Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$345,053
$713 in 24h
Trades
13,886
Unique wallets
1,627
Liquidity
$94,254
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-08 01:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+10.3¢
(top1%: 12% YES on $4.9K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $200.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $17 | $18.1K | $18.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 34 | $2.1K | $66.4K | $64.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 639 | $474 | $74.9K | $74.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 937 | $193 | $38.6K | $38.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $575 | $4.3K | $3.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $984 | $4.7K | $3.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $10 | $5.9K | $5.9K |
| Median | 199 | $16 | $10.7K | $10.7K |
| Below median | 514 | $123 | $65.0K | $64.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 20 | $12 | $2.8K | $2.8K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 18 | $112 | $4.6K | $4.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $21 | $350 | $329 |
| unranked | 840 | $909 | $99.5K | $98.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +22,725 | $445 | $1,433 | 845 | 07-05 03:10 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +19,192 | $18,618 | $40,262 | 224 | 07-04 20:01 |
| Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | Yes | +14,964 | $278 | $278 | 209 | 06-11 02:24 |
| Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | No | +14,762 | $14,493 | $22,864 | 367 | 06-30 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +5,719 | $5,605 | $5,605 | 4 | 06-12 15:04 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +4,426 | $4,340 | $4,340 | 5 | 06-02 02:37 |
| Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | No | +4,000 | $3,936 | $3,936 | 14 | 06-05 19:49 |
| Aromatic-Grid 0xaa0d…c48c | No | +3,099 | $3,042 | $3,042 | 1 | 06-21 05:57 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +3,000 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 06-01 18:46 |
| Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | Yes | +2,830 | $42 | $42 | 29 | 06-05 13:46 |
| Quirky-Temptation 0xdebb…4b4c | Yes | +2,600 | $50 | $82 | 7 | 06-29 14:11 |
| Quirky-Temptation 0xdebb…4b4c | No | +2,600 | $2,552 | $2,552 | 42 | 06-17 10:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x30dd…bb80 | No | +2,066 | $2,037 | $2,037 | 1 | 07-02 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f6e…7d46 | No | +2,000 | $1,968 | $1,968 | 11 | 06-06 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f6e…7d46 | Yes | +2,000 | $32 | $32 | 8 | 06-22 22:03 |
| Blushing-Roast 0x7ad0…19e3 | Yes | +1,900 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 06-06 04:10 |
| Passionate-Nationality 0xab81…5ecd | No | +1,880 | $1,845 | $1,845 | 80 | 06-20 17:34 |
| Shameless-Workout-Orchard 0x4d86…1cb2 | Yes | +1,693 | $4 | $71 | 44 | 07-04 08:45 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +1,664 | $1,615 | $1,615 | 20 | 06-01 18:44 |
| Haunting-Serial 0x83d4…bce8 | No | +1,500 | $1,468 | $1,468 | 1 | 06-11 02:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | Yes | +1,500 | $39 | $75 | 3 | 06-27 12:04 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,498 | $25 | $223 | 239 | 07-05 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +1,425 | $1,400 | $12,770 | 434 | 07-06 16:16 |
| Nervous-Overload 0x1c4f…2852 | No | +1,357 | $1,324 | $9,556 | 50 | 06-12 02:40 |
| Haunting-Serial 0x83d4…bce8 | Yes | +1,340 | $37 | $76 | 59 | 06-26 01:14 |
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +1,333 | $18 | $39 | 5 | 07-01 22:35 |
| Sardonic-Characterization 0xad33…9962 | No | +1,280 | $1,255 | $1,255 | 1 | 06-17 10:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | +1,276 | $1,250 | $1,250 | 128 | 06-16 16:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x21bd…45c4 | Yes | +1,154 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-26 15:54 |
| Insistent-Standard 0xb9fe…f33a | No | +1,020 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-12 02:40 |
| Uneven-Envy 0x4bad…62c5 | No | +1,000 | $979 | $979 | 14 | 06-18 06:51 |
| Uneven-Envy 0x4bad…62c5 | Yes | +1,000 | $24 | $50 | 9 | 06-29 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x32db…c7f0 | Yes | +762 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-25 09:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc6d…c7bd | No | +699 | $689 | $911 | 3 | 06-25 09:52 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +500 | $490 | $4,554 | 59 | 07-06 00:55 |
| Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | Yes | +494 | $10 | $139 | 41 | 06-26 15:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x8685…7ad9 | No | +461 | $453 | $453 | 6 | 06-03 08:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x4399…2bd0 | No | +419 | $406 | $1,602 | 2 | 06-14 21:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b3…5fa0 | Yes | +417 | $8 | $8 | 28 | 06-18 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x23b0…a7c8 | No | +365 | $359 | $792 | 20 | 06-27 06:20 |
| Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | +355 | $2 | $8 | 3 | 06-22 22:03 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +350 | $344 | $344 | 2 | 06-14 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | +339 | $332 | $332 | 15 | 06-03 07:55 |
| Harmful-Ratepayer 0xdc1f…d243 | Yes | +317 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-07 19:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x542a…5b48 | No | +300 | $296 | $296 | 1 | 06-05 16:16 |
| Bossy-Concern 0x723e…3525 | No | +280 | $272 | $272 | 1 | 06-01 09:03 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $4 | $7 | 5 | 06-07 18:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-09 08:48 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xb20e…867d | No | +200 | $197 | $197 | 6 | 06-27 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xa38a…3b2f | No | +200 | $197 | $197 | 4 | 06-24 07:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb87…fa96 | No | +200 | $197 | $197 | 1 | 06-27 10:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 01:19:40 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x55b989… |
| 07-08 01:19:40 | (anonymous) 0x419c…0b0e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x55b989… |
| 07-07 23:34:43 | (anonymous) 0xd67a…a152 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x443517… |
| 07-07 23:34:43 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x443517… |
| 07-07 23:00:46 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x83a1c8… |
| 07-07 23:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x419c…0b0e | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x83a1c8… |
| 07-07 23:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xf8b0…edd3 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x83a1c8… |
| 07-07 20:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x531e…8f00 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x295998… |
| 07-07 20:00:20 | (anonymous) 0xf8b0…edd3 | No | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x295998… |
| 07-07 20:00:20 | (anonymous) 0xe3d1…e597 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x295998… |
| 07-07 20:00:20 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x295998… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x71d5…3755 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0xd01e…0834 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x8fe4…e9d0 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0xdb68…bc9a | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x8379…e87c | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | Harmful-Ratepayer 0xdc1f…d243 | Yes | BUY | 317 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x4cce…693e | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0xae19…b6dd | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x4835…a19b | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x0a3a…6e62 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0xc89a…bc35 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x2aa8…9b90 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0xd81c…2a32 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x4ddb…eda9 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x800e…7775 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x0645…f09a | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x502a…0b60 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x31e4…08c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x40bd…9f69 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x238a…eed2 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0xe3d1…e597 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x53df…94ae | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x3662…7998 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x8d81…d6f2 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0xbaa0…d897 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0xdd07…a562 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x3538…321e | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x1738…039e | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x858b…2b91 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x12b6…9ac8 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0xcb8e…4408 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0xe8cc…6e8e | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0xee33…557a | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x1bb5…1995 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x9c46…cfbd | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x0aed…1dba | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x5351…8979 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x276a…6799 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x2455…372a | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x3f90…1862 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x2693…ef8e | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x7b54…a1d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 19:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x2a05…cd68 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xcbe290… |
| 07-07 18:37:23 | (anonymous) 0xd67a…a152 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1186e3… |
| 07-07 18:37:23 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x1186e3… |
| 07-07 18:37:23 | (anonymous) 0x6d2f…77b6 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x1186e3… |
| 07-07 17:49:13 | (anonymous) 0x4e5b…c18a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7b617a… |
| 07-07 17:49:13 | (anonymous) 0x5351…8979 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7b617a… |
| 07-07 17:49:13 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x7b617a… |
| 07-07 17:09:38 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x6eaa92… |
| 07-07 17:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x6d2f…77b6 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6eaa92… |
| 07-07 17:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x0075…36d5 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6eaa92… |
| 07-07 15:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…4b01 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0aa09e… |
| 07-07 15:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x0cdc…9056 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0aa09e… |
| 07-07 15:48:13 | (anonymous) 0xa61d…5268 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x0aa09e… |
| 07-07 15:48:13 | (anonymous) 0xf9e3…0f13 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0aa09e… |
| 07-07 15:48:13 | (anonymous) 0xb08d…f474 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x0aa09e… |
| 07-07 15:48:13 | (anonymous) 0xe920…e69c | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x0aa09e… |
| 07-07 15:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x92a6…7eef | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x0aa09e… |
| 07-07 15:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x95fa…425d | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x0aa09e… |
| 07-07 15:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x4e5b…c18a | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x0aa09e… |
| 07-07 15:48:13 | (anonymous) 0xbdd5…2d13 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x0aa09e… |
| 07-07 15:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x0b12…171a | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x0aa09e… |
| 07-07 15:48:13 | (anonymous) 0x3a6c…979b | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x0aa09e… |
| 07-07 10:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x1b66…4b01 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb084c3… |
| 07-07 10:15:14 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xb084c3… |
| 07-07 10:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x14e6…11fa | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb084c3… |
| 07-07 09:56:17 | (anonymous) 0x0075…36d5 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x932e0c… |
| 07-07 09:56:17 | (anonymous) 0xc201…8209 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x932e0c… |
| 07-07 09:56:17 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x932e0c… |
| 07-07 01:45:13 | (anonymous) 0x3c26…c50f | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbb5994… |
| 07-07 01:45:13 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xbb5994… |
| 07-07 01:45:13 | (anonymous) 0x14e6…11fa | No | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xbb5994… |
| 07-06 21:45:02 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xda79b6… |
| 07-06 21:45:02 | (anonymous) 0xb0c6…894d | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xda79b6… |
| 07-06 21:45:02 | (anonymous) 0xc201…8209 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xda79b6… |
| 07-06 21:32:16 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb01c0b… |
| 07-06 21:32:16 | (anonymous) 0xb0c6…894d | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb01c0b… |
| 07-06 21:12:43 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xbafbc2… |
| 07-06 21:12:43 | (anonymous) 0x3c26…c50f | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xbafbc2… |
| 07-06 21:12:43 | (anonymous) 0x2b71…82c7 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xbafbc2… |
| 07-06 21:12:43 | (anonymous) 0x4da7…1763 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbafbc2… |
| 07-06 16:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x4da7…1763 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x42bb98… |
| 07-06 16:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x59d9…773e | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x42bb98… |
| 07-06 16:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x3cb8…2536 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x42bb98… |
| 07-06 16:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x45cc…be84 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x42bb98… |
| 07-06 16:50:50 | (anonymous) 0xfffd…5c7e | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x42bb98… |
| 07-06 16:50:50 | (anonymous) 0xd522…cf83 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x42bb98… |
| 07-06 16:50:50 | Sentimental-Ray 0xc81b…ec32 | No | SELL | 58 | 99¢ | $57 | 0x42bb98… |