Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$171,535
$713 in 24h
Trades
5,377
Unique wallets
962
Liquidity
$94,254
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-16 03:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+9.1¢
(top1%: 11% YES on $4.9K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $116.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $15 | $15.2K | $15.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 28 | $1.0K | $49.3K | $48.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 183 | $871 | $30.8K | $29.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 736 | $124 | $19.0K | $18.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $528 | $4.3K | $3.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $633 | $2.7K | $2.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $8 | $5.8K | $5.8K |
| Median | 130 | $16 | $5.3K | $5.3K |
| Below median | 108 | $99 | $36.7K | $36.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 15 | $59 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | — | $921 | $921 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $12 | $350 | $338 |
| unranked | 672 | $663 | $55.8K | $55.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +26,572 | $25,891 | $32,989 | 150 | 06-09 18:28 |
| Favorable-Motion 0x152f…a549 | Yes | +24,582 | $450 | $450 | 2 | 06-06 14:20 |
| Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | Yes | +14,964 | $278 | $278 | 209 | 06-11 02:24 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +11,201 | $265 | $913 | 297 | 06-16 03:39 |
| Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | No | +10,575 | $10,381 | $10,381 | 255 | 06-13 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +5,719 | $5,605 | $5,605 | 4 | 06-12 15:04 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +4,426 | $4,340 | $4,340 | 5 | 06-02 02:37 |
| Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | No | +4,000 | $3,936 | $3,936 | 14 | 06-05 19:49 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +3,000 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 06-01 18:46 |
| Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | Yes | +2,830 | $42 | $42 | 29 | 06-05 13:46 |
| Quirky-Temptation 0xdebb…4b4c | Yes | +2,600 | $46 | $46 | 5 | 06-12 06:04 |
| Neglected-Bolt 0x0094…7bb3 | No | +2,437 | $2,400 | $2,400 | 3 | 06-04 08:01 |
| Unwilling-Dentist 0x3c2e…9240 | No | +2,086 | $2,051 | $2,051 | 4 | 06-03 11:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f6e…7d46 | No | +2,000 | $1,968 | $1,968 | 11 | 06-06 03:25 |
| Blushing-Roast 0x7ad0…19e3 | Yes | +1,900 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 06-06 04:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0961…5c68 | Yes | +1,797 | $36 | $36 | 18 | 06-13 08:16 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +1,664 | $1,615 | $1,615 | 20 | 06-01 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | Yes | +1,500 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-12 06:04 |
| Haunting-Serial 0x83d4…bce8 | No | +1,500 | $1,468 | $1,468 | 1 | 06-11 02:24 |
| Passionate-Nationality 0xab81…5ecd | No | +1,400 | $1,375 | $1,375 | 21 | 06-06 14:20 |
| Nervous-Overload 0x1c4f…2852 | No | +1,357 | $1,324 | $9,556 | 50 | 06-12 02:40 |
| Haunting-Serial 0x83d4…bce8 | Yes | +1,340 | $27 | $27 | 25 | 06-14 23:05 |
| Quirky-Temptation 0xdebb…4b4c | No | +1,300 | $1,279 | $1,279 | 1 | 06-05 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf85…cf6a | No | +1,210 | $1,192 | $1,192 | 1 | 06-05 16:03 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +1,150 | $1,130 | $1,130 | 2 | 06-10 06:29 |
| Insistent-Standard 0xb9fe…f33a | No | +1,020 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-12 02:40 |
| Uneven-Envy 0x4bad…62c5 | Yes | +1,000 | $20 | $20 | 7 | 06-12 13:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | +935 | $916 | $916 | 83 | 06-16 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f48…7a3e | No | +700 | $690 | $690 | 1 | 06-05 16:06 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +633 | $626 | $3,393 | 2 | 06-02 00:36 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +507 | $11 | $144 | 119 | 06-12 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x8685…7ad9 | No | +461 | $453 | $453 | 6 | 06-03 08:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f6c…b220 | No | +430 | $424 | $424 | 1 | 06-05 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d07…5da2 | No | +420 | $414 | $414 | 1 | 06-05 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4399…2bd0 | No | +419 | $406 | $1,602 | 2 | 06-14 21:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f6e…7d46 | Yes | +415 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 06-06 07:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x84d5…1935 | No | +410 | $404 | $404 | 1 | 06-05 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a0a…2342 | No | +410 | $404 | $404 | 1 | 06-05 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xeeea…8d96 | No | +410 | $404 | $404 | 1 | 06-05 15:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x0608…ff08 | Yes | +400 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbdc…e70c | No | +400 | $394 | $394 | 1 | 06-05 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x6bd5…662b | No | +400 | $394 | $394 | 1 | 06-05 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xd506…0c31 | No | +390 | $384 | $384 | 1 | 06-05 15:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x23b0…a7c8 | No | +365 | $360 | $421 | 12 | 06-05 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x32db…c7f0 | Yes | +362 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-06 03:25 |
| Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | Yes | +223 | $3 | $107 | 34 | 06-15 17:31 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $4 | $7 | 5 | 06-07 18:01 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-09 08:48 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +143 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 23:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 03:40:36 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x91a743… |
| 06-16 03:40:36 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x91a743… |
| 06-16 03:39:55 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x0d7850… |
| 06-16 03:39:55 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0d7850… |
| 06-16 03:39:03 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x186e80… |
| 06-16 03:39:03 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x186e80… |
| 06-16 03:38:55 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe132fe… |
| 06-16 03:38:55 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe132fe… |
| 06-16 03:38:30 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xa7b355… |
| 06-16 03:38:30 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xa7b355… |
| 06-16 03:36:40 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x86b784… |
| 06-16 03:36:40 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x86b784… |
| 06-16 03:36:33 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x8121a3… |
| 06-16 03:36:33 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8121a3… |
| 06-16 03:35:54 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x596d2e… |
| 06-16 03:35:54 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x596d2e… |
| 06-16 03:35:51 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x3c73bb… |
| 06-16 03:35:51 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3c73bb… |
| 06-16 03:34:03 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xfdfea2… |
| 06-16 03:34:03 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xfdfea2… |
| 06-16 03:33:48 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x87be35… |
| 06-16 03:33:48 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x87be35… |
| 06-16 03:33:30 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xa11b47… |
| 06-16 03:33:30 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa11b47… |
| 06-16 03:32:49 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xf07bc0… |
| 06-16 03:32:49 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xf07bc0… |
| 06-16 03:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xc9b804… |
| 06-16 03:32:42 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xc9b804… |
| 06-16 03:32:33 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x26e7eb… |
| 06-16 03:32:33 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x26e7eb… |
| 06-16 03:26:34 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x800940… |
| 06-16 03:26:34 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x800940… |
| 06-16 03:26:18 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x30c666… |
| 06-16 03:26:18 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x30c666… |
| 06-16 03:26:07 | Frightening-Year 0x37d3…e3e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xded8d9… |
| 06-16 03:26:07 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xded8d9… |
| 06-16 03:03:39 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x3641ed… |
| 06-16 03:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x3641ed… |
| 06-16 03:03:04 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xb1e05e… |
| 06-16 03:03:04 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xb1e05e… |
| 06-16 03:02:48 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x7912c2… |
| 06-16 03:02:48 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x7912c2… |
| 06-16 03:00:06 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x1782b4… |
| 06-16 03:00:06 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1782b4… |
| 06-16 02:59:57 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0e3c6c… |
| 06-16 02:59:57 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x0e3c6c… |
| 06-16 02:59:39 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x4940d8… |
| 06-16 02:59:39 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x4940d8… |
| 06-16 02:58:22 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x365dba… |
| 06-16 02:58:22 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x365dba… |
| 06-16 02:58:06 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x25b375… |
| 06-16 02:58:06 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x25b375… |
| 06-16 02:57:57 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x64002b… |
| 06-16 02:57:57 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x64002b… |
| 06-16 02:47:19 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4490c9… |
| 06-16 02:47:19 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x4490c9… |
| 06-16 02:47:09 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xd21a70… |
| 06-16 02:47:09 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd21a70… |
| 06-16 02:46:51 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x80dc0b… |
| 06-16 02:46:51 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x80dc0b… |
| 06-16 02:44:27 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x758872… |
| 06-16 02:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x758872… |
| 06-16 02:43:54 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xff25f9… |
| 06-16 02:43:54 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xff25f9… |
| 06-16 02:43:45 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x2ebce6… |
| 06-16 02:43:45 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x2ebce6… |
| 06-16 02:43:19 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x8c77a2… |
| 06-16 02:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x8c77a2… |
| 06-16 02:37:24 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x46717d… |
| 06-16 02:37:24 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x46717d… |
| 06-16 02:32:16 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x34127d… |
| 06-16 02:32:16 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x34127d… |
| 06-16 02:29:13 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x3e101c… |
| 06-16 02:29:13 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3e101c… |
| 06-16 02:26:48 | Trustworthy-Cartridge 0x1f68…cdd1 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xccaf5b… |
| 06-16 02:26:48 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xccaf5b… |
| 06-16 01:44:37 | Amused-Object 0x87b2…0653 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xea7fdc… |
| 06-16 01:44:37 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xea7fdc… |
| 06-16 00:41:28 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2200f3… |
| 06-16 00:41:28 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x2200f3… |
| 06-16 00:33:04 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x618c60… |
| 06-16 00:33:04 | Trustworthy-Cartridge 0x1f68…cdd1 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x618c60… |
| 06-16 00:20:33 | Nautical-Parser 0x362d…f6d2 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x9829e9… |
| 06-16 00:20:33 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9829e9… |
| 06-15 21:16:21 | Putrid-Albatross 0x7f6f…578e | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf3c218… |
| 06-15 21:16:21 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf3c218… |
| 06-15 20:35:22 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5f75ac… |
| 06-15 20:35:22 | Neighboring-Yarn 0xa9a1…966c | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x5f75ac… |
| 06-15 19:58:45 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x671cd0… |
| 06-15 19:58:45 | Amusing-Mortgage 0x8cad…b739 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x671cd0… |
| 06-15 19:53:30 | Shadowy-Referendum 0x5a17…fc4f | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x343cd5… |
| 06-15 19:53:30 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x343cd5… |
| 06-15 19:07:58 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xef270c… |
| 06-15 19:07:58 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xef270c… |
| 06-15 17:51:43 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xccafee… |
| 06-15 17:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xccafee… |
| 06-15 17:50:03 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb746f1… |
| 06-15 17:50:03 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xb746f1… |
| 06-15 17:47:28 | (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xf7386b… |
| 06-15 17:47:28 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xf7386b… |