Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$1.88K
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
54,705
lifetime
Volume
$904.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$228.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-06
last 07-21 22:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
44%
—
—
Other
33%
—
—
Crypto
21%
—
—
Sports
1%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk
• peak 2334 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | +63,238 | $59,813 | 96¢ | $60.4K | +$611 | 07-19 02:23 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | +31,825 | $30,130 | 96¢ | $30.5K | +$374 | 07-04 09:15 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | +17,072 | $16,217 | 95¢ | $16.3K | +$69 | 07-20 10:57 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +13,797 | $13,599 | 99¢ | $13.7K | +$68 | 07-16 10:18 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | +14,335 | $13,286 | 94¢ | $13.5K | +$253 | 07-13 13:02 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | +13,589 | $12,777 | 95¢ | $12.9K | +$140 | 07-14 17:58 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +10,051 | $9,853 | 98¢ | $9.8K | $-18 | 07-15 15:34 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +6,272 | $6,181 | 99¢ | $6.2K | +$6 | 07-15 09:40 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +6,263 | $6,163 | 99¢ | $6.2K | +$10 | 07-15 12:15 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | +6,881 | $5,866 | 88¢ | $6.1K | +$224 | 07-16 06:56 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | +5,509 | $4,994 | 92¢ | $5.1K | +$101 | 07-03 20:30 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5,046 | $4,949 | 98¢ | $4.9K | $-2 | 07-15 08:49 | |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | +4,165 | $4,052 | 98¢ | $4.1K | +$24 | 07-19 05:21 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | +3,721 | $3,647 | 98¢ | $3.6K | +$1 | 07-19 14:13 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,625 | $3,446 | 98¢ | $3.5K | +$102 | 07-01 17:47 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | +3,761 | $3,478 | 94¢ | $3.5K | +$39 | 07-16 21:50 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | +3,594 | $3,401 | 97¢ | $3.5K | +$84 | 07-01 09:18 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,393 | $3,285 | 98¢ | $3.3K | +$42 | 07-01 21:28 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | +3,553 | $3,205 | 90¢ | $3.2K | $-25 | 07-07 18:22 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,639 | $2,540 | 98¢ | $2.6K | +$48 | 07-01 21:47 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,578 | $2,439 | 96¢ | $2.5K | +$23 | 07-15 09:36 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,350 | $2,212 | 96¢ | $2.2K | +$32 | 07-07 12:46 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +3,017 | $2,594 | 72¢ | $2.2K | $-407 | 06-15 14:49 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | +2,255 | $2,114 | 94¢ | $2.1K | +$16 | 07-19 04:22 | |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | No | +1,384 | $1,351 | 98¢ | $1.4K | +$2 | 07-16 08:29 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,218 | $1,184 | 98¢ | $1.2K | +$5 | 07-21 21:52 | |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | +1,028 | $1,008 | 98¢ | $1.0K | +$3 | 07-17 00:03 | |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | +1,065 | $994 | 94¢ | $1.0K | +$13 | 07-21 16:37 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,007 | $984 | 98¢ | $987 | +$3 | 07-21 22:20 | |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | No | +884 | $811 | 96¢ | $851 | +$40 | 07-19 19:30 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 26,643 | $202.5K | 107,750 | 106,214 | +1,535 | open | — | 07-19 02:23 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 1,461 | $122.3K | 75,786 | 72,121 | +3,665 | open | — | 06-28 03:45 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 4,958 | $80.1K | 43,651 | 40,952 | +2,699 | open | — | 07-04 09:15 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | 10,699 | $64.5K | 33,562 | 34,163 | -601 | open | — | 07-20 10:57 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | 979 | $44.2K | 22,792 | 22,032 | +760 | open | — | 07-16 10:18 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | 1,411 | $42.5K | 23,997 | 21,895 | +2,101 | open | — | 07-13 13:02 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | 468 | $32.7K | 18,805 | 15,971 | +2,833 | open | — | 07-14 17:58 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | 680 | $27.5K | 15,146 | 12,814 | +2,332 | open | — | 07-15 15:34 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | 202 | $23.4K | 11,481 | 12,040 | -559 | open | — | 06-27 21:20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | 475 | $22.4K | 12,245 | 10,510 | +1,735 | open | — | 07-15 09:40 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | 208 | $17.1K | 10,217 | 9,631 | +586 | open | — | 07-16 06:56 |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | 929 | $16.4K | 9,164 | 7,561 | +1,603 | open | — | 07-15 08:49 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | 1,123 | $16.1K | 8,360 | 8,223 | +137 | open | — | 07-19 05:21 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | 480 | $16.1K | 9,606 | 6,765 | +2,841 | open | — | 07-15 12:15 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | 177 | $15.0K | 7,665 | 7,860 | -195 | open | — | 07-01 21:47 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | 1,100 | $12.7K | 6,662 | 6,708 | -47 | open | — | 07-01 09:18 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | 168 | $12.4K | 7,738 | 5,938 | +1,800 | open | — | 07-03 20:30 |
| world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835 | 112 | $12.3K | 6,358 | 6,223 | +136 | open | — | 07-17 20:19 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | 373 | $12.0K | 6,222 | 6,351 | -129 | open | — | 07-01 17:47 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 111 | $10.4K | 6,197 | 5,802 | +395 | open | — | 06-15 14:49 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | 145 | $10.3K | 5,242 | 5,423 | -182 | open | — | 07-01 21:28 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 61 | $9.1K | 6,035 | 4,050 | +1,985 | open | — | 07-07 18:22 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 159 | $8.0K | 4,770 | 3,400 | +1,370 | open | — | 07-19 14:13 |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | 52 | $7.7K | 4,226 | 3,941 | +285 | open | — | 07-19 19:30 |
| is earth flat 20260608195956112 | 186 | $7.5K | 4,163 | 3,524 | +639 | open | — | 07-17 15:52 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | 170 | $7.5K | 4,814 | 3,312 | +1,502 | open | — | 07-16 21:50 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 138 | $7.0K | 3,823 | 3,623 | +200 | open | — | 07-19 04:22 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | 76 | $5.6K | 2,978 | 2,978 | +0 | open | — | 07-07 12:46 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | 81 | $5.3K | 2,689 | 2,722 | -32 | open | — | 07-21 21:52 |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | 105 | $5.1K | 2,705 | 2,471 | +234 | open | — | 07-16 08:29 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||