Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,108,038
$3,400 in 24h
Trades
20,455
Unique wallets
2,543
Liquidity
$95,529
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-06 09:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+86.3¢
(top1%: 87% YES on $1.5K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $571.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $439 | $44.0K | $43.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 60 | $1.8K | $243.9K | $242.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 990 | $555 | $182.3K | $181.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,463 | $978 | $97.2K | $96.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $1.3K | $200 | +$1.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 34 | $407 | $27.1K | $26.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 21 | $135 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| Median | 294 | $136 | $43.1K | $43.0K |
| Below median | 611 | $208 | $96.3K | $96.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 23 | $132 | $3.2K | $3.1K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | — | $480 | $480 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $474 | $9.9K | $9.5K |
| unranked | 1,537 | $966 | $385.6K | $384.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xa894…bf95 | No | +26,027 | $25,793 | $182,287 | 16 | 08-05 17:04 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +23,533 | $418 | $418 | 18 | 06-12 09:53 |
| Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | +13,437 | $13,302 | $13,302 | 112 | 08-06 02:41 |
| Creamy-Coaster 0x243b…4810 | Yes | +9,670 | $100 | $100 | 9 | 07-19 13:49 |
| Eager-Ritual 0x31ff…209b | Yes | +9,492 | $95 | $95 | 3 | 07-17 06:37 |
| Qualified-Citizen 0xa80e…b94b | No | +6,857 | $6,758 | $6,758 | 47 | 06-13 07:52 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +5,954 | $12 | $1,153 | 754 | 08-05 15:20 |
| Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | No | +5,838 | $5,748 | $10,294 | 67 | 07-01 07:58 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +5,315 | $5,198 | $5,198 | 20 | 06-12 19:54 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +5,235 | $20 | $487 | 297 | 07-27 09:27 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +4,242 | $41 | $43 | 49 | 08-02 09:16 |
| Haunting-Serial 0x83d4…bce8 | Yes | +4,103 | $60 | $78 | 75 | 06-26 01:16 |
| Haunting-Serial 0x83d4…bce8 | No | +4,103 | $4,044 | $4,044 | 54 | 06-24 22:24 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +3,910 | $3,886 | $7,816 | 65 | 08-02 13:13 |
| Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | Yes | +3,532 | $47 | $47 | 16 | 06-16 18:21 |
| Paltry-Sentiment 0x091e…84bc | No | +3,080 | $3,040 | $3,040 | 11 | 06-21 18:36 |
| Pungent-Leader 0x9739…159f | Yes | +2,507 | $19 | $28 | 41 | 06-05 22:15 |
| Wry-Register 0x02f0…d710 | Yes | +2,400 | $25 | $25 | 23 | 06-28 08:43 |
| Frosty-Organization 0x78ae…7412 | Yes | +2,298 | $18 | $18 | 24 | 06-13 15:25 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +2,120 | $2,078 | $2,078 | 26 | 06-12 10:21 |
| Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | Yes | +2,000 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 08-01 12:47 |
| Worrisome-Cheetah 0x50a3…2c72 | Yes | +2,000 | $16 | $16 | 31 | 06-03 06:59 |
| Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | No | +1,791 | $1,773 | $1,773 | 32 | 07-22 12:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x8975…7fce | Yes | +1,700 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-07 08:40 |
| Fast-Parenting 0x478e…0c83 | No | +1,600 | $1,587 | $1,587 | 1 | 06-05 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d4c…c40d | Yes | +1,562 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-23 11:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | +1,444 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-18 04:27 |
| Blushing-Roast 0x7ad0…19e3 | Yes | +1,200 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-28 10:52 |
| Peaceful-Sandal 0xc8ee…efce | No | +1,000 | $992 | $992 | 1 | 06-05 01:14 |
| Awesome-Pardon 0x2f3d…e82c | No | +851 | $844 | $1,378 | 5 | 06-03 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fd6…eb21 | Yes | +833 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-01 05:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ac6…d96c | Yes | +786 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-12 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x043f…654a | Yes | +760 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-10 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +760 | $725 | $44,235 | 979 | 07-16 10:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x54cb…f8e2 | Yes | +588 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa7f…3058 | Yes | +583 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b1a…2309 | Yes | +543 | $10 | $14 | 5 | 06-12 17:44 |
| Basic-Wetland 0x22d0…2803 | No | +533 | $528 | $528 | 1 | 07-23 08:56 |
| Inconsequential-Bafflement 0x06d1…1780 | No | +523 | $518 | $518 | 1 | 07-27 07:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x31d0…37f8 | No | +513 | $508 | $508 | 1 | 07-14 06:25 |
| Rusty-Repeat 0x7e31…1c97 | No | +511 | $505 | $505 | 1 | 07-01 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xf591…6ad5 | No | +505 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-17 16:27 |
| Imperfect-Meeting 0x2c54…650b | No | +505 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-15 09:16 |
| Reckless-Democracy 0xcaad…42c8 | No | +505 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-26 05:32 |
| Legitimate-Wafer 0xe22b…45ab | Yes | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-09 18:14 |
| Crazy-Hybridization 0x19b8…0c6c | Yes | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-25 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c35…e165 | Yes | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-31 23:02 |
| Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | +500 | $-0 | $20 | 3 | 06-24 23:28 |
| Muffled-Tonight 0xc25c…1b21 | No | +472 | $470 | $780 | 2 | 06-15 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c8b…645c | Yes | +460 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-05 04:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x32db…c7f0 | Yes | +455 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-25 09:39 |
| Powerless-Bricklaying 0x9421…0c05 | No | +443 | $440 | $1,145 | 3 | 08-05 15:20 |
| Useless-Secret 0xd4a6…64ae | No | +404 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 07-15 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +400 | $394 | $394 | 2 | 06-15 15:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed3…1e40 | No | +396 | $381 | $2,367 | 21 | 06-13 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x61f6…ed9e | Yes | +370 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-06 10:52 |
| Bulky-Max 0x82ff…c12a | No | +333 | $330 | $330 | 1 | 07-30 04:06 |
| Alarmed-Calculus 0x6d44…f042 | No | +304 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-17 12:02 |
| Svelte-Causal 0x5a88…023d | No | +303 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-15 08:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f6e…7d46 | No | +302 | $299 | $299 | 6 | 06-06 04:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 09:05:06 | (anonymous) 0x76a1…6ee4 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x3445be… |
| 08-06 09:05:06 | Shady-Raid 0xdaba…a787 | No | BUY | 168 | 99¢ | $167 | 0x3445be… |
| 08-06 09:05:06 | Wilted-Speaking 0x539b…624c | No | SELL | 160 | 99¢ | $158 | 0x3445be… |
| 08-06 07:55:38 | Wilted-Speaking 0x539b…624c | No | SELL | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x535aed… |
| 08-06 07:55:38 | (anonymous) 0x1a89…bb33 | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x535aed… |
| 08-06 02:41:00 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0xabe28e… |
| 08-06 02:41:00 | Amusing-Motive 0xcbbc…2b70 | No | SELL | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0xabe28e… |
| 08-06 02:40:33 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe6275c… |
| 08-06 02:40:33 | Common-Winner 0xce5f…ab17 | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe6275c… |
| 08-05 17:04:06 | (anonymous) 0xa894…bf95 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x53e2d5… |
| 08-05 17:04:06 | (anonymous) 0xe01f…4af7 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x53e2d5… |
| 08-05 17:03:26 | (anonymous) 0xe130…4caa | No | SELL | 26,018 | 99¢ | $25,784 | 0xeb38c0… |
| 08-05 17:03:26 | (anonymous) 0xa894…bf95 | No | BUY | 26,018 | 99¢ | $25,784 | 0xeb38c0… |
| 08-05 17:00:08 | (anonymous) 0xe130…4caa | No | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x1d393c… |
| 08-05 17:00:08 | (anonymous) 0xe01f…4af7 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x1d393c… |
| 08-05 17:00:08 | (anonymous) 0x76a1…6ee4 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x1d393c… |
| 08-05 16:53:30 | (anonymous) 0xe130…4caa | No | BUY | 26,020 | 99¢ | $25,786 | 0xfe6ae1… |
| 08-05 16:53:30 | (anonymous) 0xa894…bf95 | No | SELL | 26,010 | 99¢ | $25,776 | 0xfe6ae1… |
| 08-05 16:53:30 | (anonymous) 0xe01f…4af7 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xfe6ae1… |
| 08-05 16:45:23 | (anonymous) 0xe130…4caa | No | SELL | 26,000 | 99¢ | $25,766 | 0x062ed6… |
| 08-05 16:45:23 | (anonymous) 0x76a1…6ee4 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x062ed6… |
| 08-05 16:45:23 | (anonymous) 0xa894…bf95 | No | BUY | 26,010 | 99¢ | $25,776 | 0x062ed6… |
| 08-05 16:37:20 | (anonymous) 0xe130…4caa | No | SELL | 403 | 99¢ | $400 | 0x912614… |
| 08-05 16:37:20 | Wilted-Speaking 0x539b…624c | No | BUY | 260 | 99¢ | $258 | 0x912614… |
| 08-05 16:37:20 | (anonymous) 0x76a1…6ee4 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x912614… |
| 08-05 16:37:20 | Unpleasant-Guide 0x5910…4029 | No | BUY | 133 | 99¢ | $132 | 0x912614… |
| 08-05 15:20:59 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 443 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x312503… |
| 08-05 15:20:59 | Powerless-Bricklaying 0x9421…0c05 | No | BUY | 443 | 99¢ | $439 | 0x312503… |
| 08-05 12:00:33 | Wilted-Speaking 0x539b…624c | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xaa2e95… |
| 08-05 12:00:33 | (anonymous) 0x6593…6059 | No | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xaa2e95… |
| 08-04 14:01:08 | (anonymous) 0x13a7…6197 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x786235… |
| 08-04 14:01:08 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x786235… |
| 08-04 13:18:17 | Unknown-Portion 0xcadc…d802 | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xe23be4… |
| 08-04 13:18:17 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe23be4… |
| 08-04 04:55:39 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1028d6… |
| 08-04 04:55:39 | Free-Renaissance 0xe9b4…695e | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1028d6… |
| 08-03 21:41:24 | (anonymous) 0xa894…bf95 | No | SELL | 26,419 | 99¢ | $26,182 | 0xee95a0… |
| 08-03 21:41:24 | (anonymous) 0xe130…4caa | No | BUY | 26,419 | 99¢ | $26,182 | 0xee95a0… |
| 08-03 15:13:33 | (anonymous) 0x5de9…1758 | No | BUY | 170 | 99¢ | $169 | 0x5520dd… |
| 08-03 15:13:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 170 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5520dd… |
| 08-03 15:09:29 | Visible-Progress 0x7b58…a73f | No | SELL | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0x79630d… |
| 08-03 15:09:29 | Mushy-Bear 0x3eeb…d809 | No | BUY | 222 | 99¢ | $220 | 0x79630d… |
| 08-03 15:09:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 142 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x79630d… |
| 08-03 14:46:41 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x156823… |
| 08-03 14:46:41 | (anonymous) 0xe31c…d059 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x156823… |
| 08-03 10:08:12 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x26a456… |
| 08-03 10:08:12 | Feisty-Caravan 0x830c…ca89 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x26a456… |
| 08-02 23:30:18 | Visible-Progress 0x7b58…a73f | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x144744… |
| 08-02 23:30:18 | (anonymous) 0xf19f…5817 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x144744… |
| 08-02 23:08:50 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x87b084… |
| 08-02 23:08:50 | (anonymous) 0xf19f…5817 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x87b084… |
| 08-02 17:44:47 | (anonymous) 0xd602…ef58 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9bc836… |
| 08-02 17:44:47 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0x9bc836… |
| 08-02 15:53:24 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x3de869… |
| 08-02 15:53:24 | (anonymous) 0xd602…ef58 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3de869… |
| 08-02 13:22:56 | (anonymous) 0xe130…4caa | No | SELL | 26,410 | 99¢ | $26,172 | 0xd84d43… |
| 08-02 13:22:56 | (anonymous) 0xa894…bf95 | No | BUY | 26,419 | 99¢ | $26,182 | 0xd84d43… |
| 08-02 13:22:56 | (anonymous) 0x76a1…6ee4 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xd84d43… |
| 08-02 13:15:02 | (anonymous) 0xe130…4caa | No | BUY | 26,328 | 99¢ | $26,091 | 0x9ba71b… |
| 08-02 13:15:02 | (anonymous) 0xa894…bf95 | No | SELL | 26,328 | 99¢ | $26,091 | 0x9ba71b… |
| 08-02 13:13:20 | (anonymous) 0xa894…bf95 | No | SELL | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xd7e975… |
| 08-02 13:13:20 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xd7e975… |
| 08-02 13:13:20 | (anonymous) 0xe130…4caa | No | BUY | 82 | 99¢ | $81 | 0xd7e975… |
| 08-02 13:13:20 | (anonymous) 0xe01f…4af7 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xd7e975… |
| 08-02 13:13:20 | (anonymous) 0x76a1…6ee4 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xd7e975… |
| 08-02 12:48:27 | Unimportant-Custard 0xc850…e468 | No | SELL | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x1de5fa… |
| 08-02 12:48:27 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x1de5fa… |
| 08-02 09:16:53 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6c17d0… |
| 08-02 09:16:53 | Unimportant-Custard 0xc850…e468 | No | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x6c17d0… |
| 08-02 09:16:53 | Visible-Progress 0x7b58…a73f | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x6c17d0… |
| 08-02 07:27:09 | (anonymous) 0x3ad0…1616 | No | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0xc7c84f… |
| 08-02 07:27:09 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 61 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc7c84f… |
| 08-02 06:08:47 | Stunning-Sweatshirt 0x150d…3de0 | No | BUY | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0x9198ff… |
| 08-02 06:08:47 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9198ff… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x0ea2…4a18 | No | SELL | 131 | 99¢ | $130 | 0xd6c546… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xae19…b6dd | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xca3d…a1a6 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xb67b…f3cc | No | SELL | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xf552…b1fe | No | SELL | 300 | 99¢ | $297 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x22f2…3b64 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x3a4d…eb66 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xb052…2712 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xd65b…d67a | No | SELL | 1,990 | 99¢ | $1,972 | 0xd6c546… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xd0f3…aabd | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x7424…9290 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xc335…9aaf | No | SELL | 2,732 | 99¢ | $2,707 | 0xd6c546… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x076c…eeff | No | SELL | 124 | 99¢ | $122 | 0xd6c546… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x7b43…ba88 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xb08d…f474 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x2b71…82c7 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | Bland-Clutch 0x2ff7…930e | No | SELL | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xa6c3…0b26 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x58cb…e8ef | No | SELL | 139 | 99¢ | $138 | 0xd6c546… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | Unsteady-Parsnip 0x2e7a…d4d0 | No | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xd6c546… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xa894…bf95 | No | BUY | 2,404 | 99¢ | $2,382 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x57ce…4280 | No | SELL | 126 | 99¢ | $125 | 0xd6c546… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x92f1…8514 | No | SELL | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xa276…bfe7 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xac36…58b6 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xaa1777… |
| 08-01 12:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x6fc4…d222 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xaa1777… |