Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$45,363
$962 in 24h
Trades
904
Unique wallets
302
Liquidity
$30,851
Latest YES mid
86¢
Latest NO mid
14¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-24 11:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-58.2¢
(top1%: 32% YES on $437
vs crowd: 90% YES on $16.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $3.0K | $707 | +$2.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 41 | $1.5K | $339 | +$1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 65 | $2.2K | $384 | +$1.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 173 | $7.8K | $138 | +$7.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $140 | $297 | $156 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $2.9K | $444 | +$2.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $412 | $21 | +$390 |
| Median | 60 | $1.3K | $3 | +$1.3K |
| Below median | 44 | $985 | $12 | +$973 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $134 | $7 | +$126 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $414 | $10 | +$404 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $109 | $17 | +$92 |
| unranked | 146 | $8.1K | $758 | +$7.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hospitable-Maestro 0x2061…8ec9 | No | +3,582 | $287 | $287 | 7 | 06-15 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | +2,882 | $346 | $346 | 1 | 07-22 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +2,606 | $234 | $234 | 1 | 06-02 17:58 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +2,480 | $314 | $519 | 20 | 07-24 09:57 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +1,430 | $1,239 | $1,239 | 18 | 07-02 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x597c…e2b1 | Yes | +650 | $564 | $564 | 17 | 07-19 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ea0…ad45 | Yes | +618 | $550 | $550 | 1 | 07-15 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x0304…020a | Yes | +560 | $497 | $497 | 6 | 07-14 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3791…158f | Yes | +410 | $357 | $357 | 7 | 06-20 06:15 |
| Easy-Going-Vista 0xc60a…2cca | Yes | +359 | $319 | $319 | 7 | 07-21 07:37 |
| Jumpy-Lasagna 0x22fc…39a9 | Yes | +356 | $319 | $319 | 2 | 06-13 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xebe5…b169 | Yes | +300 | $264 | $264 | 1 | 07-22 21:12 |
| Austere-Vernacular 0x482b…3266 | Yes | +259 | $226 | $226 | 3 | 07-11 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf01…3840 | Yes | +189 | $166 | $166 | 9 | 06-24 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3fa…06d7 | Yes | +182 | $164 | $164 | 1 | 06-05 06:17 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | +165 | $128 | $2,950 | 47 | 07-23 12:58 |
| Feline-Magic 0x1f6a…be7e | Yes | +165 | $140 | $140 | 4 | 07-24 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x348c…c85c | Yes | +140 | $122 | $122 | 3 | 06-26 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb140…937e | Yes | +122 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 05-30 10:57 |
| Fearless-Concrete 0xf148…8ec0 | Yes | +116 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 07-22 21:12 |
| Kooky-Reminder 0xbc91…26bb | Yes | +115 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 07-22 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbdc…af5e | Yes | +100 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 07-22 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | Yes | +100 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 06-03 06:45 |
| Ashamed-Lathe 0x3f7f…4fd0 | Yes | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-02 12:25 |
| Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | No | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 07:36 |
| Fantastic-Jazz 0x55ec…8c7d | No | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc9e…9085 | Yes | +74 | $67 | $67 | 2 | 06-12 10:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fbf…4953 | Yes | +74 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-31 15:58 |
| Well-Documented-Theory 0x1d35…f929 | Yes | +60 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-05 22:56 |
| Admired-Final 0x7d8a…d879 | Yes | +57 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-22 21:12 |
| Pesky-Discovery 0x6da8…ec45 | Yes | +57 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-10 21:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0ed…5c56 | Yes | +56 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-23 03:33 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +50 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 07-24 09:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xe86b…8357 | No | +45 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 14:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 11:24:03 | Feline-Magic 0x1f6a…be7e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x7badfd… |
| 07-24 11:24:03 | Honorable-Cope 0x309e…9940 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x7badfd… |
| 07-24 09:57:13 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x58d619… |
| 07-24 09:57:13 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | No | BUY | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x94a234… |
| 07-24 09:57:13 | Feline-Magic 0x1f6a…be7e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x60b437… |
| 07-24 09:57:13 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x60b437… |
| 07-24 09:57:13 | Feline-Magic 0x1f6a…be7e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0x94a234… |
| 07-24 09:57:13 | Feline-Magic 0x1f6a…be7e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x58d619… |
| 07-24 09:57:12 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 2,313 | 14¢ | $324 | 0x83971b… |
| 07-24 09:57:12 | (anonymous) 0x0a9a…467b | No | SELL | 1,679 | 14¢ | $235 | 0x83971b… |
| 07-24 09:57:12 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x83971b… |
| 07-24 09:57:12 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x83971b… |
| 07-24 09:57:12 | Thrifty-Nonsense 0x9dc5…d6b7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 86¢ | $25 | 0x83971b… |
| 07-24 09:57:12 | (anonymous) 0xd75e…70e1 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x83971b… |
| 07-24 09:57:12 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x83971b… |
| 07-24 09:57:12 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x83971b… |
| 07-23 12:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x7fc4…e44a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x70a770… |
| 07-23 12:58:30 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 56 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x70a770… |
| 07-23 12:58:30 | (anonymous) 0xd247…48ab | Yes | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x70a770… |
| 07-23 12:58:30 | Sunny-Retention-Participant 0xd47f…a319 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x70a770… |
| 07-23 12:58:30 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 266 | 87¢ | $231 | 0x70a770… |
| 07-23 12:58:30 | Yellow-Subexpression 0xdd07…e955 | Yes | SELL | 563 | 87¢ | $490 | 0x70a770… |
| 07-22 21:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x402b…5130 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x797ac0… |
| 07-22 21:12:06 | (anonymous) 0xbbdc…af5e | Yes | BUY | 70 | 87¢ | $61 | 0x797ac0… |
| 07-22 21:12:06 | (anonymous) 0xbbdc…af5e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xa4b17a… |
| 07-22 21:12:06 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xa4b17a… |
| 07-22 21:12:06 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 87¢ | $78 | 0x797ac0… |
| 07-22 21:12:03 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x4387f7… |
| 07-22 21:12:03 | Admired-Final 0x7d8a…d879 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 88¢ | $50 | 0x4387f7… |
| 07-22 21:12:03 | (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | BUY | 2,882 | 12¢ | $346 | 0x4387f7… |
| 07-22 21:12:03 | Kooky-Reminder 0xbc91…26bb | Yes | BUY | 115 | 88¢ | $101 | 0x4387f7… |
| 07-22 21:12:03 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 88¢ | $79 | 0x4387f7… |
| 07-22 21:12:03 | (anonymous) 0x1f3b…fc02 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $11 | 0x4387f7… |
| 07-22 21:12:03 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 1,985 | 12¢ | $238 | 0x4387f7… |
| 07-22 21:12:03 | (anonymous) 0xebe5…b169 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 88¢ | $264 | 0x4387f7… |
| 07-22 21:12:03 | Fearless-Concrete 0xf148…8ec0 | Yes | BUY | 116 | 88¢ | $102 | 0x4387f7… |
| 07-22 21:12:03 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 177 | 12¢ | $21 | 0x4387f7… |
| 07-22 08:46:58 | Gummy-Sack 0xff47…d81f | No | SELL | 27 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x232cb9… |
| 07-22 08:46:58 | Silver-Accordion 0x66ad…cc4e | Yes | SELL | 27 | 89¢ | $24 | 0x232cb9… |
| 07-22 05:24:57 | (anonymous) 0xc073…d31f | Yes | SELL | 234 | 88¢ | $206 | 0xfa3cfa… |
| 07-22 05:24:57 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 234 | 12¢ | $28 | 0xfa3cfa… |
| 07-21 17:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x8c64…e285 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x2e97be… |
| 07-21 17:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2e97be… |
| 07-21 07:37:19 | Silver-Accordion 0x66ad…cc4e | Yes | SELL | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x85737b… |
| 07-21 07:37:19 | Easy-Going-Vista 0xc60a…2cca | Yes | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x85737b… |
| 07-20 06:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x79cd…a405 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 88¢ | $21 | 0x8d2309… |
| 07-20 06:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 24 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x8d2309… |
| 07-19 14:19:40 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xf6a410… |
| 07-19 14:19:40 | Lavish-Beck 0x2436…e9d3 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xf6a410… |
| 07-19 13:37:30 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 200 | 12¢ | $24 | 0x0344c1… |
| 07-19 13:37:30 | (anonymous) 0x7232…03ef | Yes | SELL | 200 | 88¢ | $176 | 0x0344c1… |
| 07-19 13:21:16 | Amir10001 0x4363…c153 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 88¢ | $176 | 0x3c29b9… |
| 07-19 13:21:16 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 200 | 12¢ | $24 | 0x3c29b9… |
| 07-19 13:20:48 | Silver-Accordion 0x66ad…cc4e | Yes | SELL | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0x6d032e… |
| 07-19 13:20:48 | Amir10001 0x4363…c153 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0x6d032e… |
| 07-19 12:00:48 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x45fcc2… |
| 07-19 12:00:48 | (anonymous) 0x3f63…fb1f | Yes | SELL | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x45fcc2… |
| 07-19 09:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x5fdafa… |
| 07-19 09:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x1795…6310 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x5fdafa… |
| 07-19 01:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | SELL | 167 | 12¢ | $20 | 0xbb3f31… |
| 07-19 01:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x597c…e2b1 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 88¢ | $73 | 0xbb3f31… |
| 07-19 01:02:37 | Trim-Human 0x1f85…a51b | Yes | SELL | 250 | 88¢ | $220 | 0xbb3f31… |
| 07-18 21:18:37 | Silver-Accordion 0x66ad…cc4e | Yes | SELL | 83 | 89¢ | $74 | 0xfc0522… |
| 07-18 21:18:37 | Huge-Tentacle 0xc2f5…8ce9 | No | SELL | 83 | 11¢ | $9 | 0xfc0522… |
| 07-18 08:16:25 | Edible-Jailhouse 0x161d…4c52 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x1e4769… |
| 07-18 08:16:25 | (anonymous) 0x597c…e2b1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x1e4769… |
| 07-17 19:31:40 | (anonymous) 0x597c…e2b1 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xea53cc… |
| 07-17 19:31:40 | Fragrant-Trousers 0x9b7e…ed19 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xea53cc… |
| 07-17 14:11:58 | Silver-Accordion 0x66ad…cc4e | Yes | SELL | 115 | 89¢ | $103 | 0x767e1a… |
| 07-17 14:11:58 | (anonymous) 0x3303…9266 | No | SELL | 115 | 11¢ | $13 | 0x767e1a… |
| 07-17 07:26:57 | (anonymous) 0x597c…e2b1 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 88¢ | $23 | 0x7ddd07… |
| 07-17 07:26:57 | (anonymous) 0x0494…ea41 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 88¢ | $23 | 0x7ddd07… |
| 07-17 06:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x597c…e2b1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xaa2fb2… |
| 07-17 06:57:27 | (anonymous) 0xe278…bbce | Yes | SELL | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xaa2fb2… |
| 07-17 06:35:49 | (anonymous) 0xcad7…9b3b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xe6334d… |
| 07-17 06:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x597c…e2b1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xe6334d… |
| 07-17 03:16:51 | Probable-Hypothesis 0xa354…22eb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x76ff33… |
| 07-17 03:16:51 | (anonymous) 0x597c…e2b1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x76ff33… |
| 07-16 12:32:10 | (anonymous) 0x597c…e2b1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xc61e0a… |
| 07-16 12:32:10 | Rusty-Panda 0x2ed0…2bc4 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xc61e0a… |
| 07-15 09:58:25 | (anonymous) 0x597c…e2b1 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0xfcbd01… |
| 07-15 09:58:25 | Ripe-Glory 0x33cf…cb79 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0xfcbd01… |
| 07-15 08:17:14 | Silver-Accordion 0x66ad…cc4e | Yes | SELL | 618 | 89¢ | $550 | 0xe82500… |
| 07-15 08:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x1ea0…ad45 | Yes | BUY | 618 | 89¢ | $550 | 0xe82500… |
| 07-14 13:49:31 | (anonymous) 0xca02…c534 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 89¢ | $107 | 0x700426… |
| 07-14 13:49:31 | Silver-Accordion 0x66ad…cc4e | Yes | SELL | 296 | 89¢ | $263 | 0x700426… |
| 07-14 13:49:31 | (anonymous) 0x0304…020a | Yes | BUY | 416 | 89¢ | $370 | 0x700426… |
| 07-14 11:42:02 | (anonymous) 0xca02…c534 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x98bcff… |
| 07-14 11:42:02 | (anonymous) 0x1795…6310 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x98bcff… |
| 07-13 13:47:59 | (anonymous) 0x0304…020a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 88¢ | $19 | 0x411aff… |
| 07-13 13:47:59 | (anonymous) 0x63d2…c736 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 88¢ | $19 | 0x411aff… |
| 07-13 11:09:53 | (anonymous) 0x0304…020a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0xd48259… |
| 07-13 11:09:53 | (anonymous) 0x964d…c554 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0xd48259… |
| 07-13 11:08:56 | (anonymous) 0x0304…020a | Yes | BUY | 55 | 88¢ | $48 | 0x7ef222… |
| 07-13 11:08:56 | (anonymous) 0x1b13…a02f | Yes | SELL | 55 | 88¢ | $48 | 0x7ef222… |
| 07-12 12:53:32 | (anonymous) 0x0304…020a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xe714d7… |
| 07-12 12:53:32 | Lazy-Battery 0x7d1e…6b94 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xe714d7… |
| 07-11 14:36:34 | (anonymous) 0xca02…c534 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x35d0da… |
| 07-11 14:36:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x35d0da… |
| 07-11 14:36:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x02c1c0… |