China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
open
Total volume
$178,478
$1,775 in 24h
Trades
5,254
Unique wallets
1,865
Liquidity
$32,100
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-17 16:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.3¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $7.8K
vs crowd: 10% YES on $98.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $686 | $3.8K | $3.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $953 | $22.4K | $21.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 118 | $4.1K | $16.1K | $11.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,703 | $4.5K | $46.0K | $41.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $630 | $7.1K | $6.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $896 | $3.3K | $2.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | $132 | $772 | $640 |
| Median | 477 | $1.5K | $14.8K | $13.3K |
| Below median | 259 | $834 | $9.0K | $8.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $52 | $129 | $77 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $46 | $4.9K | $4.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $413 | $3.4K | $3.0K |
| unranked | 1,062 | $5.7K | $44.8K | $39.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devoted-Offramp 0x527b…eb08 | Yes | +30,477 | $2,861 | $2,861 | 45 | 06-14 22:08 |
| Spanish-Priority 0x4004…c40b | No | +7,985 | $7,138 | $7,138 | 6 | 05-31 20:18 |
| Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | +7,435 | $6,742 | $6,742 | 14 | 06-17 08:11 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +2,306 | $185 | $500 | 68 | 06-17 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x82fd…baba | No | +1,730 | $1,590 | $1,590 | 1 | 05-29 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +1,727 | $128 | $672 | 79 | 06-17 11:14 |
| Authorized-Mayonnaise 0x5238…be0d | No | +1,700 | $1,547 | $1,547 | 8 | 06-03 07:17 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +1,111 | $78 | $78 | 11 | 05-31 18:17 |
| Only-Spirituality 0x5297…7b99 | Yes | +1,000 | $-14 | $674 | 34 | 06-16 00:55 |
| Tattered-Strait 0x6326…01d6 | Yes | +935 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 05-31 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5446…4895 | No | +736 | $677 | $677 | 1 | 06-15 15:20 |
| Medium-Subsidence 0x6dc3…2a13 | No | +700 | $628 | $628 | 2 | 05-31 20:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf43…bdc4 | No | +611 | $545 | $545 | 1 | 06-11 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ee7…ce15 | No | +600 | $536 | $536 | 3 | 06-15 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x541d…032d | Yes | +540 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-10 22:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x108f…7937 | Yes | +537 | $48 | $48 | 5 | 06-10 09:13 |
| Weak-Sanctity 0x21d5…9925 | No | +500 | $435 | $435 | 3 | 06-11 08:34 |
| Immaculate-Hassock 0x84f8…0ff2 | No | +482 | $438 | $438 | 10 | 06-07 09:57 |
| Woozy-Trillion 0xaf7c…70dd | Yes | +440 | $44 | $108 | 7 | 06-16 00:24 |
| Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | Yes | +426 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 06-10 03:55 |
| Leafy-Disclosure 0x2412…8ccb | Yes | +370 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-17 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1613…f271 | Yes | +370 | $30 | $35 | 3 | 06-17 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0a…6fc4 | No | +368 | $333 | $333 | 3 | 06-12 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +356 | $323 | $323 | 37 | 06-15 19:23 |
| Aching-Grandma 0xd239…0230 | No | +351 | $312 | $570 | 7 | 06-14 09:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +346 | $32 | $32 | 40 | 06-15 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb0b…b519 | No | +343 | $308 | $1,676 | 2 | 06-02 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x8895…466d | No | +326 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-02 09:56 |
| Unsung-Skywalk 0xc07e…9c76 | Yes | +313 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-17 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9e6…af19 | Yes | +313 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-17 16:03 |
| Gregarious-Return 0x7c30…7673 | No | +300 | $267 | $267 | 3 | 06-15 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | +300 | $266 | $622 | 12 | 06-11 08:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c45…4cca | No | +283 | $260 | $260 | 4 | 06-13 08:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4a5…70a5 | Yes | +273 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-08 11:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x6754…7487 | No | +262 | $241 | $241 | 1 | 06-15 15:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +259 | $209 | $1,191 | 17 | 06-17 14:05 |
| Artistic-Throne 0x09e2…2675 | No | +250 | $228 | $228 | 1 | 06-04 01:58 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +232 | $14 | $91 | 7 | 06-15 08:23 |
| Intentional-Tepee 0xefc4…24e8 | No | +227 | $209 | $209 | 2 | 06-17 16:04 |
| Neat-Pug 0x671e…6c07 | Yes | +226 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-17 16:05 |
| Rude-Membership 0x8966…6854 | Yes | +226 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-17 16:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x5cda…7254 | Yes | +225 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-17 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xcaa5…5059 | No | +210 | $191 | $191 | 1 | 06-09 03:25 |
| Wide-Station 0xac2f…779d | No | +210 | $187 | $187 | 2 | 06-11 08:34 |
| Creative-Diction 0xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | +207 | $27 | $81 | 4 | 06-15 13:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x9171…a29c | No | +205 | $189 | $189 | 1 | 06-17 16:02 |
| Unwritten-Ratepayer 0x9e36…84fa | Yes | +200 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-30 09:59 |
| Sorrowful-Cravat 0xac5a…6578 | Yes | +200 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-30 09:59 |
| Aching-Retailer 0xbf67…f83d | No | +200 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 06-17 09:37 |
| Decimal-Lining 0x23ed…ded5 | No | +200 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 06-12 08:30 |
| Admired-Chime 0xa591…9079 | No | +200 | $177 | $177 | 2 | 06-13 02:48 |
| Overlooked-Dolman 0x30f8…649f | No | +200 | $182 | $182 | 1 | 06-09 05:43 |
| Knobby-Condominium 0xc15d…7a8e | No | +197 | $177 | $499 | 5 | 06-16 00:47 |
| Quick-Witted-Serial 0x1e21…1eb1 | Yes | +189 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-17 16:04 |
| Honorable-Bail 0x1fed…10b6 | Yes | +189 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-17 16:04 |
| Upbeat-Destroyer 0xa3e4…5b68 | Yes | +176 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 06-17 16:04 |
| Ill-Lot 0x1fb1…7792 | Yes | +176 | $14 | $23 | 6 | 06-17 16:04 |
| Each-Emergency 0x7065…8faf | Yes | +172 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-17 16:07 |
| Filthy-Landing 0xafc8…93fc | Yes | +172 | $14 | $42 | 6 | 06-17 16:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 16:07:32 | Delirious-Experiment 0x9d27…4912 | No | BUY | 31 | 92¢ | $29 | 0x884151… |
| 06-17 16:07:32 | Each-Emergency 0x7065…8faf | Yes | BUY | 172 | 8¢ | $14 | 0x4e5402… |
| 06-17 16:07:32 | Bowed-Database 0x9a5a…1765 | No | BUY | 84 | 92¢ | $77 | 0x884151… |
| 06-17 16:07:32 | Passionate-Glory 0xb43e…cdba | No | BUY | 120 | 92¢ | $110 | 0x4e5402… |
| 06-17 16:07:32 | Mundane-Accusation 0x026b…27a0 | No | BUY | 42 | 92¢ | $39 | 0x7deaac… |
| 06-17 16:07:32 | Mundane-Accusation 0x026b…27a0 | No | BUY | 57 | 92¢ | $52 | 0x884151… |
| 06-17 16:07:32 | Infantile-Rank 0x4be0…a8c6 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x7deaac… |
| 06-17 16:07:32 | Filthy-Landing 0xafc8…93fc | Yes | BUY | 172 | 8¢ | $14 | 0x884151… |
| 06-17 16:07:32 | Salty-Scope 0x0e99…e201 | No | BUY | 29 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x7deaac… |
| 06-17 16:07:32 | Salty-Scope 0x0e99…e201 | No | BUY | 52 | 92¢ | $48 | 0x4e5402… |
| 06-17 16:07:01 | Feline-Cummerbund 0x72ab…d6f6 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6baa98… |
| 06-17 16:07:01 | Subdued-Sideburns 0x563a…5b35 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x4de05f… |
| 06-17 16:07:01 | Loyal-Plaintiff 0x47a5…c5c3 | Yes | BUY | 94 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x6baa98… |
| 06-17 16:07:01 | Subdued-Sideburns 0x563a…5b35 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6baa98… |
| 06-17 16:07:01 | Mammoth-Dueling 0x5984…7e8a | No | BUY | 85 | 92¢ | $78 | 0x4de05f… |
| 06-17 16:07:01 | Complicated-Labour 0xafed…2fba | No | BUY | 126 | 92¢ | $116 | 0x6baa98… |
| 06-17 16:05:38 | Neat-Pug 0x671e…6c07 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x191d87… |
| 06-17 16:05:38 | (anonymous) 0xc5c8…6a35 | No | BUY | 97 | 92¢ | $89 | 0x191d87… |
| 06-17 16:05:35 | Frilly-Membrane 0xface…b456 | No | BUY | 84 | 92¢ | $77 | 0x36d784… |
| 06-17 16:05:35 | Whole-Polyester 0xc990…9d1a | No | BUY | 91 | 92¢ | $84 | 0x69aadf… |
| 06-17 16:05:35 | Rude-Membership 0x8966…6854 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x36d784… |
| 06-17 16:05:35 | Neat-Pug 0x671e…6c07 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x69aadf… |
| 06-17 16:05:34 | Caring-Pawnshop 0xd6fa…6cfe | No | BUY | 68 | 92¢ | $63 | 0x8f52a7… |
| 06-17 16:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x97a8…025c | No | BUY | 112 | 92¢ | $103 | 0x33d688… |
| 06-17 16:05:34 | Rude-Membership 0x8966…6854 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x8f52a7… |
| 06-17 16:05:34 | Rude-Membership 0x8966…6854 | Yes | BUY | 112 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x33d688… |
| 06-17 16:05:34 | Neat-Pug 0x671e…6c07 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x8f52a7… |
| 06-17 16:04:56 | (anonymous) 0xd7c5…ca46 | No | BUY | 109 | 92¢ | $100 | 0xf7f25e… |
| 06-17 16:04:56 | Ill-Lot 0x1fb1…7792 | Yes | BUY | 109 | 8¢ | $9 | 0xf7f25e… |
| 06-17 16:04:55 | Mundane-Knowledge 0x43e9…857a | No | BUY | 89 | 92¢ | $82 | 0xb3d400… |
| 06-17 16:04:55 | Ill-Lot 0x1fb1…7792 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xcc113d… |
| 06-17 16:04:55 | Blushing-Calendar 0xcd3d…0488 | No | BUY | 69 | 92¢ | $63 | 0x35c547… |
| 06-17 16:04:55 | Frightening-Retreat 0x86c9…8a7d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5698c7… |
| 06-17 16:04:55 | Blushing-Calendar 0xcd3d…0488 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x5698c7… |
| 06-17 16:04:55 | Substantial-Biplane 0x256d…a673 | No | BUY | 67 | 92¢ | $62 | 0xcc113d… |
| 06-17 16:04:55 | Substantial-Biplane 0x256d…a673 | No | BUY | 18 | 92¢ | $17 | 0xb126af… |
| 06-17 16:04:55 | Upbeat-Destroyer 0xa3e4…5b68 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb126af… |
| 06-17 16:04:55 | Upbeat-Destroyer 0xa3e4…5b68 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x35c547… |
| 06-17 16:04:55 | Upbeat-Destroyer 0xa3e4…5b68 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 8¢ | $7 | 0xb3d400… |
| 06-17 16:04:44 | (anonymous) 0x7af5…72bf | Yes | BUY | 18 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xaecb77… |
| 06-17 16:04:44 | Intentional-Tepee 0xefc4…24e8 | No | BUY | 38 | 92¢ | $35 | 0xaecb77… |
| 06-17 16:04:44 | Quick-Witted-Serial 0x1e21…1eb1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xaecb77… |
| 06-17 16:04:43 | Quick-Witted-Serial 0x1e21…1eb1 | Yes | BUY | 169 | 8¢ | $14 | 0x871111… |
| 06-17 16:04:43 | Intentional-Tepee 0xefc4…24e8 | No | BUY | 189 | 92¢ | $174 | 0x21a0bc… |
| 06-17 16:04:43 | Tattered-Pitcher 0xf8f1…12df | No | BUY | 169 | 92¢ | $155 | 0x871111… |
| 06-17 16:04:43 | Honorable-Bail 0x1fed…10b6 | Yes | BUY | 189 | 8¢ | $15 | 0x21a0bc… |
| 06-17 16:03:29 | (anonymous) 0xf9e6…af19 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x16b080… |
| 06-17 16:03:29 | Unrealistic-Wall 0x6f14…2898 | No | BUY | 86 | 92¢ | $79 | 0xf9c716… |
| 06-17 16:03:29 | (anonymous) 0xf9e6…af19 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 8¢ | $7 | 0xf9c716… |
| 06-17 16:03:29 | Quarrelsome-Kitchen 0x3d5b…c6a9 | No | BUY | 87 | 92¢ | $80 | 0x16b080… |
| 06-17 16:03:28 | (anonymous) 0xf304…3dc4 | No | BUY | 127 | 92¢ | $117 | 0x2bf198… |
| 06-17 16:03:28 | Unsung-Skywalk 0xc07e…9c76 | Yes | BUY | 281 | 8¢ | $22 | 0x2bf198… |
| 06-17 16:03:28 | Quarrelsome-Kitchen 0x3d5b…c6a9 | No | BUY | 32 | 92¢ | $29 | 0x6b4837… |
| 06-17 16:03:28 | Hurtful-Milk 0x8521…c792 | No | BUY | 154 | 92¢ | $142 | 0x2bf198… |
| 06-17 16:03:28 | Flustered-Compromise 0x4409…61f1 | No | BUY | 140 | 92¢ | $129 | 0x0d19cc… |
| 06-17 16:03:28 | Unsung-Skywalk 0xc07e…9c76 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x6b4837… |
| 06-17 16:03:28 | (anonymous) 0xf9e6…af19 | Yes | BUY | 140 | 8¢ | $11 | 0x0d19cc… |
| 06-17 16:03:26 | Sympathetic-Collectivisation 0x0c99…5e9a | No | BUY | 48 | 92¢ | $44 | 0x72b0bc… |
| 06-17 16:03:26 | (anonymous) 0x6984…1bf1 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x72b0bc… |
| 06-17 16:03:26 | Deafening-Handle 0x69d8…8e2b | No | BUY | 89 | 92¢ | $82 | 0xc49af8… |
| 06-17 16:03:26 | (anonymous) 0xf69f…4565 | Yes | BUY | 137 | 8¢ | $11 | 0xf38063… |
| 06-17 16:03:26 | Sympathetic-Collectivisation 0x0c99…5e9a | No | BUY | 137 | 92¢ | $126 | 0xf38063… |
| 06-17 16:03:26 | (anonymous) 0x6984…1bf1 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 8¢ | $7 | 0xc49af8… |
| 06-17 16:02:26 | Hearty-Point 0x3845…a2d5 | No | BUY | 65 | 92¢ | $60 | 0xf9630e… |
| 06-17 16:02:26 | Well-Made-Drop 0xf716…f579 | No | BUY | 168 | 92¢ | $155 | 0xf9630e… |
| 06-17 16:02:26 | (anonymous) 0xbf9e…2b23 | No | BUY | 49 | 92¢ | $45 | 0xb82809… |
| 06-17 16:02:26 | (anonymous) 0xbf9e…2b23 | No | BUY | 140 | 92¢ | $129 | 0x91a2d0… |
| 06-17 16:02:26 | Hearty-Point 0x3845…a2d5 | No | BUY | 116 | 92¢ | $107 | 0xb82809… |
| 06-17 16:02:26 | (anonymous) 0x34e6…71cc | Yes | BUY | 140 | 8¢ | $11 | 0x91a2d0… |
| 06-17 16:02:26 | (anonymous) 0x1613…f271 | Yes | BUY | 370 | 8¢ | $30 | 0xb82809… |
| 06-17 16:02:26 | Leafy-Disclosure 0x2412…8ccb | Yes | BUY | 370 | 8¢ | $30 | 0xf9630e… |
| 06-17 16:02:26 | Warmhearted-Velvet 0x8a00…f968 | No | BUY | 137 | 92¢ | $126 | 0xf9630e… |
| 06-17 16:02:26 | (anonymous) 0x9171…a29c | No | BUY | 205 | 92¢ | $189 | 0xb82809… |
| 06-17 16:02:19 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…f654 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 8¢ | $11 | 0x2afeb8… |
| 06-17 16:02:19 | Small-Phrase 0xc365…18cf | No | BUY | 112 | 92¢ | $103 | 0xd9275b… |
| 06-17 16:02:19 | Stormy-Duckling 0x4877…5c7f | Yes | BUY | 144 | 8¢ | $12 | 0xd9275b… |
| 06-17 16:02:19 | Burdensome-Dividend 0x79b4…90f9 | No | BUY | 133 | 92¢ | $122 | 0x2afeb8… |
| 06-17 16:02:19 | Burdensome-Dividend 0x79b4…90f9 | No | BUY | 32 | 92¢ | $29 | 0xd9275b… |
| 06-17 14:37:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x16f173… |
| 06-17 14:37:31 | (anonymous) 0x40e0…cb14 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x16f173… |
| 06-17 14:06:46 | (anonymous) 0x95ce…2e96 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x416c5d… |
| 06-17 14:06:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x416c5d… |
| 06-17 14:05:56 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xa6b11a… |
| 06-17 14:05:56 | (anonymous) 0x954a…575d | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $0 | 0xa6b11a… |
| 06-17 14:05:52 | Coordinated-Counterpart 0x9cc5…c35c | No | BUY | 51 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x08e9b4… |
| 06-17 14:05:52 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | SELL | 51 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x08e9b4… |
| 06-17 11:14:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 28 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x8b7487… |
| 06-17 11:14:35 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8b7487… |
| 06-17 11:14:35 | Naughty-Zootsuit 0x3c4a…6f8d | No | SELL | 39 | 92¢ | $35 | 0x8b7487… |
| 06-17 09:37:52 | Unhealthy-Velocity 0x8164…33b3 | No | SELL | 24 | 92¢ | $22 | 0xc0113a… |
| 06-17 09:37:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc0113a… |
| 06-17 09:37:52 | (anonymous) 0xe28c…45dc | No | SELL | 42 | 92¢ | $39 | 0xc0113a… |
| 06-17 09:37:52 | Few-Colonization 0xe985…5fc1 | No | SELL | 90 | 92¢ | $83 | 0xc0113a… |
| 06-17 09:37:52 | Aching-Retailer 0xbf67…f83d | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0xc0113a… |
| 06-17 09:37:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc0113a… |
| 06-17 08:45:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf7f905… |
| 06-17 08:45:46 | Lovable-Spork 0x3488…030a | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x0823bb… |
| 06-17 08:45:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc5801b… |
| 06-17 08:45:46 | Tall-Rule 0x5fdb…95b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xf7f905… |
| 06-17 08:45:46 | Prickly-Fatherinlaw 0x3da1…6fda | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xc5801b… |