Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$57,798
$962 in 24h
Trades
1,078
Unique wallets
348
Liquidity
$30,851
Latest YES mid
86¢
Latest NO mid
14¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-13 14:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.4¢
(top1%: 73% YES on $1.2K
vs crowd: 85% YES on $24.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $3.2K | $1.1K | +$2.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 57 | $3.7K | $498 | +$3.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 81 | $4.2K | $1.9K | +$2.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 187 | $10.2K | $179 | +$10.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $850 | $315 | +$535 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 22 | $4.1K | $784 | +$3.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $412 | $82 | +$330 |
| Median | 66 | $1.7K | $40 | +$1.7K |
| Below median | 46 | $1.5K | $12 | +$1.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $296 | $7 | +$288 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $495 | $57 | +$437 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $223 | $22 | +$201 |
| unranked | 175 | $11.6K | $2.3K | +$9.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | +11,374 | $1,851 | $1,851 | 9 | 08-10 00:31 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +4,299 | $596 | $897 | 26 | 08-12 19:24 |
| Hospitable-Maestro 0x2061…8ec9 | No | +3,582 | $287 | $287 | 7 | 06-15 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +2,606 | $234 | $234 | 1 | 06-02 17:58 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +1,430 | $1,239 | $1,239 | 18 | 07-02 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf53e…2728 | Yes | +1,400 | $1,176 | $1,176 | 1 | 08-12 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x97b8…9039 | Yes | +1,000 | $840 | $840 | 1 | 08-12 15:10 |
| Austere-Vernacular 0x482b…3266 | Yes | +841 | $685 | $685 | 7 | 08-09 11:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x597c…e2b1 | Yes | +650 | $564 | $564 | 17 | 07-19 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ea0…ad45 | Yes | +618 | $550 | $550 | 1 | 07-15 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x0304…020a | Yes | +560 | $497 | $497 | 6 | 07-14 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3791…158f | Yes | +410 | $357 | $357 | 7 | 06-20 06:15 |
| Easy-Going-Vista 0xc60a…2cca | Yes | +397 | $351 | $351 | 8 | 07-27 00:34 |
| Exhausted-Top 0x30f8…b824 | Yes | +366 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 08-10 00:31 |
| Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | +360 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 08-12 15:10 |
| Jumpy-Lasagna 0x22fc…39a9 | Yes | +356 | $319 | $319 | 2 | 06-13 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xebe5…b169 | Yes | +300 | $264 | $264 | 1 | 07-22 21:12 |
| Imaginary-Synonym 0x60ee…548e | Yes | +254 | $203 | $203 | 1 | 08-07 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | +253 | $38 | $38 | 3 | 08-13 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf01…3840 | Yes | +189 | $166 | $166 | 9 | 06-24 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3fa…06d7 | Yes | +182 | $164 | $164 | 1 | 06-05 06:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b6c…0769 | Yes | +157 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 08-06 06:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x348c…c85c | Yes | +140 | $122 | $122 | 3 | 06-26 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb140…937e | Yes | +122 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 05-30 10:57 |
| Itchy-Orchestra 0x665c…e2b9 | Yes | +120 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-10 06:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e9d…e842 | Yes | +120 | $103 | $103 | 2 | 07-26 17:57 |
| Fearless-Concrete 0xf148…8ec0 | Yes | +116 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 07-22 21:12 |
| Kooky-Reminder 0xbc91…26bb | Yes | +115 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 07-22 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | +111 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 07-30 22:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c0f…dc63 | Yes | +110 | $91 | $91 | 5 | 08-13 14:51 |
| Zealous-Dancer 0x5d5f…55a8 | Yes | +101 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 07-30 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbdc…af5e | Yes | +100 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 07-22 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | Yes | +100 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 06-03 06:45 |
| Ashamed-Lathe 0x3f7f…4fd0 | Yes | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-02 12:25 |
| Even-Strawberry 0x5c6c…9707 | Yes | +100 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 08-13 13:14 |
| Fantastic-Jazz 0x55ec…8c7d | No | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 10:40 |
| Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | No | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 07:36 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +95 | $81 | $81 | 2 | 07-29 09:28 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +95 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-29 09:26 |
| Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | +82 | $16 | $20 | 5 | 08-10 00:31 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +66 | $13 | $40 | 7 | 07-30 22:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 14:51:28 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 82¢ | $52 | 0x9c0762… |
| 08-13 14:51:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 82¢ | $52 | 0x9c0762… |
| 08-13 14:51:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 82¢ | $3 | 0x25ba89… |
| 08-13 14:51:15 | Feline-Magic 0x1f6a…be7e | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 83¢ | $826 | 0x25ba89… |
| 08-13 14:51:15 | (anonymous) 0x8c0f…dc63 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 83¢ | $53 | 0x25ba89… |
| 08-13 14:51:15 | (anonymous) 0xd75e…70e1 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x25ba89… |
| 08-13 14:51:15 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 82¢ | $52 | 0x25ba89… |
| 08-13 14:51:15 | (anonymous) 0xd247…48ab | Yes | BUY | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x25ba89… |
| 08-13 14:51:15 | (anonymous) 0x4a2c…95ba | Yes | BUY | 70 | 82¢ | $57 | 0x25ba89… |
| 08-13 13:14:13 | Junior-Pigsty 0x5432…991a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 83¢ | $0 | 0x4d7abc… |
| 08-13 13:14:13 | (anonymous) 0x8c0f…dc63 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 83¢ | $0 | 0x4d7abc… |
| 08-13 13:14:12 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0x96cfcc… |
| 08-13 13:14:12 | Even-Strawberry 0x5c6c…9707 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0x96cfcc… |
| 08-13 04:44:54 | Thrifty-Nonsense 0x9dc5…d6b7 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 83¢ | $24 | 0x573a54… |
| 08-13 04:44:54 | (anonymous) 0x8c0f…dc63 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 83¢ | $24 | 0x573a54… |
| 08-13 00:36:27 | (anonymous) 0x9f36…39e4 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 85¢ | $45 | 0x3b4edc… |
| 08-13 00:36:27 | (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | BUY | 53 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x3b4edc… |
| 08-12 19:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x8c0f…dc63 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 83¢ | $6 | 0xa15977… |
| 08-12 19:24:36 | (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | BUY | 150 | 15¢ | $22 | 0xceab78… |
| 08-12 19:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | No | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa15977… |
| 08-12 19:24:36 | (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xe53d26… |
| 08-12 19:24:36 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 150 | 15¢ | $22 | 0xceab78… |
| 08-12 19:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xe53d26… |
| 08-12 19:24:34 | (anonymous) 0xf53e…2728 | Yes | BUY | 1,400 | 84¢ | $1,176 | 0x3134a8… |
| 08-12 19:24:34 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 1,200 | 16¢ | $192 | 0x3134a8… |
| 08-12 19:24:34 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | BUY | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x3134a8… |
| 08-12 19:24:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 150 | 16¢ | $24 | 0x3134a8… |
| 08-12 15:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | No | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xae3973… |
| 08-12 15:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x8c0f…dc63 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xae3973… |
| 08-12 15:10:03 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | BUY | 360 | 16¢ | $58 | 0x66a5ab… |
| 08-12 15:10:03 | (anonymous) 0x97b8…9039 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 84¢ | $840 | 0x66a5ab… |
| 08-12 15:10:03 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 640 | 16¢ | $102 | 0x66a5ab… |
| 08-11 04:51:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 72 | 19¢ | $14 | 0xf80637… |
| 08-11 04:51:30 | Stormy-Wholesaler 0xdc3e…a128 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 81¢ | $63 | 0xf80637… |
| 08-11 04:51:30 | (anonymous) 0x76d0…008c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0xf80637… |
| 08-10 06:37:27 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 150 | 17¢ | $26 | 0xfacd8d… |
| 08-10 06:37:27 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xfacd8d… |
| 08-10 06:37:27 | Itchy-Orchestra 0x665c…e2b9 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 83¢ | $100 | 0xfacd8d… |
| 08-10 00:33:43 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x24ed7d… |
| 08-10 00:33:43 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x24ed7d… |
| 08-10 00:33:42 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x387631… |
| 08-10 00:33:42 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | SELL | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x387631… |
| 08-10 00:31:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 42 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x2b424c… |
| 08-10 00:31:19 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x2b424c… |
| 08-10 00:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x2b424c… |
| 08-10 00:31:19 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | BUY | 3 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x2b424c… |
| 08-10 00:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x2b424c… |
| 08-10 00:31:19 | Exhausted-Top 0x30f8…b824 | Yes | BUY | 366 | 82¢ | $300 | 0x2b424c… |
| 08-10 00:31:19 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x2b424c… |
| 08-10 00:31:19 | Sunny-Retention-Participant 0xd47f…a319 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0x2b424c… |
| 08-10 00:31:19 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 82¢ | $164 | 0x2b424c… |
| 08-09 11:00:49 | Austere-Vernacular 0x482b…3266 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0x422095… |
| 08-09 11:00:49 | (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | BUY | 12 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x422095… |
| 08-09 03:22:19 | Constant-Antler 0x9657…3fd8 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 80¢ | $39 | 0xb05f4a… |
| 08-09 03:22:19 | Willing-Purchase 0xd4cb…ecb7 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 80¢ | $39 | 0xb05f4a… |
| 08-08 06:52:01 | (anonymous) 0xb209…2639 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 79¢ | $9 | 0x8867a5… |
| 08-08 06:52:01 | (anonymous) 0xd75e…70e1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 79¢ | $9 | 0x8867a5… |
| 08-07 09:36:42 | (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | BUY | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x3690b2… |
| 08-07 09:36:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x3690b2… |
| 08-07 09:36:39 | (anonymous) 0xd247…48ab | Yes | SELL | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0xfb194c… |
| 08-07 09:36:39 | Imaginary-Synonym 0x60ee…548e | Yes | BUY | 254 | 80¢ | $203 | 0xfb194c… |
| 08-07 09:36:39 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0xfb194c… |
| 08-07 09:36:39 | (anonymous) 0xd75e…70e1 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0xfb194c… |
| 08-07 09:36:39 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0xfb194c… |
| 08-07 01:30:13 | (anonymous) 0xd75e…70e1 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0xce56ad… |
| 08-07 01:30:13 | Austere-Vernacular 0x482b…3266 | Yes | BUY | 316 | 79¢ | $250 | 0xce56ad… |
| 08-07 01:30:13 | (anonymous) 0xd247…48ab | Yes | SELL | 79 | 79¢ | $62 | 0xce56ad… |
| 08-07 01:28:30 | Austere-Vernacular 0x482b…3266 | Yes | BUY | 127 | 79¢ | $100 | 0x67b93d… |
| 08-07 01:28:30 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 64 | 79¢ | $51 | 0x67b93d… |
| 08-07 01:28:30 | (anonymous) 0xd75e…70e1 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 79¢ | $49 | 0x67b93d… |
| 08-07 01:27:34 | Austere-Vernacular 0x482b…3266 | Yes | BUY | 127 | 79¢ | $100 | 0xdb19c6… |
| 08-07 01:27:34 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 127 | 79¢ | $100 | 0xdb19c6… |
| 08-06 15:19:14 | (anonymous) 0x2db2…98d7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xf9a94d… |
| 08-06 15:19:14 | (anonymous) 0xd447…fd4b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xf9a94d… |
| 08-06 09:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xb691af… |
| 08-06 09:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | No | SELL | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xb691af… |
| 08-06 09:30:18 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | SELL | 230 | 21¢ | $48 | 0x4f5c85… |
| 08-06 09:30:18 | (anonymous) 0xd247…48ab | Yes | SELL | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0x4f5c85… |
| 08-06 09:30:18 | (anonymous) 0xd75e…70e1 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0x4f5c85… |
| 08-06 09:30:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x4f5c85… |
| 08-06 09:23:03 | Lopsided-Dragonfly-Moai 0xeba1…838b | No | SELL | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x148882… |
| 08-06 09:23:03 | (anonymous) 0xc47a…f33c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x148882… |
| 08-06 09:23:03 | Lopsided-Dragonfly-Moai 0xeba1…838b | No | SELL | 39 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x920c4d… |
| 08-06 09:23:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 39 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x920c4d… |
| 08-06 09:23:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 80¢ | $37 | 0x148882… |
| 08-06 07:21:56 | (anonymous) 0x2ca0…f4af | Yes | SELL | 39 | 80¢ | $31 | 0x3e6790… |
| 08-06 07:21:56 | (anonymous) 0xc47a…f33c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x3e6790… |
| 08-06 07:21:56 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 80¢ | $27 | 0x3e6790… |
| 08-06 06:47:09 | (anonymous) 0x5b6c…0769 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 81¢ | $127 | 0x910497… |
| 08-06 06:47:09 | (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | BUY | 157 | 19¢ | $30 | 0x910497… |
| 08-05 14:16:20 | (anonymous) 0xda21…e5e9 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 81¢ | $50 | 0x18d29c… |
| 08-05 14:16:20 | (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | BUY | 62 | 19¢ | $12 | 0x18d29c… |
| 08-04 17:58:50 | (anonymous) 0x4187…8739 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xed5134… |
| 08-04 17:58:50 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xed5134… |
| 08-04 16:25:09 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xda7545… |
| 08-04 16:25:09 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xda7545… |
| 08-04 16:25:09 | (anonymous) 0xb625…415b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x5c8bbe… |
| 08-04 16:25:09 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x5c8bbe… |
| 08-04 16:25:06 | (anonymous) 0xbc23…9297 | No | SELL | 4,701 | 19¢ | $893 | 0x50f808… |
| 08-04 16:25:06 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x50f808… |