China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
open
Total volume
$172,911
$1,775 in 24h
Trades
5,129
Unique wallets
1,811
Liquidity
$32,100
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-17 03:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.6¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $7.8K
vs crowd: 11% YES on $93.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $684 | $3.8K | $3.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $942 | $21.9K | $21.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 107 | $4.0K | $15.1K | $11.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,660 | $4.3K | $43.2K | $38.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $619 | $7.1K | $6.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $894 | $3.3K | $2.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $132 | $554 | $422 |
| Median | 445 | $1.4K | $13.0K | $11.7K |
| Below median | 260 | $810 | $8.5K | $7.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $52 | $129 | $77 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $46 | $4.9K | $4.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $413 | $3.4K | $3.0K |
| unranked | 1,043 | $5.6K | $43.0K | $37.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devoted-Offramp 0x527b…eb08 | Yes | +30,477 | $2,861 | $2,861 | 45 | 06-14 22:08 |
| Spanish-Priority 0x4004…c40b | No | +7,985 | $7,138 | $7,138 | 6 | 05-31 20:18 |
| Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | +6,891 | $6,242 | $6,242 | 13 | 06-13 04:55 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +2,306 | $185 | $500 | 68 | 06-17 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x82fd…baba | No | +1,730 | $1,590 | $1,590 | 1 | 05-29 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +1,729 | $128 | $667 | 76 | 06-16 18:10 |
| Authorized-Mayonnaise 0x5238…be0d | No | +1,700 | $1,547 | $1,547 | 8 | 06-03 07:17 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +1,111 | $78 | $78 | 11 | 05-31 18:17 |
| Only-Spirituality 0x5297…7b99 | Yes | +1,000 | $-14 | $674 | 34 | 06-16 00:55 |
| Tattered-Strait 0x6326…01d6 | Yes | +935 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 05-31 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5446…4895 | No | +736 | $677 | $677 | 1 | 06-15 15:20 |
| Medium-Subsidence 0x6dc3…2a13 | No | +700 | $628 | $628 | 2 | 05-31 20:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf43…bdc4 | No | +611 | $545 | $545 | 1 | 06-11 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ee7…ce15 | No | +600 | $536 | $536 | 3 | 06-15 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x541d…032d | Yes | +540 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-10 22:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x108f…7937 | Yes | +537 | $48 | $48 | 5 | 06-10 09:13 |
| Weak-Sanctity 0x21d5…9925 | No | +500 | $435 | $435 | 3 | 06-11 08:34 |
| Immaculate-Hassock 0x84f8…0ff2 | No | +482 | $438 | $438 | 10 | 06-07 09:57 |
| Woozy-Trillion 0xaf7c…70dd | Yes | +440 | $44 | $108 | 7 | 06-16 00:24 |
| Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | Yes | +426 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 06-10 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0a…6fc4 | No | +368 | $333 | $333 | 3 | 06-12 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +356 | $323 | $323 | 37 | 06-15 19:23 |
| Aching-Grandma 0xd239…0230 | No | +351 | $312 | $570 | 7 | 06-14 09:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +346 | $32 | $32 | 40 | 06-15 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb0b…b519 | No | +343 | $308 | $1,676 | 2 | 06-02 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x8895…466d | No | +326 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-02 09:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +309 | $256 | $1,144 | 16 | 06-17 00:29 |
| Gregarious-Return 0x7c30…7673 | No | +300 | $267 | $267 | 3 | 06-15 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | +300 | $266 | $622 | 12 | 06-11 08:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c45…4cca | No | +283 | $260 | $260 | 4 | 06-13 08:58 |
| Old-Pop 0xde7d…499e | No | +276 | $235 | $3,478 | 10 | 06-17 03:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4a5…70a5 | Yes | +273 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-08 11:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x6754…7487 | No | +262 | $241 | $241 | 1 | 06-15 15:14 |
| Artistic-Throne 0x09e2…2675 | No | +250 | $228 | $228 | 1 | 06-04 01:58 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +232 | $14 | $91 | 7 | 06-15 08:23 |
| Unripe-Lion 0x305f…e9ab | No | +226 | $208 | $208 | 1 | 06-17 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5cda…7254 | Yes | +225 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-17 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xcaa5…5059 | No | +210 | $191 | $191 | 1 | 06-09 03:25 |
| Wide-Station 0xac2f…779d | No | +210 | $187 | $187 | 2 | 06-11 08:34 |
| Creative-Diction 0xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | +207 | $27 | $81 | 4 | 06-15 13:17 |
| Sorrowful-Cravat 0xac5a…6578 | Yes | +200 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-30 09:59 |
| Unwritten-Ratepayer 0x9e36…84fa | Yes | +200 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-30 09:59 |
| Overlooked-Dolman 0x30f8…649f | No | +200 | $182 | $182 | 1 | 06-09 05:43 |
| Decimal-Lining 0x23ed…ded5 | No | +200 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 06-12 08:30 |
| Admired-Chime 0xa591…9079 | No | +200 | $177 | $177 | 2 | 06-13 02:48 |
| Knobby-Condominium 0xc15d…7a8e | No | +197 | $177 | $499 | 5 | 06-16 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xd289…7dc9 | No | +186 | $167 | $167 | 1 | 06-16 00:47 |
| Noxious-Cloth 0x1f6b…91b9 | Yes | +171 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-15 07:49 |
| Well-Worn-Infancy 0xd980…5be0 | Yes | +168 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-28 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c9c…f85d | Yes | +163 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 06-15 20:39 |
| Immediate-Geology 0x734c…1d86 | Yes | +154 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-10 18:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 03:04:57 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 131 | 9¢ | $12 | 0xbcc214… |
| 06-17 03:04:57 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xbcc214… |
| 06-17 03:04:57 | Old-Pop 0xde7d…499e | No | SELL | 142 | 91¢ | $129 | 0xbcc214… |
| 06-17 03:03:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 89 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x05193f… |
| 06-17 03:03:55 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xa53842… |
| 06-17 03:03:55 | Short-Butcher 0xe699…3abf | Yes | SELL | 224 | 8¢ | $18 | 0xa53842… |
| 06-17 03:03:55 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 198 | 8¢ | $16 | 0xa53842… |
| 06-17 03:03:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xa53842… |
| 06-17 03:03:55 | (anonymous) 0x812e…21ba | Yes | SELL | 149 | 8¢ | $13 | 0x05193f… |
| 06-17 03:03:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x05193f… |
| 06-17 03:03:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 48 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x5024d0… |
| 06-17 03:03:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 22 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5024d0… |
| 06-17 03:03:48 | Questionable-Carbon 0x1d8c…d785 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x70d041… |
| 06-17 03:03:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x70d041… |
| 06-17 03:03:48 | Specific-Breath 0xebee…1b66 | Yes | SELL | 92 | 9¢ | $8 | 0x5024d0… |
| 06-17 03:03:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x70d041… |
| 06-17 03:03:48 | Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x70d041… |
| 06-17 03:03:48 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0x5024d0… |
| 06-17 02:53:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1a92db… |
| 06-17 02:53:03 | (anonymous) 0xfcb3…6ccc | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x1a92db… |
| 06-17 02:09:10 | Stable-Diary 0x0f8a…06a4 | No | BUY | 99 | 91¢ | $90 | 0x05b015… |
| 06-17 02:09:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 99 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x05b015… |
| 06-17 01:52:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x922399… |
| 06-17 01:52:20 | Frozen-Distribution 0xebbe…cb9c | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x922399… |
| 06-17 01:39:16 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x7d2232… |
| 06-17 01:39:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7d2232… |
| 06-17 01:37:17 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 51 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x331cac… |
| 06-17 01:37:17 | (anonymous) 0x5cda…7254 | Yes | BUY | 225 | 9¢ | $21 | 0x331cac… |
| 06-17 01:37:17 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x331cac… |
| 06-17 01:37:17 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x331cac… |
| 06-17 01:37:17 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x331cac… |
| 06-17 01:10:35 | Popular-Bloom 0x15ea…546d | No | SELL | 32 | 92¢ | $29 | 0x37f509… |
| 06-17 01:10:35 | Skeletal-Sesame 0xea64…22ed | Yes | SELL | 32 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x37f509… |
| 06-17 01:10:35 | Quirky-Lesson 0x49f1…b764 | No | SELL | 191 | 92¢ | $176 | 0xcff7f8… |
| 06-17 01:10:35 | Skeletal-Sesame 0xea64…22ed | Yes | SELL | 191 | 8¢ | $15 | 0xcff7f8… |
| 06-17 01:09:50 | Artistic-Objective 0x09dc…0ffa | No | SELL | 140 | 92¢ | $129 | 0x9d7f46… |
| 06-17 01:09:50 | Artistic-Objective 0x09dc…0ffa | No | SELL | 32 | 92¢ | $29 | 0x0287b1… |
| 06-17 01:09:50 | Quirky-Lesson 0x49f1…b764 | No | BUY | 191 | 92¢ | $176 | 0x9d7f46… |
| 06-17 01:09:50 | Artistic-Objective 0x09dc…0ffa | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0xbfd48f… |
| 06-17 01:09:50 | Quixotic-Tunic 0xe527…784b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbfd48f… |
| 06-17 01:09:50 | Raw-Pad 0xcc88…06dc | No | SELL | 51 | 92¢ | $47 | 0x9d7f46… |
| 06-17 01:09:50 | Popular-Bloom 0x15ea…546d | No | BUY | 32 | 92¢ | $29 | 0x0287b1… |
| 06-17 01:09:23 | Querulous-Sermon 0x7b16…0c68 | No | SELL | 17 | 92¢ | $16 | 0x0316c5… |
| 06-17 01:09:23 | Tattered-Ram 0xc768…71bf | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8107d3… |
| 06-17 01:09:23 | Quixotic-Tunic 0xe527…784b | Yes | SELL | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0316c5… |
| 06-17 01:09:23 | Quixotic-Tunic 0xe527…784b | Yes | SELL | 46 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x8af9d9… |
| 06-17 01:09:23 | Whopping-Singing 0x38ef…7323 | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x8107d3… |
| 06-17 01:09:23 | Whopping-Singing 0x38ef…7323 | No | SELL | 46 | 92¢ | $42 | 0x8af9d9… |
| 06-17 01:09:17 | Tattered-Ram 0xc768…71bf | Yes | SELL | 26 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xe0d175… |
| 06-17 01:09:17 | Tattered-Ram 0xc768…71bf | Yes | SELL | 44 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x8b6c8c… |
| 06-17 01:09:17 | Blushing-Roller 0xa1c6…2151 | No | SELL | 44 | 92¢ | $40 | 0x8b6c8c… |
| 06-17 01:09:17 | Fair-Espalier 0x29a3…729a | No | SELL | 26 | 92¢ | $24 | 0xe0d175… |
| 06-17 01:09:16 | Feline-Hatchling 0xe3e1…84c2 | No | SELL | 35 | 92¢ | $32 | 0x9222fc… |
| 06-17 01:09:16 | Tattered-Ram 0xc768…71bf | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x36d960… |
| 06-17 01:09:16 | Revolving-Exocrine 0xbae8…951c | No | SELL | 42 | 92¢ | $39 | 0x36d960… |
| 06-17 01:09:16 | Scented-Flan 0xfac8…1973 | No | SELL | 35 | 92¢ | $32 | 0x9222fc… |
| 06-17 01:09:16 | Motionless-Tectonics 0x8b7a…6e5d | Yes | SELL | 29 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x36d960… |
| 06-17 01:09:16 | Tattered-Ram 0xc768…71bf | Yes | SELL | 70 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x9222fc… |
| 06-17 01:09:13 | Skeletal-Sesame 0xea64…22ed | Yes | BUY | 35 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x4ed732… |
| 06-17 01:09:13 | Slight-Collard 0xda98…fc26 | Yes | SELL | 97 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x4ed732… |
| 06-17 01:09:13 | Slight-Collard 0xda98…fc26 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xd25062… |
| 06-17 01:09:13 | (anonymous) 0x5604…ba5c | No | SELL | 53 | 92¢ | $49 | 0x4ed732… |
| 06-17 01:09:13 | Feline-Hatchling 0xe3e1…84c2 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x04d526… |
| 06-17 01:09:13 | Busy-Harpooner 0x2207…2979 | No | SELL | 57 | 92¢ | $52 | 0xd25062… |
| 06-17 01:09:13 | Slight-Collard 0xda98…fc26 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x04d526… |
| 06-17 01:09:13 | Offensive-Lava 0x4042…edcb | No | SELL | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x4ed732… |
| 06-17 01:09:11 | Humiliating-Yacht 0x4a3d…2ce0 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x6e4254… |
| 06-17 01:09:11 | Evil-Toy 0x09c3…8e89 | Yes | SELL | 149 | 8¢ | $12 | 0x009201… |
| 06-17 01:09:11 | Buzzing-Appropriation 0xe153…2310 | No | SELL | 35 | 92¢ | $32 | 0x6e4254… |
| 06-17 01:09:11 | Skeletal-Sesame 0xea64…22ed | Yes | BUY | 191 | 8¢ | $15 | 0x009201… |
| 06-17 01:09:11 | Humiliating-Yacht 0x4a3d…2ce0 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x009201… |
| 06-17 01:08:53 | Firsthand-Briefing 0x6292…f10d | No | SELL | 33 | 92¢ | $30 | 0x17be5e… |
| 06-17 01:08:53 | Jumpy-Boutique 0x16a3…e1aa | No | SELL | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x17be5e… |
| 06-17 01:08:53 | Heartfelt-Advice 0xb155…e1f3 | No | SELL | 33 | 92¢ | $30 | 0x17be5e… |
| 06-17 01:08:53 | Shrill-Anteater 0x826f…45bb | Yes | SELL | 75 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x17be5e… |
| 06-17 01:08:52 | Untried-Underpass 0xc951…422b | Yes | SELL | 123 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x77b566… |
| 06-17 01:08:52 | Jumpy-Boutique 0x16a3…e1aa | No | SELL | 24 | 92¢ | $22 | 0x77b566… |
| 06-17 01:08:52 | Suspicious-Hydroxyl 0xce77…2b7d | No | SELL | 28 | 92¢ | $26 | 0x77b566… |
| 06-17 01:08:52 | Ideal-Patentee 0xc5a5…bca4 | No | SELL | 16 | 92¢ | $15 | 0x77b566… |
| 06-17 01:08:52 | Standard-Ignorant 0x2b9d…5315 | No | SELL | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0x77b566… |
| 06-17 01:08:52 | Heavenly-Enthusiasm 0x6ba8…e61a | No | SELL | 33 | 92¢ | $30 | 0x77b566… |
| 06-17 01:08:38 | Suspicious-Appreciation 0xe49e…562b | No | SELL | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0xcc9a6d… |
| 06-17 01:08:38 | Heavy-Blinker 0x6a98…3dfa | No | SELL | 34 | 92¢ | $31 | 0xcc9a6d… |
| 06-17 01:08:38 | Heavy-Blinker 0x6a98…3dfa | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x00db23… |
| 06-17 01:08:38 | Querulous-Sermon 0x7b16…0c68 | No | BUY | 17 | 92¢ | $16 | 0x00db23… |
| 06-17 01:08:38 | Heavenly-Enthusiasm 0x6ba8…e61a | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x00db23… |
| 06-17 01:08:38 | Whopping-Singing 0x38ef…7323 | No | BUY | 49 | 92¢ | $45 | 0xcc9a6d… |
| 06-17 01:08:31 | Blushing-Roller 0xa1c6…2151 | No | BUY | 44 | 92¢ | $40 | 0x4baba5… |
| 06-17 01:08:31 | Entire-Investor 0xe413…6f55 | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x6913e8… |
| 06-17 01:08:31 | Personal-Patrolling 0x285d…74b0 | No | SELL | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0x6913e8… |
| 06-17 01:08:31 | Fair-Espalier 0x29a3…729a | No | BUY | 26 | 92¢ | $24 | 0x530de1… |
| 06-17 01:08:31 | Scented-Flan 0xfac8…1973 | No | BUY | 35 | 92¢ | $32 | 0x1f5dd3… |
| 06-17 01:08:31 | Clear-Observatory 0x639c…9bd7 | No | SELL | 16 | 92¢ | $15 | 0x6913e8… |
| 06-17 01:08:31 | Entire-Investor 0xe413…6f55 | No | SELL | 26 | 92¢ | $24 | 0x530de1… |
| 06-17 01:08:31 | Clear-Observatory 0x639c…9bd7 | No | SELL | 26 | 92¢ | $24 | 0x4baba5… |
| 06-17 01:08:31 | Entire-Investor 0xe413…6f55 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x1f5dd3… |
| 06-17 01:08:31 | Illustrious-Pew 0x077b…9b21 | No | SELL | 18 | 92¢ | $17 | 0x4baba5… |
| 06-17 01:08:31 | Revolving-Exocrine 0xbae8…951c | No | BUY | 42 | 92¢ | $39 | 0x6913e8… |
| 06-17 01:08:31 | Suspicious-Appreciation 0xe49e…562b | No | SELL | 29 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x1f5dd3… |
| 06-17 01:08:28 | (anonymous) 0x246e…68ca | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x6eb008… |