Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$403,734
$713 in 24h
Trades
16,513
Unique wallets
1,740
Liquidity
$94,254
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-28 14:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+10.6¢
(top1%: 12% YES on $4.9K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $226.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $17 | $21.1K | $21.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 36 | $2.2K | $71.1K | $68.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 666 | $544 | $86.4K | $85.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,019 | $228 | $45.0K | $44.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $587 | $4.3K | $3.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $1.0K | $5.9K | $4.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $11 | $5.8K | $5.8K |
| Median | 225 | $16 | $12.1K | $12.0K |
| Below median | 525 | $146 | $67.4K | $67.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 23 | $12 | $3.5K | $3.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 22 | $170 | $6.7K | $6.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $21 | $350 | $329 |
| unranked | 906 | $944 | $117.7K | $116.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +16,585 | $339 | $1,661 | 955 | 07-28 14:20 |
| Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | Yes | +14,964 | $278 | $278 | 209 | 06-11 02:24 |
| Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | No | +14,762 | $14,493 | $22,864 | 367 | 06-30 08:26 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +7,783 | $7,384 | $51,496 | 253 | 07-28 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +5,719 | $5,605 | $5,605 | 4 | 06-12 15:04 |
| Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | No | +5,629 | $5,541 | $5,541 | 42 | 07-21 22:47 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +4,426 | $4,340 | $4,340 | 5 | 06-02 02:37 |
| Aromatic-Grid 0xaa0d…c48c | No | +3,099 | $3,042 | $3,042 | 1 | 06-21 05:57 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +3,000 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 06-01 18:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +2,841 | $2,795 | $16,120 | 480 | 07-15 12:15 |
| Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | Yes | +2,830 | $42 | $42 | 29 | 06-05 13:46 |
| Quirky-Temptation 0xdebb…4b4c | Yes | +2,600 | $50 | $82 | 7 | 06-29 14:11 |
| Quirky-Temptation 0xdebb…4b4c | No | +2,600 | $2,552 | $2,552 | 42 | 06-17 10:23 |
| Passionate-Nationality 0xab81…5ecd | No | +2,380 | $2,338 | $2,338 | 83 | 07-23 22:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x30dd…bb80 | No | +2,066 | $2,037 | $2,037 | 1 | 07-02 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f6e…7d46 | No | +2,000 | $1,968 | $1,968 | 11 | 06-06 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f6e…7d46 | Yes | +2,000 | $32 | $32 | 8 | 06-22 22:03 |
| Blushing-Roast 0x7ad0…19e3 | Yes | +1,900 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 06-06 04:10 |
| Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | +1,846 | $1,817 | $1,817 | 28 | 07-27 18:56 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +1,664 | $1,615 | $1,615 | 20 | 06-01 18:44 |
| Haunting-Serial 0x83d4…bce8 | No | +1,500 | $1,468 | $1,468 | 1 | 06-11 02:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | Yes | +1,500 | $39 | $75 | 3 | 06-27 12:04 |
| Nervous-Overload 0x1c4f…2852 | No | +1,357 | $1,324 | $9,556 | 50 | 06-12 02:40 |
| Haunting-Serial 0x83d4…bce8 | Yes | +1,340 | $37 | $76 | 59 | 06-26 01:14 |
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +1,333 | $18 | $39 | 5 | 07-01 22:35 |
| Sardonic-Characterization 0xad33…9962 | No | +1,280 | $1,255 | $1,255 | 1 | 06-17 10:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…72c8 | No | +1,276 | $1,250 | $1,250 | 128 | 06-16 16:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x21bd…45c4 | Yes | +1,154 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-26 15:54 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,128 | $19 | $253 | 268 | 07-28 12:50 |
| Insistent-Standard 0xb9fe…f33a | No | +1,020 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-12 02:40 |
| Uneven-Envy 0x4bad…62c5 | No | +1,000 | $979 | $979 | 14 | 06-18 06:51 |
| Uneven-Envy 0x4bad…62c5 | Yes | +1,000 | $24 | $50 | 9 | 06-29 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x32db…c7f0 | Yes | +762 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-25 09:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd778…f2d5 | Yes | +714 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc6d…c7bd | No | +699 | $689 | $911 | 3 | 06-25 09:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | +667 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 06:32 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +500 | $489 | $6,526 | 67 | 07-19 15:33 |
| Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | Yes | +467 | $14 | $251 | 47 | 07-28 07:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x8685…7ad9 | No | +461 | $453 | $453 | 6 | 06-03 08:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x4399…2bd0 | No | +419 | $406 | $1,602 | 2 | 06-14 21:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b3…5fa0 | Yes | +417 | $8 | $8 | 28 | 06-18 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x23b0…a7c8 | No | +365 | $359 | $792 | 20 | 06-27 06:20 |
| Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | +355 | $2 | $8 | 3 | 06-22 22:03 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +350 | $344 | $344 | 2 | 06-14 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | +339 | $332 | $332 | 15 | 06-03 07:55 |
| Harmful-Ratepayer 0xdc1f…d243 | Yes | +317 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-07 19:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x542a…5b48 | No | +300 | $296 | $296 | 1 | 06-05 16:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb87…fa96 | No | +300 | $296 | $296 | 2 | 07-13 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x59b2…a9ac | No | +300 | $296 | $296 | 5 | 07-24 00:10 |
| Bossy-Concern 0x723e…3525 | No | +280 | $272 | $272 | 1 | 06-01 09:03 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $4 | $7 | 5 | 06-07 18:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-09 08:48 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 14:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 14:20:58 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x569319… |
| 07-28 14:20:58 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x569319… |
| 07-28 14:20:47 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x330cf8… |
| 07-28 14:20:47 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x330cf8… |
| 07-28 14:18:55 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x2afe60… |
| 07-28 14:18:55 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2afe60… |
| 07-28 14:18:46 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x7ddd51… |
| 07-28 14:18:46 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x7ddd51… |
| 07-28 14:17:37 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x16c1c4… |
| 07-28 14:17:37 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x16c1c4… |
| 07-28 14:17:22 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xf8f332… |
| 07-28 14:17:22 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xf8f332… |
| 07-28 14:16:25 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x985cb5… |
| 07-28 14:16:25 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x985cb5… |
| 07-28 14:16:11 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xf35198… |
| 07-28 14:16:11 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xf35198… |
| 07-28 13:55:28 | Extra-Large-Sleeping 0x7459…7881 | No | SELL | 27 | 98¢ | $27 | 0xf567d0… |
| 07-28 13:55:28 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 27 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf567d0… |
| 07-28 13:45:55 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7a7f65… |
| 07-28 13:45:55 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x7a7f65… |
| 07-28 13:45:46 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x85655b… |
| 07-28 13:45:46 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x85655b… |
| 07-28 13:43:07 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x9dfc29… |
| 07-28 13:43:07 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9dfc29… |
| 07-28 13:42:40 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x37a1be… |
| 07-28 13:42:40 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x37a1be… |
| 07-28 13:41:53 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5ec0e3… |
| 07-28 13:41:53 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x5ec0e3… |
| 07-28 13:41:44 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x8f9019… |
| 07-28 13:41:44 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x8f9019… |
| 07-28 13:40:16 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x2a03dd… |
| 07-28 13:40:16 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2a03dd… |
| 07-28 13:39:32 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xd5ff85… |
| 07-28 13:39:32 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xd5ff85… |
| 07-28 13:38:40 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x0b5c5f… |
| 07-28 13:38:40 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0b5c5f… |
| 07-28 13:38:11 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa03b41… |
| 07-28 13:38:11 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa03b41… |
| 07-28 13:32:40 | Extra-Large-Sleeping 0x7459…7881 | No | BUY | 27 | 98¢ | $27 | 0xa0c66f… |
| 07-28 13:32:40 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 27 | 98¢ | $27 | 0xa0c66f… |
| 07-28 12:50:16 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x2e90e9… |
| 07-28 12:50:16 | (anonymous) 0x949f…eb8c | Yes | SELL | 294 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x2e90e9… |
| 07-28 12:50:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 185 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x2e90e9… |
| 07-28 12:50:16 | (anonymous) 0xf46f…3196 | No | SELL | 87 | 98¢ | $86 | 0x2e90e9… |
| 07-28 12:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x949f…eb8c | Yes | BUY | 294 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xf80c7d… |
| 07-28 12:50:01 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 294 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xf80c7d… |
| 07-28 12:48:29 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xea96e4… |
| 07-28 12:48:29 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xea96e4… |
| 07-28 12:48:17 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xb9ed4a… |
| 07-28 12:48:17 | (anonymous) 0xf46f…3196 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xb9ed4a… |
| 07-28 12:47:23 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x099c6f… |
| 07-28 12:47:23 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x099c6f… |
| 07-28 12:47:10 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x45a333… |
| 07-28 12:47:10 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x45a333… |
| 07-28 12:47:10 | (anonymous) 0xf46f…3196 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x45a333… |
| 07-28 12:45:40 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x65984c… |
| 07-28 12:45:40 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x65984c… |
| 07-28 12:45:26 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x71359b… |
| 07-28 12:45:26 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x71359b… |
| 07-28 12:44:16 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x91beac… |
| 07-28 12:44:16 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x91beac… |
| 07-28 12:43:50 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xdf20b5… |
| 07-28 12:43:50 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdf20b5… |
| 07-28 12:42:55 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8093f5… |
| 07-28 12:42:55 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x8093f5… |
| 07-28 12:42:44 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xceb71c… |
| 07-28 12:42:44 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xceb71c… |
| 07-28 12:37:14 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcc522c… |
| 07-28 12:37:14 | (anonymous) 0x949f…eb8c | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xcc522c… |
| 07-28 12:37:01 | (anonymous) 0x949f…eb8c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbee3e9… |
| 07-28 12:37:01 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbee3e9… |
| 07-28 11:39:32 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 66 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x539bb8… |
| 07-28 11:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x5e34…2c47 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x539bb8… |
| 07-28 11:33:11 | (anonymous) 0x82a0…33a1 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x152ac5… |
| 07-28 11:33:11 | (anonymous) 0x5e34…2c47 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x152ac5… |
| 07-28 11:33:11 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x152ac5… |
| 07-28 07:27:21 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x5b974f… |
| 07-28 07:27:21 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5b974f… |
| 07-28 07:27:06 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x89c1c0… |
| 07-28 07:27:06 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x89c1c0… |
| 07-28 07:13:27 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 419 | 2¢ | $7 | 0x14a7a2… |
| 07-28 07:13:27 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | Yes | SELL | 2,449 | 2¢ | $41 | 0x14a7a2… |
| 07-28 07:13:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 185 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x14a7a2… |
| 07-28 07:12:36 | (anonymous) 0x82a0…33a1 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x62e280… |
| 07-28 07:12:36 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | Yes | BUY | 2,423 | 2¢ | $44 | 0x62e280… |
| 07-28 07:12:36 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 473 | 2¢ | $9 | 0x62e280… |
| 07-28 07:12:36 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x62e280… |
| 07-28 07:12:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 84 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x62e280… |
| 07-28 06:52:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 54 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8bac31… |
| 07-28 06:52:52 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x8bac31… |
| 07-28 06:52:36 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0xa50d54… |
| 07-28 06:52:36 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 54 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa50d54… |
| 07-28 06:36:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x115e63… |
| 07-28 06:36:34 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x115e63… |
| 07-28 06:36:28 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8c04a6… |
| 07-28 06:36:28 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x8c04a6… |
| 07-28 06:35:10 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xe18209… |
| 07-28 06:35:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe18209… |
| 07-28 06:34:55 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd76aa0… |
| 07-28 06:34:55 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xd76aa0… |