Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$23,708
$962 in 24h
Trades
366
Unique wallets
163
Liquidity
$30,851
Latest YES mid
89¢
Latest NO mid
11¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 13:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-89.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $290
vs crowd: 89% YES on $5.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $1.8K | $40 | +$1.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $215 | $535 | $320 |
| 🐟 Fish | 47 | $1.1K | $11 | +$1.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 81 | $2.2K | $42 | +$2.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | — | $290 | $290 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $1.8K | $33 | +$1.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $61 | $16 | +$45 |
| Median | 35 | $608 | $3 | +$605 |
| Below median | 27 | $418 | $3 | +$415 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $48 | — | +$48 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $355 | $2 | +$353 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $48 | — | +$48 |
| unranked | 70 | $2.0K | $280 | +$1.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hospitable-Maestro 0x2061…8ec9 | No | +3,500 | $280 | $280 | 6 | 06-03 06:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +2,606 | $234 | $234 | 1 | 06-02 17:58 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +1,284 | $1,115 | $1,115 | 12 | 06-07 16:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3fa…06d7 | Yes | +182 | $164 | $164 | 1 | 06-05 06:17 |
| Easy-Going-Vista 0xc60a…2cca | Yes | +166 | $150 | $150 | 2 | 06-08 22:46 |
| Jumpy-Lasagna 0x22fc…39a9 | Yes | +146 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 06-11 01:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xb140…937e | Yes | +122 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 05-30 10:57 |
| Wordy-Number 0x59c6…8332 | Yes | +111 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-04 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x3791…158f | Yes | +110 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 06-07 12:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | Yes | +100 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 06-03 06:45 |
| Ashamed-Lathe 0x3f7f…4fd0 | Yes | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-02 12:25 |
| Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | No | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 07:36 |
| Fantastic-Jazz 0x55ec…8c7d | No | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc9e…9085 | Yes | +74 | $67 | $67 | 2 | 06-12 10:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fbf…4953 | Yes | +74 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-31 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf644…1c77 | Yes | +67 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-11 16:03 |
| Satisfied-Macadamia 0xf5a5…cdf5 | Yes | +66 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 06-07 08:42 |
| New-Experience 0x1923…29cf | Yes | +66 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 06-11 16:18 |
| Tinted-Mama 0x5df1…e014 | Yes | +62 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-07 14:49 |
| Fickle-Bangle 0xf59b…a458 | Yes | +62 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-12 13:30 |
| Well-Documented-Theory 0x1d35…f929 | Yes | +60 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-05 22:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x680d…eae2 | Yes | +56 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-08 06:56 |
| Insubstantial-Sleep 0x8602…b518 | Yes | +55 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-11 15:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x338c…edcc | Yes | +55 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-07 05:45 |
| Tired-Ring 0xa2a3…182e | Yes | +55 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-07 05:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3bb…74a3 | Yes | +55 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-07 05:38 |
| Piercing-Minimum 0x453a…d652 | Yes | +55 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-11 16:45 |
| Memorable-Pyramid 0x58ac…9d6b | Yes | +54 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-07 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fc0…9bc2 | Yes | +54 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-07 11:42 |
| Belated-Shed 0xa71d…76db | Yes | +53 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-12 12:40 |
| Hidden-Pea 0x7296…2f95 | Yes | +52 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-07 09:10 |
| Wide-Lightscreen 0xa4ce…bb75 | Yes | +51 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-11 16:52 |
| Edible-Jailhouse 0x161d…4c52 | Yes | +50 | $44 | $44 | 5 | 05-30 05:49 |
| Rewarding-Flint 0x99ff…afd8 | Yes | +46 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-07 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xe86b…8357 | No | +45 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 14:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 13:50:10 | Melodic-Nightingale 0x3302…48c2 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 90¢ | $40 | 0x7cf4b2… |
| 06-12 13:50:10 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 44 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x7cf4b2… |
| 06-12 13:30:13 | Fickle-Bangle 0xf59b…a458 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 90¢ | $56 | 0xd9a881… |
| 06-12 13:30:13 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 62 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xd9a881… |
| 06-12 12:40:16 | Belated-Shed 0xa71d…76db | Yes | BUY | 53 | 90¢ | $48 | 0x5a60cf… |
| 06-12 12:40:16 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 53 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x5a60cf… |
| 06-12 10:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xd75e…70e1 | Yes | BUY | 94 | 89¢ | $83 | 0x312cc6… |
| 06-12 10:40:43 | Fantastic-Jazz 0x55ec…8c7d | No | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x312cc6… |
| 06-12 10:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xd247…48ab | Yes | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x312cc6… |
| 06-12 10:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xd247…48ab | Yes | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xd94727… |
| 06-12 10:40:43 | Internal-Beginning 0x680a…0a15 | No | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd94727… |
| 06-12 10:18:09 | (anonymous) 0xfc9e…9085 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 90¢ | $34 | 0xaa856a… |
| 06-12 10:18:09 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 38 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xaa856a… |
| 06-12 10:17:51 | (anonymous) 0xfc9e…9085 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 90¢ | $33 | 0xc849d6… |
| 06-12 10:17:51 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 37 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xc849d6… |
| 06-12 07:05:30 | (anonymous) 0x4d8c…aef2 | No | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xe36774… |
| 06-12 07:05:30 | (anonymous) 0xd75e…70e1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xe36774… |
| 06-12 07:05:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe36774… |
| 06-12 02:09:55 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xb972dd… |
| 06-12 02:09:55 | Bad-Pathway 0x4954…ac42 | No | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb972dd… |
| 06-11 17:07:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x4b5e2a… |
| 06-11 17:07:09 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | No | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x4b5e2a… |
| 06-11 16:58:01 | Elaborate-Rubber 0xcdc8…f218 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 90¢ | $26 | 0xf02252… |
| 06-11 16:58:01 | (anonymous) 0xd247…48ab | Yes | SELL | 29 | 90¢ | $26 | 0xf02252… |
| 06-11 16:52:12 | Wide-Lightscreen 0xa4ce…bb75 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 90¢ | $46 | 0xa19e7b… |
| 06-11 16:52:12 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 90¢ | $23 | 0xa19e7b… |
| 06-11 16:52:12 | (anonymous) 0xd247…48ab | Yes | SELL | 26 | 90¢ | $23 | 0xa19e7b… |
| 06-11 16:45:57 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 55 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x75491c… |
| 06-11 16:45:57 | Piercing-Minimum 0x453a…d652 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x75491c… |
| 06-11 16:18:54 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 66 | 90¢ | $59 | 0x4fea03… |
| 06-11 16:18:54 | New-Experience 0x1923…29cf | Yes | BUY | 66 | 90¢ | $59 | 0x4fea03… |
| 06-11 16:03:34 | (anonymous) 0xf644…1c77 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 90¢ | $60 | 0xde3a15… |
| 06-11 16:03:34 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 67 | 90¢ | $60 | 0xde3a15… |
| 06-11 15:46:58 | Insubstantial-Sleep 0x8602…b518 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x30c8ef… |
| 06-11 15:46:58 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 55 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x30c8ef… |
| 06-11 14:21:30 | Remarkable-Chassis 0x1a67…1d0e | Yes | BUY | 44 | 90¢ | $40 | 0x0091c9… |
| 06-11 14:21:30 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 32 | 90¢ | $29 | 0x0091c9… |
| 06-11 14:21:30 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | No | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0091c9… |
| 06-11 14:07:51 | Anguished-Tunic 0xd52d…4c12 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 89¢ | $40 | 0x2677ec… |
| 06-11 14:07:51 | (anonymous) 0xe86b…8357 | No | BUY | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x2677ec… |
| 06-11 12:19:27 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 351 | 12¢ | $42 | 0x25d17d… |
| 06-11 12:19:27 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | SELL | 351 | 88¢ | $308 | 0x25d17d… |
| 06-11 09:08:19 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x91680a… |
| 06-11 09:08:19 | Junior-Pigsty 0x5432…991a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0x91680a… |
| 06-11 09:08:12 | Content-Knuckle 0x5480…51f3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xaa8402… |
| 06-11 09:08:12 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xaa8402… |
| 06-11 03:55:03 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 57 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x28d592… |
| 06-11 03:55:03 | 0x5f4ef5c539a56291665fcca4e6b7a6446ad11cc1 0x863a…e428 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 88¢ | $50 | 0x28d592… |
| 06-11 01:27:39 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xd95bd4… |
| 06-11 01:27:39 | Junior-Pigsty 0x5432…991a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0xd95bd4… |
| 06-11 01:27:30 | Jumpy-Lasagna 0x22fc…39a9 | Yes | BUY | 146 | 89¢ | $130 | 0x91ee9e… |
| 06-11 01:27:30 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | SELL | 146 | 89¢ | $130 | 0x91ee9e… |
| 06-10 15:48:46 | Junior-Pigsty 0x5432…991a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0x83a2f5… |
| 06-10 15:48:46 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x83a2f5… |
| 06-10 15:48:43 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x6882b0… |
| 06-10 15:48:43 | Athletic-Liar 0xed9d…9dbb | Yes | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x6882b0… |
| 06-10 12:22:31 | Inferior-Championship 0xd211…6eaa | No | BUY | 26 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x783c04… |
| 06-10 12:22:31 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 26 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x783c04… |
| 06-10 10:29:51 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xa9b532… |
| 06-10 10:29:51 | (anonymous) 0x88aa…616a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xa9b532… |
| 06-10 09:09:57 | (anonymous) 0x93d2…49ce | Yes | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x23c362… |
| 06-10 09:09:57 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x23c362… |
| 06-10 01:30:39 | (anonymous) 0x18c3…aed5 | Yes | SELL | 128 | 88¢ | $113 | 0xe702e0… |
| 06-10 01:30:39 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 128 | 12¢ | $15 | 0xe702e0… |
| 06-10 01:22:40 | (anonymous) 0xf5a4…f737 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 88¢ | $25 | 0xbe4a17… |
| 06-10 01:22:40 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 29 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xbe4a17… |
| 06-10 01:08:24 | Prickly-Inspector 0x23f0…bfdc | Yes | SELL | 27 | 88¢ | $23 | 0x61f53d… |
| 06-10 01:08:24 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 27 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x61f53d… |
| 06-09 19:52:39 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 23 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x015193… |
| 06-09 19:52:39 | (anonymous) 0xf537…4975 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0x015193… |
| 06-09 19:52:12 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x7d698f… |
| 06-09 19:52:12 | (anonymous) 0xff47…c249 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 88¢ | $22 | 0x7d698f… |
| 06-09 19:51:43 | (anonymous) 0xa11a…779b | Yes | SELL | 37 | 88¢ | $33 | 0x15a75d… |
| 06-09 19:51:43 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 37 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x15a75d… |
| 06-09 19:51:07 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 32 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xe30f03… |
| 06-09 19:51:07 | (anonymous) 0x9ed1…39c4 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 88¢ | $28 | 0xe30f03… |
| 06-09 19:50:39 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 56 | 12¢ | $7 | 0xf01115… |
| 06-09 19:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x2d7b…17df | Yes | SELL | 56 | 88¢ | $49 | 0xf01115… |
| 06-09 19:49:45 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 95 | 12¢ | $11 | 0xaa023b… |
| 06-09 19:49:45 | (anonymous) 0x3f63…fb1f | Yes | SELL | 95 | 88¢ | $84 | 0xaa023b… |
| 06-09 19:14:49 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xd577ed… |
| 06-09 19:14:49 | Junior-Pigsty 0x5432…991a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0xd577ed… |
| 06-09 19:14:45 | Exemplary-Ship 0xe9b7…8030 | No | SELL | 48 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xce627d… |
| 06-09 19:14:45 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 89¢ | $43 | 0xce627d… |
| 06-09 10:32:48 | (anonymous) 0x7bf2…3067 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xf56d4c… |
| 06-09 10:32:48 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 23 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xf56d4c… |
| 06-09 10:29:13 | (anonymous) 0x51f9…3fce | Yes | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xe5d0de… |
| 06-09 10:29:13 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe5d0de… |
| 06-09 10:24:06 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 28 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xacf5c3… |
| 06-09 10:24:06 | (anonymous) 0x5a2a…db35 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 88¢ | $25 | 0xacf5c3… |
| 06-09 10:19:52 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 41 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xea0e93… |
| 06-09 10:19:52 | (anonymous) 0xd587…8730 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 88¢ | $36 | 0xea0e93… |
| 06-09 10:06:39 | (anonymous) 0xb794…a8e7 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x2f7555… |
| 06-09 10:06:39 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x2f7555… |
| 06-09 10:04:34 | (anonymous) 0xf9f5…e8ee | Yes | SELL | 21 | 88¢ | $19 | 0x9f7709… |
| 06-09 10:04:34 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 21 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x9f7709… |
| 06-08 22:46:37 | Junior-Pigsty 0x5432…991a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0x5895aa… |
| 06-08 22:46:37 | Overcooked-Scrutiny 0x57e4…835e | No | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x5895aa… |
| 06-08 22:46:36 | Easy-Going-Vista 0xc60a…2cca | Yes | BUY | 56 | 89¢ | $50 | 0x41465c… |
| 06-08 22:46:36 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 89¢ | $50 | 0x41465c… |