Realized P&L
+$92
Unrealized P&L
+$606
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
56,719
lifetime
Volume
$1.00M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$4.79K
26 positions
First seen
2026-06-06
last 10-19 01:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
47% 100% +$12
Other
32% 100% +$71
Crypto
20% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +495 $468 96¢ $477 +$10 08-05 14:54
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +465 $430 96¢ $446 +$16 07-23 19:39
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +446 $440 99¢ $440 +$0 07-15 17:50
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No +340 $330 99¢ $336 +$6 07-27 12:44
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No +316 $306 99¢ $313 +$7 07-27 00:32
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +266 $258 98¢ $261 +$4 07-30 22:47
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +201 $189 99¢ $199 +$10 08-07 06:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $190 100¢ $199 +$9 07-01 21:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $187 99¢ $199 +$12 07-01 21:47
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +200 $184 98¢ $197 +$13 07-18 13:15
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +200 $184 98¢ $197 +$13 07-21 20:50
EU dissolves before 2027? No +200 $193 98¢ $197 +$4 07-17 01:43
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +200 $159 97¢ $194 +$35 08-02 15:09
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +200 $185 97¢ $194 +$9 07-19 04:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +200 $127 94¢ $187 +$60 08-06 17:35
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +200 $78 90¢ $179 +$101 07-16 06:56
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? No +170 $164 98¢ $167 +$3 07-17 12:53
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +137 $130 99¢ $136 +$6 07-19 05:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +133 $123 99¢ $132 +$9 07-01 17:47
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +95 $87 98¢ $93 +$6 07-27 09:01
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +39 -$68 98¢ $38 +$106 07-31 10:14
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +2 -$32 98¢ $2 +$34 07-20 10:57
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 -$19 96¢ $1 +$20 07-26 23:30
Trump out as President before 2027? No +0 -$78 96¢ $0 +$78 08-01 21:13
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 -$6 99¢ $0 +$6 07-01 09:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$30 99¢ $0 +$30 07-07 12:46