Realized P&L
+$10.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.67K
Hit rate
92.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,894
lifetime
Volume
$1.24M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$253
Open exposure
$31.4K
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-30 23:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
71% 40% +$11,024
Other
26% 0% $-84
Crypto
3%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +23,997 $12,405 70¢ $16.7K +$4,273 06-30 23:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +61,638 $8,364 18¢ $10.8K +$2,422 06-29 04:26
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +4,568 $2,081 38¢ $1.8K $-322 06-30 14:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,539 $-5,630 99¢ $1.5K +$7,159 06-30 02:59
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1,847 $399 21¢ $388 $-11 06-30 14:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +422 $240 30¢ $125 $-116 06-14 10:14
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +926 $86 $74 $-12 06-24 07:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +8,767 $2,867 $61 $-2,805 06-01 13:13
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +100 $10 14¢ $14 +$4 06-03 07:36
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +2,614 $751 $3 $-748 06-17 16:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -831 $140 $-2 $-141 06-12 04:28
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +211 $3 $0 $-3 06-17 14:52
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +87 $27 $0 $-27 06-08 04:02