Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$6,015
$3,400 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$95,529
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-14 14:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $2 | $4.1K | $4.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 6 | — | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Below median | 2 | — | $17 | $17 |
| unranked | 24 | $2 | $3.0K | $3.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buzzing-Pepperoni 0x6fda…3e79 | No | +1,118 | $1,100 | $1,100 | 1 | 05-10 13:57 |
| Right-Pennant 0x0ab4…2448 | No | +1,020 | $1,005 | $1,005 | 1 | 05-11 13:57 |
| Rubbery-Altar 0x5be7…f377 | No | +860 | $846 | $846 | 1 | 05-08 09:35 |
| Female-Secretion 0xc461…83db | No | +203 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-14 06:11 |
| Strident-Rehospitalization 0x02fd…c406 | No | +201 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 05-14 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x92f1…8514 | No | +200 | $197 | $197 | 1 | 05-14 14:49 |
| Aching-Knifeedge 0x38c8…a8bd | No | +134 | $132 | $132 | 1 | 05-12 21:30 |
| True-Cobweb 0xfe0b…7341 | No | +104 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 05-14 03:19 |
| Melodic-Maintainer 0x1ee1…32bd | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 07:41 |
| Criminal-Exile 0x9e39…d152 | Yes | +94 | $2 | $3 | 4 | 05-13 21:57 |
| Potable-Hummus 0x8031…5565 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-06 11:47 |
| Truthful-Abdomen 0x0b09…2aa4 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 04:51 |
| Favorable-Reach 0xdc09…9b9a | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 07:04 |
| Terrible-Average 0x082c…9b4a | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-12 23:50 |
| Neat-Rush 0xf9cb…3d77 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 03:09 |
| Timely-Transcript 0x4aef…08f5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 08:03 |
| Free-Renaissance 0xe9b4…695e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 14:01 |
| Bleak-Stepgrandfather 0xdc10…3ebc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 03:12 |
| Criminal-Exile 0x9e39…d152 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 19:38 |
| Nocturnal-Surprise 0x3d91…b320 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:30 |
| Fragrant-Elevation 0xf57a…93d3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:30 |
| Miserable-Mast 0x59fd…037b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:30 |
| Hasty-Cartilage 0x3db9…515e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:30 |
| Grumpy-Anywhere 0x4887…82d2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:30 |
| Long-Term-Infancy 0x3904…908d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 14:49:19 | (anonymous) 0x92f1…8514 | No | BUY | 200 | 98¢ | $197 | 0x186905… |
| 05-14 14:41:16 | Treasured-Consistency 0x9fdb…9e7a | No | SELL | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x5848ab… |
| 05-14 14:08:11 | Decent-Speed 0x8120…057d | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x9f305a… |
| 05-14 14:01:04 | Free-Renaissance 0xe9b4…695e | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x77771c… |
| 05-14 13:44:20 | Treasured-Consistency 0x9fdb…9e7a | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0xc3e0d4… |
| 05-14 08:03:59 | Timely-Transcript 0x4aef…08f5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xd608b9… |
| 05-14 07:04:06 | Favorable-Reach 0xdc09…9b9a | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x911dd1… |
| 05-14 06:11:38 | Female-Secretion 0xc461…83db | No | BUY | 203 | 98¢ | $200 | 0x99c8d5… |
| 05-14 05:49:14 | Strident-Rehospitalization 0x02fd…c406 | No | BUY | 201 | 98¢ | $198 | 0xb78024… |
| 05-14 03:19:33 | True-Cobweb 0xfe0b…7341 | No | BUY | 104 | 98¢ | $102 | 0x8bb1f6… |
| 05-13 21:57:21 | Criminal-Exile 0x9e39…d152 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x53d130… |
| 05-13 21:56:56 | Criminal-Exile 0x9e39…d152 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x09e2d9… |
| 05-13 20:13:18 | Animated-Homogenate 0x4f28…969f | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xceb5e2… |
| 05-13 19:38:59 | Criminal-Exile 0x9e39…d152 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xbaf78b… |
| 05-13 15:08:38 | Slimy-Ammunition 0x1c5e…ea91 | No | SELL | 535 | 98¢ | $526 | 0x7b3e39… |
| 05-13 15:08:38 | Slimy-Ammunition 0x1c5e…ea91 | No | SELL | 375 | 98¢ | $369 | 0x4f69c2… |
| 05-13 15:08:38 | Slimy-Ammunition 0x1c5e…ea91 | No | SELL | 35 | 98¢ | $35 | 0xc6c898… |
| 05-13 07:41:20 | Melodic-Maintainer 0x1ee1…32bd | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x38f862… |
| 05-13 04:51:12 | Truthful-Abdomen 0x0b09…2aa4 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0xdf4a9c… |
| 05-12 23:50:10 | Terrible-Average 0x082c…9b4a | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0x213d2f… |
| 05-12 21:30:47 | Aching-Knifeedge 0x38c8…a8bd | No | BUY | 134 | 98¢ | $132 | 0xdd9031… |
| 05-12 17:01:33 | Criminal-Exile 0x9e39…d152 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa401c8… |
| 05-12 10:37:01 | Criminal-Exile 0x9e39…d152 | Yes | BUY | 156 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xdb646b… |
| 05-11 13:57:28 | Right-Pennant 0x0ab4…2448 | No | BUY | 1,020 | 98¢ | $1,005 | 0x5cc669… |
| 05-11 04:19:03 | Burly-Synonym 0xa72f…c1cb | No | SELL | 167 | 98¢ | $164 | 0x6c1a88… |
| 05-11 04:13:45 | Chief-Eurocentrism 0x4818…7f7b | No | BUY | 67 | 98¢ | $66 | 0x21a845… |
| 05-11 04:13:26 | Chief-Eurocentrism 0x4818…7f7b | No | SELL | 67 | 98¢ | $66 | 0xa61507… |
| 05-11 03:12:58 | Bleak-Stepgrandfather 0xdc10…3ebc | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x01acda… |
| 05-11 03:09:51 | Neat-Rush 0xf9cb…3d77 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1dd1a4… |
| 05-10 20:25:11 | Mediocre-Clavicle 0x77d0…b371 | No | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x9030df… |
| 05-10 13:57:23 | Buzzing-Pepperoni 0x6fda…3e79 | No | BUY | 1,118 | 98¢ | $1,100 | 0x4fd98a… |
| 05-09 15:09:04 | Feminine-Taco 0x58e0…b8bb | No | SELL | 305 | 98¢ | $300 | 0xc57a27… |
| 05-09 12:10:39 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | SELL | 260 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xc7ae39… |
| 05-08 09:35:18 | Rubbery-Altar 0x5be7…f377 | No | BUY | 860 | 98¢ | $846 | 0xdcffc6… |
| 05-06 11:47:18 | Potable-Hummus 0x8031…5565 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x77d2a3… |
| 05-06 05:00:06 | Better-Vineyard 0x6dc3…8502 | No | BUY | 118 | 98¢ | $116 | 0x20e7fd… |
| 05-06 04:59:48 | Better-Vineyard 0x6dc3…8502 | No | SELL | 118 | 98¢ | $116 | 0x7c5b17… |
| 05-05 03:30:08 | Fragrant-Elevation 0xf57a…93d3 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x492a2f… |
| 05-05 03:30:08 | Miserable-Mast 0x59fd…037b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa744ff… |
| 05-05 03:30:06 | Grumpy-Anywhere 0x4887…82d2 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xd0ab0c… |
| 05-05 03:30:06 | Long-Term-Infancy 0x3904…908d | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x603f7e… |
| 05-05 03:30:02 | Hasty-Cartilage 0x3db9…515e | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x9f0f65… |
| 05-05 03:30:00 | Nocturnal-Surprise 0x3d91…b320 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x24bceb… |