 2¢ $6 -$2 07-21 05:40
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +55 $7 11¢ $6 -$1 08-13 08:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +21 $7 22¢ $5 -$2 09-10 10:13
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +16 $4 12¢ $2 -$2 07-31 09:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 09-10 10:18
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +11 $4 8¢ $1 -$3 07-31 09:07
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 $0 07-31 10:57
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +5 $1 14¢ $1 $0 08-13 08:33
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +3 $1 19¢ $1 $0 07-21 05:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 09-10 10:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +7 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 10-20 10:02
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +7 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 07-31 09:07