Realized P&L
-$124
Unrealized P&L
-$284
Hit rate
79.7%
Resolved
164
Trades
1,396
lifetime
Volume
$325.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$233
Open exposure
$11.9K
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 08-13 22:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Crypto
73%
78%
-$646
Other
23%
69%
+$819
Politics
3%
53%
-$115
Sports
1%
20%
-$182
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-13).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | -10,849 | -$10,328 | 98¢ | $-10594 | -$266 | 08-13 14:49 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | -1,183 | -$1,159 | 99¢ | $-1175 | -$16 | 08-13 14:50 | |
| Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | -118 | -$112 | 97¢ | $-114 | -$2 | 08-13 22:08 | |
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | -5 | -$3 | 62¢ | $-3 | +$0 | 08-13 22:08 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch? | 54 | $16.7K | 8,418 | 8,745 | -327 | Yes | +$187 | 02-27 14:52 |
| Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | 28 | $13.9K | 10,249 | 10,249 | +0 | Yes | +$1,737 | 05-26 09:46 |
| Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 4 | $13.6K | 5,000 | 10,000 | -5,000 | No | -$82 | 01-12 01:40 |
| Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 32 | $13.5K | 7,624 | 7,665 | -42 | No | +$96 | 01-28 11:47 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 1 | $10.3K | 0 | 10,849 | -10,849 | open | — | 08-13 14:49 |
| Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | 7 | $10.2K | 5,678 | 5,678 | +0 | Yes | +$748 | 03-04 06:22 |
| Immunefi FDV above $800M one day after launch? | 8 | $9.8K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | +$179 | 01-23 08:25 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 62 | $9.5K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | open | — | 08-13 14:49 |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026? | 52 | $9.0K | 9,092 | 9,814 | -723 | No | +$354 | 02-16 23:40 |
| Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch? | 8 | $8.1K | 4,160 | 4,160 | -0 | Yes | +$191 | 02-03 04:09 |
| Moonbirds FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 12 | $7.8K | 4,030 | 4,030 | +0 | No | +$91 | 01-29 15:31 |
| Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | 21 | $7.7K | 3,000 | 7,594 | -4,594 | No | -$806 | 01-12 04:45 |
| Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch? | 16 | $7.0K | 3,666 | 3,666 | +0 | Yes | +$81 | 01-28 09:47 |
| Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch? | 23 | $7.0K | 3,923 | 3,923 | +0 | Yes | +$146 | 02-27 08:19 |
| Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? | 23 | $6.8K | 4,528 | 3,332 | +1,196 | Yes | +$279 | 04-14 16:04 |
| will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026 | 22 | $6.7K | 5,915 | 3,623 | +2,292 | No | -$92 | 03-17 12:04 |
| Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch? | 8 | $6.3K | 2,231 | 4,478 | -2,247 | No | -$65 | 01-29 09:28 |
| Will Tria launch a token by March 31, 2026? | 14 | $6.3K | 3,314 | 3,314 | +0 | Yes | +$232 | 02-02 17:42 |
| will opinion launch a token on march 5 | 6 | $5.6K | 3,553 | 3,553 | +0 | Yes | +$699 | 03-02 02:26 |
| Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch? | 10 | $5.2K | 3,000 | 2,995 | +5 | Yes | +$151 | 04-13 10:28 |
| Tria FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 5 | $5.1K | 2,599 | 2,599 | +0 | No | +$16 | 02-03 17:06 |
| Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch? | 14 | $4.7K | 2,096 | 2,924 | -828 | Yes | +$155 | 01-23 03:18 |
| Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch? | 4 | $4.2K | 4,490 | 0 | +4,490 | Yes | +$310 | 03-16 07:45 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | 19 | $3.9K | 3,005 | 2,584 | +421 | Spurs | +$181 | 05-19 03:04 |
| infinex fdv above 400m one day after launch 564 812 111 | 10 | $3.5K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | No | +$60 | 01-29 12:52 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 17 | $3.2K | 2,900 | 2,900 | +0 | No | +$64 | 05-28 02:34 |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 6 | $2.9K | 2,981 | 0 | +2,981 | Yes | -$2,918 | 04-13 08:17 |
| Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch? | 6 | $2.9K | 1,504 | 1,504 | +0 | Yes | +$126 | 02-11 14:46 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | 13 | $2.8K | 1,600 | 1,356 | +244 | No | +$44 | 02-21 19:30 |
| USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | 1 | $2.7K | 3,000 | 0 | +3,000 | Yes | -$2,730 | 04-13 08:17 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||