Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$1.38K
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
35,647
lifetime
Volume
$622.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$196.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-06
last 07-01 00:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
44%
—
—
Other
35%
—
—
Crypto
21%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk
• peak 2334 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | +37,432 | $36,941 | 100¢ | $37.4K | +$453 | 06-28 03:45 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | +33,223 | $31,245 | 94¢ | $31.3K | +$101 | 07-01 01:46 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | +20,933 | $19,642 | 95¢ | $19.8K | +$171 | 06-30 20:28 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | +14,002 | $13,281 | 96¢ | $13.4K | +$98 | 07-01 01:49 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | +12,233 | $11,288 | 93¢ | $11.4K | +$119 | 07-01 01:42 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +11,178 | $11,008 | 99¢ | $11.0K | +$41 | 07-01 00:45 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | +8,349 | $8,299 | 100¢ | $8.3K | +$42 | 06-27 21:20 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5,926 | $5,807 | 98¢ | $5.8K | +$10 | 06-29 00:07 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | +5,873 | $5,465 | 94¢ | $5.5K | +$35 | 06-29 03:23 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +4,051 | $3,977 | 97¢ | $3.9K | $-39 | 06-17 06:45 | |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | +3,977 | $3,869 | 97¢ | $3.9K | $-13 | 06-09 11:26 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | +4,179 | $3,521 | 86¢ | $3.6K | +$94 | 07-01 00:03 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,647 | $3,590 | 99¢ | $3.6K | +$5 | 06-29 14:44 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,630 | $3,451 | 96¢ | $3.5K | +$35 | 06-29 14:57 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,452 | $3,343 | 97¢ | $3.4K | +$11 | 06-29 05:10 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | +3,461 | $3,275 | 95¢ | $3.3K | +$25 | 07-01 01:05 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,077 | $3,022 | 99¢ | $3.0K | +$10 | 06-29 12:45 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | +3,289 | $2,942 | 92¢ | $3.0K | +$68 | 06-30 15:25 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | +2,820 | $2,764 | 98¢ | $2.8K | +$4 | 06-29 16:29 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,839 | $2,736 | 96¢ | $2.7K | $-9 | 06-28 19:21 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +3,017 | $2,594 | 86¢ | $2.6K | $-15 | 06-15 14:49 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | +2,701 | $2,483 | 94¢ | $2.5K | +$42 | 06-29 12:17 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,545 | $2,400 | 96¢ | $2.4K | +$31 | 06-27 17:50 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | +1,951 | $1,715 | 90¢ | $1.8K | +$51 | 06-28 01:51 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,685 | $1,599 | 94¢ | $1.6K | $-6 | 06-28 11:41 | |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | No | +1,365 | $1,333 | 98¢ | $1.3K | +$2 | 06-29 19:41 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,279 | $1,244 | 97¢ | $1.2K | +$3 | 07-01 01:28 | |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | +818 | $778 | 95¢ | $775 | $-3 | 06-28 20:46 | |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | +800 | $742 | 94¢ | $756 | +$14 | 06-27 15:22 | |
| EU dissolves before 2027? | No | +767 | $741 | 97¢ | $743 | +$1 | 06-29 22:23 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 1,461 | $122.3K | 75,786 | 72,121 | +3,665 | open | — | 06-28 03:45 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 16,070 | $116.8K | 62,961 | 61,012 | +1,948 | open | — | 07-01 01:46 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 3,379 | $50.3K | 26,931 | 26,703 | +229 | open | — | 06-30 20:28 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | 7,735 | $49.5K | 26,059 | 26,092 | -33 | open | — | 07-01 01:49 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | 911 | $32.3K | 18,293 | 16,790 | +1,503 | open | — | 07-01 01:42 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | 687 | $31.6K | 16,592 | 15,424 | +1,168 | open | — | 07-01 00:45 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | 202 | $23.4K | 11,481 | 12,040 | -559 | open | — | 06-27 21:20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | 353 | $15.6K | 8,045 | 7,768 | +278 | open | — | 06-29 14:44 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | 371 | $15.5K | 8,253 | 7,520 | +733 | open | — | 06-29 00:07 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | 174 | $14.4K | 7,665 | 7,260 | +405 | open | — | 06-28 19:21 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | 203 | $12.5K | 7,311 | 6,109 | +1,202 | open | — | 06-29 03:23 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | 365 | $11.9K | 6,222 | 6,284 | -62 | open | — | 06-29 14:57 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | 1,034 | $11.4K | 6,043 | 6,023 | +20 | open | — | 07-01 01:05 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | 388 | $10.8K | 5,600 | 5,400 | +200 | open | — | 06-29 12:45 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 111 | $10.4K | 6,197 | 5,802 | +395 | open | — | 06-15 14:49 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | 144 | $10.3K | 5,242 | 5,364 | -122 | open | — | 06-29 05:10 |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | 781 | $9.8K | 5,797 | 4,175 | +1,623 | open | — | 06-17 06:45 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | 109 | $9.1K | 5,654 | 5,088 | +566 | open | — | 07-01 00:03 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | 116 | $9.1K | 5,138 | 4,938 | +200 | open | — | 06-30 15:25 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 116 | $5.9K | 3,370 | 2,600 | +770 | open | — | 06-29 16:29 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 38 | $5.5K | 3,635 | 2,650 | +985 | open | — | 06-28 01:51 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | 130 | $5.2K | 4,106 | 1,282 | +2,824 | open | — | 06-09 11:26 |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | 84 | $4.8K | 2,575 | 2,310 | +266 | open | — | 06-29 19:41 |
| is earth flat 20260608195956112 | 106 | $4.3K | 2,363 | 2,091 | +272 | open | — | 06-30 07:59 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | 121 | $4.3K | 3,214 | 1,512 | +1,702 | open | — | 06-29 12:17 |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | 25 | $4.2K | 3,097 | 1,407 | +1,690 | open | — | 06-29 20:05 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | 59 | $4.2K | 2,251 | 2,027 | +224 | open | — | 07-01 01:28 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | 62 | $3.9K | 2,978 | 1,178 | +1,800 | open | — | 06-27 17:50 |
| EU dissolves before 2027? | 77 | $2.7K | 1,574 | 1,267 | +307 | open | — | 06-29 22:23 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | 52 | $2.0K | 1,033 | 1,010 | +23 | open | — | 07-01 00:52 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||